Lincolnshire Research Observatory Measuring Lincolnshire’s Population Measuring Lincolnshire’s...

Lincolnshire Research Observatory www.research-lincs.org.uk

Measuring Lincolnshire’s Population

Measuring Lincolnshire’s Population –

An introduction to population statistics and sources of population information

Adam Peacock

Principal Development Officer - Research



This presentation will:• Help you to understand the importance of

population counts and their limitations

• Alert you to the available sources of data and information on population and population change

• Signpost you to where these resources are held on the LRO website



• 7 billion people worldwide

• UK population set to reach 70m by 2027

• Net UK migration at a record high for 2010

• Lincolnshire’s population estimated to be over 700,000 in 2010

Population in the News



• Service delivery

• Service planning

• Drawing down or attracting government funding

• Importance of per head calculations

Why measure population and population change?



Population Counts

• Census

• Population estimates

• GP register



Know Your Service User

Do you need to consider:

- the daytime population?

- the overnight population?

- your potential service user population?



Challenges to Accurately Measuring Population

• Census – can miss hard to reach groups

• Population estimates – builds on “errors” from Census (ONS do have a continuous improvement programme)

• GP register – cross border registering – not everybody registers



Tracking Changes in Population

• Changes in society – in particular levels of mobility

• Work / Commuting

• Education



Sources of Information on Population

• Census• Office for National Statistics (ONS)• NHS• UK Border Agency• Dept for Work & Pensions (DWP)• Annual Population Survey• Seasonal Agricultural Workers Scheme (SAWS)• International Passenger Survey (IPS)• Socio-demographic classification tools• Higher Education Statistics Agency (HESA)• Schools Census• Electoral Roll



What from WhereTheme Information Source

Age - Census- Population estimates- GP register

- ONS- ONS- NHS

Births & Deaths - ONS

Migration - Census

- GP register Flag 4’s

- Population estimates components of change- International Passenger Survey- National Insurance registrations- Worker Registration Scheme

- ONS- NHS- ONS- ONS- DWP- UK Border Agency

Country of Origin - Census- GP register- National Insurance Registrations

- ONS- NHS- DWP

Ethnicity - Census- Population ethnicity estimates

- ONS- ONS



Beyond 2011 Census Consultation



Any Questions?

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