Machine vision technology & market trends 2013 Report by Yole Developpement

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© 2013 Machine vision Technology & Market Trends - Customer-oriented market driven by industrial capital expenditures finding now major growth opportunities out of factory Courtesy of e2v Courtesy of IMEC Courtesy of Point Grey Research Courtesy of ABB Courtesy of Basler
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Machine vision finds opportunities outside traditional industrial manufacturing fields while moving to volume manufacturing. Exclusive market segmentation and identification of nine key growth segments The machine vision market is complex, composed of myriad niche applications that are either industrial or non-industrial. To simplify the machine vision market’s structure and dynamics, we’ve created a novel market segmentation that cross-references technical and behavioral criteria. By cross-referencing technical and behavioral needs, nine homogeneous groups of key machine vision customers have been defined. From an industrial point-of-view, versatile detection, versatile inspection and compact 3D inspection will fuel most of the machine vision industrial market’s growth, driven by new low-end applications. From a non-industrial standpoint, all identified segments will sustain steady, high growth at a 15%+ CAGR; namely high-end IP surveillance, license plate recognition and automotive safety. This report includes a structuring segmentation to help facilitate machine vision market comprehension. It also highlights key growth areas and the available strategies to gain profitability or market share. By 2018, the industrial machine vision market will reach nearly $2B! Total industrial machine vision sales accounted for 1.2M cameras in 2012, a number expected to reach $2B in 2018, at an 8% CAGR. After moderate 1% growth in 2012 (a reflection of the economic downturn facing the global industry), an upturn is expected in the future, thanks to the automatization trend in Asian factories, new capital expenditures in the semiconductor industry and the emergence of new low-end applications. Growth in the low-end segments will be driven by strong price erosion stemming from the commoditization of machine vision subsystems. Machine vision players’ main challenge will be how to gain market share in the dynamic low-end market segments while maintaining sustainable profitability. Currently, adjacent non-industrial applications are expected to burgeon at a double-digit rate, driving future growth. This report includes market insights in the form of units & revenue for market segments in both industrial and non-industrial machine vision. Industrial machine vision market forecasts are realized for 2013-2018 and include industrial cameras, smart cameras and vision sensors. Fragmented shares will fuel market consolidation Machine vision applications’ complex diversity resulted in the emergence of a multitude of small machine vision camera manufacturers. Consequently, the machine vision market is very fragmented at the camera level. On the flip side, the machine vision image sensor market is quite concentrated due to the presence of strong technical know-how necessary for designing to a specific sensor. More information on that report at http://www.i-micronews.com/reports/Machine-vision-market-trends/19/381/

Transcript of Machine vision technology & market trends 2013 Report by Yole Developpement

Page 1: Machine vision technology & market trends 2013 Report by Yole Developpement

© 2013

Machine visionTechnology & Market Trends

-Customer-oriented market driven by industrial capital expenditures

finding now major growth opportunities out of factory

Courtesy of e2vCourtesy of IMEC Courtesy of Point Grey Research

Courtesy of ABB Courtesy of Basler

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Table of Contents• Objectives & Scope of the report …………… 3

• Executive Summary …………………………… 9

1) Background & definitions ……………...….. 33

– Machine vision definitions

o PC-based systems

o Smart cameras

o Vision sensors

– Positioning and price breakdown

2) Machine vision market strategies …………. 51

– Market segmentation

– On-going strategical moves

3) Machine vision market analysis ………....... 66

– Market forecasts

o 2011 – 2018 forecasts by segment (in Units and in $M)

o Market size split by geographical location

– Market segment details (tech & economic analysis)

– Industrial segments

– Out-of-factory segments

4) Machine vision supply chain analysis…… 94

– Value chain description

o Main players positioning

o Machine vision cameras price breakdown

– Supply chain structure

– 2012 market shares in revenue ($M)

o At image sensor level

• Split by technology: CCD vs CMOS image sensors

• Split by type of product: line scan vs area sensors

– 2012 market shares in revenue ($M)

o At subsystem level

• Split by type of product:

Line scan vs area cameras

smart & compact subsystems (smart

cameras + visions sensors)

5) Application Focus ………………..……. 118

– Manufacturing applications

o Automotive manufacturing

o PCB manufacturing

o Semiconductor manufacturing

o Flat panel manufacturing

o Pharmaceutical industry

o Food & packaging industry

‒ Out-of-factory applications

o High-end IP surveillance

o Automotive driver assistance

o Licence Plate Recognition

6) Machine vision technological analysis… 151

– At image sensor level

o Shift from CCD to CMOS

o Pixel pitch shirinking trend

o Global shuttering: a must-have

o The challenge of IR & UV imaging

– At camera level

o The interface multiplication

o Multispectral & hyperspectral imaging

o Camera miniaturisation trend

o 3D imaging: a fast emerging market

• Laser triangulation

• Stereoscopy

• Time-of-flight

7) General Conclusion ………………………. 197

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Objectives of the Report

• This is the first report on machine vision technologies and markets from

Yole Développement.

• The objectives of this first report are the following:

1. To provide market data on key machine vision market metrics & dynamics:• Machinevision subsystems unit shipments, revenue and by market segment.

• Market share with detailed breakdown by player.

• Application focus on key areas of growth for machine vision

2. To provide key technical insight about future technology trends & challenges:• From an image sensor standpoint: design, front-end and back-end innovations.

– A special focus is included on the BSI (Backside illumination) technology that has been

reshaping the image sensor industry.

• From a camera standpoint

3. To provide in-depth understanding of the machine vision value chain,

infrastructure & players:• Who are the industrial machine vision image sensor players (IDMs, foundries, design houses) and how

are they related?

• More generally, who are the key suppliers to watch and how will the machine vision market evolve?

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Scope of the StudyIndustrial machine vision value chain overview

≈ 10 players ≈ 100 players

Hundreds of playersThousands of players

≈ 15 players

Scope of the report

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CCD technology

CMOS technology

Line scan

systems

Area scan

systems

Scope of the StudyMachine vision image sensors

• 4 kinds of machine vision image sensors:

– CMOS versus CCD image sensors

– Area versus Line scan sensors

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Machine vision market segmentationWhy a segmentation?

• Machine vision is a fragmented market that encompasses a wide diversity

of applications and tasks.

• In that context it is impossible a group of match end-users needs by

clustering applications.

• The segmentation is a marketing tool that enables to understand both the

structure and the dynamics of a market by defining groups of customers

that have a unity of needs (e.g. need metal/plastic housing, high speed of

operation, high resolution…) and linked to a behaviour (e.g. sensitive to

initial cost or driven by cost-of-ownership, R&D center or production

line...).

• The segmentation is a useful tool for subsystem suppliers to build

appropriate offers.

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Machine vision market segmentationSplit industrial/non-industrial

Sharpness of detail / Total Field of View Coarse Medium Very small

Feature motion speed Low High Low High Low High

User’s need for customization /

complexity of set-up

High

Factory

based

S1:Versatile industrial

detection

S2:Versatile industrial

inspection

S3:Versatile industrial

metrology & preciseinspection

MediumS4:

Autonomousindustrial inspection

LowS5: Function-specificcompact industrial

detection

S6: Compact

on-line 3D inspection

Medium

Outside

factory

S7: High-end IP Surveillance

S9: Licence Plate

Recognition

Low

S10:Automotive

driver assistance

Technical criteria

Co

mp

ort

em

en

talc

rite

ria

Industrial

Machine Vision

- Detailed analysis

Non-factory based

Machine vision

- Market overview only

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Machine vision market segmentationSegments description

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Market overview & strategies analysis

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$ 0 B

$ 1 B

$ 1 B

$ 2 B

$ 2 B

$ 3 B

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Re

ven

ue

($

B)

Machine Vision - Revenue Forecast by segment (in $M)

Compact on-line 3D vision

Compact function-specificdetection

Autonomous inspection

Versatile metrology

Versatile inspection

Versatile detection

Industrial machine vision revenue($M)Forecast by segment

Yole Developpement

© May 2013

CAGR: 8%

• Overall industrial machine vision market represented $1.2 B in 2012, including $793M in cameras sales

and $453M of smart & compact subsystems sales. An average growth of 8% is expected in the 2013/2018

period, fueled by 3D compact subsystems and low-end cameras sales.

• Industrial machine vision market was strongly affected by the 2012 economic downturn, nevertheless it

managed to grow 1% up from 2011 thanks to dynamic sales in low-end markets (versatile inspection and

detection) and in 3D compact subsystems. High-end machine vision cameras and smart cameras sales

were the most affected products, down 4% from 2011.

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Industrial Machine vision area cameras2012 revenue - Market Shares estimates

Sony11%

Toshiba teli $ 69 M

10%

Allied Vision Technology$ 60 M

9%JAI

$ 52 M7%Basler

$ 49 M7%

Baumer Optronics$ 37 M

5%

Point Grey Research$ 36 M

5%

IDS imaging$ 33 M

5%

Keyence$ 26 M

4%

teledyne dalsa$ 21 M

3%

Hitachi$ 20 M

3%

Lumenera$ 19 M

3%

ADIMEC$ 16 M

2%

Matrox$ 15 M

2%

Vieworks$ 14 M

2%

Others21%

Machine vision area cameras revenue- 2012 Market Shares estimates -

TOT ~ $694M

Yole Developpement © May 2013

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Machine vision products overview

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Industrial area machine vision supply chain

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Focus on applications

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Technological analysis

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About the Author of this Report

• Paul Danini:

– Paul is in charge of the imaging technologies studies at Yole

Développement. After a short experience at e2v, he

previously worked in IP strategy and management at

Avenium Consulting. He holds a master of engineering in

instrumental physics & medical imaging, complemented by a

master degree in Technology and Innovation Management

from Grenoble EM Business School.

Contact: [email protected]