Kellogg Companyinvestor.kelloggs.com/~/media/Files/K/Kellogg-IR/reports-and... · Kellogg Company...
Transcript of Kellogg Companyinvestor.kelloggs.com/~/media/Files/K/Kellogg-IR/reports-and... · Kellogg Company...
Kellogg Company August 3, 2017
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Kellogg CompanySECOND QUARTER 2017FINANCIAL RESULTSAugust 3, 2017
Q2 Kellogg Company Earnings August 3, 2017
Forward-Looking Statements
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This presentation contains, or incorporates by reference, “forward-looking statements” with projections concerning, among other things, the Company’s global growth and efficiency program (Project K), the integration of acquired businesses, the Company’s strategy, zero-based budgeting, and the Company’s sales, earnings, margin, operating profit, costs and expenditures, interest expense, tax rate, capital expenditure, dividends, cash flow, debt reduction, share repurchases, costs, charges, rates of return, brand building, ROIC, working capital, growth, new products, innovation, cost reduction projects, workforce reductions, savings, and competitive pressures. Forward-looking statements include predictions of future results or activities and may contain the words “expects,” “believes,” “should,” “will,” “anticipates,” “projects,” “estimates,” “implies,” “can,” or words or phrases of similar meaning.
The Company’s actual results or activities may differ materially from these predictions. The Company’s future results could also be affected by a variety of factors, including the ability to implement Project K (including the exit from its Direct Story Delivery system) as planned, whether the expected amount of costs associated with Project K will differ from forecasts, whether the Company will be able to realize the anticipated benefits from Project K in the amounts and times expected, the ability to realize the anticipated benefits from Revenue Growth Management, the ability to realize the anticipated benefits and synergies from the acquisitions in the amounts and at the times expected, the impact of competitive conditions; the effectiveness of pricing, advertising, and promotional programs; the success of innovation, renovation and new product introductions; the recoverability of the carrying value of goodwill and other intangibles; the success of productivity improvements and business transitions; commodity and energy prices; labor costs; disruptions or inefficiencies in supply chain; the availability of and interest rates on short-term and long-term financing; actual market performance of benefit plan trust investments; the levels of spending on systems initiatives, properties, business opportunities, integration of acquired businesses, and other general and administrative costs; changes in consumer behavior and preferences; the effect of U.S. and foreign economic conditions on items such as interest rates, statutory tax rates, currency conversion and availability; legal and regulatory factors including changes in food safety, advertising and labeling laws and regulations; the ultimate impact of product recalls; business disruption or other losses from war, terrorist acts or political unrest; and other items.
Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date they were made, and the Company undertakes no obligation to update them publicly.
This presentation includes non‐GAAP financial measures. Please refer to the Appendices for a reconciliation of these non‐GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures. Management believes that the use of such non-GAAP measures assists investors in understanding the underlying operating performance of the company and its segments.
Kellogg Company August 3, 2017
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Q2 Kellogg Company Earnings August 3, 2017
Q2 Overview
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Note: All referenced metrics are on a currency-neutral comparable basis; Cash Flow is defined as cash from operations less capital expenditure.
Financials: On Track• Sequential improvement in Net Sales• Continued Profit Margin improvement• Cash Flow on track
• Nearing completion of transition to warehouse from DSD• Parati (Brazil) integration progressing well• Improved cereal performance in core international markets
BusinessTransformation: On Track
Q2 Kellogg Company Earnings August 3, 2017
Priority – Restore Top-Line Growth
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* All referenced metrics are on a currency-neutral comparable basis.
Return to low single-digit
growth *
On-TrendFood &
Packaging
Winning Where the
Shopper Shops
Brand-Building
Effectiveness
Emerging Markets
Progress Toward Returning to Growth:
Special K and Kashi Co. stabilizing share in U.S. Cereal
Expanding distribution of new Special K and Kashisnack bars
Removed-artificialsEggo gaining share
Progress on DSD transition
Growth in e-Commerce
Continued share gains for kid-segment cereal brands
Momentum for Cheez-It and Rice Krispies Treats
Sequential improvement in U.K., Canada, and Australia cereal
Strong growth in Asia, led by Pringles
Integration and growth of Parati(Brazil), momentum in Bisco Misr (Egypt)
Double-digit growth in Africa and China Joint Ventures **
U.S. Snacks now 100% warehouse distributed
Entering final, wind-down phase
Pivoting to demand-pull model
** Joint Ventures are not included in consolidated results.
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Q2 Kellogg Company Earnings August 3, 2017
Reported +0.7% (8.4)%
Currency-Neutral Comparable * +6.9% +4.6%
Financial Results – Summary
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* Please refer to appendices for reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure.
Change Versus Prior Year
Net Sales
OperatingProfit
EarningsPerShare
Reported +1.3% +19.4%
Currency-Neutral Comparable * +7.7% +11.3%
Reported (2.5)% (3.3)%
Currency-Neutral Comparable * (3.1)% (3.8)%
Q2 1st Half
Q2 Kellogg Company Earnings August 3, 2017
Net Sales – Sequential Improvement
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Net Sales Growth ComponentsYear-over-year, % change
* The acquisition/divestiture figure includes the negative impact of deconsolidating our Venezuela results, beginning January 1, 2017.
-5.7%
1.3% 1.3%
-1.0%
-4.1%
-4.9%
1.8%1.3%
-0.7%
-2.5%
Volume Price/Mix Acq. & Div. * Currency Net Sales
Q1 2017
Q2 2017
Currency-Neutral Comparable Net Sales:
Q1: (4.4)% Q2: (3.1)%
(Reported-Basis)
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Q2 Kellogg Company Earnings August 3, 2017
Profit Margins – Continued Expansion
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Second Quarter and First Half 2017% of Net Sales, Currency-Neutral Comparable Basis
Gross Profit Margin Operating Profit Margin
* Please refer to appendices for reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure.
39.7%
38.9%
40.0%
39.1%
Q2 1H
2016 2017
+30basis points
+20basis points
15.6% 15.4%
17.2% 16.7%
Q2 1H
2016 2017
+160basis points
+130basis points
Q2 Kellogg Company Earnings August 3, 2017
Cash Flow – On Track
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$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
1H 2016 1H 2017
Cash Flow *
First Half 2017 vs. First Half 2016
* Cash Flow defined as cash from operating activities, less capital expenditure. Please refer to appendices for reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure.
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
1H 2016 1H 2017
Core Working Capital **
** Expressed as % of net sales, “Core Working Capital” is an internal Kellogg metric defined as last 12 months’ average trade receivables and inventory, less 12 months’ average trade payables, divided by last 12 months’ net sales.
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Q2 Kellogg Company Earnings August 3, 2017
Full Year 2017 – Reaffirming Guidance
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Net SalesCurrency-Neutral Comparable Basis
Current Previous
~ (3)% ~ (3)%- Overlay of DSD price adjustment / disruption
+ Sequential improvement in rest of business,led by Pringles
Operating ProfitCurrency-Neutral Comparable Basis
+7-9% +7-9% + Productivity savings offset Net Sales decline
- Higher y-o-y investment and tax rate in Q3
+ DSD overhead savings weighted to Q4
Earnings Per ShareCurrency-Neutral Comparable Basis
+8-10% +8-10%
Cash FlowCash From Ops., Less Capital Expenditure
$1.1-$1.2 bn $1.1-$1.2 bn
In the Second Half:
* Please refer to appendices for reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure.
Q2 Kellogg Company Earnings August 3, 2017
Kellogg North America – Overview
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• Sequential NSV improvement, across several businesses
• RTEC category remained soft, but share performance improving
• DSD transition on track and nearing completion
• Strong margin expansion continues
Q2 YTD
Net Sales * (2)% (3)%
Op. Profit * +7% +2%
OP Margin * +170 bp +110 bp
* Please refer to appendices for reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure.
Currency-Neutral Comparable Basis
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Q2 Kellogg Company Earnings August 3, 2017
Transition From DSD – On Track
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Customer Alignment: Agreed on Kellogg list-price adjustment to customers, transition timing, joint business planning
Core Assortment: Aligned on-shelf assortment, culled tail SKUs
Conversion to Warehouse: Shipping only to customers’ warehouses, halted DSD deliveries
• Now 100% warehouse distributed
• Entering final, wind-down phase
• Pivoting to demand-pull
Completion of Transition: Close distribution centers, execute operational “hypercare”, pivot to “pull-model” commercial activities, increasing brand investment
Q2 Kellogg Company Earnings August 3, 2017
U.S. Snacks – Performance & Priorities
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• DSD transition well executed and on track
• Pipeline-fill offset by reduced promo activity
• Increased Brand-Building investment
* Please refer to appendices for reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure.
Currency-Neutral Comparable Basis
Going Forward:• Transition from DSD• Increase brand support• Strong operating profit
margin expansion
Q2 Highlights:
Q2 YTD
Net Sales * 0% (3)%
Op. Profit * (1)% (14)%
OP Margin * (10) bp (140) bp
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Q2 Kellogg Company Earnings August 3, 2017
U.S. Morning Foods – Performance & Priorities
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• Category-wide consumption remained soft
• Share gains in kids brands
• Special K innovation and media campaign
• OP margin expansion led by ZBB and Project K
* Please refer to appendices for reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure.
Going Forward:• Gradual improvement in
net sales performance• Strong operating profit
margin expansion
Currency-Neutral Comparable Basis
Q2 Highlights:
Q2 YTD
Net Sales * (7)% (6)%
Op. Profit * +5% +5%
OP Margin * +290 bp +270 bp
Q2 Kellogg Company Earnings August 3, 2017
U.S. Specialty Channels – Performance & Priorities
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* Please refer to appendices for reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure.
• Continued growth
• Expansion in emerging channels
• Continued operating profit margin expansion
Currency-Neutral Comparable Basis
Going Forward:• Steady sales and
operating profit growth• Expand reach, improve
core mix
Q2 Highlights:
Q2 YTD
Net Sales * +2% +4%
Op. Profit * +15% +12%
OP Margin * +300 bp +180 bp
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Q2 Kellogg Company Earnings August 3, 2017
North America Other – Performance & Priorities
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• Eggo: Growth from removed artificials and new licensed-equity food
• Kashi Company: Share gain in cereal and significant improvement in snacks trends
• Canada: Broad-based share gains
• Strong operating profit margin improvement
* Please refer to appendices for reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure.
Currency-Neutral Comparable Basis
Going Forward:• Improvement in sales
performance• Growth in operating profit
and operating profit margin
Q2 Highlights:
Q2 YTD
Net Sales * (3)% (4)%
Op. Profit * +18% +13%
OP Margin * +280 bp +240 bp
Canada
Q2 Kellogg Company Earnings August 3, 2017
Europe – Performance & Priorities
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• Promotion delays following Q1 Pringles pricing negotiations
• Sequential improvement again in U.K. cereal
• Continued operating margin improvement
* Please refer to appendices for reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure.
Currency-Neutral Comparable Basis
Going Forward:• Stabilize the U.K.• Increase operating profit
margin
Q2 Highlights:
Q2 YTD
Net Sales * (7)% (8)%
Op. Profit * (1)% (3)%
OP Margin * +90 bp +60 bp
P1 P2 P3 P4 P5 P6
Share pt chg -2.6 -1.9 -1.0 -0.7 -0.7 0.2
Sales % Chg -14% -5% -4% -4% -1% 0%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
Source: Nielsen
Kellogg U.K. Cereal Consumption
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
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Q2 Kellogg Company Earnings August 3, 2017
Latin America – Performance & Priorities
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• Decline driven by Caribbean/Central America
• Continued growth in Mexico and Mercosur
• Integration and momentum of Parati
* Please refer to appendices for reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure.
Currency-Neutral Comparable Basis
Going Forward:• Grow sales• Integrate Parati• Increase operating profit
marginQ2 Highlights:
Q2 YTD
Net Sales * (4)% (3)%
Op. Profit * (15)% +1%
OP Margin * (160) bp +60 bp
Q2 Kellogg Company Earnings August 3, 2017
Asia Pacific – Performance & Priorities
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• Australia: Continued sequential improvement in net sales
• Broad-based growth in Asia
• Pringles momentum and expansion
• Joint ventures performing well
• Strong operating profit margin expansion
* Please refer to appendices for reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure.
Currency-Neutral Comparable Basis; does not include joint ventures
Going Forward:• Accelerate net sales
growth• Improve operating profit
margins
Q2 Highlights:
Q2 YTD
Net Sales * 2% 3%
Op. Profit * +35% +31%
OP Margin * +210 bp +210 bp
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Q2 Kellogg Company Earnings August 3, 2017
In Summary…
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• On track for 2017 sales, profit, earnings, and cash flow
• DSD transition nearing completion
• Committed to returning to top-line growth
* All referenced metrics are on a currency-neutral comparable basis; Cash Flow is defined as cash from operations less capital expenditure.