Low income housing in India
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Transcript of Low income housing in India
Deloitte Consulting LLP
July 2013
Privately built Low-income Housing in India:
Opportunity, challenges and potential interventions
- 2 -
Agenda
Huge demand for low-income housing in India
Low-income housing is an attractive business opportunity
Current low-income housing activity in India
Conducive policy required to scale the industry
- 3 -
Published the first
data-driven reports
analyzing BoP-centric
business models in
India and Africa
covering over 700
inclusive businesses
Multiple white papers on
different sectors and articles
in journals like Harvard
Business Review
Regular conference
addresses across U.S.,
Europe and Asia; significant
media coverage in India and
abroad
Mobilized a new low-income housing
market in India over 50,000 units sold
and mortgage financing provided to
previously unreached customers
Developing the market for safe
drinking water on a pay-per-use basis in
urban slums
Foundational work in potential new
areas for market-building
Rural sanitation
Impact sourcing / rural BPOs
Monitor Inclusive Markets Focus on Market-based
solutions to improve the lives of low income households
A recognized thought-leader in the
global field of MBS
Working on the ground to mobilize
markets
ActionResearch
Working across India and Africa in Agribusiness, Health, Drinking
Water, Education, Housing, Financial Services,
- 4 -
MIM has published a number of papers on topics
pertaining to the bottom of the pyramind
Emerging Markets,
Emerging Models
Is the Bottom of
the Pyramid
Really for You?
Stretching the
Fabric of
Microfinance
Micromortages: A
Macro Opportunity in
Low Income Housing
Finance
Promise and Progress
Market-Based
Solutions to Poverty
in Africa
Bridging the Gap: The
Business Case for
Financial Capability
From Blueprint to
Scale: The Role of
Philanthropy in
Impact Investing
Building Houses,
Financing Homes
Investing for Social
and Environmental
Impact
- 5 -
1 Monthly Household Income; 2 Affordability defined as households which have EMI / MHI Ratio of 40% of a Home loan which has a 20% down payment
on an Home value, EMI level of Rs 1,200 per Lac (at 12% interest for a 15 year loan); 3 Conservative estimates that 60% of total households in MHI of
Rs 520K (36Mn) are renting and looking to buy a house of their own.
Source: NHB Trends in Housing; CRIS Infac Report; Monitor Research
Price of unit2 > Rs 25 Lakh
Potential demand from ~2 M HHs with
estimated Market Size of ~Rs 500,000 Cr
Various mortgage finance options
available for segment
Building ~22million homes an over Rs. 1,000,000 Cr
opportunity
The low-income housing segment (MHI of Rs 7,500 25,000) is estimated at 22 Million
households with an estimated opportunity size of Rs. 1,100,000 Cr (USD 245 Billion) and is
largely underserved
Urban Income Pyramid Offering & Supply of Housing
Price of unit: Rs 1025 Lakh
Potential demand from ~5 M HHs with
estimated Market Size of ~Rs 900,000 Cr
Mortgage finance available broadly
1%
(0.7MM)
5%
(3.4MM)
22%
(15.0MM)
33%
(22.4MM)
4%
(2.7MM)
10,00020,000
>80,000
30,00040,000
Rs 12K in
the formal sector, limited availability
below MHI of Rs 12K for formal sector
and 20K for informal sector
Potential size of mortgage market
~ Rs 8,80,000 Cr
- 6 -
Customer Perspective: Social Need and Willingness to
Pay
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Laxman is a potential low-income
house buyer
(
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*
&+
,+
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trapped in poor and insecure
living conditions.
Many lower income households live in poor conditions and are dissatisfied with their housing
situation; but their searches for affordable housing have been unsuccessful
-
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ate
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3-D
A
Typical Low-Income Group
Living Conditions
Low-Income, High-Quality
Homes
Affordable Urban Housing
The Impact: High-quality, Affordable Homes
- 8 -
Agenda
Huge demand for low-income housing in India
Low-income housing is an attractive business opportunity
Current low-income housing activity in India
Conducive policy required to scale the industry
- 9 -
Sample 1 BHK Unit Layout
Low income housing requires innovation in design to maximize efficient use of space and
minimize cost
KITCHEN
10
5//!+1
6.!
,
7
MIM developed a new business model and got
companies to leverage it to build low-income homes
Buy Land
Incremental Construction
Sell Units
Wait for Land Value
Appreciation
Traditional Developer
gg
Buy Land
Sell All Units
Construct Completely
Low Income Housing Developer
8./.-
Helped launch new
companies
Helped launch new
companies
Santosh
Associates
Santosh
Associates
- 11 -
Vastushodh Projects Pvt. Ltd., Pune
Site Pictures
Anandgram
Yavat
Source: Company Website, News Prints
12
70% of low-income customers have informal income but
need access to loans to buy a house
High
Low
Lo
an
siz
eFormalSemi-formalInformal
Income type
Traditional Players
New opportunity
Kumar needs a loan to finance
his low-income home
but traditional players not
serving this segment
-& &
&59/
:;
9
,
59/259/
!%"
13
MIM developed a business model and got companies to
finance informal low-income customers
!
"#
$#
%&
,
14
Only 2 focused
private players
Entry of ~5 additional
private players
Entry of new entities and
established FIs
Source: Press reports, Company websites, Monitor Analysis
Year Pre-2008 2011-2012
Growing realization of untapped opportunity and validation of business model has led to
entry of a number of established FIs as well as new entities in the low income housing
finance market
Overview of the Sector
Current Growing Interest in Low-Income Housing
Finance
2008-2010
- 15 -
Agenda
Huge demand for low-income housing in India
Low-income housing is an attractive business opportunity
Current low-income housing activity in India
Conducive policy required to scale the industry
16
Contacts
2,288
Qualifying LIH
Projects*
96
Overview of State of the Market study
Contacts
Team physically scouted each potential LIH project in the city
Geographical area in a city included peripheral areas of the city
Potential areas identified through local HFC network, secondary
research and resident knowledge
Qualification Criteria
# of units: Total number of units in the project greater than 50
Launch date: project/phase must have been launched after June11
Price: affordable for a customer earning INR 25,000/month as of Jan
2012 i.e. not more than INR 10 lakh (ex-taxes & duties) as of Jan 2012
Only ~4%
Qualified for
Survey
Note: *We did not get complete information for 7 projects (4 from AHD, 3 from MUM). Only 89 have been used for in-depth analysis
In-depth
Survey
Cities
Quick
Survey
Cities
Qualification criteria used for LIH projects was the same as in the in-
depth survey
Contacts were obtained through HFC network, secondary research and
quick targeted trips to cities of Hyderabad, Bhubaneswar & Pune
8
14
Additional 36
LIH projects
from quick
survey
17
1116122652281111732945421
City-wise Breakdown of LIH Supply (June 11 Jan 13)
Source: Survey conducted by Hansa; Monitor Analysis
Total supply 30,668
West India
GUJ
Central India
MP
East India
WB, ORR
North India
DLI, UP, RAJ
South India
TN, AP
Nu
mb
er
of
pro
jects
West India
MAH
# o
f u
nit
s
285
6,726
Ch
en
nai
30
Hyd
era
bad
200
Co
imb
ato
re
998
Jaip
ur
309
Delh
i NC
R
66
Meeru
t
824
Lu
ckn
ow
1,752
Bh
ub
an
esh
war
760
Ko
lkata
634B
ho
pal
Ind
ore
4,474
Ch
an
dra
pu
r
96
Ratn
ag
iri
100
Am
ravati