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Lessons Learned from MI’s...
Transcript of Lessons Learned from MI’s...
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Lessons Learned from
MI’s WindfarmsMMEA Fall Conference
October 5, 2017
Sarah Mills, PhD
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Why this research?• Investigate Gratiot & Huron County claims of
farmland preservation
• Understand why such different experiences
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2014 Farmland Survey
• All owners of land assessed ag
• 14 townships– 9 with windfarms– 5 without
• 1,210 responses (72% response rate)
• Funded by Dow Fellowship
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2016 Community Survey
• Owners of land assessed ag or residential
• 10 townships with windfarms
• 2,013 responses (53% response rate)
• Funded by C.S. Mott Foundation
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Data about the negative impacts
• Views on noise, visual impact, property values roughly 50/50Financial stake = rosier view
OR no financial stake = more soured view
BUT STILL SPLIT OPINIONS
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Noise
40 47 38
1218
10
29 22 3119
1221
All Paid Unpaid
Turbines create noise pollutionStronglyagreeAgree
StronglydisagreeDisagree
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Data about the negative impacts
• Views on noise, visual impact, property values roughly 50/50Financial stake = rosier view
OR no financial stake = more soured view
BUT STILL SPLIT OPINIONS
• Most don’t (72%) see health impacts, but some do
• Majority (70%) don’t think it’s divided the communityo Even in some pretty contentious projects
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Data about the positive impacts
• Most (78%) see job creation with caveat about types of jobs
• Majority (60%+) haven’t seen changes to roads, townships services, county services, or local schoolso Despite pretty substantial paymentso Likely because of how money being used: plug holes, do more of
same
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Tax Benefits
2 2 24 3 4
7762
82
1526
113 7 2
All Paid Unpaid
Turbines’ effect on county servicesGreatlyimprovedSomewhatimprovedNeither
SomewhatworsenedGreatlyworsened
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$2.749 Million to county gov’t in
Huron County in 2015
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Data about the positive impacts
• Most (78%) see job creation with caveat about types of jobs
• Majority (60%+) haven’t seen changes to roads, townships services, county services, or local schoolso Despite pretty substantial paymentso Likely because of how money being used: plug holes, do more of
same
• Landowner payments linked to substantial increase in on-farm investment (2x neighbors, control) and increase in succession planning
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Farm Investment
0 100000 200000 300000 400000 500000
Turbines
Neighbors in pool
Unpaid neighbors
Non‐windfarm
Investments over 5 years: 2009‐2013
Home Outbuildings Drainage/Irrigation Equipment
$ 193k
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$ 187k
$ 180k
$ 449k
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Farm Succession
80
62
64
57
Turbines
Neighbors in pool
Unpaid neighbors
Non‐windfarm
% that have farm succession plan
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Overall drivers of attitudes
• Direct compensation
• Type of land owned o secondary vs. primary residence o farmland / rental property only
• Being within earshot of turbines
• Attitudes about process, wind developer
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What Happened with Huron Wind?
• Previous experiences (some good, some bad) o Many different wind developers in Huron Countyo Tax table changes a huge concern
• Turbine fatigue: “we’ve done our part”
• County voting = lots of heterogeneityo Not all farmers/farming familieso Yeas: 26% - 54%o Turnout: 9% - 61%
• Those who cared, voted 14
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What’s the Lesson?• Windfarms = economic development proposition
o Compatible with ago Not with residential growth, tourism
• Indirect economic benefits not felt by average landowner
• Business models that directly pay more landowners keep the peace
• Wind developers, local officials need to act transparently
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The CLOSUP Wind ProjectSarah Mills, Project Manager
Phone: (734) 615‐5315Email: [email protected]
Web: www.closup.umich.edu/wind
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May 2 Referendum vs. Survey
63 55
27 26
10 10
24 23
19 2137 45
20 21
Vote (total) Vote (5twps) Survey (5twps) Survey all
Willingness to host additional turbines in your township
Stronglysupport
Somewhatsupport
Neither
Somewhatoppose
Stronglyoppose
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• 5 twps.o Binghamo Bloomfieldo McKinleyo Sheridano Sigel
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May 2 Referendum vs. Survey
63 55 57 55
37 45 43 45
Vote (total) Vote (5twps) Survey (5twps) Survey all
Willingness to host additional turbines in your township
Stronglysupport
Stronglyoppose
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• 5 twps.o Binghamo Bloomfieldo McKinleyo Sheridano Sigel
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Huron County Vote Break‐downs
63 60 68
37 40 32
Vote (total) WITH wind WITHOUT wind
Yes
No
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28% turnout 36% turnout
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Individual‐level Impacts
40 47 38
1218
10
29 22 31
1912
21
All Paid Unpaid
Turbines create noise pollution
StronglyagreeAgree
StronglydisagreeDisagree
• Noise• Visual• Health• Property value• Farm income• Farm succession
20
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Individual‐level Impacts
39 46 37
1222
10
25 19 27
2414
27
All Paid Unpaid
Turbines create visual/aesthetic problems
StronglyagreeAgree
StronglydisagreeDisagree
• Noise• Visual• Health• Property value• Farm income• Farm succession
21
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Individual‐level Impacts
49 47 50
23 37 19
18 9 219
810
All Paid Unpaid
Turbines cause human health problems
StronglyagreeAgree
StronglydisagreeDisagree
• Noise• Visual• Health• Property value• Farm income• Farm succession
22
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Individual‐level Impacts
36 46 32
1019
7
30 21 33
2414
27
All Paid Unpaid
Turbines decrease nearby property values
StronglyagreeAgree
StronglydisagreeDisagree
• Noise• Visual• Health• Property value• Farm income• Farm succession
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Individual‐level Impacts
0 100000 200000 300000 400000 500000
Turbines
Neighbors in pool
Unpaid neighbors
Non‐windfarm
Investments over 5 years: 2009‐2013
Home Outbuildings Drainage/Irrigation Equipment
$ 193k
24
$ 187k
$ 180k
$ 449k
• Noise• Visual• Health• Property value• Farm income• Farm succession
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Individual‐level Impacts
80
62
64
57
Turbines
Neighbors in pool
Unpaid neighbors
Non‐windfarm
% that have farm succession plan
25
• Noise• Visual• Health• Property value• Farm income• Farm succession
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Community‐level Impacts
15 10 176 5 7
57 54 58
21 31 18
All Paid Unpaid
Turbines create jobs
StronglyagreeAgree
StronglydisagreeDisagree
• Job creation• Roads• Township
services• County
services• Schools• Relationships
with neighbors
26
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Community‐level Impacts
4 5 38 6 9
6040
67
20
32
177 17
4
All Paid Unpaid
Turbines’ effect on local roads
Greatlyimproved
Somewhatimproved
Neither
Somewhatworsened
Greatlyworsened
• Job creation• Roads• Township
services• County
services• Schools• Relationships
with neighbors
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Community‐level Impacts
2 2 23 3 3
7357
79
1829
144 10 2
All Paid Unpaid
Turbines’ effect on township services
Greatlyimproved
Somewhatimproved
Neither
Somewhatworsened
Greatlyworsened
• Job creation• Roads• Township
services• County
services• Schools• Relationships
with neighbors
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$2.630 Million to townships in
Huron County in 2015
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Community‐level Impacts
2 2 24 3 4
7762
82
1526
113 7 2
All Paid Unpaid
Turbines’ effect on county services
Greatlyimproved
Somewhatimproved
Neither
Somewhatworsened
Greatlyworsened
• Job creation• Roads• Township
services• County
services• Schools• Relationships
with neighbors
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$2.749 Million to county gov’t in
Huron County in 2015
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Community‐level Impacts
1 1 22 1 2
6444
70
24
35
219 19
6
All Paid Unpaid
Turbines’ effect on local schools
Greatlyimproved
Somewhatimproved
Neither
Somewhatworsened
Greatlyworsened
• Job creation• Roads• Township
services• County
services• Schools• Relationships
with neighbors
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$2.083 Million to ISD; $2.074 Million to local
schools in Huron County in 2015
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Community‐level Impacts
11 7 12
19 1820
64 6563
5 9 41 1 1
All Paid Unpaid
Turbines’ effect on relationships with neighbors
Greatlyimproved
Somewhatimproved
Neither
Somewhatworsened
Greatlyworsened
• Job creation• Roads• Township
services• County
services• Schools• Relationships
with neighbors
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Would they welcome more wind development?
10 8 11
1910
22
5554
55
1321
103 7 2
All Paid Unpaid
Turbines’ effect on overall quality of life in township
Greatlyimproved
Somewhatimproved
Neither
Somewhatworsened
Greatlyworsened
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• Quality of life
• Willingness to accept new turbines
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Would they welcome more wind development?
2615
30
108
1023
22
23
21
23
20
2132
18
All Paid Unpaid
Willingness to host additional turbines in your township
Stronglysupport
Somewhatsupport
Neither
Somewhatoppose
Stronglyoppose
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• Quality of life
• Willingness to accept new turbines
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Example zoning ordinances
• MSU Extensiono Sample Zoning for Wind Energy Systems (2017)o Michigan Land Use Guidelines for Siting Wind Energy Systems (2007)
• Dept. of Energy databaseo Look for similar types of communitieso Includes places both with/without windo https://windexchange.energy.gov/policies-incentives
• Shiawassee County Planningo Comparison charts on height, noise, setbacko https://www.shiawassee.net/Departments/Community-Development/Wind-Energy-Conversion-Systems
• My website (www.closup.umich.edu/wind) o Just the communities which have existing windfarms in Michigan
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The ideal zoning ordinance?
14 1131 377 8
10 827 22
222628 27
1817
24 3319 13
Unzonedtownship
1.5x height 1,000ʹ/1,320ʹ 1,320ʹ
Support/oppose additional turbines in township, by zoning setback distance
Stronglysupport
Somewhatsupport
Neither
Somewhatoppose
Stronglyoppose
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What my research suggests on zoning
• Participating vs. non-participating landowners
• Noise, flicker analysis
• Decommission plan/financial assurance
• Have an open & transparent process
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The importance of process
285 13
32
639
47
13
10
22
16
27
24
1420
16
27
20621
58
2610 7
All Stronglyagree
Agree Disagree Stronglydisagree
“I had ample opportunity to provide input during the wind project planning stage.”
Support/oppose additional turbines in township, by agree/disagree opportunity to participate in planning
Stronglysupport
Somewhatsupport
Neither
Somewhatoppose
Stronglyoppose
37
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The importance of transparency
285 11
43729
56
14
11
22
1427
24
9
20
16
30
13 321
61
267 5
All Stronglyagree
Agree Disagree Stronglydisagree
“The wind project developer acted openly and transparently throughout the planning process.”
Support/oppose additional turbines in township, by agree/disagree wind developer acted transparently
Stronglysupport
Somewhatsupport
Neither
Somewhatoppose
Stronglyoppose
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