Long Range weather forecast early Nov 2016
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METEOROLOGICAL RESEARCH GROUP INDIA HEADQUARTERS G 31 Quest Offices DLF Golf Course Road Gurgaon 122 002 India GLOBAL RESEARCH CENTER SIDBI Innovation Center Indian Institute of Technology Kanpur 208 016 India NORTH AMERICA 350 Fifth Avenue 59 th Floor, New York City NY 10118 USA Monsoon and Temperature Outlook Early Nov 2016
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Transcript of Long Range weather forecast early Nov 2016
METEOROLOGICAL RESEARCH GROUP
INDIA HEADQUARTERSG 31 Quest Off icesDLF Golf Course RoadGurgaon 122 002 India
GLOBAL RESEARCH CENTERSIDBI Innovat ion CenterIndian Inst itute of TechnologyKanpur 208 016 India
NORTH AMERICA350 Fif th Avenue59 t h Floor, New York CityNY 10118 USA
Monsoon and Temperature OutlookEarly Nov 2016
• The IRI/CPC ENSO outlook as on mid-October 2016 indicates that the tropical Pacific SST anomaly was slightly cooler than -0.5C, the weak La Niña threshold (average Nino-3.4 index less than or equal to -0.5 deg. C). Most ENSO prediction models indicate SSTs near or slightly cooler than the threshold of La Niña during fall, then weakening to cool-neutral during winter. There is more than 50% chance that ENSO will stay neutral during southwest monsoon 2017.
• No significant departures from long period average are expected in the distribution of monthly average precipitation and maximum & minimum temperatures over most parts of the country.
S Y N O P S I S C HA R T S
Mid-Oct IRI/CPC Model-based Probabilistic ENSO Forecast
S Y N O P S I S C HA R T S
S Y N O P S I S C HA R T S
Rainfall anomaly (mm/day) Nov2016 based on 20161106 cfsv2
S Y N O P S I S C HA R T S
Rainfall anomaly (mm/day) Dec2016 based on 20161106 cfsv2
S Y N O P S I S C HA R T S
Rainfall anomaly (mm/day) Jan2017 based on 20161106 cfsv2
Max. Temperature Nov2016 based on 20161106 cfsv2
S Y N O P S I S C HA R T S
S Y N O P S I S C HA R T S
Max. Temperature Dec2016 based on 20161106 cfsv2
S Y N O P S I S C HA R T S
Max. Temperature Jan2017 based on 20161106 cfsv2
S Y N O P S I S C HA R T S
Min. Temperature Nov2016 based on 20161106 cfsv2
S Y N O P S I S C HA R T S
Min. Temperature Dec2016 based on 20161106 cfsv2
S Y N O P S I S C HA R T S
Min. Temperature Jan2017 based on 20161106 cfsv2
METEOROLOGICAL RESEARCH GROUP
INDIA HEADQUARTERSG 31 Quest Off icesDLF Golf Course RoadGurgaon 122 002 India
GLOBAL RESEARCH CENTERSIDBI Innovat ion CenterIndian Inst itute of TechnologyKanpur 208 016 India
NORTH AMERICA350 Fif th Avenue59 t h Floor, New York CityNY 10118 USA
THANK YOU
Monsoon and Temperature OutlookEarly Nov 2016
