Lead PI(s): Billy Johnson, Zhonglong Zhang, Mark Jensen ... · Lead PI(s): Billy Johnson, Zhonglong...
Transcript of Lead PI(s): Billy Johnson, Zhonglong Zhang, Mark Jensen ... · Lead PI(s): Billy Johnson, Zhonglong...
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UMR Floodplain Forest Conference, Sept. 16, 2015, Dubuque, IA
Lead PI(s): Billy Johnson, Zhonglong Zhang, Mark Jensen
Product Development Team:Zhonglong Zhang, Junna Wang (LimnoTech)Mark Jensen (HEC)Blair Greiman, Victor Huang (USBR)
Upper Mississippi River Tech Transfer Team:Chuck Theiling, Ben Vandermyde, Toby Hunemuller (MVR)Derek Ingvalson, Randy Urich, Jon Hendrickson (MVP)Rob Cosgriff, Don Duncan (MVS)
Modeling Interactions of Flow and Riparian Vegetation for Improved Riverine Ecosystem Management
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UMR Floodplain Forest Conference, Sept. 16, 2015, Dubuque, IA
What to Anticipate….
• Corps need for modeling and RVSM• HEC-RAS hydrologic model primer• Riparian Vegetation Simulation Module – DLL• Corps inside baseball (stuff we always include in
briefings)• Deterministic modeling ~ Alternative analysis ~
Scenario analysis
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UMR Floodplain Forest Conference, Sept. 16, 2015, Dubuque, IA
Planning Need(Principles and Guidelines for
Federal Investments in Water Resources)
• Establish existing condition• Forecast future w/o project• Evaluate alternatives• Compare alternatives
• Policy Guidance on Certification of Ecosystem Output Models (Model Certification required by Congress)
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UMR Floodplain Forest Conference, Sept. 16, 2015, Dubuque, IA
District Need
• Vegetation in riparian zones plays an important role in controlling channel morphology and maintaining favorable habitat for aquatic organisms
• Linked HEC-RAS and Riparian Vegetation Simulation Module (RVSM) modeling tool will support feasibility studies for Flood Risk Management (FRM) and Ecosystem Restoration (ER) projects by addressing the following questions:► What impact does riparian vegetation have on local flood
conditions?► What set of riverine operations can be used to encourage
recruitment and survival of native vegetation (and control the spread of invasive species)?
► How will management actions impact habitat for endangered and threatened species?
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UMR Floodplain Forest Conference, Sept. 16, 2015, Dubuque, IA
Why Transfer to UMR First?
1. Awareness of shared need and opportunity through HQ Research Area Review Group participation and Statement of Need development (FY16 – 5 UMR studies funded).
2. Outstanding data availability – especially forest stand mapping and system-wide hydrologic models
3. Strong local interest and participation
4. Abundant technical expertise
5. Need to support Corps missions in UMR
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UMR Floodplain Forest Conference, Sept. 16, 2015, Dubuque, IA
HEC-RAS Primer(Hydrologic Engineering Center’s
River Analysis System)
• "Next Generation" software packages – one-dimensional steady
flow (fixed discharge), – unsteady flow (annual
hydrograph), – sediment transport/mobile bed computations, – water temperature
modeling.
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UMR Floodplain Forest Conference, Sept. 16, 2015, Dubuque, IA
UMR HEC-RAS Status(UNET; Flow Frequency Study)
• System-wide river stage• Last update 2004• Designed for flood
assessment• Prior model 1962• 100 years of record• Graphical and tabular output• Multi-agency participation• Expert review
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UMR Floodplain Forest Conference, Sept. 16, 2015, Dubuque, IA
UMR HEC-RAS Status(Flow Frequency Study)
1994Orthophoto
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UMR Floodplain Forest Conference, Sept. 16, 2015, Dubuque, IA
UMR HEC-RAS Status(Flow Frequency Study)
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UMR Floodplain Forest Conference, Sept. 16, 2015, Dubuque, IA
Floodplain Inundation
RiverStage
Land Surface (DEM)
Flooded(Fill)
50%
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10%20%
Schematic representation of the cut/fill procedure to estimate inundation from surface topography and flood stage estimates after Ehrhardt 2001. Increasingly larger floods inundate larger areas, but the most frequent floods could potentially inundate large portions of the floodplain in the absence of impoundment or levees.
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UMR Floodplain Forest Conference, Sept. 16, 2015, Dubuque, IA
LOW FLOW 5‐YR FLOOD2‐YR FLOODNO PUMPS 10‐YR FLOOD
25‐YR FLOOD 200‐YR FLOOD100‐YR FLOOD50‐YR FLOOD 500‐YR FLOOD
010,00020,00030,00040,00050,00060,00070,00080,00090,000
Controlle
d PoolNo P
umps2-Y
r5-Y
r10
-Yr
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r50
-Yr
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r20
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rAc
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Flood Inundation Surfaces for Pool 18
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UMR Floodplain Forest Conference, Sept. 16, 2015, Dubuque, IA
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UMR HEC-RAS Status(Inundation Analysis)
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UMR Floodplain Forest Conference, Sept. 16, 2015, Dubuque, IA
Riparian Vegetation Simulation Module - DLL
Advance time, t, by time step
Advance cross section, i
Advance points, k, within cross section
Establishment Module
Growth Module
Mortality Module
Is k > number of points in cross‐
section
Is i > number of cross‐section
Is t > end time
N
N
N
Y
Y
End
YRVSM
SRH-1D/2D(Sedimentation and
River Hydraulics)
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UMR Floodplain Forest Conference, Sept. 16, 2015, Dubuque, IA
Riparian Vegetation Simulation Module - DLL
Recruitment Module
Are seeds available?
Is ground moist
enough?
Is space available?
Establish plant Do not establish plant
N
N
N
Y
Y
Y
Vegetation Recruitment
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UMR Floodplain Forest Conference, Sept. 16, 2015, Dubuque, IA
Riparian Vegetation Simulation Module - DLL
Growth Model
Compute root growth –limit to groundwater table
Compute stalk growth
Find root and stalk growth rates based upon age
Vegetation Growth
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UMR Floodplain Forest Conference, Sept. 16, 2015, Dubuque, IA
Riparian Vegetation Simulation Module - DLL
Death Module
Kill plant
Have roots been above the capillary fringe
too long?
Are local velocities high
enough to scourPlant?
Was local sediment deposition
sufficient to bury plant?
Is plant too old?
Has plant been under water too
long?
Vegetation Mortality
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UMR Floodplain Forest Conference, Sept. 16, 2015, Dubuque, IA
Riparian Vegetation Simulation Module - Database
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UMR Floodplain Forest Conference, Sept. 16, 2015, Dubuque, IA
Riparian Vegetation Simulation Module - DLL
• Fischenich (2000)
• Rahmeyer et al. (2000)
• Jarvela et al. (2004)
• Baptist et al. (2007)
Current Development: Hydraulic roughness will be computed from vegetation life cycle on floodplains
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UMR Floodplain Forest Conference, Sept. 16, 2015, Dubuque, IA
Riparian Vegetation Simulation Module - Testing
• Sacramento River data sets provided by USBR
• Cottonwood Establishment and Seedling Desiccation
• Survival of Multiple Vegetation Types
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UMR Floodplain Forest Conference, Sept. 16, 2015, Dubuque, IA
Riparian Vegetation Simulation Module - Testing
Plant Species
• Fremont Cottonwood• Mixed Forest• Gooding’s Black Willow• Narrow Leaf Willow• Invasive Plants• Upland Grass
1999Land Cover
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UMR Floodplain Forest Conference, Sept. 16, 2015, Dubuque, IA
Riparian Vegetation Simulation Module - Testing
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Note: For the RVSM results, flows were provided by HEC-RAS.
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UMR Floodplain Forest Conference, Sept. 16, 2015, Dubuque, IA
Riparian Vegetation Simulation Module - Testing
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UMR Floodplain Forest Conference, Sept. 16, 2015, Dubuque, IA
Riparian Vegetation Simulation Module - Testing
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UMR Floodplain Forest Conference, Sept. 16, 2015, Dubuque, IA
Riparian Vegetation Simulation Module - Testing
HEC-RAS and RVSM and model integration will be further tested for Upper Mississippi River reaches (four reaches)
ERDC-EL will perform testing and validation for two reaches, will train Rock Island District on the use of HEC-RAS/RVSM, and assist them in testing and validating the remaining two reaches.
Collaborators: St. Paul District, Rock Island District, USGS, US Forest Services
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UMR Floodplain Forest Conference, Sept. 16, 2015, Dubuque, IA
Products
• TR: “Riparian Vegetation Simulation Module (RVSM) Developed for HEC-RAS Model”
Status: Under Development
• Software: RVSM.dll, RVSM databaseStatus: Completed
• Software: Integration with HEC-RASStatus: Under Development
List of Products w/ Status : TN’s / TR’s / JA’s / Software
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UMR Floodplain Forest Conference, Sept. 16, 2015, Dubuque, IA
Tech Transfer Plan
• EMRRP webinar(s)• District / Planning CoP: St. Paul District, Rock Island
District, Kansas District, and Sacramento District –Discussions and Presentations
• Perform Training Workshops• Software and Documentation downloads from HEC
website• Technical Report and Technical Note downloads
from ERDC Library• Peer Reviewed Journal Articles
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UMR Floodplain Forest Conference, Sept. 16, 2015, Dubuque, IA
Capability to Corps
• This research will provide an integrated tool (HEC-RAS-RVSM) that is in direct support of the Corps’ ecosystem restoration and management mission.
• Model results can be used for environmental impact statement (EIS) and habitat studies, to support predictions of future physical conditions, and to inform alternative comparisons for restoration and maintenance actions.
• This product will establish a multi-disciplinary dialogue between field users (District) and the research and development community (ERDC and HEC).
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UMR Floodplain Forest Conference, Sept. 16, 2015, Dubuque, IA
Funding
• FY 13 – $100k
• FY14 - $257.5k
• FY15 - $272.5k*
• FY16 - $160k**$50k was added for Upper
Mississippi River Demonstration support from Rock Island District
• FY 16 – $350k
• FY17 – $400k
• FY18 – $400k
• FY19 – $150k
RVSM 1D RVSM 2D*
*Green Island Nutrient Study
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UMR Floodplain Forest Conference, Sept. 16, 2015, Dubuque, IA
1D and 2D model mesh
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UMR Floodplain Forest Conference, Sept. 16, 2015, Dubuque, IA
Wet Floodplain Forest
Mesic Floodplain Forest
Populus/Salix Prairie
Potential Vegetation(Deterministic Models)
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UMR Floodplain Forest Conference, Sept. 16, 2015, Dubuque, IA
LegendPrairieCottonwood/WillowWet Floodplain ForestMesic Floodplain ForestNon‐AquaticIsolated BackwaterConnected BackwaterImpounded AreaTertiary ChannelSecondary ChannelChannel BorderMain ChannelTributary Channel
Hydrogeomorphic Model &Aquatic Hydraulic Model
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UMR Floodplain Forest Conference, Sept. 16, 2015, Dubuque, IA
Legend
Contiguous BackwaterIsolated Backwater
Main Channel
Sand
Secondary ChannelTertiary Channel
Tributary Channel
Legend1989 Aquatic Area 50% probability – 2YR20% probability – 5YR10% probability – 10YR4% probability – 25YR2% probability – 50YR1% probability – 100YR
0.5% probability – 200YR0.2% probability – 500YR
Leveed Area
Potential Water
1890
No Pumps Potential Flood
1989
Multiple ReferenceCondition Analysis