1. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net March 13, 2014 Kaihan Krippendorff www.kaihan.net

2. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net 3. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net 4. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net 5. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net Mohammad Yunus 6. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net Ratan Tata 7. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net 8. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net Thomas Edison 9. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net Ray Kroc 10. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net Betsy Johnson 11. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net Richard Branson Oprah Winfrey Elizabeth Arden Dhirubhai Ambani Bill Gates Charles Revson Henry Ford Sichir Honda 12. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net Martin Luther King, Jr. Mother Teresa Mahatma Gandhi Nelson Mandela Rosa Parks Mohammad Yunus Margaret Thatcher Benjamin Franklin 13. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win. Mohandas Gandhi 14. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net The option beyond the obvious choices; the option others do not see, will not consider, and will not respond effectively to. The 4th Option 15. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net 16. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net 17. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net Outthinkers are Outliers Heavier than air flying machines are impossible. Lord Kelvin President, Royal Society, circa 1895 Who the hell wants to hear actors talk? Harry M. Warner, CEO of Warner Brothers Pictures, circa 1927 There is no reason for any individual to have a computer in their home. Ken Olsen President , Digital Equipment Corporation,1977 There is no likelihood man can ever tap the power of the atom. Robert Millikan, Nobel Prize in Physics, 1923 The phonograph is not of any commercial value. Thomas Alva Edison (Inventor of the Phonograph), circa 1880 18. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net Elon Musk CEO, Tesla Motors Tom Adams CEO, Rosetta Stone Mark Zuckerberg CEO, Facebook Arianna Huffington CEO, Huffington Post Robert Keane CEO, Vistaprint Wayne Gattinella CEO, WebMD Sabrina Herrera Cofounder, Genomma Lab Marissa Mayer CEO, Yahoo Larry Page CEO, Google Mark Vadon Founder, Blue Nile Josh Linkner Founder, ePrize Ann Hand CEO, Project Frog Susan Lyne CEO, Gilt Groupe Cory Booker Mayor, Newark, NJ, USA Jeff Bezos Founder, Amazon.com 19. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net Some Victims 20. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net 2000 1. GE 2. Microsoft 3. Dell 4. Cisco 5. Wal-Mart 2005 1. Dell 2. GE 3. Starbucks* 4. Wal-Mart 5. Southwest A.* 2010 1. Apple* 2. Google* 3. Berkshire H.* 4. J&J* 5. Amazon* Most Admired Companies Replaced Source: Fortune Magazine, Most Admired Companies 21. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net Fortune 500 Survival is Falling Source: What Does Fortune 500 Turnover Mean? Dane Stangler and Sam Arbesman Ewing Marion; Kauffman Foundation, June 2012 22. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net S&P Lifespan Shortening 23. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net How to we create our 4th Option? 24. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net Alexandra Kosteniuk How Do Great Strategists See the Winning Move? 25. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net Source: Baddeley model of short term working memory Consciousness Phonetic loop Visuo-special sketchpad Episodic buffer 26. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net Relative number of narratives chess players recognize: Grand master Master Expert 27. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net Europe & Americas Fairy tales Japan Koan India Puranas China 36 stratagems 28. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net Identifying Outthinkers Value creation (TRS) Revenue growth (CAGR) (EBITDA) Profit margin 29. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net Core Research 30. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net Narratives to Find a Fourth Option #7 Force two-front battle #32 Create something out of nothing #22 Move early to the next battleground #34 Coordinate the uncoordinated #33 Be good 31. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net Move Early to the Next Battleground22 32. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net Move Early to the Next Battleground22 I just think a future in which anyone can shoot stuff into space is more exciting than one which only the government can. Elon Musk, founder, Space-X (2003 interview) 33. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net Move Early to the Next Battleground22 34. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net Move Early to the Next Battleground22 1st year employment: 65% Education: 3years to 2 Teaching law firms Every lawyer a sole practitioner Technology (e.g., Big Data) Unbundling of legal services 35. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net Identify and move early to the next battleground. Where is the next battleground? - Technological trends? - Social shifts? - Geographies? - Buying patterns? - Needs? 22 Move Early to the Next Battleground 36. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net Narratives to Find a Fourth Option #7 Force two-front battle #32 Create something out of nothing #22 Move early to the next battleground #34 Coordinate the uncoordinated #33 Be good 37. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net 38. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net 39. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net 40. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net Coordinate the Uncoordinated34 41. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net 42 Coordinate the Uncoordinated34 42. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net 43. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net 44. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net Coordinate the Uncoordinated34 45. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net Coordinate the Uncoordinated34 46. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net Coordinate the Uncoordinated34 47. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net Combine and coordinate independent elements within your environment to orchestrate much greater power. Who would we like to coordinate? - Customers - Experts - Employees - Real estate - Regulators - Competitors - Driveways - Coordinate the Uncoordinated34 48. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net Narratives to Find a Fourth Option #7 Force two-front battle #32 Create something out of nothing #22 Move early to the next battleground #34 Coordinate the uncoordinated #33 Be good 49. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net Force a Two-Front Battle7 50. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net 7 Force a Two-Front Battle Cloud providers Cloud services Retail There is no physical analog for what Amazon.com is becoming. - Jeff Bezos 51. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net 7 Force a Two-Front Battle Shoes Shoes Customer service 52. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net 7 Force a Two-Front Battle Traditional CPA firms Projects Resources (Accnts) 53. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net 7 Force a Two-Front Battle Traditional law firms Traditional model 54. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net Force a two-front battle7 Project your unique capability into a new area. What is your unique advantage/ capability? Into what new area could you project this? 55. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net Narratives to Find a Fourth Option #7 Force two-front battle #32 Create something out of nothing #22 Move early to the next battleground #34 Coordinate the uncoordinated #33 Be good 56. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net Environment Employees Community Govern- ment / country Share- holders Customers Corporation 33 Be Good 57. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net 33 58 Be Good 58. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net 33 Be Good 59. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net The Holstee Manifesto 60. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net Adopt a strategy that Benefits others. How can you profitably benefit key stakeholders that you are not now considering? Be good33 61. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net Narratives to Find a Fourth Option #7 Force two-front battle #32 Create something out of nothing #22 Move early to the next battleground #34 Coordinate the uncoordinated #33 Be good 62. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net Create Something Out of Nothing32 63. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net Create Something Out of Nothing32 Julie Pickens 64. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net Ingvar Kamprad Create Something Out of Nothing32 65. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net Create Something Out of Nothing32 66. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net Create Something Out of Nothing32 67. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net Add a new piece the board. What would you like to create/ add to the game? - New categories? - New occasions or needs? - New customers? - New suppliers? - New distributors? - New regulations? Create something out of nothing32 68. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net Find More Stratagems at www.kaihan.net 69. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net Narratives to Find a Fourth Option #7 Force two-front battle #32 Create something out of nothing #22 Move early to the next battleground #34 Coordinate the uncoordinated #33 Be good How can you project into a new sector? What can you create? Where is the next battleground? Who could you coordinate? How can you be good? 70. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net Impossible is a word to be found only in the dictionary of fools. Napoleon Bonaparte 71. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net 72. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net Selecting your 4th Option High Low Crazy ideas Winning moves Wastes of time Tactics Impact How far would this get me toward my goal? How long before the competition responds? Difficult Easy Can we do this quickly? Is this inexpensive? Do we have the capability? 73. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net Selecting your 4th Option High Low Crazy ideas Winning moves Wastes of time Tactics Impact How far would this get me toward my goal? How long before the competition responds? Difficult Easy Can we do this quickly? Is this inexpensive? Do we have the capability? 74. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net It's not that I'm so smart, it's just that I stay with problems longer. - Albert Einstein 75. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net Make the impossible possible Dont build handsets Risk of no WiFi Customer Service too costly Each of these looked like show stoppers Motorola Early adopters No one provides service David Morken, CEO Bandwidth.com 76. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net Objectives Imagine and commit to realizing a different future Imagine Choose leverage points others overlook Dissect Generate more potential strategies Expand Choose strategies competitors will not copy Analyze Build buy-in from key stakeholders Sell How to Apply Strategic Narratives: The Outthinker Process 77. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net 78. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net 79. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net 80. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net Mohammad Yunus 81. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net Ratan Tata 82. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net 83. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net Thomas Edison 84. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net Ray Kroc 85. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net Betsy Johnson 86. 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net kk@outthinker.com www.outthinker.com www.kaihan.net @kaihan Work out your Fourth Option Email me to get presentation Sign up for newsletter Access tools and videos Contact us for more support