Leveraging National Marketing Information

Systems and the Regional Food Balance Sheet. Presentation by:

Janet Kalulu NgombaluMarketing information systems and Communications Manager - EAGC.

Presentation outline.• Introduction • About EAGC.• EAGC MIS work.• Regional Food Balance Sheet (RFBS)• Rationale• Role of MIS in Regional Food Balance

Sheet• Participation of National MIS’s in RFBS• Conclusion.

Introduction • Agribusiness marketing is currently

estimated at US $ 150 Million with projected growth.

• International agribusiness is positioning the Africa to feed the future.

• According to CAADP, investments in market access requires an initial investment of US $62 billion over some 10 to 15 years while operation and maintenance of these assets will require an additional US $37 billion.

Regional Markets• Africa is on the right path of intra-regional trade,

but lags behind other global regions. • •Exports from Africa increased significantly in the

last 8 years. • •Intra-regional trade within emerging Asia

increased 8 fold. • •Africa remains low and accounts for less than

10% of world total trade.• •IRT grown by 49 per cent in the last five years

(EAC)• •Increased investments in foreign direct

investment (FDI) almost tripled from $ 692 million (Sh913.4 billion) in 2002 to $ 1.7billion (Sh2.2 trillion) in 2007.

• •The trade is both informal and formal trade.

A REGION FREED FROM INDIGNITY OF HUNGER AND FOOD INSECURITY-

Overall GoalAlternative dispute resolution

mechanisms

Institutional framework for

regional grain trade promotion

Dialogue between public and

private stakeholders

A system for providing

timely , reliable and accurate

information

Stabilized Regional grain

market prices

Enhanced Market access by

small-scale grain producers

Well- functioning regional

grain supply chain

Alternative dispute resolution

mechanisms

Institutional framework for

regional grain trade promotion

Dialogue between public and

private stakeholders

A system for providing

timely , reliable and accurate

information

Stabilized Regional grain

market prices

Enhanced Market access by

small-scale grain producers

Well- functioning regional

grain supply chain

Structured Trading systemMarket Information SystemGrain Value chain stakeholders capacity buildingGrain trade and policy environment

REDUCING TRANSACTIONS

COSTS

REDUCING TRANSACTIONS

COSTS

EAGC Market Information

___________________________REGIONAL GRAIN TRADE MARKET INTELLINCE (RATIN)____

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

RATIN Database

Data Collection tools

DATA INPUT/COLLECTION

Border points Internal Markets

Border/Market Monitors

Partners Databases WFP/FEWSNET/MAS/ACE/ZAMACE/ESOKO/MOA

Data Analysis Tools

DATA COLLATION

MARKET INTELLIGENCE PRODUCTS

PRODUCTS Weekly Commentaries Trade Flows Price Analysis (Graphical) Trade Trends and Forecasts Production Data Regional Food Balance Sheets. Interactive systems Important web links Sector Update

RATIN Users

USERS EAGC Members ( Producers,

Traders, Processors, Financial Institutions)

National Government Regional /Bilateral Organizations NGOs/Development Partners International Agencies

RATIN SYSTEM FLOW

FEEDBACK

FEEDBACK

The Regional Food Balance Sheet (RFBS)• It is a reflection of the food security picture

at a given time indicating availability, through production estimates and trade

• It has mostly been prepared by governments through respective Ministries of Agriculture, private sector, millers, traders and farmers

• EAGC is spearheading efforts for the regional balance sheet with EAC and partners

Rationale for RFBS Initiative anchored in the EAC Regional Food

Security Action PlanGreat potential for food surplus and trade in the

region This evidence/information is presently not

readily available hence ad-hoc policy decisions to protect national interests

Information on regionally available food stock to inform food security policy

Regional staple foods trade development – better prices, movement of foods from surplus to deficit region

Investments in agriculture as a result of predictable policies.

Regional Production vs Consumption and Tradeable Surplus for Select staple food products

(5,000,000)

-

5,000,000

10,000,000

15,000,000

20,000,000

25,000,000

Maize Wheat Rice Beans Millet Sorghum

MT

Total Production per year plus CarryOver Stock (MT)

Regional Consumption (MT)

Tradeable Surplus

The EAC Regional Food Balance Sheet - Template

Annex 1: ESTIMATED AVAILABILITY FOOD BALANCE SHEET – TEMPLATE

Country: Uganda Month ending 30TH August 2011

Maize Wheat Rice Beans Millet Sorghu

m

A. Domestic Supply

(1) Carry Over Stocks - as at 31st July (MT)

(2) Imports (projections for 2011)

•          From Regional sources (EAC&COMESA/SADC)

•          From Extra Regional sources

Total Imports

(3) Production (projections for 2011)

•          Long rains

•          Short Rains

Total Production per year

(4) Post harvest loss

(5) National Availability (MT) =

(1+2+3) – (4)

The EAC Regional Food Balance Sheet – Template (Cont’d)

Maize Wheat Rice Beans Millet Sorghu

m

B. Domestic Utilisation

(6) Exports (projected exports for August 2011

• Exports to EAC/COMESA/SADC

• Extra regional exports

Total Exports

(7) Seed (Projected allocation for seed)

(8) Feed (Projected allocation for feed)

(9) National Consumption (MT)

(10) Available stock by end August 2011 (MT) = 5 – (6 + 7+8+9)

Maize Wheat Rice Beans Millet Sorghum

(1) Carry Over Stocks – as at 31st March 2009 (MT) 854,085 5,077 41,709 93,060 10,154 84,238

- - - - - -

From Regional sources (EAC&COMESA) 408,300 15,000 8,000 12,000 4,703 16,500

From Extra Regional sources 129,060 859,996 257,532 14,190 36 4

Total Imports 604,677 880,088 279,055 38,390 4,757 29,783

(3) Production (projections for 2010)

Long rains 5,830,162 468,648 918,683 1,593,205 1,010,524 1,116,378

Short Rains 2,261,414 89,879 295,415 857,946 93,147 518,915

Total Production per year 8,091,576 558,527 1,214,098 2,451,151 1,103,671 1,635,293

(4) Post harvest loss 573,727 36,306 40,931 122,736 22,385 103,701

(5) Regional Availability (MT) = (1+2+3)-4 8,976,611 1,407,386 1,493,931 2,459,865 1,096,197 1,566,060

(6) Exports (projected exports for 2010 - - - - - -

• Exports to EAC/COMESA 126,828 5,378 25,382 37,364 - 14,524

• Extra regional exports - 2,000 4,000 61 - -

Total Exports 126,828 5,378 25,382 37,425 - 14,524

(7) Regional Consumption (MT) 7,980,077 1,344,055 1,355,102 2,010,240 962,486 1,460,509

(8) Available stock by end of As at 1st April 2010 (MT) = 5 – (6 + 7) 870,244 67,442 113,447 591,606 133,711 91,027

Table 1: Illustrative EAC Regional Food Balance Sheet As at 1st April 2010

Source: National Food Balance Sheet survey reports

National Institutional Framework – Roles and responsibilities

• Public: Ministries of Agriculture, Ministries of Trade, Ministries of Emergency programs, Central Bureau of Statistics organizations, National Food Reserve Agencies, Revenue Authorities, Central Banks, Ministries of Finance & Planning.

• Private: Farmer organizations, Traders Organizations, Millers Organizations, Warehouse operators, commodity exchanges, civil society, seed companies, animal feed organizations, development partners, FAO, FEWSNET, WFP and National MIS service providers.

National MIS initiatives and RFBS• Main driver of RFBS• Quality, Valid, Relevant and Timely data• Market Intelligence projections and analysis

reports • Warehouse stock tracking• Prediction of surplus and deficit areas.• Provide Market linkage and access.• Daily, weekly or regular monitoring of

information.• Harmonised regional data collection

methodology.• Export/import monitoring• Packaging and Dissemination to relevant users.• Coordination of National Committees.• Monthly updating of the balance sheets

ENDThanks

For More Information

Janet Kalulu Ngombalu

jngombalu@eagc.comwww.eagc.orgwww.ratin.net

Harriet NabiryeEAGC Country Manager,

UgandaEmail:

hnabirye@eagc.org+254 772 457417