KSS Retail: The Evolution of Retail Pricing

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The Evolution of Retail Pricing Lyle Walker VP Marketing KSS Retail, a dunnhumby company © 2011 KSS Retail

description

Summary version of presentation by Lyle Walker, VP Marketing, KSS Retail, at "Pricing & Revenue Management Strategy for Retail," a conference produced by IQPC. April 26 - 28, 2011, Lake Buena Vista, FL.

Transcript of KSS Retail: The Evolution of Retail Pricing

Page 1: KSS Retail: The Evolution of Retail Pricing

The Evolution of Retail Pricing

Lyle Walker

VP Marketing

KSS Retail, a dunnhumby company

© 2011 KSS Retail

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Global Provider of Price Modeling/Optimization, and Shopper Insight Solutions

Part of dunnhumby ltd, (Tesco, Kroger, Macy’s)

“Focus is on integrating customer insights with retailer market strategies, to model and execute effective pricing and promotions”

© 2011 KSS Retail

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The Evolution of Pricing

Optimization• Maximize units, $ sales and/or

profit• Optimize promotion features • Improve promotions effectiveness

Store/CategoryInsight

• Demand forecasting• Quantify cannibalization & halo effects• “What-if” predicts impact of prices & promotions• Quantify cross-category effects

Price RulesManagement

• Rules Compliance• Efficient management of price & promotion rules• Consistent implementation (zero errors)• Maintain price position vs. competition• Ability to simulate impact of rule adjustment

DataManagement

• Organize & manage data sources• Validate, clean, store & present pricing-specific data• Monitor competitive landscape – alerts to changes

Reporting &Analysis

• Distribute standard, custom or ad-hoc reports• Automated alerts to performance exceptions• Monitor progress toward targets

ShopperInsights

• Basket analysis• Segment customer • Improve price & promotions

effectiveness

ShopperOptimization

• Maximize units, $ sales and/or profit

• Optimize to customer segment• Improve promotions effectiveness

Productivity

Strategy Refinement

Customer Relevance

© 2011 KSS Retail

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Pricing Productivity

Pricing Foundation

Item Master: item setup

Basic pricing functionality…create a price

Cost change management

Competitor pricing management

Rounding rules

Target gross margin pricing

Spreads/parities

© 2011 KSS Retail

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Challenging How You Set Retail Prices Today

Today You:

Gross Margin pricing (start with cost)

Competitor Price Checks (match, get close, or don’t worry about it)

Price Parity, ie large sizes should be cheaper per uom than smaller sizes

Price Spreads, ie Private Label to National Brand

Price each item individually within a category

© 2011 KSS Retail

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Price Optimization: Strategy Refinement

Pricing Foundation

Strategy Refinement

How should I price private label, in each category?

How should I manage spreads and parities?

How should I price versus competition, in each category?

How do I create better promotions for my customers?

© 2011 KSS Retail

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Private Label VS National Brand Spreads

Current Practices:

Use an average spread, ie 20%

.99 .79

© 2011 KSS Retail

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Private Label VS National Brand Spreads

Current Practices:

Target margin for Private Label, ie 35% margin

$32.99

$19.99

© 2011 KSS Retail

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The Questions is…”What’s the Best Price?”

It depends on your strategy and objectives.

Are you trying to:Drive unit volume and profit?

Improve your competitive position?

Communicate Value and Quality?

All of the above?

© 2011 KSS Retail

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What happens when….

$32.99

$19.99

You create optimal prices that meet your objectives?

.73

$29.95

$24.99

.79.99

© 2011 KSS Retail

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What About Line-Item Pricing:

Flavors within a Brand….

Common practice across the store to manage pricing efficiently:

Soft Drinks

Jello

Baby Food

Salad Dressings

Yogurt

Candy bars

And On and On and On….

© 2011 KSS Retail

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Line-Item Pricing example

Line Price Items because of same or similar costs:Cost = .69/unit

.99Rch

.99Nat

.99Blue

.99Red

.99Yell

© 2011 KSS Retail

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What was accomplished?

Improved Competitive Position on the Key Item

Offered Value to Customers on key item

Did not dilute whole line

.99Rch

.99Nat

.99Blue

.99Red

.99Yell

.79Blue

© 2011 KSS Retail

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Pricing off Competitors

Today You:

1.Identify Key Competitive Items

2.Price Check Competitors (they are also price checking you)

3.Review Price Checks and make random determinations to match or be close to them

“Who’s following who?

© 2011 KSS Retail

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How Can You Do It Differently?

Determine if your KVIs are right (are they relevant)

Understand the role of the category for your customers

Model pricing, for the whole category, that accomplishes your objectives:

Does lowering price drive more volume (do you get recognition for it)?

Should you match competition, or can you be close and obtain the same results?

Manage the total mix of prices in the category to accomplish multiple objectives

© 2011 KSS Retail

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Model and Understand Promotional Pricing

Does 2 for $5 sell more than $1.88?

Which drives more units?

What happens to profits?

What happens to category sales/profits?

What if you run it super hot for 1 week?

© 2011 KSS Retail

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Price Modeling in the hands of a Merchant

Vendor Deal evaluation and negotiation: Item: Beer Retail: $24.99 Cost: $21.00

Baseline

Units: 3,448

Sales: $ 86,166

Profit: $ 13,758

Margin: 16%

© 2011 KSS Retail

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Price Modeling in the hands of a Merchant

Vendor Proposed Promotion: Item: Beer Cost: $2.00 off (List is $21.00, deal cost is $19.00) Promo Retail $21.99 (Reg retail is $24.99)

Promo Scenario Lift

Units: 4,311 25%

Sales $ 94,798 10.1%

Profit $ 12,889 -6.3%

Margin 13.6% -2.4

Baseline

Units: 3,448

Sales: $ 86,166

Profit: $ 13,758

Margin: 16%

© 2011 KSS Retail

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Category Promotional effect

Category Baseline

Units: 38,335

Sales: $ 610,790

Profit: $ 85,426

Margin: 14%

Category Scenario Lift

Units: 38,402 .1%

Sales $ 581,110 - 4.9%

Profit $ 79,001 - 7.5%

Margin 13.5% - .5

Vendor Proposed Promotion: Item: Beer Cost: $2.00 off (List is $21.00, deal cost is $19.00) Promo Retail $21.99 (Reg retail is $24.99)

© 2011 KSS Retail

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Will You Still Run It?

Maybe Yes, Maybe No, Maybe Something Different

© 2011 KSS Retail

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Understand Why you are Relevant

Pricing Foundation

Strategy Refinement

Customer Relevance

Who are your best shoppers?

Why to they shop with you?

What products do they buy?

What products do they not buy from you?

What promotions do they like?

How do you serve them better and have them buy more?

© 2011 KSS Retail

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Your Customers are Talking To You…

They speak to you every day through their transactions in your stores

They tell you what they like and don’t like

They make decisions to spend, or not spend their hard-earned money with you

They want to be heard and to have you serve them better!

Can you hear, understand and react to what they are saying?

© 2011 KSS Retail

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The Evolution of Pricing

Optimization• Maximize units, $ sales and/or

profit• Optimize promotion features • Improve promotions effectiveness

Store/CategoryInsight

• Demand forecasting• Quantify cannibalization & halo effects• “What-if” predicts impact of prices & promotions• Quantify cross-category effects

Price RulesManagement

• Rules Compliance• Efficient management of price & promotion rules• Consistent implementation (zero errors)• Maintain price position vs. competition• Ability to simulate impact of rule adjustment

DataManagement

• Organize & manage data sources• Validate, clean, store & present pricing-specific data• Monitor competitive landscape – alerts to changes

Reporting &Analysis

• Distribute standard, custom or ad-hoc reports• Automated alerts to performance exceptions• Monitor progress toward targets

ShopperInsights

• Basket analysis• Segment customer • Improve price & promotions

effectiveness

ShopperOptimization

• Maximize units, $ sales and/or profit

• Optimize to customer segment• Improve promotions effectiveness

Productivity

Strategy Refinement

Customer Relevance

© 2011 KSS Retail

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Thank You!

Lyle [email protected]

Understand what customers want

Become more relevant

Keep customers engaged for longer; engender trust; drive long term loyalty and value creation

© 2011 KSS Retail