Labor economics A Hokkaido University Fall 2015 Yukiko Abe Hokkaido University, Japan 1© Yukiko Abe...

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Labor economics A Hokkaido University Fall 2015 Yukiko Abe Hokkaido University, Japan 1 © Yukiko Abe 2015 All rights reserved

Transcript of Labor economics A Hokkaido University Fall 2015 Yukiko Abe Hokkaido University, Japan 1© Yukiko Abe...

Page 1: Labor economics A Hokkaido University Fall 2015 Yukiko Abe Hokkaido University, Japan 1© Yukiko Abe 2015 All rights reserved.

Labor economics AHokkaido University

Fall 2015

Yukiko AbeHokkaido University, Japan

1© Yukiko Abe 2015 All rights reserved

Page 2: Labor economics A Hokkaido University Fall 2015 Yukiko Abe Hokkaido University, Japan 1© Yukiko Abe 2015 All rights reserved.

Reading: writing and craft of research in economics

• Read the materials in [1] of “On research, writing, & publishing” (slide # 3) and:– State the points that you find useful or interesting;

explain the reasons briefly.– State the points that you disagree, and explain

why.• Length: 3-4 pages, double-spaced, in English• Due: November 19th 14 pm., by e-mail to

[email protected]

2© Yukiko Abe 2015 All rights reserved

Page 3: Labor economics A Hokkaido University Fall 2015 Yukiko Abe Hokkaido University, Japan 1© Yukiko Abe 2015 All rights reserved.

[1] On research, writing, & publishing(available in the internet)

• Dixit, A. “My system of work (not!)” Passion and Craft: Economists at Work, ed. Michael Szenberg, University of Michigan Press, 1998. – http://www.princeton.edu/~dixitak/home/dixitwrk.pdf

• Fullerton, D. General & Specific guidelines for writing research papers– http://business.illinois.edu/dfullert/writing-general.pdf– https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/35757123/writing-specific.pdf

• Moffitt, R. “Getting published in economics journals,” CSWEP newsletter, Spring 2011– http://www.aeaweb.org/committees/cswep1/newsletters/

CSWEP_nsltr_SprSum_2011.pdf

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Page 4: Labor economics A Hokkaido University Fall 2015 Yukiko Abe Hokkaido University, Japan 1© Yukiko Abe 2015 All rights reserved.

[2] On research, writing, & publishing(available in journals)

• Hamermesh, D. (1992) "The Young Economist's Guide to Professional Etiquette," Journal of Economic Perspectives, v. 6, iss. 1, pp. 169-79

• Thomson W. (1999) “The Young Person’s Guide to Writing Economic Theory,” Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. 37, pp. 157–183, sections 1 & 2

• Hamermesh, D. (2000) “The Craft of Labormetrics,” Industrial and Labor Relations Review, Vol. 53, No. 3., pp. 363-380.

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Page 5: Labor economics A Hokkaido University Fall 2015 Yukiko Abe Hokkaido University, Japan 1© Yukiko Abe 2015 All rights reserved.

[3] On research, writing, & publishing(available in books)

• Goldin, C. “The Economist as Detective” Passion and Craft: Economists at Work, ed. Michael Szenberg, University of Michigan Press, 1998

• McCloskey, D. Economical Writing, Second Edition, Waveland Press, 2000

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Page 6: Labor economics A Hokkaido University Fall 2015 Yukiko Abe Hokkaido University, Japan 1© Yukiko Abe 2015 All rights reserved.

Things to note

• Paragraphs and topic sentences• Introduction• Detailed rules of writing• Rewriting!• Read aloud

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Page 7: Labor economics A Hokkaido University Fall 2015 Yukiko Abe Hokkaido University, Japan 1© Yukiko Abe 2015 All rights reserved.

Term paper and its preparation

• Each student must submit a term paper• Due date for the term paper will be notified

later (close to the end of the semester).• Due dates: (1) November 30th, 14 pm. , (2)

close to the end of semester (the exact date will be notified later)

• Presentations: a short presentation in November (discuss topics), and a longer one in January.

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Page 8: Labor economics A Hokkaido University Fall 2015 Yukiko Abe Hokkaido University, Japan 1© Yukiko Abe 2015 All rights reserved.

Presentation & Term paper assignment

• Perform an empirical exercise and write a term paper. The topic can be anything from labor economics (discuss with the instructor if you wish to write something other than labor economics).

• Try to write simply and clearly: Follow the guides and tips from the assigned materials.

• During the course, make two presentations in order to get feedback.

• Revise the paper by incorporating the comments.

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Page 9: Labor economics A Hokkaido University Fall 2015 Yukiko Abe Hokkaido University, Japan 1© Yukiko Abe 2015 All rights reserved.

Those who will be attending the class

• Write an e-mail to the [email protected], stating that you will be attending the class, by October 7th, 13 pm.

• Obtain Borjas’s book (earlier edition is OK).• Read Chapters 2, 3, 4. • Obtain materials in [1]-[3] above, to the extent you

can.

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Page 10: Labor economics A Hokkaido University Fall 2015 Yukiko Abe Hokkaido University, Japan 1© Yukiko Abe 2015 All rights reserved.

The unemployment rate

• [1] What is the level of the unemployment rate in Japan, in the latest statistics?

• [2] What does it measure?• [3] How is it measured?

• Five minutes

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Measurement of the Labor Force Status

• Definitions of labour force measures in the Labour Force Survey in Japan are available at the following website:

• http://www.stat.go.jp/data/roudou/pdf/definit.pdf

• Borjas, Chapter 2, Section 2-1

Page 12: Labor economics A Hokkaido University Fall 2015 Yukiko Abe Hokkaido University, Japan 1© Yukiko Abe 2015 All rights reserved.

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Japan’s case: Labour Force Status of those aged 15 or over

• Labour force participants– employed

• Workers• Workers who are taking leave

– unemployed• Those who are out of labour force– Among those who are age 15 or over, who are not

employed and who are not unemployed

Page 13: Labor economics A Hokkaido University Fall 2015 Yukiko Abe Hokkaido University, Japan 1© Yukiko Abe 2015 All rights reserved.

Employed• The “employed” consists of two types: who worked and who

are employed and out of work.• Those who worked for pay (wages, salary, benefits, in-house

revenue) for more than 1 hour (1 inclusive), during the survey week. If a family member of the self-employed worked without pay for the family business, then she is included as “employed.”

• Who are employed and out of work: Those who have a job but did not work at all during the survey week. [1] salary or wage earners who are supposed to receive salary or wages, or, [2] the self-employed who holds his business and it is less than 30 days since he stopped working.

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Unemployed

• Those who do not have job and therefore did not work during the survey week

• Who are able to work immediately• During the survey week, either searched for a job

(including the case he was waiting for the results of the job search activity done before), or were preparing for starting his own business.

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Labour Force Participation Rate

• Definition

• Among the population aged 15 or over, what is the percentage of people who are willing to work?

LF

PopulationLFPR=

Page 16: Labor economics A Hokkaido University Fall 2015 Yukiko Abe Hokkaido University, Japan 1© Yukiko Abe 2015 All rights reserved.

Unemployment rate (definition)• Definition

• “Unemp” in the numerator is the number of the unemployed

• Among the labor force, what is the fraction of unemployed people?

• This statistic is calculated from the Labour force survey in Japan (latest statistics??)

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UnempU

LF

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Page 17: Labor economics A Hokkaido University Fall 2015 Yukiko Abe Hokkaido University, Japan 1© Yukiko Abe 2015 All rights reserved.

Basics of labor supply

• Consider the problem of time allocation using the optimization framework. It is an application of microeconomics.

• Maximize utility subject to the budget constraint.• We have the Slutsky equation in microeconomics,

in which the effect of price on demand is decomposed into income and substitution effects. It is much used in understanding labor supply.

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Page 18: Labor economics A Hokkaido University Fall 2015 Yukiko Abe Hokkaido University, Japan 1© Yukiko Abe 2015 All rights reserved.

Slutsky Equation (general presentation)

• Decompose the outcome of good ii into income and substitution effects:

      The effect of change in keeping income constant

• The effect of change in keeping utility constant       

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j j ji

i iI U

x x xx

p p I

j

i I

x

p

ip

j

i U

x

p

ip

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Page 19: Labor economics A Hokkaido University Fall 2015 Yukiko Abe Hokkaido University, Japan 1© Yukiko Abe 2015 All rights reserved.

Slutsky Equation (cont.)

•     : Substitution effect

•       : Income effect

• at the beginning of income effect is because of the Shepard’s lemma

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j

i U

x

p

ji

xx

I

ix

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Page 20: Labor economics A Hokkaido University Fall 2015 Yukiko Abe Hokkaido University, Japan 1© Yukiko Abe 2015 All rights reserved.

Compensated and Uncompensated demand functions

• The compensated demand functions are the demand when utility is kept constant (Hicksian demand function)

• The usual demand functions (called Marshallian demand function) are the ones in which income is kept constant.

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Page 21: Labor economics A Hokkaido University Fall 2015 Yukiko Abe Hokkaido University, Japan 1© Yukiko Abe 2015 All rights reserved.

Slutskey equation and the expenditure function

• Note the following identity holds :

• Differentiate the above equation by   , use the Shepard’s lemma and rearrange, we obtain :

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1, 2 1, 2 1, 2( ; ( , )) ( ; )Ci ix p p E p p u x p p u

1p

1, 2 1, 2 11 1

( ; ) ( ; ) jCi i

xx p p I x p p u x

p p I

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Page 22: Labor economics A Hokkaido University Fall 2015 Yukiko Abe Hokkaido University, Japan 1© Yukiko Abe 2015 All rights reserved.

Shepard’s lemma

• The following relationship holds :

where is the expenditure function and is the compensated demand function.

1, 21, 2

( ; )( ; )C

ii

E p p ux p p u

p

1,2i

1, 2( ; )Cix p p u

1, 2( ; )E p p u

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Page 23: Labor economics A Hokkaido University Fall 2015 Yukiko Abe Hokkaido University, Japan 1© Yukiko Abe 2015 All rights reserved.

Heuristic proof of the Shepard’s lemma (1)

• The expenditure function is as follows :

• Denote the change in the LHS of the above equation as    .

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1, 2 1 1 1, 2 2 2 1, 2( ; ) ( ; ) ( ; )C CE p p u p x p p u p x p p u

E

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Page 24: Labor economics A Hokkaido University Fall 2015 Yukiko Abe Hokkaido University, Japan 1© Yukiko Abe 2015 All rights reserved.

Heuristic proof of the Shepard’s lemma (2)

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• Assume that only    changes. The change in the expenditure in this case is:

1p

1

1 1 1 1 2 2

1 2 2 1 1 = (*)p x p

E p x p x p x

xx p

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Page 25: Labor economics A Hokkaido University Fall 2015 Yukiko Abe Hokkaido University, Japan 1© Yukiko Abe 2015 All rights reserved.

Heuristic proof of the Shepard’s lemma (3)

• Then, the main point of the Shepard’s lemma comes from the following fact:

• Noting that the utility is kept constant, the changes in are on the indifference curve.

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1 1 2 2 0p x p x

1 2 ,x x

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Page 26: Labor economics A Hokkaido University Fall 2015 Yukiko Abe Hokkaido University, Japan 1© Yukiko Abe 2015 All rights reserved.

Heuristic proof of the Shepard’s lemma (4)

• Recall that the condition for the cost minimization is to equate the marginal rate of substitution and the price ratio.

• Using the definition of the marginal rate of substitution, this is

•  

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2 1 1

1 2 2

/

/

x U x pMRS

x U x p

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Page 27: Labor economics A Hokkaido University Fall 2015 Yukiko Abe Hokkaido University, Japan 1© Yukiko Abe 2015 All rights reserved.

Heuristic proof of the Shepard’s lemma (5)

• Since and move along the indifference curve, and satisfy the following relationship:

  

• On the other hand, the optimality implies:

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2 1

1 2

/

/

x U xMRS

x U x

2 1 1

1 2 2

/

/

x U x pMRS

x U x p

1 x1 x 2x

2 x

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