Lecture 8b: Tariffs in a large economyfally/Courses/Econ181Lecture8b.pdf“Large” economy Effect...
Transcript of Lecture 8b: Tariffs in a large economyfally/Courses/Econ181Lecture8b.pdf“Large” economy Effect...
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Lecture 8b:
Tariffs in a large economy
Thibault FALLY
C181 – International Trade
Spring 2018
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Effect of tariffs?
Conclusion for a small open economy:
• Tariffs net welfare loss
Next lectures:
• Tariffs in a large economy
• Why small economies would still have tariffs?
• How to constraint large economies to reduce tariffs?
2- Tariffs in a small economy
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Effect of tariffs?
NET effect = - (b+d)
= - ½ [(S2 - S1) + (D1 - D2)] . t
= - ½ (M1-M2) . t
2- Tariffs in a small economy
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NOTES: Prices in a small economy:
• World price PW taken as given
• Imports depend on price
(“M” curve = import demand)
• but export curve is flat:
The price stays at PW
(+ added tax)
2- Tariffs in a small economy
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“Large” economy
Definition:
• A large economy has an effect on world price:
• Lower imports lead to lower prices
• Larger imports lead to higher prices
Upward-slopping export curve
Tariffs lead to a decrease imports and lower PW
3- Tariffs in a large economy
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“Large” economy
Foreign supply is no longer “infinitely elastic”
(i.e. foreign supply curve no longer flat, world price no longer constant)
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clicker question:
In a large economy, an increase in tariffs leads to:
a) A smaller loss in consumer surplus but
a smaller gain in producer surplus(compared to a small economy)
b) A smaller loss in consumer surplus and
a larger gain in producer surplus
c) A larger loss in consumer surplus but
a larger gain in producer surplus
d) A larger loss in consumer surplus and
a smaller gain in producer surplus
3- Tariffs in a large economy
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“Large” economy
Effect of a tariffs on prices:
• Tariffs lead to a decrease imports and lower PW
• Hence the price for consumers does not increase as
much as for a small economy
Smaller loss in consumer surplus
• Hence the price for consumers does not increase as
much as for a small economy
Smaller gain in producer surplus
• Q: Can it be beneficial to have a tariff after all?
3- Tariffs in a large economy
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It’s all in this graph:
3- Tariffs in a large economy
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• For consumers:
price goes from PW to P*+t
3- Tariffs in a large economy
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• For consumers:
price goes from PW to P*+t
Consumer surplus decreases by (a+b+c+d)
3- Tariffs in a large economy
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• For local producers:
price goes from PW to P*+t
Producer surplus increases by: a
3- Tariffs in a large economy
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• Tariff revenues?
3- Tariffs in a large economy
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• Tariff revenues?
Revenues = t x (D2 – S2) = t x M2
area: (c + e)
3- Tariffs in a large economy
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• Net effect on Home?
3- Tariffs in a large economy
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Consumer loss: - (a+b+c+d)
Producer gain: + a
Tariff revenues: + (c + e)_______________________________________________________________
Net effect on Home = e – (b+d)
3- Tariffs in a large economy
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“Large” economy
Effect of a tariffs on prices:
• Deadweight loss “b+d” as in a small economy
• But terms of trade gain “e” dues to change in world price
• Which one wins?
3- Tariffs in a large economy
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“Large” economy
Effect of a tariffs on prices:
When “t” is small:
• Terms of trade gain are proportional to “t”
(product of “t” and current imports)
• Deadweight loss proportional to “t2”
(product of “t” and the change in imports)
Terms of trade wins when t is small
Gains from having a small tariff
3- Tariffs in a large economy
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“Large” economy
Effect of a tariffs on prices:
When “t” is large:
• If price is now back to autarky:
Terms of trade gains are zero! (No imports! No tariff revenues)
• Large deadweight loss
Negative net effect
3- Tariffs in a large economy
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“Large” economy
Optimal tariff:
• Not zero, not too large either
• High elasticity of export supply lower optimal tariff
• Formula:
depends on the inverse of the export supply elasticity
*
1 tariffOptimal
XE
3- Tariffs in a large economy
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“Large” economy
*
1 tariffOptimal
XE
3- Tariffs in a large economy
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“Large” economy
Link to monopsony pricing:
• a “small” buyer has no incentives to deviate from market
price: it is “price taker” (=small country)
• A large buyer wants to limit its demand in order to lower
the price = large economy which can affect PW
• The smaller the price elasticity, the larger the distorsions
3- Tariffs in a large economy
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Application to the steel
industry in the US:
Tariffs imposed in 2002-03
3- Tariffs in a large economy
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“Large” economy
Effect on Foreign:
How do tariffs at home affect foreign economies?
a) Gains for Foreign
b) Loss for Foreign, smaller than gains at Home
c) Loss for Foreign exceeds gains at Home
3- Tariffs in a large economy
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Home gains = e - (b + d)
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Foreign gains?
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Foreign gains = - (e + f) < 0
(i.e. loss: decrease in exporter surplus!)
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Effect of tariff:
• Home gains:
= e - (b + d)
• Foreign loss:
= - (e + f)
• Net GLOBAL gains if both apply tariffs on imports:
= - (f + b + d) < 0
3- Tariffs in a large economy
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“Large” economy
Effect on Foreign:
How do tariffs at home affect foreign economies?
Large losses: the loss for foreign economies exceed the
gains for the home country
Overall gains from reducing tariffs on a bilateral or
multilateral basis
3- Tariffs in a large economy
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“Tariffied” – Planet Money
Link: (or google search “planet money tariffied”):
https://www.npr.org/sections/money/2018/04/13/602300490/episode-835-tariffied
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Lollipop War – Planet Money
Link: (or google search “planet money lollipop”):
http://www.npr.org/sections/money/2013/04/26/179295426/episode-454-the-lollipop-war