Key Findings from a Nationwide Voter Survey Conducted ... · Key Findings from a Nationwide Voter...

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Key Findings from a Nationwide Voter Survey Conducted August 29 – September 8, 2016 220-4634

Transcript of Key Findings from a Nationwide Voter Survey Conducted ... · Key Findings from a Nationwide Voter...

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Key Findings from a Nationwide Voter Survey Conducted August 29 – September 8, 2016

220-4634

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800 telephone interviews with likely voters nationwide

Conducted August 29 – September 8, 2016 via landlineand cell phones

Margin of error of +/-3.5% at the 95% confidence interval

Due to rounding, some percentages do not add up to100%

Bipartisan research team of Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin,Metz & Associates (D) and American Viewpoint (R)

Methodology

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38%

32%

32%

17%

38%

39%

26%

32%

15%

21%

29%

6%

6%

10%

11%

28%

10%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

The National Park Service

The U.S. Forest Service

President Barack Obama

The Bureau of Land Management

Strng. Appr. Smwt. Appr. No Opin./NHO Smwt. Disappr. Strng. Disappr.

Voters have very positive views of NPS and USFS; fewer have opinions about BLM.

Q1. I'd like to read you a list of some different individuals and agencies active in public life. Please indicate whether you approve or disapprove of the job they are doing at this time.

Total Appr.

Total Disappr.

77% 9%

71% 8%

59% 38%

49% 21%

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47%

22%

5%

26%

0% 20% 40% 60%

More needs to be done to protect the land, air, and water around the Grand Canyon

Enough is being done to protect the land, air, and water around the Grand Canyon

Too much is being done to protect the land, air, and water around the Grand Canyon

Don't know/NA

Thinking about the land, air, and water around Grand Canyon National Park, would you say that …

Q2.

A clear plurality believes more needs to be done to protect the areas around the Grand Canyon.

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Total Agree

Total Disagree

93% 5%

90% 9%

73%

63%

20%

27% 5%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

The Grand Canyon is a national treasure for all Americans, not just people who live

nearby

Public lands surrounding National Parks should be managed to protect the land, air,

and water within the national parks

Strng. Agr. Smwt. Agr. DK/NA Smwt. Disagr. Strng. Disagr.

An overwhelming majority feels the Grand Canyon is a treasure for all Americans.

Q6. I'm going to read you a list of several statements. I'd like you to tell me whether you generally agree or disagree with it.

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7Q12.

Nearly half have visited Grand Canyon National Park.

Yes48%No/Don't

Know52%

Have you ever visited Grand Canyon National Park?

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52%

31%

7%

4%

6%

0% 20% 40% 60%

Strongly support

Somewhat support

Somewhat oppose

Strongly oppose

Undecided

Q3.

More than four in five voters back the designation of National Monuments in principle.

Total Support

83%

Total Oppose

11%

A National Monument is protected public land that is designated by the President orCongress to preserve its natural, cultural, and historic features. This designation meansthese places get special care and protection. They are open to the public for recreationaluse but cannot be developed nor used for mining or extraction. The federal governmentcurrently manages and owns 117 National Monuments for the public. Do you generallysupport or oppose the idea of designating public lands as National Monuments?

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The Greater Grand Canyon Heritage National Monument wouldprovide permanent federal protection for – and ban all new uraniummines on – more than a million acres of public land surroundingGrand Canyon National Park. It would also protect hundreds ofsprings near Grand Canyon that provide wildlife habitat, contributeto the Grand Canyon watershed, and feed the Colorado River. Thisland is home to more than three-thousand ancient Native Americansites. National Monument status would allow public use for hiking,photography, school trips, some biking, and grazing on these lands,while prohibiting mining.

Q4. Having heard this, would you say that you support or oppose the establishment of the Greater Grand Canyon Heritage National Monument?

Explaining the Proposal

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11Q4. Would you say that you support or oppose the establishment of the Greater Grand Canyon Heritage National Monument?

More than four in five back designation of the monument, with a majority offering “strong” support.

56%

26%

7%

7%

4%

0% 15% 30% 45% 60%

Strongly support

Somewhat support

Somewhat oppose

Strongly oppose

Undecided

Total Support

82%

Total Oppose

14%

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22%

28%

8%

7%

30%

5%

0% 20% 40%

Much more likely

Somewhat more likely

Somewhat less likely

Much less likely

Makes no difference

Don't know/NA

Total More Likely

50%

Total Less Likely

15%

Suppose that a Presidential candidate supported the creation of this National Monument. Would that make you more likely or less likely to vote for them?

Fewer than one in six are less likely to support a Presidential candidate who backs the Monument.

Q5.

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The proposed Greater Grand Canyon Heritage NationalMonument lands are rich in both natural and cultural value.Located on existing public land near Grand Canyon NationalPark, the area covers 1.7 million acres of canyons, prairies, andstreams that feed the Colorado River. It provides habitat forwildlife such as mule deer and bald eagles, and threatenedspecies like the condor – and is home to several ancestralNative American archeological sites. Unless we take actionnow, new uranium mines could be opened on this land –creating a risk of radioactive, toxic contamination that couldpollute soil and water as it has in other locations. Creating aNational Monument will ensure that this land will be protectedand enjoyed for generations to come.

Statement from Supporters

Q7. Please tell me if you support or oppose the creation of the Greater Grand Canyon Heritage National Monument?

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After hearing the argument in favor, nearly three in five offer “strong” support for the Monument.

57%

25%

6%

9%

3%

0% 15% 30% 45% 60%

Strongly support

Somewhat support

Somewhat oppose

Strongly oppose

Undecided

Total Support

82%

Total Oppose

15%

Q7. Please tell me if you support or oppose the creation of the Greater Grand Canyon Heritage National Monument?

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The federal, state, and tribal governments inArizona already own 82% of all Arizona land,leaving just 18% open to private owners. TheMonument is a special interest effort to lock upnearly 2 million more acres in Northern Arizona byPresidential executive order – which could kill jobs,harm tourism, agriculture and water rights, andprevent hunting and fishing.

Statement from Opponents

Q8. Please tell me if you support or oppose the creation of the Greater Grand Canyon Heritage National Monument?

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38%

30%

10%

16%

6%

0% 15% 30% 45% 60%

Strongly support

Somewhat support

Somewhat oppose

Strongly oppose

Undecided

Total Support

68%

Total Oppose

26%

More than two-thirds continue to back establishment of the Monument, even after an

opposition argument.

Q8. Please tell me if you support or oppose the creation of the Greater Grand Canyon Heritage National Monument?

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More than nine in ten American voters see the Grand Canyon as anational treasure that needs to be protected for all Americans.

A sizable plurality of voters believe that more needs to be done toprotect lands and waters around the Grand Canyon.

More than four in five support the establishment of the GreaterGrand Canyon Heritage National Monument to accomplish thatgoal.

A majority of American voters say they are more likely to vote fora Presidential candidate who backs the Monument.

Even after an exchange of pro and con arguments, the Monumentstill receives overwhelming public support.

Conclusions

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