Kentucky Adult Education

Improving Lives: Policy Summit on Serving Adult Students

Charlotte, North Carolina

September 28, 2005

2

National Imperatives for Action

• 60% of jobs today require some postsecondary education

• Almost one-third of students who enroll are not college ready

• Only 71% of 9th grade students graduate from high school on time

• Only slightly more than 50% of black and Latino students graduate on time.

• Only 18% of 9th graders will make it through high school, enter college and earn a two- or four-year degree on time. (15% in KY)

Source: 2005 National Education Summit on High Schools

3

Rank OECD Member Country Graduation Rate1 Japan 942 Turkey 883 Ireland 854 United Kingdom 835 Korea 796 Spain 777 Finland 758 Iceland 739 Germany 70

10 Mexico 6910 Australia 6910 Denmark 6910 Netherlands 69

14 United States 6615 Czech Republic 6116 Belgium 6017 Austria 5917 France 5919 Sweden 4820 Italy 42

U.S. College Graduation Rate Is Below Average Among Developed Countries, 2004

Source: Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development, Education at a Glance 2004

4

Per Capita Personal Income—State Values as a Proportion of U.S., 2001

0

50

100

150

ConnecticutM

assachusettsNew JerseyNew YorkM

arylandNew Ham

pshireColoradoM

innesotaIllinoisCaliforniaDelawareVirginiaW

ashingtonAlaskaPennsylvaniaUnited StatesRhode IslandNevadaM

ichiganW

yoming

Wisconsin

HawaiiFloridaNebraskaO

hioG

eorgiaVerm

ontTexasKansasM

issouriO

regonIndianaNorth CarolinaIowaTennesseeM

aineSouth DakotaNorth DakotaArizonaO

klahoma

KentuckySouth CarolinaIdahoAlabam

aLouisianaUtahM

ontanaNew M

exicoArkansasW

est VirginiaM

ississippi

139.3

100.0

71.4

Source: NCHEMS; U.S. Census Bureau, Statistical Abstract of the United States, 2003

5

Relationship Between Educational Attainment and Personal Income by State, 2000

Source: NCHEMS; U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census

Per C

apita Inco

me

Percent with Bachelor’s Degree or Higher14.8 33.2

15,853

28,766

AL

AK

AZ

AR

CA

CO

CT

DE

FLGA

HI

ID

IL

IN

IA

KS

KY

LA

ME

MDMA

MI

MN

MS

MO

MT

NE

NV

NH

NJ

NM

NY

NC

ND

OH

OK

ORPA

RI

SC

SD

TN TX

UT

VT

VA

WV

WI

WY

14.8

15,853

28,766

AL

AK

AZ

AR

CA

CO

CT

DE

FLGA

HI

ID

IL

IN

IA

KS

KY

LA

ME

MDMA

MI

MN

MS

MO

MT

NE

NV

NH

NJ

NM

NY

NC

ND

OH

OK

ORPA

RI

SC

SD

TN TX

UT

VT

VA

WV

WI

WY

R2 = .6348

WA

6

Relationship Between Educational Attainment and Health

State H

ealth In

dex—

Un

ited H

ealth F

ou

nd

ation

Percent of Adults 25-64 with a Bachelor’s Degree or Higher

AL

AKAZ

AR

CA

CO

CT

DE

GA

HI

ILIN

IA

KS

KY

LA

ME

MD

MA

MS

MT

NE

NV

NJ

NY

NC

ND

OH

OK

ORPA

RI

SC

SD

UT

VT

VA

WA

US

FL

ID

MI

MN

MO

NH

NM

TN

TX

WV

WI

WY

-30

-15

0

15

30

10% 20% 30% 40%-

-

R2 = .69

Source: NCHEMS; U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census; United Health Foundation

7

Percent of Civilian Population (Age 16 and Older) Participating in the Workforce, 2003

Source: NCHEMS; U.S. Census Bureau

0

20

40

60

80 71

.3

51

.3

62

.3

Minnesota

NebraskaSouth DakotaW

isconsinW

yoming

New Hampshire

North DakotaColoradoVerm

ontIowaUtahAlaskaM

arylandKansasM

issouriG

eorgiaVirginiaIndianaIdahoRhode IslandNevadaM

assachusettsDelawareConnecticutTexasM

aineM

ontanaO

hioHawaiiIllinoisNorth CarolinaUnited StatesNew JerseyPennsylvaniaW

ashingtonO

regonArizonaCaliforniaTennesseeM

ichiganO

klahoma

New Mexico

South CarolinaNew YorkAlabam

aFloridaKentuckyM

ississippiArkansasLouisianaW

est Virginia

8

High School Graduation Rates—Public High School Graduates as a Percent of 9th Graders Four Years Earlier, 2000

New JerseyNorth DakotaUtahNebraskaM

innesotaIowaVerm

ontM

ontanaW

isconsinConnecticutIdahoM

aineW

yoming

PennsylvaniaM

assachusettsW

est VirginiaKansasSouth DakotaNew Ham

pshireVirginiaArkansasM

arylandM

issouriO

klahoma

IllinoisW

ashingtonColoradoO

hioRhode IslandNevadaCaliforniaM

ichiganIndianaO

regonUnited StatesKentuckyHawaiiAlaskaTexasDelawareNew M

exicoArizonaAlabam

aNorth CarolinaNew YorkLouisianaM

ississippiFloridaTennesseeG

eorgiaSouth Carolina

0

30

60

90

86

.1

67

.1

51

.0

Source: NCHEMS; Tom Mortenson, Postsecondary Opportunity

9

Percent of Adults Age 25-64 with a Bachelor’s Degree or Higher, 2000

Source: NCHEMS; U.S. Census Bureau, 2000

Massachusetts

ColoradoConnecticutM

arylandNew JerseyVirginiaVerm

ontNew Ham

pshireM

innesotaNew YorkW

ashingtonIllinoisRhode IslandHawaiiKansasCaliforniaUtahNebraskaO

regonDelawareM

ontanaUnited StatesG

eorgiaNorth DakotaAlaskaPennsylvaniaW

isconsinM

aineArizonaTexasNew M

exicoSouth DakotaM

issouriNorth CarolinaIowaFloridaM

ichiganW

yoming

IdahoO

hioO

klahoma

South CarolinaIndianaTennesseeAlabam

aLouisianaNevadaKentuckyArkansasM

ississippiW

est Virginia

0

10

20

30

40

37.1

16.5

26.5

10

Difference in Median Earnings Between a High School Diploma and an Associate Degree, 2000

Source: NCHEMS; U.S. Census Bureau’s Public Use Samples, based on 2000 Census

0

3,000

6,000

9,000

12,000 10

,40

0

4,0

00

8,0

00

TexasCaliforniaConnecticutVirginiaM

ichiganG

eorgiaNevadaDelawareAlaskaHawaiiO

regonArizonaSouth CarolinaNorth CarolinaNew JerseyM

arylandUnited StatesColoradoO

hioTennesseeNew M

exicoO

klahoma

LouisianaKentuckyIllinoisIndianaNew YorkVerm

ontNew Ham

pshireAlabam

aM

issouriW

ashingtonM

innesotaRhode IslandFloridaIdahoM

ississippiW

est VirginiaW

isconsinM

ainePennsylvaniaM

assachusettsArkansasKansasSouth DakotaNebraskaUtahNorth DakotaW

yoming

IowaM

ontana

6,8

00

11

Percent of Population Age 18-24 with No High School Diploma

Source: NCHEMS; U.S. Census Bureau, 2000

NevadaTexasArizonaG

eorgiaNew M

exicoCaliforniaM

ississippiFloridaAlabam

aLouisianaNorth CarolinaO

regonSouth CarolinaUnited StatesO

klahoma

KentuckyColoradoTennesseeW

ashingtonArkansasIllinoisNew YorkNew JerseyIndianaM

ichiganM

issouriO

hioAlaskaIdahoDelawareNew Ham

pshireConnecticutSouth DakotaW

est VirginiaKansasM

ontanaM

aineW

isconsinW

yoming

Minnesota

VirginiaM

arylandPennsylvaniaNebraskaUtahRhode IslandIowaM

assachusettsVerm

ontNorth DakotaHawaii

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

14

.2

25

.3

33

.3

12

Percent of Population Age 25 and Older with No High School Diploma

Source: NCHEMS; U.S. Census Bureau, 2000

0

10

20

30

11

.7

19

.6

27

.1M

ississippiKentuckyLouisianaW

est VirginiaAlabam

aArkansasTexasTennesseeSouth CarolinaCaliforniaRhode IslandNorth CarolinaG

eorgiaNew M

exicoNew YorkFloridaUnited StatesO

klahoma

NevadaArizonaM

issouriIllinoisVirginiaPennsylvaniaNew JerseyIndianaDelawareO

hioM

ichiganM

arylandNorth DakotaConnecticutSouth DakotaHawaiiIdahoM

assachusettsO

regonW

isconsinM

aineKansasIowaVerm

ontNebraskaColoradoW

ashingtonM

ontanaNew Ham

pshireUtahW

yoming

Minnesota

Alaska

13

Ratio of GEDs Awarded to High School Dropouts, 2000

Maine

UtahM

ontanaArkansasIowaKentuckyNew JerseyNorth DakotaNevadaM

innesotaO

regonColoradoW

yoming

KansasO

klahoma

Vermont

Washington

West Virginia

AlaskaNebraskaM

issouriRhode IslandW

isconsinIndianaVirginiaNew Ham

pshirePennsylvaniaSouth DakotaM

assachusettsIllinoisUnited StatesTennesseetConnecticutO

hioNew M

exicoArizonaM

arylandNew YorkTexasM

ississippiNorth CarolinaFloridaG

eorgiaM

ichiganLouisianaAlabam

aCaliforniaHawaiiSouth CarolinaDelawareIdaho

0

30

60

90

14

6.4

40

.2

9.6

Source: NCHEMS; Tom Mortenson, Postsecondary Opportunity

14

The Goal

• To reach the national average in per capita income by 2020– Kentucky Education Reform Act – 1990– Postsecondary Reform (HB1) – 1998– Adult Education Act (SB1) – 2000

• To reach the national average in working-age adults with a bachelor’s degree or higher– 800,000, or 400,000 more, by 2020

15

Kentucky High School Graduate Projections Through 2018 – Status Quo

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

1988-89 1992-93 1996-97 2000-01 2004-05 2008-09 2012-13 2016-17

Source: WICHE Knocking at the College Door, 2003

16

Kentucky’s Net Migration Between 1995 and 2000

Source : KSDC, Kentucky Migration, February 2004, from U. S. Census 2000 Data

0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000

Less than 9th grade

9th-12th grade

HS/GED

Some college

Assoc degree

Bacc degree

Grad/prof degree

17

Education Pipeline, 2002

15

26

39

62

100

18

26

39

68

100

28

44

62

91

100

Graduate College

Still EnrolledSophomore Year

Enter College

Graduate fromHigh School

Ninth Graders

Top StatesUSKY

Source: NCES Common Core Data, NCES IPEDS Residency and Migration Survey, ACT Institutional Survey, NCES IPEDS Graduation Rate Survey

(NJ)

(ND)

(ND)

(PA)

18

Senate Bill 1: The Adult Education Act of 2000

“Adult illiteracy is a fundamental barrier to every major challenge facing Kentucky, including early childhood education, education reform, economic development, and improving the health and well-being of Kentucky’s families and communities”

19

The Five Questions that Guide Reform

1. Are more Kentuckians ready for postsecondary education?

2. Is Kentucky postsecondary education affordable for its citizens?

3. Do more Kentuckians have certificates and degrees?

4. Are college graduates prepared for life and work in Kentucky?

5. Are Kentucky’s people, communities, and economy benefiting?

20

Focus on Adult Learning

• Access

• Accountability

• Alignment

• Affordability

21

62,734

109,880120,051 124,801

86,413

FY 2001 FY 2002 FY 2003 FY 2004 FY2005

Source: KYAE-CPE

Kentucky Adult Education Enrollment

22

Kentucky GED Graduates Transitioning to Postsecondary Education Within Two Years

2,2742,193

1,516

1,206

FY 1999 FY 2000 FY 2001 FY 2002

Source: KYAE-CPE

23

Kentucky Adult Education Enrollment

Source: KYAE-CPE

Workforce Education KY Virtual Adult Education

(www.kyvae.org)50,401

11,350

FY 2001 FY 2005

7,160

75

Fall 2000 Fall 2005

“Kentucky’s reality is that we will sink or

swim not on how well we educate our youth,

but on how well we educate our entire

population, whether age 15, 25, 55 or 75.”

Ron Crouch, Director, Kentucky State Data Center

24

25

Kentucky Reports

Interim Report on College Affordability In Kentucky– http://cpe.ky.gov/NR/rdonlyres/A907F8B8-A1D2-4B8D-80FC-

03350FDBD841/0/AffordabilityStudyInterimReport.pdf

Five Questions – One Mission: Better Lives for Kentucky’s PeopleA Public Agenda for Postsecondary and Adult Education

– http://cpe.ky.gov/NR/rdonlyres/8B65807C-A84B-46C5-8B3A-AD2F54335B94/0/1_20052010StrategicPlan.pdf