Leading Complex Projects - An extract of a very few illustrations

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Leading Complex Projects Simon Harris, PMP, CGEIT, IPMA-D, P2rp, MoRrp Intro 1 2 3 4 5

Transcript of Leading Complex Projects - An extract of a very few illustrations

Page 1: Leading Complex Projects - An extract of a very few illustrations

Leading Complex Projects

Simon Harris, PMP, CGEIT, IPMA-D, P2rp, MoRrp

Intro

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Page 2: Leading Complex Projects - An extract of a very few illustrations

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© Logical Model Ltd 2006-2014

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Intro

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Simon’s Answer to Khalid’s Question on Simple versus Complex

Simple Complicated Complex ChaoticCause & Effect Deterministic

C=E & E=C

Probabilistic

Outcome set closed

C=E | E + E | … E=C|C

Pattern describable

Outcome set open

C=E+? E=?+C

No observable pattern

Dynamics Few elements & few

interactions - Linear

Many element, Few

interactions, Mostly linear

Agent interaction leads to

emergence – Non-Linear

Wicked Non-Linear in

multiple dimensions

Precedence Reliable & Valuable Marginalised Mostly dangerous Impossible to identify

Planning Goal+Deliverables =

(complete) Hi skill (C&E)

Statement of Work

Goal+Deliverables =

evolving SoW

Rolling Wave or Stages

SoO & Constraints,

Decision Architectures

Coordinate plans

Statement of Outcome

(SoO).

Hope

Known-ness All factors predicted with

certainty

All factors predicted, some

with uncertainty

Increasing number of factors that we are unable to

predict how they will be uncertain

Measurement All quantitative Quantitative hard

Qualitative Not possible

Control Style Manage Manage & Lead Lead & Enable

Pastoral Care

Hang-on & Pray

Control

(DMA)

Command

Defined (Templates, Low

skill in Exctn, Automation)

Command, monitor,

Contingencies (Plans B-Z)

(Hi Skill, Bespoke Sol’tn)

Attractors, Agents,

Inspect & Adapt C&E,

Governance Freedom

Monitoring impossible

Allow to run or

Terminate

Best for Implementation,

Manufacture

Efficient repetition

Avoided Creativity, Design, R&D

Novel solutions

¿fun?

Breakthrough

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An Idea’s Journey .

Cascade Intent &

Constraints (Tolerances)

Delegate A

uthority & C

ontrol of Resources

(Constraints aka ‘freedom

s ’)

M & V=What How: Vision

Vision=What How: Ops Str’tgy

Strategy=What How: Del’bls

Result=What Impacts

Esc

alat

e de

cisi

ons

outs

ide

auth

ority

or

skill

s: S

eek

Gui

danc

e (R

epor

t?)

Why

Technical (Eng & PM) Solution

Domain Skills eg PMBoK+Agile

(Tech, Mg & Q execution)

Project (change)

Ctl-PRINCE2® + Agile

(Eng’ring & Planning)

Dep’t & Prg’m

Options-Structure

(Architectures)

Business P’flo

OutcomesD4®

(Modus Operandi)

Ben

efits

Decision Making Architecture

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Concurrency Of Design Steps

Cascade Intent &

Constraints (Tolerances)

Delegate A

uthority & C

ontrol of Resources

(Constraints aka ‘freedom

s’)

M & V=What How: Vision

Vision=What How: Ops Str’tgy

Strategy=What How: Del’bls

Result=What Impacts

Esc

alat

e de

cisi

ons

outs

ide

auth

ority

or

skill

s: S

eek

Gui

danc

e (R

epor

t?)

Why

Technical (Eng & PM) Solution

Domain Skills eg PMBoK+Agile

(Tech, Mg & Q execution)

Project (change)

Ctl-PRINCE2® + Agile

(Eng’ring & Planning)

Dep’t & Prg’m

Options-Structure

(Architectures)

Business P’flo

OutcomesD4®

(Modus Operandi)

Ben

efits

Decision Making Architecture

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Decision Making Architecture

Cascade Intent &

Constraints (Tolerances)

Delegate A

uthority & C

ontrol of Resources

(Constraints aka ‘freedom

s’)

Esc

alat

e de

cisi

ons

outs

ide

auth

ority

or

skill

s: S

eek

Gui

danc

e (R

epor

t?)

Constancy of Operation

Operational ‘fluency’ in day-to-day decisions

Scripted, Within defined limits

Constancy of Purpose

Technical authority to design and modify

day-to-day operations to achieve

received targets & goals

Constancy of Business

Authority to set targets & tactical

goals aimed at vision, duty to

allocate resources,

approve actions

Constancy of Capital

Fiduciary duty to

cascade

strategic

vision

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Capacity To RTB Versus CTB

Cascade intent &

constraints

Delegated A

uthorities & Tolerances (freedom

s)

Esc

alat

e de

cisi

ons

outs

ide

auth

ority

Rep

ort,

See

k G

uida

nce

Trigger

† The capital available – especially human capital – sets (one of) the

constraint or limits on what the directors can do

Business as usual

Operations

View across the total portfolio of uses of capital†

Result Tasks Resources

Monitor and ReplanPlanning

Execution

Goals

What (M & V) How: Vision

Business Design

(Modus

Operandi)

Business-as-usual use of resources (RtB)

Project use of resources (CtB)Results, Impacts, Products, Deliverables

future-state-business-as-usualDelivery

Change

(Projects)

Ben

efits

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Introducing change means changing attractors Incentivise introduction of new to replace old

Incentives must be based on permanence of eventual solution…

… Avoid churn (change for change & bonus sake only)

Consolidating the new into the existing

Incentives for Directors, Managers, Project & Operational stakeholdersmust link to investor’s target

Manager’s Attractors

Capacity to RTB Versus CTBC

ascade intent & constraints

Delegated A

uthorities & T

olerances (freedoms)

Esc

alat

e de

cisi

ons

outs

ide

auth

ority

Rep

ort,

See

k G

uida

nce

Trigger

Business as usual

Operations

View across the total portfolio of uses of capital†

Result Tasks Resources

Monitor and ReplanPlanning

Execution

Goals

What (M & V) How: VisionBusiness Design

(Modus Operandi)

Business-as-usual use of resources (RtB)

Project use of resources (CtB)Results, Impacts, Products, Deliverables

future-state-business-as-usualDelivery

Change

(Projects) Ben

efits

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Draw-off of specialismsfrom functions

Skills & tools focus plus customer and end-point focus

Great when well implemented Significant

challenges

Where Interfaces Are Needed

Project α

Project β

Project γ

Stra

tegy

Change In

itiativ

e

Busin

ess P

roce

ss

Pro

duct D

evelo

pm

ent

Busin

ess T

ransf’tn

I’m’tn

& R

ollo

ut

Ops S

upport

Senior Management

Business Process Concept Architecture DesignTraining Design

Validation Integration

CommercialsIdentify Opportunity

Qualify Opportunity

Bid for Opportunity

Negotiate Ts&Cs

Maintain customer relationship

Systems EngineeringInfrastructure

ArchitectureDesign Construction Validation Operational Support

Business ChangeApplicatoin Architecture

Design Construction Validation Operational SupportImplementation& Roll-Out

Preparation

Test Specifications

Conduct tests

Customer acceptances

Release Operational Support

Project Manag’t Initiation Programme Plan

Service SupportDesign for Support Specification

Operational SupportDe-commission

Create Support infrastructure

Business Process Concept Architecture DesignTraining Design

Validation Integration

CommercialsIdentify Opportunity

Qualify Opportunity

Bid for Opportunity

Negotiate Ts&Cs

Maintain customer relationship

Systems EngineeringInfrastructure

ArchitectureDesign Construction Validation Operational Support

Business ChangeApplicatoin Architecture

Design Construction Validation Operational SupportImplementation& Roll-Out

Preparation

Test Specifications

Conduct tests

Customer acceptances

Release Operational Support

Project Manag’t Initiation Programme Plan

Service SupportDesign for Support Specification

Operational SupportDe-commission

Create Support infrastructure

Business Process Concept Architecture DesignTraining Design

Validation Integration

CommercialsIdentify Opportunity

Qualify Opportunity

Bid for Opportunity

Negotiate Ts&Cs

Maintain customer relationship

Systems EngineeringInfrastructure

ArchitectureDesign Construction Validation Operational Support

Business ChangeApplicatoin Architecture

Design Construction Validation Operational SupportImplementation& Roll-Out

Preparation

Test Specifications

Conduct tests

Customer acceptances

Release Operational Support

Project Manag’t Initiation Programme Plan

Service SupportDesign for Support Specification

Operational SupportDe-commission

Create Support infrastructure

Change Initiative P r o j e c t C o n t r o l

Business Process Concept Architecture DesignTraining Design

Validation Staff Training

StrategyCommercials

Identify Opportunity

Qualify Opportunity

ApproveBusiness Case

Monitor Project Execution Monitor Return on Investment

Product Development Infrastructure

ArchitectureDesign Construction Validation Operational Support

Business Transf’tnApplicatoin Architecture

Design Construction Validation Operational Support

Implementation& Roll-Out

Preparation

Test Specifications

Tests Setup

Customer Acceptances

Release Operational Support

Operations Support Design for Support Specification

Operational SupportDe-commission

Create Support infrastructure

InitiationProjectPlan

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Draw-off of specialismsfrom functions

Skills & tools focus plus customer and end-point focus

Great when well implemented Significant

challenges

Where Interfaces Are Needed

Project α

Project β

Project γ

Stra

tegy

Change In

itiativ

e

Busin

ess P

roce

ss

Pro

duct D

evelo

pm

ent

Busin

ess T

ransf’tn

I’m’tn

& R

ollo

ut

Ops S

upport

Senior Management

Business Process Concept Architecture DesignTraining Design

Validation Integration

CommercialsIdentify Opportunity

Qualify Opportunity

Bid for Opportunity

Negotiate Ts&Cs

Maintain customer relationship

Systems EngineeringInfrastructure

ArchitectureDesign Construction Validation Operational Support

Business ChangeApplicatoin Architecture

Design Construction Validation Operational SupportImplementation& Roll-Out

Preparation

Test Specifications

Conduct tests

Customer acceptances

Release Operational Support

Project Manag’t Initiation Programme Plan

Service SupportDesign for Support Specification

Operational SupportDe-commission

Create Support infrastructure

Business Process Concept Architecture DesignTraining Design

Validation Integration

CommercialsIdentify Opportunity

Qualify Opportunity

Bid for Opportunity

Negotiate Ts&Cs

Maintain customer relationship

Systems EngineeringInfrastructure

ArchitectureDesign Construction Validation Operational Support

Business ChangeApplicatoin Architecture

Design Construction Validation Operational SupportImplementation& Roll-Out

Preparation

Test Specifications

Conduct tests

Customer acceptances

Release Operational Support

Project Manag’t Initiation Programme Plan

Service SupportDesign for Support Specification

Operational SupportDe-commission

Create Support infrastructure

Business Process Concept Architecture DesignTraining Design

Validation Integration

CommercialsIdentify Opportunity

Qualify Opportunity

Bid for Opportunity

Negotiate Ts&Cs

Maintain customer relationship

Systems EngineeringInfrastructure

ArchitectureDesign Construction Validation Operational Support

Business ChangeApplicatoin Architecture

Design Construction Validation Operational SupportImplementation& Roll-Out

Preparation

Test Specifications

Conduct tests

Customer acceptances

Release Operational Support

Project Manag’t Initiation Programme Plan

Service SupportDesign for Support Specification

Operational SupportDe-commission

Create Support infrastructure

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At project end the supplier receives their reward (profit) The investor is furthest from a return

Benefits Profile

Value

0

Supplier’s Cash-flow

Time (not to scale)

Supplier’s Profit

Investor’s P&L Profile

Investor’s Deficit

Supplier’s Max Invest

Investor’s Final surplus

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…†Just How We Do Business Around Here New incentives (& habits)

Avoid Back-sliding

New capability projects often experiences initial performance below design

Project end is key challenge for operations Emotional support of the people

Normal & Exceptional procedures

Turning off old ways of working is disorienting

JHWDBAH†

Promised

Actual-?

Actual-?!

Realising Benefits from Government ICT Investment – a fool’s errand?Stephen Jenner ISBN 978-1-906638-26-9