L11 Intertermporal Choice II. Intertemporal Choice u Two periods: u Consumption smoothing u Today:...

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L11 Intertermporal Choice II

Transcript of L11 Intertermporal Choice II. Intertemporal Choice u Two periods: u Consumption smoothing u Today:...

Page 1: L11 Intertermporal Choice II. Intertemporal Choice u Two periods: u Consumption smoothing u Today: Many periods.

L11

Intertermporal Choice II

Page 2: L11 Intertermporal Choice II. Intertemporal Choice u Two periods: u Consumption smoothing u Today: Many periods.

Intertemporal Choice

Two periods: Consumption smoothing

Today: Many periods

1C 2C

Page 3: L11 Intertermporal Choice II. Intertemporal Choice u Two periods: u Consumption smoothing u Today: Many periods.

3 Periods Cashflows

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Many Periods Cashflow

E: T=3, r=100%. Choose:$1 in each of the three period or $8 in the third

0 1 2 . . . time

0PV

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Translation Cashflow

0 1 2 . . . time

0PV

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Gives constant payment x forever Cashflow

Important cashflow: Perpetuity

0PV

0 1 2 . . . time

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You can rent an apartment for $1000 each month (r=0.5%=0.005)

You can buy it P=300.000 Renting vs buying?

Perpetuity (Example)

0PV

Page 8: L11 Intertermporal Choice II. Intertemporal Choice u Two periods: u Consumption smoothing u Today: Many periods.

Valuate a consol that pays $10,000 per year. (r=5%=0.05)

You inherit $1000,000. How much monthly interest are you going to get ? (r=5%=0.05)

Perpetuity (Example)

0PV

Page 9: L11 Intertermporal Choice II. Intertemporal Choice u Two periods: u Consumption smoothing u Today: Many periods.

“Tree” that gives constant payment in T following periods

Cashflow

Important cashflow: Annuity

0PV

0 1 2 . . . timeT 1T

Page 10: L11 Intertermporal Choice II. Intertemporal Choice u Two periods: u Consumption smoothing u Today: Many periods.

Leasing or buying a car?

Lease T=3, x=$800, r=100% or buy P=750

Take a loan (how much do you pay monthly)

Loan=1000, T=3, r=100% and x=?

Leasing or Buying A Car

Page 11: L11 Intertermporal Choice II. Intertemporal Choice u Two periods: u Consumption smoothing u Today: Many periods.

Treasury bill: Face, Coupon, Maturity

PV of T-bills (F, c, T) and r

Asset Valuation: Bonds

0PV

0 1 2 . . . T

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T-bond (F=100, c=10, T=6) and r=5%

Asset Valuation: Example

Page 13: L11 Intertermporal Choice II. Intertemporal Choice u Two periods: u Consumption smoothing u Today: Many periods.

Consumption – savings problem Pension:

–How much to put aside?

–How much am I going to get?

Life cycle problems

20 21 . . . time60 80

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Income: 100 in the first 40 years Consumption C during 60 years, Constant consumption! Find C if r=5%

Consumption Smoothing

20 21 . . . time60 80

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You want C=100 when retired (61-80) How much do you have to save if r=5%,

Pension Plan

20 21 . . . time60 80

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You save S=100 (21-60) How much will you get (per year) if r=5%,

Pension Plan

20 21 . . . time60 80