Macd Professional_English
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Transcript of Macd Professional_English
M A C D + P A R A B O L I C+ T R E N D L I N E
STRATEGY
PROFESSIONAL
OF
SUCCESSFUL
D E A L S
70%UP TO
THE STRATEGY IS BASEDON THREE TOOLS
OF TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
MACDoscillator
Trend Line("Ray")
Parabolic SARindicator
MACD is situated under the chart.
MACD OSCILLATORis a central tool. It is used for analyzing the current trend
and forecasting the price movement.
Histogram
Two slidingaverage
PARABOLIC SAR INDICATORis used for determining the trend movement
and its reverse.
In case of an up trend, the points are situated over the chart and vice versa.
A point at the opposite side of the candlestick means reverse.
THE TREND LINE ("RAY")is used for determining the direction of the trend
and allows opening deals just according to its direction.
This strategy can be applied only to up and down trends.
Select Trend Line (left menu) from the Technical analysis window.Build the trend Line ("Ray") along the direction of the chart movement.
The combination of three toolsprovided three types
of trading signals:
1Preliminary
2Confirmative
3Main
STRATEGY SIGNALS
1 2 3
PRELIMINARY SIGNALSShow propitious moments for opening deals
and warn about the opportunity of appearing of the main signal.
STRATEGY SIGNALS
The main directionof the trend
MACD histogramclimb
Discrepancy betweenMACD histogram and the chart
Also: reverse and trend continuation figures + Bollinger Bands, RSI, Stochastic indicators.
1 2 3
CONFIRMATIVE SIGNALSUsed for confirming the main signal and determining the deal amount (risk management).
They are based on the trend life cycle.
The first Parabolic point appearsover or under the chart
(possible trend beginning)
Parabolic points are locatedfar from the chart
(possible trend middle)
Parabolic pointsare situated closely to the chart
(possible trend end)
STRATEGY SIGNALS
1 2 3
MAIN SIGNALSUsed for determining the moment of deal opening.
Trend line direction MACD fast lineand slow line crossing
The first Parabolic point appearsat the opposite side of the chart
STRATEGY SIGNALS
RECOMMENDATIONS FROM ANALYSTS:
Don`t open a deal only on the basis of preliminaryand confirmative signals.1Let all three main signals appear on the screenbefore making a decision. You may process preliminaryand confirmative signals partially.
2
If you use the 1h time framethe time for the deal shall comprise 2-3 hours.3The strategy is not intendedfor applying during the sideways trend.4
STRATEGY SIGNALS
FIRST WAY:
THREE WAYSOF TREND DETERMINATION
buildthe Trend Lines
SECOND WAY:build the channel
(support and resistance) lines.
THIRD WAY:overlap EMA
with 9 or 21 period
1ST STAGE. DETERMINE THE TREND
1ST STAGE. DETERMINE THE TREND
INTERPRET INGIf the trend line (or EMA)is directed downwards,
the trend is bearish
An opportunityto open a bearish option
An opportunityto open a bull option
If the trend line (or EMA)is directed upwards, the trend is bullish
If the trend line (or EMA)is directed sideways,
there is no trend/sideways trend
It is not recommendedto apply the strategy
1ST STAGE. DETERMINE THE TREND
CHECKING THE DIRECTION OF THE TRENDConfirm the direction of price movement at several time frames.
Select the 15 min time frame, seek confirmation at 30 min and 1 h periods
If the stated time frames confirm the trend direction the signal shall be intensified.If there are some controversies between the trend direction at different time frames
this shall attenuate the signal.
Overlap MACD with the chartfor analyzing preliminary signals
2ND STAGE. PRELIMINARY EVALUATION OF THE SITUATION
Settings:12, 26 and 9
Now evaluate the divergence between the price chartand behavior of the MACD histogram:
If there are bearish/bull trend and simultaneous ascending/descending
of histogram primeschange of price direction should be expected
Other wait for other signals to appearand only then open the deal.
2ND STAGE. PRELIMINARY EVALUATION OF THE SITUATION
1 2 3THE FOLLOWING SHALL HAPPEN SIMULTANEOUSLY:
3ND STAGE. RECEIVING MAIN SIGNALS
MACD fastand slow lines
shall cross
Reversal signalfrom Parabolic SAR
(point over or under the chart)
The price chartshall be situated as close
to Parabolic SAR as possible.
Action: open the deal according to the trend direction.Deal amount: to be determined in advance.
1
ATTENTION!THE FOLLOWING MAY HAPPEN SIMULTANEOUSLY:
3ND STAGE. RECEIVING MAIN SIGNALS
Reversal signalfrom Parabolic SAR 2 Late response from MACD
(line crossing)
Action: open the deal according to the trend direction.Deal amount: restricted.
Please note that MACD and Parabolic signals shall not be controversial.
123
CHOOSING THE TIME OF MAKING THE DEAL
Evaluate the life cycle of the trend,its direction and strength.
Evaluate the time of opening the dealusing levels and candlestick patterns.
Choose the time of making the deal2-3 times higher than the time frame used.For instance, for 1h candlesticks open deals with 2-3 h term;if you chose a 15 min candlestick open a 30 min or 1 h option etc.
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3
NOTE!
Use high-volatility assets.
Trade from 09:00 AM MSKduring the European tradingand from 4:00 PM MSK during the American trading.
Avoid applying this strategyfrom 8:00 PM MSK to 8:00 AM MSKduring Pacific and Asian trading.
!
START TRADING