Key trends of the european particleboard export market

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[email protected] www.woodbizforum.com International Wood/ Fiber-based Panels Conference Key Trends of the European Particleboard and OSB Export Market November 11-12, 2015 / Chicago, IL, USA

Transcript of Key trends of the european particleboard export market

Page 1: Key trends of the european particleboard export market

[email protected]

www.woodbizforum.com

International Wood/ Fiber-based

Panels Conference

Key Trends of the European Particleboard and

OSB Export Market

November 11-12, 2015 /

Chicago, IL, USA

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European producers are losing ground in the exports sales,

particularly in the markets outside their home region

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2015 data is preliminary, calculation is based on Jan-Aug data for the sales outside EU28 and on Jan-July data for the intra-EU28 supplies; incl. particleboard and OSB

Source: Woodbizforum analysis, Eurostat

European particleboard and OSB exports in 2010-2015

average per month, million m3 2015/2010 CAGR

Exports to other EU28 countries

Exports outside EU28

4%

-27%

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No Country 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

1.020 0.463 1.095 0.812 0.361 0.216

1 Romania 4% 10% 8% 13% 26% 37%

2 Germany 3% 7% 3% 4% 8% 8%

3 Bulgaria 3% 6% 3% 3% 6% 8%

4 Spain 64% 17% 3% 6% 12% 7%

5 France 1% 2% 1% 2% 8% 7%

6 Austria 3% 6% 2% 3% 6% 7%

7 Slovenia 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 7%

8 Latvia 2% 4% 2% 2% 6% 5%

9 Poland 4% 6% 3% 3% 5% 3%

10 UK 1% 3% 16% 5% 12% 3%

15% 37% 59% 57% 11% 9%

Total:

Others

Spain is the most impacted exporter, some others have even

ramped-up their exports sales outside of EU

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Top-10 particleboard and OSB exporters from

EU in 2010-2015, average per month, million m3

Difference in particleboard and OSB exports from

EU in 2015 and 2015, average per month, million m3

Exports outside EU28; incl. particleboard and OSB

2015 data is preliminary

Source: Woodbizforum analysis, Eurostat

-0.700

increase decrease

Exports to extra-EU markets in 2015,

compared with 2010:

Exporter:

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OSB panels keep more stable exports outside EU than unworked

and melamine-impregnated paper covered particleboard

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European particleboard and OSB exports by product in 2010-2015

average per month, million m3

Other exporters

Spain

Exports outside of EU28; incl. particleboard and OSB

2015 data is preliminary

Source: Woodbizforum analysis, Eurostat

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Negative trends are observed in all extra-EU destination markets.

Still, detailed review shows the troubled and perspective areas

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2015 data is preliminary; Other Europe incl. Turkey; incl. particleboard and OSB

Source: Woodbizforum analysis, Eurostat

Particleboard and OSB exports outside EU28: growth dynamics

CAGR and export markets size

20

15

/20

10

CA

GR

Relative export market size

75k m3 Bubble size indicates average monthly

exports in 2015, thousand m3

Exports to the Other Europe are designating largely to

Turkey, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Switzerland, Serbia and

Norway, which accounts for 97% of shipments in 2015.

Interesting is that 2 biggest markets in the segment are

stable or growing, while others are negative.

Troubles in Asia are produced by only one market –

Taiwan (exports there decreased from almost 600k m3

per months of the boards in 2010 to mere 9k in 2015).. At

the same time, other big destinations of the European

producers like S. Korea, Japan and China are showing

positive dynamics.

Decrease in MENA by 90% is coming from 3 core

markets: Libya, Morocco and Israel.

CIS countries used to import from EU around 120k m3

per month in 2010. Now the biggest importers in the past

– Russia and Ukraine decreased their volume from

respectively 70 and 25k m3 per month to 23 and 4k m3.

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Key developments of the European particleboard and OSB

export market

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European particleboard exports is in a downtrend. Since 2010 exports outside

the region have been decreasing with remarkable 27% negative CAGR.

The decrease differently impacted European exporters. While some countries, like

Spain, have declined sales outside EU28 in dozens of times, others, e.g.

Romania, Slovakia managed increase of the sales.

The negative trends are covering largely mass exports segments like unworked

or melamine-impregnated paper covered particleboard. At the same time,

exports of OSB panels kept comparably stable with the big decline observed

already in the covered period of 2015.

The same heterogeneous picture appears with consideration of the exports

destination. On the one hand, they declined to all regions, with the largest

absolute drop in the demand for the European products observed in Asia. On the

other, the decrease in the most cases is linked to a couple of regional markets,

which were not substituted with sales to other destinations.

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European particleboard market conditions supports sales amid

exports decline

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Key dynamics of the European particleboard and OSB market

Index, 100=2010

2015 data is preliminary: trade data is assessed based on Jan-Aug. period; building (volume index of production) –based on Q1-Q2;

PB and OSB consumption – apparent consumption evaluation; imports and exports – extra-regional

Source: Woodbizforum analysis, Eurostat

PB&OSB consumption

PB imports

Building

Exports

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Contact us at:

[email protected]

www.woodbizforum.com

Thank you for the attention!

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