Kent Community Risk Register

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The Kent Community Risk Register has been published by the Kent Resilience Forum(KRF), having been prepared by the Kent Category 1 Responders in accordance with the

Civil Contingencies Act 2004 and associated regulations and guidance, all of which can beaccessed through the UK Resilience website ( www.ukresilience.gov.uk

). Its purpose is toassure the people of Kent that an assessment of potential risks has taken place and isinforming the approach to joined up emergency planning at a local level and at both the

regional and national level.

KKeenntt CCoommmmuunniittyy RRiisskk RReeggiisstteer r

Version 7.1, May 2010

Industrial Accidentand Environmental

Pollution

TransportAccidents

Severe Weather

Structural

Human Health

Animal Health

Industrial Action

InternationalEvents

IndustrialTechnical Failure

Civil Disturbance

Mass Gatherings

To be reviewed by November 2010

All requests for further information should be addressed in writing to:Kent Resilience Forum Secretariat, KRF Business Management Support Unit, Kent Police,

Coldharbour, London Rd, Aylesford, Kent ME20 7SL.

A Glossary of Terms andList of Acronyms are

available on pages 36-39

http://www.ukresilience.gov.uk/

http://www.ukresilience.gov.uk/



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Kent Community Risk Register – Likelihood

Likelihood of an occurance over the next 5 years

1 Low >0.005% chance >1 in 20,000 chance

2 Medium Low >0.05% chance >1 in 2,000 chance

3 Medium >0.5% chance >1 in 200 chance

4 Medium High >5% chance >1 in 20 chance

5 High >50% chance >1 in 2 chance



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Kent Community Risk Register – Impact Categories

The Categories of Impact

Health

SocialEconomic

Environment



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Kent Community Risk Register – Health Impact

Encompassing direct health impact (numbers of people affected, fatalities, injuries, human illness or injury,health damage) and indirect health impacts that arise because of strain on the health service.

1 Limited • Insignificant number of injuries or impact on health

2 Minor • Small number of people affected, no fatalities, and small number of

minor injuries with first aid treatment.

3 Moderate

• Moderate number of fatalities with some casualties requiringhospitalisation and medical treatment and activation of MAJAX, theautomated intelligent alert notification system, procedures in one or more hospitals.

4 Significant

• Significant number of people in affected area impacted with multiple

fatalities, multiple serious or extensive injuries, significanthospitalisation and activation of MAJAX procedures across a number of hospitals.

5. Catastrophic• Very large numbers of people in affected area(s) impacted with

significant numbers of fatalities, large number of people requiringhospitalisation with serious injuries with longer-term effects.



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Kent Community Risk Register – Social Impact

Encompassing the social consequences of an event, including availability of social welfare provision; disruption

of facilities for transport; damage to property; disruption of a supply of money, food, water, energy or fuel;disruption of an electronic or other system of communication; homelessness, evacuation and avoidancebehaviour; and public disorder due to anger, fear and/ or lack of trust in the authorities.

1 Limited

• Insignificant number of persons displaced and insignificant personal supportrequired

• Insignificant disruption to community services, including transport services and

infrastructure.

2 Minor • Minor damage to properties

• Minor displacement of a small number of people for <24 hours and minor personalsupport required

• Minor localised disruption to community services or infrastructure for <24 hours.

3 Moderate

• Damage that is confined to a specific location, or to a number of locations, but

requires additional resources• Localised displacement of >100 people for 1-3 days

• Localised disruption to infrastructure and community services.

4 Significant

• Significant damage that requires support for local responders with externalresources

• 100 to 500 people in danger and displaced for longer than 1 week. Local respondersrequire external resources to deliver personal support

• Significant impact on and possible breakdown of delivery of some local communityservices.

5. Catastrophic

• Extensive damage to properties and built environment in affected area requiringmajor demolition

• General and widespread displacement of more than 500 people for prolongedduration and extensive personal support required

• Serious damage to infrastructure causing significant disruption to, or loss of, keyservices for prolonged period. Community unable to function without significantsupport.



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Kent Community Risk Register – Economic Impact Scale

Encompassing the net economic cost, including both direct (e.g. loss of goods, buildings, infrastructure) andindirect (e.g. loss of business, increased demand for public services) costs.

1 Limited • Insignificant impact on local economy.

2 Minor • Negligible impact on local economy and cost easily absorbed.

3 Moderate• Limited impact on local economy with some short-term loss of

production, with possible additional clean-up costs.

4 Significant• Significant impact on local economy with medium-term loss of production• Significant extra clean-up and recovery costs.

5. Catastrophic

• Serious impact on local and regional economy with some long-term,

potentially permanent, loss of production with some structural change• Extensive clean-up and recovery costs.



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Kent Community Risk Register – Environmental Impact Scale

Encompassing contamination or pollution of land, water or air with harmful biological/ chemical/ radioactivematter or oil, flooding, or disruption or destruction of plant or animal life.

1 Limited • Insignificant impact on environment.

2 Minor • Minor impact on environment with no lasting effects.

3 Moderate • Limited impact on environment with short-term or long-term effects.

4 Significant • Significant impact on environment with medium- to long-term effects.

5. Catastrophic• Serious long-term impact on environment and/ or permanent damage.



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Impact

Catastrophic 5 1.15, 1.19 3.5, 3.6, 3.8 5.1

Key

Signific

ant 4 1.1, 1.2, 1.11, 1.13,

1.14, 1.16, 1.20, 2.5, 2.6, 2.8, 4.3, 4.4,8.2

1.9, 1.17, 1.18, 1.22,

1.25, 9.5

3.9, 3.11, 7.3, 9.6 3.1, 3.2, 3.4, 3.7,

3.10VeryHigh

M

oderate 3 1.3, 1.21, 2.10, 2.11,

4.1, 9.3, KRF51.8, 1.10, 2.1, 2.2,2.3, 2.4, KRF1,KRF7, 3.3, 9.1

KRF 8, 5.2, 9.7,KRF6

2.9, 7.2, 9.2 1.26, 2.7, 9.4

High

Minor

2 1.27, 4.2 KRF4 1.23, 6.1, 6.2, 7.1,8.1

5.3 1.23, 1.24, 7.4

Medium

Insignificant 1

Low

Low

(1)

Medium Low

(2)

Medium

(3)

Medium High

(4)

High

(5)

Likelihood

Kent Community Risk Register – Summary Risk Rating Matrix

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Kent Community Risk Register – Headings Explained

RiskReferences

provided to allLRFs by the

CivilContingencies

Secretariat

Detailedhypothetical

scenariodescribing a

possible hazard

Overallcategory for a

group of similar

hazards

Describes theimmediate

hypotheticalconsequences or significance of the

event

The Likelihoodthis event may

occur in theKRF area – see

page 3

The Overallimpact should

the event occur

– see pages 4-8

The overall risk ratingwhen considering

Likelihood and Impact

– see pages 3-10

Plans, Guidanceand Systems thatalready exist torespond to the

consequences of

the hazard

The latestdate this riskwill next be

reviewed

The priority ratingto determine theorder in whichrisks should be

addressed(regardless of risk

rating), with 5

being the highest.

The CapabilitiesRequired to respondto the consequences

of the hazard

The Agency in theKRF who has leadresponsibility for

assessing the risk

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Kent Community Risk Register – Threats

The National Risk Register (NRR) is a national picture,derived from the National RiskAssessment, of the risks of emergencies. The Matrix (right)gives an indication of therelative likelihood and impact of

the high consequence risks thatare outlined in the NRR. Itincludes the risk of a number of kinds of terrorist attacks, shownhere as attacks on crowdedplaces, transport systems, andcritical infrastructure, andattacks using non-conventional

(or in other words chemical,biological, radiological andnuclear) materials. In planningfor emergencies the KRF takeinto account the impact thatsuch attacks would have in thelocal area as much as we do theimpacts of other hazards of amore local nature.

Further details on the NRR canbe found via the Cabinet Officewebsite:http://www.cabinetoffice.gov.uk/reports/national_risk_register.aspx

http://www.cabinetoffice.gov.uk/reports/national_risk_register.aspx









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Kent Community Risk Register - Exclusion Register



y g g

Ref.Hazard Sub-Category

Outcome DescriptionLocal LeadAssessor

Summary of Reasons for ExclusionReview By

Date

Hazard Category - Industrial Accidents and Environmental Pollution

H2 Fire or explosion at anonshore ethylene gas pipeline Up to 3km around site causing up to 500 fatalities and1500 casualties. Kent Fire & RescueService No risk of this type in the KRF area Oct-10

HL26 Localised fire or explosion atan onshore ethylene gas

pipeline

Up to 1km around site, causing up to 150 fatalities and450 casualties.

Kent Fire & RescueService

No risk of this type in the KRF areaOct-10

H3 Fire or explosion at an oilrefinery

Up to 3km around site causing up to 500 fatalities and1500 casualties. Depending on the location and size of

the release, the fire could burn for several days.N/A


HL27 Localised fire or explosion at

an oil refinery

Up to 1km around site, causing up to 150 fatalities and

500 casualties.N/A


H6 Fire or explosion at anoffshore oil/gas platform

Local to site causing up to 200 fatalities and up to 200casualties.

N/ANo risk of this type in the KRF area

Oct-10

Hazard Category - Industrial ActionH35 Industrial action by key Rail

or London Undergroundworkers

Strike action resulting in the total shut down of either theLondon Underground or rail network on a national scale(e.g. action by key workers such as signallers) for morethan 3 days. Greater impact if action occurs in a co-

ordinated manor

Kent Police

This risk could not be realised in this area and in any event theimpact would be very low.

Oct-10

Hazard Category - N/AN/A N/A Operation Stack

Kent PoliceThe Risk Assessment Group considered this a control put in placeto mitigate the impact of a risk (HL13), rather that a specific riskitself. See also risk KRF8.

Oct-10

Kent Community Risk Register

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