Macroeconomics: Policy Mix

46
Fiscal and monetary policy Goods and Money Market Equilibrium and the Real Economy

Transcript of Macroeconomics: Policy Mix

Page 1: Macroeconomics: Policy Mix

Fiscal and monetary policy

Goods and Money Market Equilibrium and the Real Economy

Page 2: Macroeconomics: Policy Mix

The Story So Far (Yet Again)

• We know that the economy is in equilibrium when Y = AE.

• There is a level of output for which income is equal to

planned aggregate expenditure.

• The components of planned aggregate expenditure are

consumption, investment, and government spending.

• Fiscal policy involves control over government spending

and taxation, which has an effect on Y in the goods market.

• Monetary policy involves control over the money supply,

which has an effect on r in the money market.

Y = C + I + G + (X – M) . . . but this time, with monetary and fiscal policy.

Page 3: Macroeconomics: Policy Mix

There is a level of ouput or income (Y) and an interest rate (r) that represents an

equilibrium in both markets.

There is a level of ouput or income (Y) and an interest rate (r) that represents an

equilibrium in both markets.

There is a level of ouput or income (Y) and an interest rate (r) that represents an

equilibrium in both markets.

The Real EconomyBringing together the goods market and money market.

Page 4: Macroeconomics: Policy Mix

But First...

• The goods and money markets are related as follows:

• The goods market determines income, which affects the

demand for money.

• The money market determines the interest rate, which

affects the level of investment.

• Government policies toward the goods and money markets

can be either expansionary or contractionary.

How the goods and money markets are related.

Fiscal Policy

Monetary Policy

Expansionary

↑ G or ↓ T

↑ Money Supply

Contractionary

↓ G or ↑ T

↓ Money Supply

Page 5: Macroeconomics: Policy Mix

The Policy MixHow fiscal and monetary policies interact.

Fiscal Policy

Expansionary(↑ G or ↓ T )

Contractionary(↓ G or ↑ T)

Monetary

Policy

Expansionary(↑ Money Suppply)

Contractionary(↓ Money Suppply)

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Case 1Expansionary Fiscal and Monetary Policies.

AE

Y

r

Ms

45º

Ms

Md

AE

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Case 1Expansionary Fiscal and Monetary Policies.

AE

Y45º

AE

r

Ms

Ms

Md

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Case 1Expansionary Fiscal and Monetary Policies.

AE

Y45º

AE

r

Ms

Ms

Md

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Case 1Expansionary Fiscal and Monetary Policies.

AE

Y45º

r

Ms

Ms

Md

AE

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Case 1Expansionary Fiscal and Monetary Policies.

AE

Y

r

Ms

45º

Ms

Md

AE

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Case 1Expansionary Fiscal and Monetary Policies.

AE

Y

r

Ms

45º

Ms

Md

AE

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Case 1Expansionary Fiscal and Monetary Policies.

r

Ms

Ms

Md

AE

Y45º

AE

Page 13: Macroeconomics: Policy Mix

The Policy MixHow fiscal and monetary policies interact.

Fiscal Policy

Expansionary(↑ G or ↓ T )

Contractionary(↓ G or ↑ T)

Monetary

Policy

Expansionary(↑ Money Suppply)

Y↑, AE↑, r?, I?

Contractionary(↓ Money Suppply)

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Case 2Contractionary Fiscal Policy and Expansionary Monetary Policy.

AE

Y45º

r

Ms

Ms

Md

AE

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Case 2Contractionary Fiscal Policy and Expansionary Monetary Policy.

AE

Y45º

r

Ms

Ms

Md

AE

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Case 2Contractionary Fiscal Policy and Expansionary Monetary Policy.

r

Ms

Ms

Md

AE

Y45º

AE

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Case 2Contractionary Fiscal Policy and Expansionary Monetary Policy.

r

Ms

Ms

Md

AE

Y45º

AE

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Case 2Contractionary Fiscal Policy and Expansionary Monetary Policy.

AE

Y45º

r

Ms

AE

Ms

Md

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Case 2Contractionary Fiscal Policy and Expansionary Monetary Policy.

AE

Y

r

Ms

45º

Ms

Md

AE

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Case 2Contractionary Fiscal Policy and Expansionary Monetary Policy.

AE

Y

r

Ms

45º

Ms

Md

AE

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Case 2Contractionary Fiscal Policy and Expansionary Monetary Policy.

AE

Y

r

Ms

45º

Ms

Md

AE

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The Policy MixHow fiscal and monetary policies interact.

Fiscal Policy

Expansionary(↑ G or ↓ T )

Contractionary(↓ G or ↑ T)

Monetary

Policy

Expansionary(↑ Money Suppply)

Y↑, AE↑, r?, I? Y?, AE?, r↓, I↑

Contractionary(↓ Money Suppply)

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Case 3Expansionary Fiscal Policy and Contractionary Monetary Policy.

AE

Y

r

Ms

45º

Ms

Md

AE

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Case 3Expansionary Fiscal Policy and Contractionary Monetary Policy.

AE

Y45º

r

Ms

Ms

Md

AE

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Case 3Expansionary Fiscal Policy and Contractionary Monetary Policy.

AE

Y45º

r

Ms

Ms

Md

AE

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Case 3Expansionary Fiscal Policy and Contractionary Monetary Policy.

AE

Y45º

r

Ms

Ms

Md

AE

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Case 3Expansionary Fiscal Policy and Contractionary Monetary Policy.

AE

Y

r

Ms

45º

Ms

Md

AE

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Case 3Expansionary Fiscal Policy and Contractionary Monetary Policy.

AE

Y

r

Ms

45º

Md

AE

Ms

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Case 3Expansionary Fiscal Policy and Contractionary Monetary Policy.

AE

Y

r

Ms

45º

Md

AE

Ms

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Case 3Expansionary Fiscal Policy and Contractionary Monetary Policy.

AE

Y

r

Ms

45º

Md

AE

Ms

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Case 3Expansionary Fiscal Policy and Contractionary Monetary Policy.

AE

Y

r

Ms

45º

Md

Ms

AE

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The Policy MixHow fiscal and monetary policies interact.

Fiscal Policy

Expansionary(↑ G or ↓ T )

Contractionary(↓ G or ↑ T)

Monetary

Policy

Expansionary(↑ Money Suppply)

Y↑, AE↑, r?, I? Y?, AE?, r↓, I↑

Contractionary(↓ Money Suppply)

Y?, AE?, r↑, I↓

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Case 4Contractionary Fiscal and Monetary Policies.

AE

Y

r

Ms

45º

AE

Ms

Md

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Case 4Contractionary Fiscal and Monetary Policies.

AE

Y

r

Ms

45º

Ms

Md

AE

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Case 4Contractionary Fiscal and Monetary Policies.

AE

Y

r

Ms

45º

Ms

Md

AE

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Case 4Contractionary Fiscal and Monetary Policies.

AE

Y

r

Ms

45º

Ms

Md

AE

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Case 4Contractionary Fiscal and Monetary Policies.

AE

Y

r

Ms

45º

Ms

Md

AE

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Case 4Contractionary Fiscal and Monetary Policies.

AE

Y

r

Ms

45º

Md

AE

Ms

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Case 4Contractionary Fiscal and Monetary Policies.

AE

Y

r

Ms

45º

Md

AE

Ms

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Case 4Contractionary Fiscal and Monetary Policies.

AE

Y

r

Ms

45º

Md

AE

Ms

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Case 4Contractionary Fiscal and Monetary Policies.

AE

Y

r

Ms

45º

Md

Ms

AE

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The Policy MixHow fiscal and monetary policies interact.

Fiscal Policy

Expansionary(↑ G or ↓ T )

Contractionary(↓ G or ↑ T)

Monetary

Policy

Expansionary(↑ Money Suppply)

Y↑, AE↑, r?, I? Y?, AE?, r↓, I↑

Contractionary(↓ Money Suppply)

Y?, AE?, r↑, I↓ Y↓, AE↓, r?, I?

Page 43: Macroeconomics: Policy Mix

There is a level of ouput or income (Y) and an interest rate (r) that represents an

equilibrium in both markets.

There is a level of ouput or income (Y) and an interest rate (r) that represents an

equilibrium in both markets.

There is a level of ouput or income (Y) and an interest rate (r) that represents an

equilibrium in both markets.

The Real EconomyBringing together the goods market and money market.

Page 44: Macroeconomics: Policy Mix

IS-LM AnalysisAnother way to depict goods and money market equilibrium.

r

Y

LM

IS

The LM Curve depicts various

interest rates at which the

money market is in equilibrium

for a given level of income.

The IS Curve depicts various

interest rates at which the

goods market is in equilibrium

for a given level of income.

Page 45: Macroeconomics: Policy Mix

IS-LM AnalysisAnother way to depict goods and money market equilibrium.

Y

r

LM

IS

If both fiscal and monetary

policies are expansionary,

output clearly increases.

Presumably so does AE.

However, we cannot say

what happens to the interest

rate or investment without

knowing the relative

magnitude of each policy.

Page 46: Macroeconomics: Policy Mix

IS-LM AnalysisAnother way to depict goods and money market equilibrium.

r

Y

LM

IS

If monetary policy is

expansionary, the LM curve

shifts outward.

If fiscal policy is

contractionary, the IS curve

shifts inward.

The interest rate declines,

meaning that investments

must rise.

The relative magnitude of

each policy determines

what happens to Y and AE.