PUPATELLO, FRANCIS CONTENDERS FOR WINDSOR WEST

July 11, 2015. A new Mainstreet/Postmedia poll in Windsor West shows Sandra Pupatello and Eddie Francis could put the Liberals in contention if either of them ran. With 581 respondents the poll carries a margin of error of +/- 3.97%, 19/20.

Mainstreet tested Pupatello and Francis against the current NDP candidate and MP, Brian Masse, and the 2011 candidates for the Green Party and Conservative Party. Only the NDP have nominated a candidate in Windsor West.

"If the Liberals can recruit Pupatello or Francis it would shake up the race in Windsor West - but thats a big if, said Quito Maggi, president of Mainstreet. It would truly be a competitive race and a tough challenge for MP Brian Masse.

"That being said, the election is months away and a lot can happen between now and election day. The NDP hold a big advantage in that their candidate is nominated and well known, if the Liberals or the Conservatives are going to make a play for Windsor West they are running out of time.

Highlights:- Masse leads Pupatello 35% to 33%; he leads Francis 35% to 34%- Among decided voters, Masse leads 39% to 37% against both Pupatello and Francis- The Conservatives have the most committed supporters with 81% certain of their support

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For more information: David Valentin, (613) 698-5524 - david@mainstreetresearch.caAvailable for Interview from Toronto: Quito Maggi, quito@mainstreetresearch.ca MethodologyThe poll surveyed a random sample of Windsor West residents by Smart IVR on July 8th, 2015. Mainstreet sampled a mixture of cell phones and landlines; results were weighted for age and gender. About MainstreetMainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public aairs.

Dierentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet has provided accurate snapshots of public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta (2015), a majority Liberal government in British Columbia, and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Most recently, Mainstreet was the most accurate pollster of Novembers Toronto mayoral election.

"Exclusive Mainstreet/Postmedia polls are protected by copyright. The information and/or data may only be rebroadcast or republished with full and proper credit and attribution to Mainstreet/Postmedia.

If the following candidates ran who would you vote for if an election were held today? [SANDRA PUPATELLO LISTED AS LIBERAL CANDIDATE]

BREAKDOWNS18-3432%29%24%1%

15%62

35-4932%41%16%2%9%98

50-6440%29%18%4%8%186

65+36%32%18%3%12%235

Female34%30%19%4%14%302

Male36%35%20%1%8%279

BRIAN MASSE (NDP)SANDRA PUPATELLO (LIBERAL)LISA LUMLEY (CONSERVATIVE)ALISHIA FOX (GREEN)UNDECIDEDSAMPLE

30

20

10

0All Voters Decided Only

35%

33%

19% 2%

11%

39%

37%

21%

3%

If the following candidates ran who would you vote for if an election were held today? [EDDIE FRANCIS LISTED AS LIBERAL CANDIDATE]

BREAKDOWNS18-3437%23%31%0%10%62

35-4924%43%13%7%12%98

50-6437%38%13%1%

12%186

65+43%32%14%3%7%235

Female34%34%18%3%11%302

Male36%33%18%3%9%279

BRIAN MASSE (NDP)EDDIE FRANCIS (LIBERAL)LISA LUMLEY (CONSERVATIVE)ALISHIA FOX (GREEN)UNDECIDEDSAMPLE

30

20

10

0All Voters Decided Only

35%

34%

18%

3%

10%

39%

37%

20%

3%

And which party are you leaning toward voting for? (UNDECIDED ONLY)

Do you consider yourself to be a strong supporter of this party, or is there a chance you will change your mind before the next election?

BREAKDOWNSCPC81%17%2%

LPC63%18%20%

NDP67%22%11%

STRONGMIGHT CHANGEUNDECIDED

GP43%36%21%

32%

25%

6%

2%

34%