Lex Sokolin September 2019 - LendIt Conference Blog · Evolution of frontier / long tail $100,000+...

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Lex Sokolin September 2019

Transcript of Lex Sokolin September 2019 - LendIt Conference Blog · Evolution of frontier / long tail $100,000+...

Page 1: Lex Sokolin September 2019 - LendIt Conference Blog · Evolution of frontier / long tail $100,000+ $10,000 $1,000 $100 Fintech & Domestic cash Domestic electronic Cross-Border Developed

Lex Sokolin

September 2019

Page 2: Lex Sokolin September 2019 - LendIt Conference Blog · Evolution of frontier / long tail $100,000+ $10,000 $1,000 $100 Fintech & Domestic cash Domestic electronic Cross-Border Developed

I. About

II. The Frontiers of Payments

III. The rise of Augmented

Commerce

2

Mixed Reality

Payments Commerce

Page 3: Lex Sokolin September 2019 - LendIt Conference Blog · Evolution of frontier / long tail $100,000+ $10,000 $1,000 $100 Fintech & Domestic cash Domestic electronic Cross-Border Developed

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2009-2016; Roboadvisor 2016-2019; Crypto & AI Invest 2019+

Page 4: Lex Sokolin September 2019 - LendIt Conference Blog · Evolution of frontier / long tail $100,000+ $10,000 $1,000 $100 Fintech & Domestic cash Domestic electronic Cross-Border Developed

The Frontiers of

Payments

Page 5: Lex Sokolin September 2019 - LendIt Conference Blog · Evolution of frontier / long tail $100,000+ $10,000 $1,000 $100 Fintech & Domestic cash Domestic electronic Cross-Border Developed

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Party getting the payment

Consumer Business Government

Pa

rty s

en

din

g th

e p

aym

en

t Consumer

Business

Government

C2C C2B C2G

B2C B2B B2G

G2C G2B G2G

Page 6: Lex Sokolin September 2019 - LendIt Conference Blog · Evolution of frontier / long tail $100,000+ $10,000 $1,000 $100 Fintech & Domestic cash Domestic electronic Cross-Border Developed

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Party getting the payment

Domestic

Consumer

Domestic

Business

International

Consumer

International

Business

Pa

rty s

en

din

g th

e p

aym

en

t

Domestic

Consumer

Domestic

Business

Geographic frontier

Page 7: Lex Sokolin September 2019 - LendIt Conference Blog · Evolution of frontier / long tail $100,000+ $10,000 $1,000 $100 Fintech & Domestic cash Domestic electronic Cross-Border Developed

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Cash Cards + Banking Adoption of Banking

(% population with account)

51%

69%

35%

80%

89%94%

44%

67%

0%

25%

50%

75%

100%

2011 2014 2017

Word

India

High Income Economies

Developing Economies

Page 8: Lex Sokolin September 2019 - LendIt Conference Blog · Evolution of frontier / long tail $100,000+ $10,000 $1,000 $100 Fintech & Domestic cash Domestic electronic Cross-Border Developed

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Retail Transactions

($B in Payment Method)

Retail Transactions Value, ex. e-

Commerce (Payment Method) UK China

54% 54%48%

43% 41%

34% 33%38%

43% 43%

12% 13% 14% 15% 15%

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Cash Debit Cards Credit Cards

64%

48%42%

36%

52%58%

2010 2015 2020E

Cash Card

Page 9: Lex Sokolin September 2019 - LendIt Conference Blog · Evolution of frontier / long tail $100,000+ $10,000 $1,000 $100 Fintech & Domestic cash Domestic electronic Cross-Border Developed

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E-Commerce as % of Retail Sales 10 Year Marketcap Performance

Amazon, +2,715%

Sears, -98%

1.0%

10.0%

100.0%

1000.0%

10000.0%

Page 10: Lex Sokolin September 2019 - LendIt Conference Blog · Evolution of frontier / long tail $100,000+ $10,000 $1,000 $100 Fintech & Domestic cash Domestic electronic Cross-Border Developed

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90120 125 120 130

15

60

160

250

350

105

180

285

370

480

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Desktop Mobile

Global Digital Commerce

(volume by Mobile App vs Browser)

China B2C e-Commerce Gross

Merchandise Value ($B)

69%62%

70%

84%91%

31%38%

30%

16%9%

3.1T 1.6T 0.7T 0.6T 0.1T

Global Asia-Pacific

NorthAmerica

Europe,MiddleEast,Africa

LatinAmerica

Desktop and Mobile Browser Mobile App

% in Mobile

14% 33% 56% 68% 73%

Page 11: Lex Sokolin September 2019 - LendIt Conference Blog · Evolution of frontier / long tail $100,000+ $10,000 $1,000 $100 Fintech & Domestic cash Domestic electronic Cross-Border Developed

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195

465520

575625 655

38

50

58

6268

72

297

205

252

293

337

388

530

720

830

930

1,030

1,115

2016 2017 2018 2019E 2020E 2021E

China US Other

Mobile Proximity Payments:

Estimated Users Globally (million)

Page 12: Lex Sokolin September 2019 - LendIt Conference Blog · Evolution of frontier / long tail $100,000+ $10,000 $1,000 $100 Fintech & Domestic cash Domestic electronic Cross-Border Developed

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BBVA open banking, built on $117 million Simple

acquisition

Page 13: Lex Sokolin September 2019 - LendIt Conference Blog · Evolution of frontier / long tail $100,000+ $10,000 $1,000 $100 Fintech & Domestic cash Domestic electronic Cross-Border Developed

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Asian Big Tech

Evolution of frontier / long tail

$100,000+

$10,000

$1,000

$100

Domestic

cash

Domestic

electronic

Cross-

Border

Developed

Cross-

Border

Developing

Web-first Mobile-first Internet of

Things / AI

Mixed

Reality

Crypto

Currency

Correspondent

banking & Wires

Consumer

Fintech &

Enabling Tech

Card Networks,

Banks, ACH,

Government

rails E-C

om

me

rce

&

Wa

lle

ts

Remittance

Tra

ns

ac

tio

n V

alu

e

Page 14: Lex Sokolin September 2019 - LendIt Conference Blog · Evolution of frontier / long tail $100,000+ $10,000 $1,000 $100 Fintech & Domestic cash Domestic electronic Cross-Border Developed

What is

Augmented

Commerce?

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Page 15: Lex Sokolin September 2019 - LendIt Conference Blog · Evolution of frontier / long tail $100,000+ $10,000 $1,000 $100 Fintech & Domestic cash Domestic electronic Cross-Border Developed

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Physical

Digital

Digital Becomes Physical

Page 16: Lex Sokolin September 2019 - LendIt Conference Blog · Evolution of frontier / long tail $100,000+ $10,000 $1,000 $100 Fintech & Domestic cash Domestic electronic Cross-Border Developed

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Attention

Community

Self-Identity

Social Hierarchy

Social Value

Purchasing Status

Page 17: Lex Sokolin September 2019 - LendIt Conference Blog · Evolution of frontier / long tail $100,000+ $10,000 $1,000 $100 Fintech & Domestic cash Domestic electronic Cross-Border Developed

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1 million users

3 million downloads

$45 million valuation

Page 18: Lex Sokolin September 2019 - LendIt Conference Blog · Evolution of frontier / long tail $100,000+ $10,000 $1,000 $100 Fintech & Domestic cash Domestic electronic Cross-Border Developed

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390

505

598

632645

190

35

2014 YE 2015 YE 2016 YE 2017 YE 2018 YE USEstimate

VR/ARHeadsets

Non-ARKit ready iPhones* ARKit ready iPhones**

Augmented Reality (ARKit) ready iPhone

Installed Base Globally (millions) & VR/AR Headsets

Page 19: Lex Sokolin September 2019 - LendIt Conference Blog · Evolution of frontier / long tail $100,000+ $10,000 $1,000 $100 Fintech & Domestic cash Domestic electronic Cross-Border Developed

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Payment

system

Ikea AR App

Page 20: Lex Sokolin September 2019 - LendIt Conference Blog · Evolution of frontier / long tail $100,000+ $10,000 $1,000 $100 Fintech & Domestic cash Domestic electronic Cross-Border Developed

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Page 21: Lex Sokolin September 2019 - LendIt Conference Blog · Evolution of frontier / long tail $100,000+ $10,000 $1,000 $100 Fintech & Domestic cash Domestic electronic Cross-Border Developed

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Page 22: Lex Sokolin September 2019 - LendIt Conference Blog · Evolution of frontier / long tail $100,000+ $10,000 $1,000 $100 Fintech & Domestic cash Domestic electronic Cross-Border Developed

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Physical

Digital

Digital Becomes Physical

Physical Becomes Digital

Page 23: Lex Sokolin September 2019 - LendIt Conference Blog · Evolution of frontier / long tail $100,000+ $10,000 $1,000 $100 Fintech & Domestic cash Domestic electronic Cross-Border Developed

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Physical

Bike

Digital

Twin

Social

Activity

Page 24: Lex Sokolin September 2019 - LendIt Conference Blog · Evolution of frontier / long tail $100,000+ $10,000 $1,000 $100 Fintech & Domestic cash Domestic electronic Cross-Border Developed

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Dynamic Price, Customer &

Merchandise Tracking

Page 25: Lex Sokolin September 2019 - LendIt Conference Blog · Evolution of frontier / long tail $100,000+ $10,000 $1,000 $100 Fintech & Domestic cash Domestic electronic Cross-Border Developed

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Page 26: Lex Sokolin September 2019 - LendIt Conference Blog · Evolution of frontier / long tail $100,000+ $10,000 $1,000 $100 Fintech & Domestic cash Domestic electronic Cross-Border Developed

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Payments

Hook

Payments

Hook

Page 27: Lex Sokolin September 2019 - LendIt Conference Blog · Evolution of frontier / long tail $100,000+ $10,000 $1,000 $100 Fintech & Domestic cash Domestic electronic Cross-Border Developed

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Walmart Patents for VR-Based Shopping

Page 28: Lex Sokolin September 2019 - LendIt Conference Blog · Evolution of frontier / long tail $100,000+ $10,000 $1,000 $100 Fintech & Domestic cash Domestic electronic Cross-Border Developed

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Identity for

Digital System

& Payments

Mechanism

Machine

Vision to

Digitize your

Activity

Page 29: Lex Sokolin September 2019 - LendIt Conference Blog · Evolution of frontier / long tail $100,000+ $10,000 $1,000 $100 Fintech & Domestic cash Domestic electronic Cross-Border Developed

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Page 30: Lex Sokolin September 2019 - LendIt Conference Blog · Evolution of frontier / long tail $100,000+ $10,000 $1,000 $100 Fintech & Domestic cash Domestic electronic Cross-Border Developed