Lesson 19 : The CAP and the agri- environment · Sequence 2 : The farm model \ Sequence 2.3 :...

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Lesson 19 : The CAP and the agri- environment Sequence 2 : The farm model Sophie Thoyer Unit 2.3 : Simulating a public policy

Transcript of Lesson 19 : The CAP and the agri- environment · Sequence 2 : The farm model \ Sequence 2.3 :...

Page 1: Lesson 19 : The CAP and the agri- environment · Sequence 2 : The farm model \ Sequence 2.3 : Simulating a public policy \ Lesson 19 : The CAP and the agri-environment subject to

Lesson 19 : The CAP and the agri-environment

Sequence 2 : The farm model

Sophie Thoyer

Unit 2.3 : Simulating a public policy

Page 2: Lesson 19 : The CAP and the agri- environment · Sequence 2 : The farm model \ Sequence 2.3 : Simulating a public policy \ Lesson 19 : The CAP and the agri-environment subject to

Initial objectives of the CAP :

to modernize European agriculture

to increase labour and land productivity

to improve the income of farmers

CAP and the environment

Sequence 2 : The farm model \ Sequence 2.3 : Simulating a public policy \ Lesson 19 : The CAP and the agri-environment

Water and soil pollution Loss of biodiversity Overexploitation of water

resources

Guaranteed-high-prices policy Intensification of practices via the use of chemical inputs Encouraging farm restructuring and expansion Farm specialization

Page 3: Lesson 19 : The CAP and the agri- environment · Sequence 2 : The farm model \ Sequence 2.3 : Simulating a public policy \ Lesson 19 : The CAP and the agri-environment subject to

How is it possible to revert to more environmentally-friendly production systems and practices ?

Regulations

Sequence 2 : The farm model \ Sequence 2.3 : Simulating a public policy \ Lesson 19 : The CAP and the agri-environment

RegulationsImposing stricter rules

The rules can concern :

- Forbidden products or practices

- Compulsory practices

- They may be applicable everywhere or only on vulnerable territories

Page 4: Lesson 19 : The CAP and the agri- environment · Sequence 2 : The farm model \ Sequence 2.3 : Simulating a public policy \ Lesson 19 : The CAP and the agri-environment subject to

FEASIBLE

REGION

A

B

C

5010 20 30 40 60 70 80

10

20

30

40

50

X2(maize)

X1(wheat)O

25 X1 + 50 X2 = 2000

X1 + X2 = 50

0;0

20005025

50avec

1000450ZMaximiser

21

21

21

21

XX

XX

XX

XX

subject to

Regulations- Example

Sequence 2 : The farm model \ Sequence 2.3 : Simulating a public policy \ Lesson 19 : The CAP and the agri-environment

Returns to adding a constraint

What are the

impacts of different

levels of regulation?

5 X1 + 3.6 X2 ≤ 200

5X1 + 3,6X2 = 200

Page 5: Lesson 19 : The CAP and the agri- environment · Sequence 2 : The farm model \ Sequence 2.3 : Simulating a public policy \ Lesson 19 : The CAP and the agri-environment subject to

How is it possible to revert to more environmentally-friendly production systems and practices ?

Subsidies

Sequence 2 : The farm model \ Sequence 2.3 : Simulating a public policy \ Lesson 19 : The CAP and the agri-environment

Subsidiese.g. : Agro-environment-climate measures (AECM)

Respecting environmental specifications

contract

Agri-environmental payments

control

Compensate farmers who opt for more environmentally-friendly practices, which can be more costly or cause yield losses

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Subsidies - Example

Two possibilities, the farmer chooses the best solution

0;0

20005025

50avec

1000450ZMaximiser

21

21

21

21

XX

XX

XX

XX

subject to

0;0

20005025

50avec

1000450ZMaximiser

21

21

21

21

XX

XX

XX

XX

subject to

if and only if the constraint is respected

5 X1 + 3.6 X2 ≤ MAXTFI

+ ( X1 + X2 ) * subs

Sequence 2 : The farm model \ Sequence 2.3 : Simulating a public policy \ Lesson 19 : The CAP and the agri-environment

Page 7: Lesson 19 : The CAP and the agri- environment · Sequence 2 : The farm model \ Sequence 2.3 : Simulating a public policy \ Lesson 19 : The CAP and the agri-environment subject to

How is it possible to revert to more environmentally-friendly production systems and practices ?

Taxes

Sequence 2 : The farm model \ Sequence 2.3 : Simulating a public policy \ Lesson 19 : The CAP and the agri-environment

Taxes

Taxing farmers who cause environmental damage (polluter pays principle)

But agricultural pollution comes from many diffuse sources

Alternative : Taxing polluting products in order to make them more expensive and therefore less attractive

e.g. : « non-point source pollution tax » levied by water agencies

price + tax

Page 8: Lesson 19 : The CAP and the agri- environment · Sequence 2 : The farm model \ Sequence 2.3 : Simulating a public policy \ Lesson 19 : The CAP and the agri-environment subject to

Taxes - Example

X1(wheat)

Iso-revenue line300 X1 + 892 X2 = 35 680

10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80

10

20

30

40

50

X2(maize)

O

Iso-revenue line450 X1 + 1000 X2 = 40 000

0;0

20005025

50avec

1000450ZMaximiser

21

21

21

21

XX

XX

XX

XX

subject to

Sequence 2 : The farm model \ Sequence 2.3 : Simulating a public policy \ Lesson 19 : The CAP and the agri-environment

Modifies the gross margin and therefore the slope of the

isorevenue lines

Tax on the use of

phytosanitary

products: 30€/unit

Additional costs :

5*30=150 for wheat

3.6*30=108 for maize

Z = 300 X1 + 892 X2

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Assessing and comparing different options

Sequence 2 : The farm model \ Sequence 2.3 : Simulating a public policy \ Lesson 19 : The CAP and the agri-environment

Objectives Costs

Effectiveness: Meeting the objective

Reduce pesticide use by x% Lower nitrate rate in catchment area

Budget for subsidies Administrative and control

costs Costs for farmers

Efficiency :Meeting the objective

at the lowest possible cost

AcceptabilityModelling and simulating in order to help public decision-making !

Page 10: Lesson 19 : The CAP and the agri- environment · Sequence 2 : The farm model \ Sequence 2.3 : Simulating a public policy \ Lesson 19 : The CAP and the agri-environment subject to

◦ Cereal farm (lesson 11)

• 2 crops : wheat, maize

• 2 technologies : intensive, extensive

• 2 constraints : land and labour

• To measure pesticide use, the treatment frequency index (IFT) is used

Policy :

1. Regulations : Prohibition to exceed a threshold

How to make the simulation of several price levels automatic ?

GAMS: LOOP

2. Subsidy :Subject to compliance with a maximum of 140 IFT/ha

How to introduce an « if… then... » condition in equations ?

GAMS: binary variable

Example

Sequence 2 : The farm model \ Sequence 2.3 : Simulating a public policy \ Lesson 19 : The CAP and the agri-environment

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Regulations - Example

Sequence 2 : The farm model \ Sequence 2.3 : Simulating a public policy \ Lesson 19 : The CAP and the agri-environment

Policy: Regulations -> Prohibition to exceed more than 140IFT/ha

Page 12: Lesson 19 : The CAP and the agri- environment · Sequence 2 : The farm model \ Sequence 2.3 : Simulating a public policy \ Lesson 19 : The CAP and the agri-environment subject to

Policy: Regulations -> Prohibition to exceed more than ?TFI/haSimulation of several price levels automatic Regulations - Example

Pause the slideshow and

introduce this policy into the

primal0.gms model yourself

and study the impact on crop

rotation and income

Sequence 2 : The farm model \ Sequence 2.3 : Simulating a public policy \ Lesson 19 : The CAP and the agri-environment

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Subsidies - Example

Two possibilities, the farmer chooses the best solution

0;0

20005025

50avec

1000450ZMaximiser

21

21

21

21

XX

XX

XX

XX

subject to

0;0

20005025

50avec

1000450ZMaximiser

21

21

21

21

XX

XX

XX

XX

subject to

if and only if the constraint is respected

5 X1 + 3.6 X2 ≤ MAXTFI

+ ( X1 + X2 ) * subs

Sequence 2 : The farm model \ Sequence 2.3 : Simulating a public policy \ Lesson 19 : The CAP and the agri-environment

0;0

20005025

50avec

1000450ZMaximiser

21

21

21

21

XX

XX

XX

XX

subject to

5 X1 + 3.6 X2 ≤ MAXTFI + bigM * (1-B)

+ ( X1 + X2 ) * subs * BIf B=1 then there is the subsidythe constraint is respected5 X1 + 3.6 X2 ≤ MAXTFIIf B=0 then no subsidythe constraint is disabled5 X1 + 3.6 X2 ≤ MAXTFI + 1000because always true

B = {0;1} bigM = 1000

Page 14: Lesson 19 : The CAP and the agri- environment · Sequence 2 : The farm model \ Sequence 2.3 : Simulating a public policy \ Lesson 19 : The CAP and the agri-environment subject to

Sequence 2 : The farm model \ Sequence 2.3 : Simulating a public policy \ Lesson 19 : The CAP and the agri-environment

Policy : if the farmer has no intensive practices then he receives a per-hectare premium

Subsidies – Example – En GAMS

2 variables multipliedtogether + binary variable -> model type MINLP!

Pause the slideshow and introduce this policy into the primal0.gms model yourself,

with a 100€ per-hectare premium and a constraint at 140 TFI/ha