Logistic Regression Model
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Transcript of Logistic Regression Model
SAS Output
SummaryObjectiveTo score the customers based on their behaviour
InclusionsNo prior bureau information
TimeframeObservation window(s)Development PopulationValidation Population
Default DefinitionExclusions1234
SampleDefault rateKSCapture rate in 1st decileCapture rate in 2nd decileDevelopmentValidation
Model equationAssociation of Predicted Probabilities and Observed ResponsesAnalysis of Maximum Likelihood EstimatesPercent ConcordantSomers' DParameterEstimatePr>ChiSqDefinitionPercent DiscordantGammaPercent TiedTau-aInterceptPairscVar1Var2Var3Var4Var5Var6Var7Var8
1_MIS reportBusiness Segmentation1# AccountsMinimum10th Pctl25th Pctl50th Pctl75th Pctl90th Pctl95th Pctl99th PctlMaximumMeanSum
Total%Business Segment2EligibileDefault Definition1Default Definition2Default Definition3TotalBusiness Segment2EligibileDefault Definition1Default Definition2Default Definition3Total
TotalTotalERROR:#DIV/0!ERROR:#DIV/0!ERROR:#DIV/0!ERROR:#DIV/0!0Business Segmentation2EligibileDefault Definition1Default Definition2Default Definition3TotalBusiness Segmentation2EligibileDefault Definition1Default Definition2Default Definition3Total
Business Segmentation2EligibileDefault Definition1Default Definition2Default Definition3TotalBusiness Segmentation2EligibileDefault Definition1Default Definition2Default Definition3Total
Business Segmentation2EligibileDefault Definition1Default Definition2Default Definition3TotalBusiness Segmentation2EligibileDefault Definition1Default Definition2Default Definition3Total
Business Segmentation2EligibileDefault Definition1Default Definition2Default Definition3TotalBusiness Segmentation2EligibileDefault Definition1Default Definition2Default Definition3Total
Business Segmentation2EligibileDefault Definition1Default Definition2Default Definition3TotalBusiness Segmentation2EligibileDefault Definition1Default Definition2Default Definition3Total
2_MOM SummaryObservation DateEligibilityDefault%DefaultEiligible (Amount)Default (Amount)Default Amout %Disbursed amt of FC loans(Cr)FC % amt of disb
TotalFactorEligibilityDefault%DefaultEiligible (Amount)Default (Amount)Default Amout %Disbursed amt of FC loans(Cr)FC % amt of disb2096.8%8287.1%13972.9%Total2420.0%FactorEligibilityDefault%DefaultEiligible (Amount)Default (Amount)Default Amout %Disbursed amt of FC loans(Cr)FC % amt of disb= -999 and = 0 and = 1 and = 2 and = 3 and = 4 and = -999 and = 0 and = 1 and = 2 and = -999 and = 0 and = 1 and = 2 and = 3 and = -999 and = 0 and = 1 and = 2 and =0 and pl_amt_bfl_lv < = 0 then pl_amt_bfl_lv_WoE = -0.00953082;219pl_amt_bfl_lv1500047952736863661250.68%1.227516150.00390.01310.01340.0116 if pl_amt_bfl_lv >=15000 then pl_amt_bfl_lv_WoE = 1.22751615;39pl_cnt_bfl_lv0027663427027563592.30%-0.009530820.99610.98690.98660.0001 if pl_cnt_bfl_lv >=0 and pl_cnt_bfl_lv < = 0 then pl_cnt_bfl_lv_WoE = -0.00953082;419pl_cnt_bfl_lv1336863661250.68%1.227516150.00390.01310.01340.0116 if pl_cnt_bfl_lv >=1 < = 3 then pl_cnt_bfl_lv_WoE = 1.22751615;58pl_amt_bfl0025115024521859322.36%-0.037313460.92920.89590.89520.0013 if pl_amt_bfl >=0 and pl_amt_bfl < = 0 then pl_amt_bfl_WoE = -0.03731346;617pl_amt_bfl8000190501091108290.83%1.030242240.00140.00390.00390.0026 if pl_amt_bfl >0 and pl_amt_bfl < = 19052 then pl_amt_bfl_WoE = 1.03024224;718pl_amt_bfl190524600014064138901741.24%0.620769490.02730.05020.05070.0146 if pl_amt_bfl >19052 and pl_amt_bfl < = 46005 then pl_amt_bfl_WoE = 0.62076949;819pl_amt_bfl4600591446914015137462691.92%0.174692130.04210.050.05020.0014 if pl_amt_bfl >= then pl_amt_bfl_WoE = 0.17469213;98pl_cnt_bfl0025115024521859322.36%-0.037313460.92920.89590.89520.0013 if pl_cnt_bfl >=0 and pl_cnt_bfl < = 0 then pl_cnt_bfl_WoE = -0.03731346;1018pl_cnt_bfl1125631252323991.56%0.387807250.06250.09140.09210.0115 if pl_cnt_bfl >=1 and pl_cnt_bfl < = 1 then pl_cnt_bfl_WoE = 0.38780725;1119pl_cnt_bfl2735393486531.50%0.427118670.00830.01260.01270.0019 if pl_cnt_bfl >=27 then pl_cnt_bfl_WoE = 0.42711867;
13_Bucketing
1Var1% Attrition% TotalZero2.1%1%One2.6%27%More than One2.3%45%No Hit1.9%26%remove2Var2% Attrition%TotalZero2.2%58%At least one3.2%16%No Hit1.9%26%yes
14_CorrelationCORRELATION OF FINAL 17 NUMERIC VARIABLESVariables123456789101112131415161714.88%10.37%15.07%6.12%2.29%-1.67%-0.82%9.09%23.20%61.18%13.06%12.45%9.32%11.48%-9.46%4.06%24.88%29.39%86.71%96.61%28.92%-0.98%-4.71%46.22%33.15%30.57%11.32%46.68%22.08%28.55%0.71%17.96%310.37%29.39%44.12%30.15%29.47%-2.05%-19.59%53.42%46.35%32.38%11.30%18.73%21.85%24.66%9.87%37.73%415.07%86.71%44.12%88.13%29.98%-0.71%-11.76%56.42%74.09%44.42%14.59%42.72%24.44%30.41%-3.62%16.72%56.12%96.61%30.15%88.13%28.97%-1.07%-3.41%46.56%35.80%31.42%11.49%45.31%21.59%28.19%0.29%17.90%62.29%28.92%29.47%29.98%28.97%-2.57%-4.98%9.25%16.97%32.92%43.38%30.41%33.43%40.82%9.71%81.42%7-1.67%-0.98%-2.05%-0.71%-1.07%-2.57%5.99%-0.94%-0.03%-4.07%4.51%-0.98%-3.59%-4.37%-9.07%-5.39%8-0.82%-4.71%-19.59%-11.76%-3.41%-4.98%5.99%-7.46%-18.54%-3.05%42.72%-0.17%-0.02%0.92%-68.06%-26.00%99.09%46.22%53.42%56.42%46.56%9.25%-0.94%-7.46%46.04%30.34%5.36%23.43%20.30%23.57%-6.13%-0.32%1023.20%33.15%46.35%74.09%35.80%16.97%-0.03%-18.54%46.04%44.98%13.03%19.59%17.96%20.33%-8.01%7.90%1161.18%30.57%32.38%44.42%31.42%32.92%-4.07%-3.05%30.34%44.98%21.43%39.54%56.95%67.41%-5.07%24.28%1213.06%11.32%11.30%14.59%11.49%43.38%4.51%42.72%5.36%13.03%21.43%13.87%15.31%19.81%-64.14%6.51%1312.45%46.68%18.73%42.72%45.31%30.41%-0.98%-0.17%23.43%19.59%39.54%13.87%20.64%28.48%-2.46%16.23%149.32%22.08%21.85%24.44%21.59%33.43%-3.59%-0.02%20.30%17.96%56.95%15.31%20.64%79.80%-0.80%22.73%1511.48%28.55%24.66%30.41%28.19%40.82%-4.37%0.92%23.57%20.33%67.41%19.81%28.48%79.80%-1.34%28.26%16-9.46%0.71%9.87%-3.62%0.29%9.71%-9.07%-68.06%-6.13%-8.01%-5.07%-64.14%-2.46%-0.80%-1.34%43.25%174.06%17.96%37.73%16.72%17.90%81.42%-5.39%-26.00%-0.32%7.90%24.28%6.51%16.23%22.73%28.26%43.25%
CORRELATION FINAL 18 WOE VARIABLES12345678910111213141516171815.94%25.94%-15.24%6.59%2.22%-1.18%-1.51%3.25%-13.59%46.67%0.34%56.80%-7.50%2.90%4.51%2.00%-9.86%25.94%11.19%56.17%67.14%16.27%-0.74%2.75%4.10%47.29%10.37%0.79%12.92%5.67%46.78%15.79%22.81%2.10%325.94%11.19%-8.14%11.38%1.03%-1.45%-17.84%3.69%-5.08%54.45%2.95%24.21%4.40%6.77%10.93%12.55%-9.09%4-15.24%56.17%-8.14%79.54%9.51%0.10%34.48%7.33%90.64%-31.46%1.09%11.67%8.90%44.03%44.60%41.69%7.54%56.59%67.14%11.38%79.54%12.49%-1.77%32.86%6.40%68.66%4.21%1.57%26.25%0.85%47.27%51.40%44.90%-4.51%62.22%16.27%1.03%9.51%12.49%1.96%2.19%0.88%7.56%2.34%0.72%2.92%-1.60%8.25%2.74%2.87%-0.77%7-1.18%-0.74%-1.45%0.10%-1.77%1.96%6.72%-0.20%-0.09%-3.88%5.36%-2.71%10.35%-0.81%-3.89%-4.58%13.90%8-1.51%2.75%-17.84%34.48%32.86%2.19%6.72%1.85%31.84%-20.25%1.69%7.84%25.30%16.10%29.07%19.97%49.82%93.25%4.10%3.69%7.33%6.40%0.88%-0.20%1.85%8.81%3.24%8.86%3.71%-3.86%0.84%12.19%13.26%-3.53%10-13.59%47.29%-5.08%90.64%68.66%7.56%-0.09%31.84%8.81%-28.45%1.72%11.54%7.38%38.31%43.05%41.67%7.36%1146.67%10.37%54.45%-31.46%4.21%2.34%-3.88%-20.25%3.24%-28.45%0.53%36.05%-12.85%1.77%3.01%4.47%-21.38%120.34%0.79%2.95%1.09%1.57%0.72%5.36%1.69%8.86%1.72%0.53%2.53%3.71%0.91%9.67%11.05%0.78%1356.80%12.92%24.21%11.67%26.25%2.92%-2.71%7.84%3.71%11.54%36.05%2.53%-1.88%18.25%31.05%28.36%-7.87%14-7.50%5.67%4.40%8.90%0.85%-1.60%10.35%25.30%-3.86%7.38%-12.85%3.71%-1.88%11.72%2.47%6.08%63.81%152.90%46.78%6.77%44.03%47.27%8.25%-0.81%16.10%0.84%38.31%1.77%0.91%18.25%11.72%31.00%37.90%5.96%164.51%15.79%10.93%44.60%51.40%2.74%-3.89%29.07%12.19%43.05%3.01%9.67%31.05%2.47%31.00%74.24%-5.13%172.00%22.81%12.55%41.69%44.90%2.87%-4.58%19.97%13.26%41.67%4.47%11.05%28.36%6.08%37.90%74.24%-3.51%18-9.86%2.10%-9.09%7.54%-4.51%-0.77%13.90%49.82%-3.53%7.36%-21.38%0.78%-7.87%63.81%5.96%-5.13%-3.51%
15_Cross TabTOTALVar2Var2Var1Var1ABTotalAChiSq303.34168FSquaresSquareModel19561.2237829.538091458.33|t|VarianceEstimateErrorInflationIntercept10.056890.00033968167.47