Lecture – People, Planet, Profit – A Revolution In Integrating Global And Local For A Resilient...
-
Upload
andre-head -
Category
Government & Nonprofit
-
view
320 -
download
1
description
Transcript of Lecture – People, Planet, Profit – A Revolution In Integrating Global And Local For A Resilient...
PEOPLE, PLANET, PROFIT A revolution in integrating local and global
for a resilient futurePeter Head CBE FREng FRSA
#tomorrowscity
__ Growing global instabilityContents
Section 1
Section 2 __ Global Action for transformational change
Section 3 __ From observatory to collaboratory
__ Innovation in law, finance and insurance
Section 4
Section 5 __ ‘City for Cities’ partnership
1. Growing global instability
Our Shrinking EarthPopulation growing at 80m per year
YEARHectares of Land Per Capita
USA 9.5 UK 5.8 China 2.3 India 1.3
China’s Ecological Footprint growing at 4% per year=100 million hectares of new land per year
Decreasing Food SupplyWorldwatch Institute, Washington DC, US
Atmospheric Carbon DioxideMeasured at Mauna Loa, Hawaii
Industrial development is polluting and wasteful
Water-Food-Energy crisis by mid-century…beginning now
Mounting costs of health and social care for aging populations
180,000 people per day moving into cities
Cities becoming more vulnerable to violent weather and other threats
Aging infrastructure and declining attractiveness of cities in developed economies
Congested transportation systems
2. Global action for transformational change
SDSN Action Agenda Report
In 2013 China changed the legal constitution for development towards the “Ecological Civilisation”
• To take a scientific approach to development
• To make Ecological Progress
China now has an environmental court and a circular economy law
Global Action - China
Agro-forestry in the Upper Loess Plateau China over 20,000 sq km Hope-A film by John D Liu Trust Advisory Board
The Circular Economy THE ELLEN MACARTHUR FOUNDATION
‘The evolution of our economy from an increasingly resource-constrained ‘take-make-dispose’ model towards one that is circular and re- generative by intention poses a huge opportunity for business innovation. This report highlights the significant economic opportunities, both immediate and long-term, that are available across the EU. The report offers the catalyst for a sector wide re-design revolution’.
Moving from Ownership to Services
‘Innovative business models, especially changing
from ownership to performance-based payment models, are instrumental in translating products designed for reuse into attractive value propositions ‘Enablers to improve cross-cycle and cross-sector performance include higher transparency, alignment of incentives, and the establishment of industry standards for better cross-chain and cross-sector collaboration; access to financing and risk management tools; regulation and infrastructure development; and—last but not least—education, both to increase general awareness and to create the skill base to drive circular innovation’.
Materials and Waste –Systems ApproachHillier, Graham. “Construction Products for a Sustainable Society” Sustainability - Steel and the Environment Conference. 2 November 2004
ENERGY WATER
FOOD RAW MATERIALS
By 2030 world needs 30% more water, 40% more energy & 50% more food
Resource Efficiency
1. A Regional Approach Is Fundamental2. Gather regional data, develop regional knowledge, embed integrated regional planning, build regional capacity and shared confidence to act3. Must unite economic, societal and environmental perspectives and shape interventions with a common/credible economic analyses
Approach to Sustainable Regions
Greenhousegases
Greenhousegases
Greenhousegases
Solid waste
Degraded waters
Manufactured goods
INTERLAND
Manufactured goods
Fuels andRaw materials
Water
Food
Licence Form
Region
Application nameOrganisation
Partnership agreement
Technical support service
Earth(in solar system) Simulator
Region Simulator
www.icesfoundation.orgwww.ecosequestrust.org
In the last twenty years, the world has
• Deployed a global, high-bandwidth network
• Created a population of over 1 billion Internet users
• And another population of some 6 billion mobile telephones
• Embedded some billions of sensors in our environment and infrastructure
• Invented globally-integrated business processes
Computer processing capacity
Crowd-sourced data Apps and sensors
The system of community life
Syn City City resources IIER Economics
EFI Forestry PROFILE Soil-agriculture
Climate model data
Earth observation and ground sensors for land use data
Soil and geologyPROFILE
Government data eg demographics, employmentCrowd-sourced agent Data – mobility 4G 5G 6G
Resource flows Sankey Diagrams
Integrated Sustainable Infrastructure
transport
logistics and waste management
sewerage, potable and non-potable water energy
agriculture, landscape and urban design
Investment of 1% GDP per year in public transport metro
Transformation of a city economy through replacing traffic with walking, cycling -Seoul
3. From observatory to collaboratory
Surat in Gujarat
City of Surat, Gujarat
Diamonds, models, design and value
$
From Diamonds to City Collaboratory
$
From Diamonds to City Collaboratory
Value to business and society of successful
improvement in energy-water-food security,
clean air and quality of life
$
Regional collaborative intelligence
45
Education
Collaborative planning and design for investment
Ecology Health
Air Water Soil Quality
Human Healthwell-being nutrition, life-span, healthcare costs
Labour- skill, job availability, salary, productivity
Training & Education-skill and knowledge through learning and education
Human agentsand their well-being
Economy
Asset Value
Goods
High quality Inclusive resilient growth
“Green, circular, Knowledge economy”
Community Leadership and Cultural Planning
www.londonlsdc.org/londonleaders
At COP17
4. Innovation in law, financeand insurance
The Open-Source, Agent-based Urban-Rural
Resource and Economics Systems Platform Model
Integrated urban systems design/planning and procurement for sustainability and resilience
Now Where we could be with systems thinking and performance based
procurement
• Sequential and silo-ed approach – conventional economic assessment dominates how we design (cities, policies, technology interventions etc)
• Short term political and finance cycles dominate economic plane
• Environment plane silo-ed (i.e. water-food-energy, urban and rural viewed separately)
• Social benefit at the end of the line – abstract relationship to earlier planes .
• INTEGRATED DESIGN• INTEGRATED PLANNING• ACCELERATED DEVELOPMENT
DEVELOPMENT PLANNING DESIGN
DESIGN
PLANNING
DEVELOPMENT
OutputSuccessful
improvement in energy-water-food
security and quality of lifess
“Project portfolio”
Evidence-based ‘trusted’ independent model
Regional Funding for Projects- ‘Green Growth’ ‘Climate Adaptation’ ‘Social Impact Bonds’
Sources of capital-MNB’s Pension Funds Sovereign Wealth Funds
Return Investment
Assurance
“High quality inclusive resilient growth”
OASIS
Global ICES ESA InsuranceCatastrophic Risk Modelling
TEST “Accelerator Scale-Up Fund”
Build open source platform& set it up in demo regions using seed funding
Demonstration region investments enable pay back of set-up costs plus interest & attract funds for more regions
Platform development
funders to get use of and value from
platform
• DFID• Climate KIC• ESA• China
Government ®ions
• MNB’s$ $
IndependentFund Manager
5. ‘City for Cities’ partnership
Target Trust Demonstrator Network
CHINANDRCMOHURDAPECEco Demo Regions
International Centre Chongqing University
UK
Demo region
Dorset LEP
IFS
DFID
Cities AllianceCountry programme5 Centres
African Centre for CitiesAfrican Urban Research Initiative
Mainland EuropeDenmark,
ICLEI GIZ Climate KIC-IFS
GlobalUNEPUN HabitatUNDP
UNSDSNUCCRN
AmericasDemo regionsRio de JaneiroUSA city
MongoliaDemo region
UN ADB FCO
Regional collaborative intelligence
City of London Companies can help to design the sector cockpits
and help make the platform easy
to use by different sectors.
They can become Partners and
build commercial Apps for the
Platform.
A City for Cities
App Store
City businesses can lead and be first movers with the platform and join us on the journey to help accelerate the transition.
Recreate the opportunity the industrial revolution brought to the city through the “resilience revolution” by working with leading science, design and culture organisations, starting in demonstration regions.
City for Cities
Thank you