KIVI presentation Fokker 190917 · 2019-09-24 · Fokker Services Independent aerospace services...
Transcript of KIVI presentation Fokker 190917 · 2019-09-24 · Fokker Services Independent aerospace services...
The information enclosed is proprietary and is provided to you on a strictly confidential basis.
Overview
Air travel: shame or challenge???
Dr Peter KortbeekManager Technology Office
KIVI Symposium September 17, 2019
The information enclosed is proprietary and is provided to you on a strictly confidential basis.
Overview
2
Content
� Introduction of GKN & Fokker
� The Paris treaty
� The burden of air travel success
� Emissions per air travel sector
� Impact on future air transportation
� EU Clean Sky 3 initiative
� Conclusions
My background:- PhD in Physics of University of Amsterdam- Fuel cells, wind energy- Switched to Fokker in 2001, established FMLC, FER, TPRC and SAM XL- Manager Technology Office since 2008
- Focus on Ecosystem, IP & Funding- EU Clean Sky 1, 2 & 3, National R&D programs- Chair HTSM Aeronautics Roadmap
The information enclosed is proprietary and is provided to you on a strictly confidential basis.
GKN: Leading global tier 1 in Aerospace
2015: Fokker taken over by GKN
GKN in 1759 established by Guest, Keen & Nettlefold
GKN Aerospace: ~18,000 employees, including ~5,000 former Fokker
Total 2018 sales £3.53 billion across three core capabilities
Aerostructures
63% - £2.2bn
Engine Systems
32% - £1.1bn
Special Technologies
5% - £0.2bn
The information enclosed is proprietary and is provided to you on a strictly confidential basis.
Fuselage, wing, nacelle & pylon,
Inflight opening doors+ empennage
Static & rotating structures
Titanium engine inlet parts
Transparencies
Ice protection systems
Light Weight Missile & Canisters
AEROSTRUCTURES ENGINE SYSTEMS SPECIAL PRODUCTS
Helicopter Landing Gear
Composite load carrying landing gear components (drag brace)
Availability Services, MRO, Conversion and Completion for Mature and Legacy aircraft
LANDING GEARWIRING INTER-
CONNECT SYSTEMSGLOBAL SERVICES
GLOBAL NO. 2
GLOBAL NO. 2
GLOBAL NO. 1
GLOBAL NO. 8
GLOBAL NO. 3
Electrical Wiring Interconnection Systems (EWIS) for aircraft & aircraft engines
GLOBAL BRAND
GKN Aerospace-widest capabilities of any Tier 1
The information enclosed is proprietary and is provided to you on a strictly confidential basis.
Overview
Fokker AerostructuresLightweight aerostructures & components
5
Design, development and production of smart, lightweight aerostructures: empennages, fuselages and wing movables
2000 Employees
LocationsThe Netherlands,Romania, Mexicoand USA
The information enclosed is proprietary and is provided to you on a strictly confidential basis.
Overview
Fokker ElmoElectrical wiring interconnections systems
6
Design, development, manufacturing and support of Electrical Wiring Interconnection Systems (EWIS)
1700 Employees
LocationsThe Netherlands, China, USA, Turkey, India and Canada
The information enclosed is proprietary and is provided to you on a strictly confidential basis.
Overview
Fokker Landing GearLanding gear systems
7
(Co-)design, Manufacturing & MRO of affordable & light weight landing gear systems for helicopters and small-to midsized aircraft
280 Employees
LocationThe Netherlands
The information enclosed is proprietary and is provided to you on a strictly confidential basis.
Overview
Fokker ServicesIndependent aerospace services provider
8
The world’s most innovative aerospace service provider of affordable and reliable availability solutions to airlines, OEM’s and MRO’s
900 Employees
Facilitiesthe Netherlands, Singapore,USAOfficesAustralia, Kenya, Panama
The information enclosed is proprietary and is provided to you on a strictly confidential basis.
Climate Challenges
Paris Treaty:
Limit Global Warming
to 1.5°
Input from
Ron van Manen
EU Clean Sky
Head of Unit Strategic
Development
The information enclosed is proprietary and is provided to you on a strictly confidential basis.
Global CO2 emissions 1965 - 2017
EU 2017 vs. 1990: 22% reduction in emissions*
* Figure excludes maritime and aviation; EU aviation emissions triples in this period….10
The information enclosed is proprietary and is provided to you on a strictly confidential basis.
Europe’s GHG Emissions Challenge (1.5° scenario)
*
*LULUCF : Land use, land use change and forestry11
The information enclosed is proprietary and is provided to you on a strictly confidential basis.
The burden of Success:
Aviation is widely expected to continue growing
* Courtesy Airbus: GMF 2018 - 2037
12
The information enclosed is proprietary and is provided to you on a strictly confidential basis.
ATAG [IATA] goals for 2050: a long way still to go
Year 1990 2000 2005 2017 2050 2050
ATAG
Aviation CO2
Emissions
394* 540* 650** 859 2700 325
Total
Anthropogenic
CO2 Emissions
(MTo)
21615 23803 28366 36790 4323 4323
Aviation as % of
annual CO2
Emissions
1.9 2.3 2.3 2.3 >60% ~7.5
%
* Source ICAO
** Source IATA
13
ATAG: Air Transport Action GroupIATA: Int. Aviation Transport AssociationICAO: Int. Civil Aviation Organization
The information enclosed is proprietary and is provided to you on a strictly confidential basis.
Schematic of the different CO2 reduction targets by 2050
14
Only a highly ambitious technology program will lead to a significant step towards a route to target
SAF: Sustainable Aviation Fuels
The information enclosed is proprietary and is provided to you on a strictly confidential basis.
Different approaches likely to be needed
90% of flights: < 3000km, = 50% of fuel used
10% of flights: > 3000km, = 50% of fuel used
1% of flights: > 8000km, = 20% of fuel used
15
BATTERIES?
HYDROGEN
(FUEL CELLS)
+ BATTERIES?BIOFUELS + SYNTHETIC
FUELS + HYDROGEN
INTRODUCE STOP
OVERS?ALTERNATIVE OPERATIONS (STOP-OVERS / REFUELING ETC.)
ADVANCED GAS-TURBINES AND A/C CONFIGURATIONS + SAF
HYBRID PROPULSION: FUEL CELLS / BATTERIES; ADVANCED (E.G. DEP) CONFIGURATIONS
FULL ELECTRIC (BATTERIES OR FUEL CELL POWERED)
The information enclosed is proprietary and is provided to you on a strictly confidential basis.
CO2 reduction potential through technologies up to 50%
Potential technology based CO2 savings in 2050
(excl SAF)
16
The information enclosed is proprietary and is provided to you on a strictly confidential basis.
Technology pathways and CO2 reduction potential
Technology based
reduction estimates
17
Medium
Range
<250 pax
Commuter/
Small Reg.
19 - 50 pax
<500 km
Long Range
>250 pax
>8000 km
Urban
Mobility
1 – 4 pax
<100 km
Medium/
Long Range
>250 pax
>3000 km
Short Range
100 - 250 pax
<3000 km
Regional
Short Range
50 - 100 pax
<1500 km
VTOL
5-19 pax
>100 km3000 – 8000 km
Ongoing Research in Flight Physics, Structures/Materials and On-board Systems
Novel Engine Concepts / Ultra-Efficient Gas
Turbines
Innovative Aircraft Configurations
Hybrid Propulsion incl.
Distributed Propulsion
Full Electric Propulsion
30% 30% 40% 80% >80%50-80% 50%30%
Sustainable Aviation Fuels
Eco- / environmentally Optimised Air Transport Operations
>90%
~ 44%~ 19%~ 16%~ 20% ~ 1%
Fuel and CO2 share
1
2
3
4
The information enclosed is proprietary and is provided to you on a strictly confidential basis.
Innovation drivers have changed
and need to change further
18
capability drivenCitius, Altius, Fortius. . . .
Time
Air
Tra
ns
po
rt E
ffe
cti
ve
ne
ss
1950 20001925 1975
F13 (1919)
2025 2050
A350
Concorde (1969)
Constellation (1943)
18
The information enclosed is proprietary and is provided to you on a strictly confidential basis.
Getting the
balance right in
bottom-up versus
top-down
19
� Rapidly maturing, demonstrating and de-risking disruptive architectures
� Teaming with the EU brings research and policy together � impact
� Shared & joint technology development bringing all actors together
� Low TRL technology push and high TRL technology pull in one program
Clean Aviation Public-Private Partnership
Under EU Horizon Europe framework
The information enclosed is proprietary and is provided to you on a strictly confidential basis.
Sustainable [Bio-] Fuels
QuantumECSE
L
Others
Graphene Flagship
FCH
Batteries
National Research & Innovation Programmes
Factories of the Future
Structural Funds (e.g. ESIF)
Digital/AI
‘CS3’
An EU Aeronautics Innovation Architecture
20
The information enclosed is proprietary and is provided to you on a strictly confidential basis.
New aircraft configurations
Courtesy DLR
Courtesy ONERA
Courtesy TU Delft / NLR
The information enclosed is proprietary and is provided to you on a strictly confidential basis.
Overview
22
Conclusions
• The continuous growth of air travel may become a serious threat• Disruptive developments needed to avoid future shame for air travel• Different solutions for small SR, medium SR, MR and large aircraft SR, MR
and LR• Fuel and propulsion system drive development
• Huge effort to make air travel sustainable in 2050:• Airframe & engine manufacturers including supply chain
• Air Traffic Management
• Airport Infrastructure
• Fuel suppliers
• The targets can only be can only be met by strong international collaboration and by governmental support
The information enclosed is proprietary and is provided to you on a strictly confidential basis.
Overview
Thank you for
Your attention
The information enclosed is proprietary and is provided to you on a strictly confidential basis.
….while building industrial leadership and ensuring mobility
1477 participations (over 800 unique entities)
Environmental
Objectives*
* vs today’s best aircraft
Clean Sky 2: Tackling Key Environmental Challenges
24