Lex Sokolin September 2019 - LendIt Conference Blog · Evolution of frontier / long tail $100,000+...
Transcript of Lex Sokolin September 2019 - LendIt Conference Blog · Evolution of frontier / long tail $100,000+...
Lex Sokolin
September 2019
I. About
II. The Frontiers of Payments
III. The rise of Augmented
Commerce
2
Mixed Reality
Payments Commerce
3
2009-2016; Roboadvisor 2016-2019; Crypto & AI Invest 2019+
The Frontiers of
Payments
5
Party getting the payment
Consumer Business Government
Pa
rty s
en
din
g th
e p
aym
en
t Consumer
Business
Government
C2C C2B C2G
B2C B2B B2G
G2C G2B G2G
6
Party getting the payment
Domestic
Consumer
Domestic
Business
International
Consumer
International
Business
Pa
rty s
en
din
g th
e p
aym
en
t
Domestic
Consumer
Domestic
Business
Geographic frontier
7
Cash Cards + Banking Adoption of Banking
(% population with account)
51%
69%
35%
80%
89%94%
44%
67%
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2011 2014 2017
Word
India
High Income Economies
Developing Economies
8
Retail Transactions
($B in Payment Method)
Retail Transactions Value, ex. e-
Commerce (Payment Method) UK China
54% 54%48%
43% 41%
34% 33%38%
43% 43%
12% 13% 14% 15% 15%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Cash Debit Cards Credit Cards
64%
48%42%
36%
52%58%
2010 2015 2020E
Cash Card
9
E-Commerce as % of Retail Sales 10 Year Marketcap Performance
Amazon, +2,715%
Sears, -98%
1.0%
10.0%
100.0%
1000.0%
10000.0%
10
90120 125 120 130
15
60
160
250
350
105
180
285
370
480
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Desktop Mobile
Global Digital Commerce
(volume by Mobile App vs Browser)
China B2C e-Commerce Gross
Merchandise Value ($B)
69%62%
70%
84%91%
31%38%
30%
16%9%
3.1T 1.6T 0.7T 0.6T 0.1T
Global Asia-Pacific
NorthAmerica
Europe,MiddleEast,Africa
LatinAmerica
Desktop and Mobile Browser Mobile App
% in Mobile
14% 33% 56% 68% 73%
11
195
465520
575625 655
38
50
58
6268
72
297
205
252
293
337
388
530
720
830
930
1,030
1,115
2016 2017 2018 2019E 2020E 2021E
China US Other
Mobile Proximity Payments:
Estimated Users Globally (million)
12
BBVA open banking, built on $117 million Simple
acquisition
13
Asian Big Tech
Evolution of frontier / long tail
$100,000+
$10,000
$1,000
$100
Domestic
cash
Domestic
electronic
Cross-
Border
Developed
Cross-
Border
Developing
Web-first Mobile-first Internet of
Things / AI
Mixed
Reality
Crypto
Currency
Correspondent
banking & Wires
Consumer
Fintech &
Enabling Tech
Card Networks,
Banks, ACH,
Government
rails E-C
om
me
rce
&
Wa
lle
ts
Remittance
Tra
ns
ac
tio
n V
alu
e
What is
Augmented
Commerce?
14
15
Physical
Digital
Digital Becomes Physical
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Attention
Community
Self-Identity
Social Hierarchy
Social Value
Purchasing Status
17
1 million users
3 million downloads
$45 million valuation
18
390
505
598
632645
190
35
2014 YE 2015 YE 2016 YE 2017 YE 2018 YE USEstimate
VR/ARHeadsets
Non-ARKit ready iPhones* ARKit ready iPhones**
Augmented Reality (ARKit) ready iPhone
Installed Base Globally (millions) & VR/AR Headsets
19
Payment
system
Ikea AR App
20
21
22
Physical
Digital
Digital Becomes Physical
Physical Becomes Digital
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Physical
Bike
Digital
Twin
Social
Activity
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Dynamic Price, Customer &
Merchandise Tracking
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Payments
Hook
Payments
Hook
27
Walmart Patents for VR-Based Shopping
28
Identity for
Digital System
& Payments
Mechanism
Machine
Vision to
Digitize your
Activity
29