Lessons Learned from MI’s...

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Lessons Learned from MI’s Windfarms MMEA Fall Conference October 5, 2017 Sarah Mills, PhD

Transcript of Lessons Learned from MI’s...

  • Lessons Learned from 

    MI’s WindfarmsMMEA Fall Conference

    October 5, 2017

    Sarah Mills, PhD

  • Why this research?• Investigate Gratiot & Huron County claims of

    farmland preservation

    • Understand why such different experiences

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  • 2014 Farmland Survey

    • All owners of land assessed ag

    • 14 townships– 9 with windfarms– 5 without

    • 1,210 responses (72% response rate)

    • Funded by Dow Fellowship

  • 2016 Community Survey

    • Owners of land assessed ag or residential

    • 10 townships with windfarms

    • 2,013 responses (53% response rate)

    • Funded by C.S. Mott Foundation

  • Data about the negative impacts

    • Views on noise, visual impact, property values roughly 50/50Financial stake = rosier view

    OR no financial stake = more soured view

    BUT STILL SPLIT OPINIONS

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  • Noise

    40 47 38

    1218

    10

    29 22 3119

    1221

    All Paid Unpaid

    Turbines create noise pollutionStronglyagreeAgree

    StronglydisagreeDisagree

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  • Data about the negative impacts

    • Views on noise, visual impact, property values roughly 50/50Financial stake = rosier view

    OR no financial stake = more soured view

    BUT STILL SPLIT OPINIONS

    • Most don’t (72%) see health impacts, but some do

    • Majority (70%) don’t think it’s divided the communityo Even in some pretty contentious projects

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  • Data about the positive impacts

    • Most (78%) see job creation with caveat about types of jobs

    • Majority (60%+) haven’t seen changes to roads, townships services, county services, or local schoolso Despite pretty substantial paymentso Likely because of how money being used: plug holes, do more of

    same

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  • Tax Benefits

    2 2 24 3 4

    7762

    82

    1526

    113 7 2

    All Paid Unpaid

    Turbines’ effect on county servicesGreatlyimprovedSomewhatimprovedNeither

    SomewhatworsenedGreatlyworsened

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    $2.749 Million to county gov’t in 

    Huron County in 2015

  • Data about the positive impacts

    • Most (78%) see job creation with caveat about types of jobs

    • Majority (60%+) haven’t seen changes to roads, townships services, county services, or local schoolso Despite pretty substantial paymentso Likely because of how money being used: plug holes, do more of

    same

    • Landowner payments linked to substantial increase in on-farm investment (2x neighbors, control) and increase in succession planning

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  • Farm Investment

    0 100000 200000 300000 400000 500000

    Turbines

    Neighbors in pool

    Unpaid neighbors

    Non‐windfarm

    Investments over 5 years: 2009‐2013

    Home Outbuildings Drainage/Irrigation Equipment

    $ 193k

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    $ 187k

    $ 180k

    $ 449k

  • Farm Succession

    80

    62

    64

    57

    Turbines

    Neighbors in pool

    Unpaid neighbors

    Non‐windfarm

    % that have farm succession plan 

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  • Overall drivers of attitudes

    • Direct compensation

    • Type of land owned o secondary vs. primary residence o farmland / rental property only

    • Being within earshot of turbines

    • Attitudes about process, wind developer

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  • What Happened with Huron Wind?

    • Previous experiences (some good, some bad) o Many different wind developers in Huron Countyo Tax table changes a huge concern

    • Turbine fatigue: “we’ve done our part”

    • County voting = lots of heterogeneityo Not all farmers/farming familieso Yeas: 26% - 54%o Turnout: 9% - 61%

    • Those who cared, voted 14

  • What’s the Lesson?• Windfarms = economic development proposition

    o Compatible with ago Not with residential growth, tourism

    • Indirect economic benefits not felt by average landowner

    • Business models that directly pay more landowners keep the peace

    • Wind developers, local officials need to act transparently

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  • The CLOSUP Wind ProjectSarah Mills, Project Manager 

    Phone:  (734) 615‐5315Email: [email protected]

    Web:  www.closup.umich.edu/wind

  • May 2 Referendum vs. Survey

    63 55

    27 26

    10 10

    24 23

    19 2137 45

    20 21

    Vote (total) Vote (5twps) Survey (5twps) Survey all

    Willingness to host additional turbines in your township

    Stronglysupport

    Somewhatsupport

    Neither

    Somewhatoppose

    Stronglyoppose

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    • 5 twps.o Binghamo Bloomfieldo McKinleyo Sheridano Sigel

  • May 2 Referendum vs. Survey

    63 55 57 55

    37 45 43 45

    Vote (total) Vote (5twps) Survey (5twps) Survey all

    Willingness to host additional turbines in your township

    Stronglysupport

    Stronglyoppose

    18

    • 5 twps.o Binghamo Bloomfieldo McKinleyo Sheridano Sigel

  • Huron County Vote Break‐downs

    63 60 68

    37 40 32

    Vote (total) WITH wind WITHOUT wind

    Yes

    No

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    28% turnout 36% turnout

  • Individual‐level Impacts

    40 47 38

    1218

    10

    29 22 31

    1912

    21

    All Paid Unpaid

    Turbines create noise pollution

    StronglyagreeAgree

    StronglydisagreeDisagree

    • Noise• Visual• Health• Property value• Farm income• Farm succession

    20

  • Individual‐level Impacts

    39 46 37

    1222

    10

    25 19 27

    2414

    27

    All Paid Unpaid

    Turbines create visual/aesthetic problems

    StronglyagreeAgree

    StronglydisagreeDisagree

    • Noise• Visual• Health• Property value• Farm income• Farm succession

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  • Individual‐level Impacts

    49 47 50

    23 37 19

    18 9 219

    810

    All Paid Unpaid

    Turbines cause human health problems

    StronglyagreeAgree

    StronglydisagreeDisagree

    • Noise• Visual• Health• Property value• Farm income• Farm succession

    22

  • Individual‐level Impacts

    36 46 32

    1019

    7

    30 21 33

    2414

    27

    All Paid Unpaid

    Turbines decrease nearby property values

    StronglyagreeAgree

    StronglydisagreeDisagree

    • Noise• Visual• Health• Property value• Farm income• Farm succession

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  • Individual‐level Impacts

    0 100000 200000 300000 400000 500000

    Turbines

    Neighbors in pool

    Unpaid neighbors

    Non‐windfarm

    Investments over 5 years: 2009‐2013

    Home Outbuildings Drainage/Irrigation Equipment

    $ 193k

    24

    $ 187k

    $ 180k

    $ 449k

    • Noise• Visual• Health• Property value• Farm income• Farm succession

  • Individual‐level Impacts

    80

    62

    64

    57

    Turbines

    Neighbors in pool

    Unpaid neighbors

    Non‐windfarm

    % that have farm succession plan 

    25

    • Noise• Visual• Health• Property value• Farm income• Farm succession

  • Community‐level Impacts

    15 10 176 5 7

    57 54 58

    21 31 18

    All Paid Unpaid

    Turbines create jobs

    StronglyagreeAgree

    StronglydisagreeDisagree

    • Job creation• Roads• Township

    services• County

    services• Schools• Relationships

    with neighbors

    26

  • Community‐level Impacts

    4 5 38 6 9

    6040

    67

    20

    32

    177 17

    4

    All Paid Unpaid

    Turbines’ effect on local roads

    Greatlyimproved

    Somewhatimproved

    Neither

    Somewhatworsened

    Greatlyworsened

    • Job creation• Roads• Township

    services• County

    services• Schools• Relationships

    with neighbors

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  • Community‐level Impacts

    2 2 23 3 3

    7357

    79

    1829

    144 10 2

    All Paid Unpaid

    Turbines’ effect on township services

    Greatlyimproved

    Somewhatimproved

    Neither

    Somewhatworsened

    Greatlyworsened

    • Job creation• Roads• Township

    services• County

    services• Schools• Relationships

    with neighbors

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    $2.630 Million to townships in 

    Huron County in 2015

  • Community‐level Impacts

    2 2 24 3 4

    7762

    82

    1526

    113 7 2

    All Paid Unpaid

    Turbines’ effect on county services

    Greatlyimproved

    Somewhatimproved

    Neither

    Somewhatworsened

    Greatlyworsened

    • Job creation• Roads• Township

    services• County

    services• Schools• Relationships

    with neighbors

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    $2.749 Million to county gov’t in 

    Huron County in 2015

  • Community‐level Impacts

    1 1 22 1 2

    6444

    70

    24

    35

    219 19

    6

    All Paid Unpaid

    Turbines’ effect on local schools

    Greatlyimproved

    Somewhatimproved

    Neither

    Somewhatworsened

    Greatlyworsened

    • Job creation• Roads• Township

    services• County

    services• Schools• Relationships

    with neighbors

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    $2.083 Million to ISD; $2.074 Million to local 

    schools in Huron County in 2015

  • Community‐level Impacts

    11 7 12

    19 1820

    64 6563

    5 9 41 1 1

    All Paid Unpaid

    Turbines’ effect on relationships with neighbors

    Greatlyimproved

    Somewhatimproved

    Neither

    Somewhatworsened

    Greatlyworsened

    • Job creation• Roads• Township

    services• County

    services• Schools• Relationships

    with neighbors

    31

  • Would they welcome more wind development?

    10 8 11

    1910

    22

    5554

    55

    1321

    103 7 2

    All Paid Unpaid

    Turbines’ effect on overall quality of life in township

    Greatlyimproved

    Somewhatimproved

    Neither

    Somewhatworsened

    Greatlyworsened

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    • Quality of life

    • Willingness to accept new turbines

  • Would they welcome more wind development?

    2615

    30

    108

    1023

    22

    23

    21

    23

    20

    2132

    18

    All Paid Unpaid

    Willingness to host additional turbines in your township

    Stronglysupport

    Somewhatsupport

    Neither

    Somewhatoppose

    Stronglyoppose

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    • Quality of life

    • Willingness to accept new turbines

  • Example zoning ordinances

    • MSU Extensiono Sample Zoning for Wind Energy Systems (2017)o Michigan Land Use Guidelines for Siting Wind Energy Systems (2007)

    • Dept. of Energy databaseo Look for similar types of communitieso Includes places both with/without windo https://windexchange.energy.gov/policies-incentives

    • Shiawassee County Planningo Comparison charts on height, noise, setbacko https://www.shiawassee.net/Departments/Community-Development/Wind-Energy-Conversion-Systems

    • My website (www.closup.umich.edu/wind) o Just the communities which have existing windfarms in Michigan

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  • The ideal zoning ordinance?

    14 1131 377 8

    10 827 22

    222628 27

    1817

    24 3319 13

    Unzonedtownship

    1.5x height 1,000ʹ/1,320ʹ 1,320ʹ

    Support/oppose additional turbines in township, by zoning setback distance

    Stronglysupport

    Somewhatsupport

    Neither

    Somewhatoppose

    Stronglyoppose

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  • What my research suggests on zoning

    • Participating vs. non-participating landowners

    • Noise, flicker analysis

    • Decommission plan/financial assurance

    • Have an open & transparent process

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  • The importance of process

    285 13

    32

    639

    47

    13

    10

    22

    16

    27

    24

    1420

    16

    27

    20621

    58

    2610 7

    All Stronglyagree

    Agree Disagree Stronglydisagree

    “I had ample opportunity to provide input during the wind project planning stage.”

    Support/oppose additional turbines in township, by agree/disagree opportunity to participate in planning

    Stronglysupport

    Somewhatsupport

    Neither

    Somewhatoppose

    Stronglyoppose

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  • The importance of transparency

    285 11

    43729

    56

    14

    11

    22

    1427

    24

    9

    20

    16

    30

    13 321

    61

    267 5

    All Stronglyagree

    Agree Disagree Stronglydisagree

    “The wind project developer acted openly and transparently throughout the planning process.”

    Support/oppose additional turbines in township, by agree/disagree wind developer acted transparently

    Stronglysupport

    Somewhatsupport

    Neither

    Somewhatoppose

    Stronglyoppose

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