Large transactions set up market for its strongest year ...

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MARKETVIEW Large transactions set up market for its strongest year since the pre- crisis record Hungary Property Investment, H1 2016 H1 2016 CBRE Research 1 Note: Arrows indicate change from previous year 6.75% 8.50% © 2016 CBRE Kft. | 6.25% EUR 735 M Chart 1 – Commercial Real Estate* (CRE) Turnover in Hungary Sources: BRF, CBRE Research *Commercial Real Estate stands for any kind of income-producing property, excluding land and residential for lease SUMMARY Hungarian CRE investment volume reached EUR 735 million in H1 2016, marking a 177% y-o-y increase. The Hungarian investment market has shown the most dynamic expansion amongst the core CEE countries over the past 18 months. Based on the pipeline and the recent acceleration of international investment activity, we forecast a higher share of large portfolio transactions bringing further growth in total volume. For 2016 we expect the CRE investment volume to reach EUR 1.2 billion, which would make it the second-highest annual figure to date.

Transcript of Large transactions set up market for its strongest year ...

MARKETVIEW

Large transactions set up market

for its strongest year since the pre-

crisis record

Hungary Property Investment, H1 2016

H1 2016 CBRE Research 1

Note: Arrows indicate change from previous year

6.75% 8.50%

© 2016 CBRE Kft. |

6.25% EUR 735 M

Chart 1 – Commercial Real Estate* (CRE) Turnover in Hungary

Sources: BRF, CBRE Research *Commercial Real Estate stands for any kind of income-producing property, excluding land and residential for lease

SUMMARY

Hungarian CRE investment volume reached

EUR 735 million in H1 2016, marking a

177% y-o-y increase.

The Hungarian investment market has shown

the most dynamic expansion amongst the

core CEE countries over the past 18 months.

Based on the pipeline and the recent

acceleration of international investment

activity, we forecast a higher share of large

portfolio transactions bringing further growth

in total volume.

For 2016 we expect the CRE investment

volume to reach EUR 1.2 billion, which would

make it the second-highest annual figure to

date.

MARKETVIEW

MACROECONOMIC SUMMARY

SOURCE OF INVESTMENT

H1 2016 CBRE Research 2

HUNGARY PROPERTY INVESTMENT

Chart 3 – Investment Turnover in Core CEE Countries

Source: CBRE Research

© 2016 CBRE Kft. |

Chart 2 – Key Financial Indicators in Hungary

Source: National Bank of Hungary

Chart 4 – Annual Growth Rates Amongst Core CEE Countries

Source: BAMOSZ, CBRE Research Note: Slovakia did register the highest growth rate but was excluded from the chart to optimize visual scaling due to marginal base year volume.

MARKETVIEW

H1 2016 CBRE Research 3

HUNGARY PROPERTY INVESTMENT

Chart 7 – Prime Yields by Sectors and Yield Gap on 10-yr Bond Rate

© 2016 CBRE Kft. |

TARGETS OF INVESTMENT

YIELD LEVELS

Sources: Oxford Economics, CBRE Research *Yield gap equals the difference between the prime yield for Budapest office, and the 10-year government bond.

Chart 6 – Split of CRE Investment Turnover by Purchasers’ Nationality

Source: CBRE Research

Chart 5 – Investment Turnover of Hungarian Purchasers and Their Share in Total Volume

Source: CBRE Research

MARKETVIEW

Disclaimer: Information contained herein, including projections, has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. While we do not doubt its accuracy, we have not verified it and make no guarantee, warranty or representation about it. It is your responsibility to confirm independently its accuracy and completeness. This information is presented exclusively for use by CBRE clients and professionals and all rights to the material are reserved and cannot be reproduced without prior written permission of CBRE.

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