jurnal tesis eko

8/20/2019 jurnal tesis eko

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46.0$. 16.003.$7$. 267.'7 $.$;'2'&L 76134'$.

16.';$' 4$1G$7 4$,' ,'&'7/ 26,&6K32 46.0$.

K6,K$0$' 1$*$1 267.'7I )$4$ G6.6;'2'$. '.' 267.'7

$.$;'&$ $2$3 162/46 8$.0 4'03.$7$. 3.23716.*$,' ;6>6; ,'&'7/ 8$.0 4'*','7$. /;6%

7613.07'.$. M,6736.&' 4$. 4$1G$7 4$,' G,/867

-$;$. 4$. -61K$2$. $4$;$% 162/46 AZ) B A(%$;'42%$

:4"-%-2,4 K-62"##DI 96134'$. >$,'$K6; %$&';

G6.6;'2'$. 8$.0 26;$% 4'/;$% 4$. 4'$.$;'&$

16.003.$7$. 26,&6K32L 8$'23 M$72/,CM$72/, 5'&'7/

32$1$ 4$;$1 %$; '.' ,'&'7/ 8$.0 K6&$, $2$3 2'.00'L

4'/;$% 46.0$. 16.003.$7$. +)++ J!IS 3.237

16.062$%3' G6.0$,3% 76*6;$7$$. 76,-$ 26,%$4$G

7'.6,-$ K'$8$ &6,2$ 1/46; G6,&$1$$. ,60,6&'.8$I

"E<D;=;= *@?BD<=; :<E (E8B?C@?BD<=;



V

A.$;'&'& 7/,6;$&' 4'03.$7$. 3.237 16.062$%3' $4$

$2$3 2'4$7.8$ %3K3.0$. $.2$,$ >$,'$K6;I a$,'$K6;

26,&6K32 8$'23 76*6;$7$$. 76,-$ 8$.0 26,-$4' G$4$

1$&$ 7/.&2,37&'46.0$. 7'.6,-$ K'$8$ G6;$7&$.$$.

G,/867 7/.&2,37&'.8$I

T6.0$. 16;$737$. $.$;'&'& 7/,6;$&' 26,&6K324'%$,$G7$. 4$G$2 16.0373, 7$,$726,'&2'7

%3K3.0$. 4$. '1G;'7$&' K$'7 G/&'2'M BhD 1$3G3.

.60$2'M BCDI Z3K3.0$. $.2$,$ 43$ >$,'$K6;

B*4-"2'46( 6@ 26--"$%'46(D 4$G$2 4'K64$7$. 16.-$4' F

!I 9/,6;$&' G/&'2'Mi -'7$ >$,'$K6; b 4''732' 46.0$.

76.$'7$. >$,'$K6; @ 4$. &6K$;'7.8$I

JI 9/,6;$&' .60$2'Mi -'7$ G6.8'1G$.0$. K'$8$ G$4$

&$;$% &$23 >$,'$K6; 4''732' 46.0$.

G6.8'1G$.0$. K'$8$ G$4$ >$,'$K6; ;$'. &6*$,$

26,$23, 46.0$. $,$% $2$3 06,$7$. 8$.0

K6,;$($.$.I

QI 9/,6;$&' .'%';i $,$% %3K3.0$. 7643$ >$,'$K6;

2'4$7 26,$23,L 7$4$.0C7$4$.0 &6$,$% 26,7$4$.0

K6,;$($.$. $,$%I

=.237 16.0%'23.0 &6K6,$G$ K6&$, 7/,6;$&' 1$7$

4'03.$7$. 162/46 7/,6;$&' >3$'4N%-4%'" 8$'23

162/46 &2$2'&2'7 8$.0 4$G$2 16.6.237$. %3K3.0$.

$.2$,$ K6K6,$G$ >$,'$K6;I Z3K3.0$. $.2$,$

>$,'$K6; 16.0%$&';$7$. .';$' G/&'2'M $2$3 .60$2'M

46.0$. K$2$&$. .';$' 7/6M'&'6. 7/,6;$&' , BK"%-#6(

Z6--"$%'46( Z6"@424"(' DI ]'7$ 7/6M'&'6. K6,.';$' !

1$7$ %3K3.0$. >$,'$K6; K6,.';$' G/&'2'ML $G$K';$

K6,.';$' C! 1$7$ %3K3.0$. >$,'$K6; K6,.';$'

.60$2'ML 4$. $G$K';$ 7/,6;$&' 16.467$2' S B./;D

1$7$ >$,'$K6; 26,&6K32 2'4$7 161';'7' %3K3.0$.;'.'6,I

A.$;'&$ 7/,6;$&' 8$.0 4'G6,03.$7$. G$4$

G6.6;'2'$. '.' $4$;$% 7/,6;$&' 1/16. G,/437

B =-6*32' &6&"(' 26--"$%'46(D K"%-#6(I 9/,6;$&'

1/16. G,/437 K"%-#6( 16,3G$7$. 7/6M'&'6.

7/,6;$&' 8$.0 16.00$1K$,7$. 6,$2 2'4$7.8$ 7$'2$.

&6G$&$.0 >$,'$K6; 7/.2'.3L b 4$. @I =.237 16.*$,'

46,$-$2 7/,6;$&' 26,&6K32 4'03.$7$. ,313& &6K$0$'

K6,'732

√

QIJD

9626,$.0$. F

, j 7/6M'&'6. 7/,6;$&' 8$.0 4'*$,'

c' j b' – b

8' j @' – @

@ j N';$' ,$2$C,$2$ >$,'$K6; @

b j N';$' ,$2$C,$2$ >$,'$K6; b

)6.03-'$. %'G/26&'&W1/46; 26.2$.0 7/,6;$&' F

, j S i 1$7$ 2'4$7 $4$ %3K3.0$. $.2$,$ 43$

>$,'$K6;

, g S i 161';'7' %3K3.0$. G/&'2'M

, f S i 161';'7' %3K3.0$. .60$2'M

"E<D;=;= 5<C8@?

A.$;'&'& M$72/, 4';$737$. 3.237 G6.8646,%$.$$.

-31;$% >$,'$K6; 8$.0 *373G K6&$, 16.-$4'

K6K6,$G$ 76;/1G/7 8$.0 ;6K'% 76*';I A.$;'&'&

4';$737$. K6,4$&$,7$. M$72/, 8$.0 &$1$ $7$.

262$G' 262$G 161G6,2$%$.7$. &6K$.8$7 13.07'.'.M/,1$&' $&;'.8$I +64$.07$. 3.237

16,6437&' &6-31;$% >$,'$K6; 26&2 16.-$4' >$,'$K6;

8$.0 ;6K'% 76*'; 4';$737$. $.$;'&'& 7/1G/.6. 4$.

M$72/, 8$7.' K6,%3K3.0$. 46.0$. 7/,6;$&' $.2$,

7/1G/.6.I

Z$&'; 8$.0 4'%$,$G7$. 4$,' $.$;'&'& M$72/, /;6%

+)++ $4$;$% T6'%'"* Z6&=6("('>%'-4W 8$'23 &%'-4W

=-4(24=%$ 26&=6("(' %$&'; 8$.0 4',/2$&'7$.

K6,4$&$,7$. 162/4$ N%-4&%W 4$. -31;$%

7/1G/.6. 8$.0 4'$1K'; $4$;$% 7/1G/.6. 8$.0

161';'7' "47"(N%$3" ;6K'% K6&$, 4$,' &$23 Bg!DI

T'1$.$ "47"(N%$3" 16.8$2$7$. .';$' 4$,'

4(@6-&%'46( 26('"(' 8$.0 4'G6,/;6% /;6% M$72/,

tertentu (1,2,3…n) dari variabel Xi dari penelitian.

"E<D;=;= U<?;<HBD 3BEBE89

A.$;'&'& >$,'$K6; G6.6.23 4';$737$. 46.0$. *$,$

16.0$.$;'&'& K6,K$0$'7/1K'.$&' $.2$,$ &62'$G

>$,'$K6; K6K$& 8$.0 K6,G/26.&' 16($7';' M$72/,.8$

8$.0161G3.8$' %3K3.0$. '.26,7/,6;$&' ,6.4$%

46.0$. >$,'$K6; K6K$& 4$,' M$72/,;$'..8$I T6.0$.

$4$.8$ &$23 >$,'$K6; K6K$& 4$,' &62'$G M$72/,

26,&6K32 8$.0161';'7' '.26,7/,6;$&' B,D 26,6.4$%

$7$. 4'%$&';7$. >$,'$K6;C>$,'$K6; G6.6.2326,%$4$G

G6.6.23$. $4$ 7626,7$'2$. 2'4$7 $.2$,$G6.8'1G$.0$. K'$8$ 1$26,'$; G$4$ &$$2

G6;$7&$.$$. 7/.&2,37&' 26,%$4$G 7'.6,-$ K'$8$.8$I

+6;$.-32.8$ 3.237168$7'.' 76K6.$,$. 4$,' ,60,6&'

;'.'6, 26,&6K32 4'$2$& 4';$737$. G6.06*67$.

46.0$.*$,$ 4';$737$. $.$;'&'& ,60,6&' ;'.'6,

K6,0$.4$ &6*$,$ '.26,$72'M 46.0$. 7'.6,-$ ($723

&6K$0$' >$,'$K6; 26,'7$2 B*"="(*"('

N%-4%8$"D46.0$. 7/1K'.$&' $.2$,$ &$23 >$,'$K6;

G6.6.23 4$,' &62'$G M$72/, &6K$0$' >$,'$K6;K6K$&L

&6%'.00$ 16.*$G$' %$&'; .';$' 26"@@424"(' 6@

O"'"-&4(%(' B5JD 8$.0 /G2'131&6K$0$' $*3$.

3.237 16.62$G7$. 7/1K'.$&' >$,'$K6; G6.6.23

4$,' &62'$G M$72/, 46.0$. 7/.2,'K3&' 8$.0 G$;'.01$7&'1$;I

"E<D;=;= 'BO?B=; 7B?O<E:<

A.$;'&'& ,60,6&' K6,0$.4$ 4';$737$. 3.237

16.062$%3' %3K3.0$. $.2$,$ >$,'$K6;26,G6.0$,3%

8$'23 9'.6,-$ K'$8$ 46.0$. >$,'$K6;

8$.0161G6.0$,3%'.8$ 8$'23 G6.8'1G$.0$. K'$8$

1$26,'$; 8$.0 26,-$4' G$4$ &$$2 7/.&2,37&' &64$.0

K6,;$.0&3.0 K6,K6.237 ;'.'6, $2$3 ./. ;'.'6,L

46.0$. *$,$ 2,$.&M/,1$&';/0$,'21$ .$23,$;

26,%$4$G >$,'$K6;C>$,'$K6;I#/46; $.$;'&'& ,60,6&'

K6,0$.4$ '.' 16,3G$7$. 1/46; 1$261$2'&

8$.016.3.-37$. %3K3.0$. &6*$,$ 73$.2'2$2'M

$.2$,$ >$,'$K6;C>$,'$K6; K6K6$& b'I



R

AG$K';$%3K3.0$. $.2$,$ >$,'$K6; 26,'7$2 @ 46.0$.

>$,'$K6; K6K$& b' ;'.'6, 4$. 26,%$4$G 7>$,'$K6; 4$.

. G6.0$1$2$.L 1$7$ 1/46; ,60,6&' K6,0$.4$ 3.237

%3K3.0$. @ 4$. b'4$G$2 4'.8$2$7$. &6G6,2' G$4$

G6,&$1$$. K6,'732 '.'F

BQIQD

T6.0$. F

βS \ 7/.&2$.2$

β!L βJL β7 j 430$$. 7/6M'&'6. ,60,6&'

ε j 76&$;$%$. G6.00$.003

+6;$'. 1/46; ,60,6&' ;'.'6, 4'K3$2 -30$ 1/46;

,60,6&' ./. ;'.'6, 8$.0 K6,3G$ 2,$.&M/,1$&'

;/0$,'21$I 96134'$. 7643$ 1/46; '.' $7$.

4'K$.4'.07$.L 1/46; 8$.0 4'G';'% $4$;$% 1/46;8$.0 26,3-' K$'7I #/46; 2,$.&M/,1$&' ;/0$,'21$

$4$;$% 1/46; 46.0$. M3.0&' ./. ;'.'6, 8$.0

4'2,$.&M/,1$&'7$. 76K6.237 ;/0$,'21$ ./,1$;

16.-$4' 1/46; ;'.'6,I #/46; ./. ;'.'6,.8$ $4$;$%

&6K$0$' K6,'732F

BQIPD

#/46; '.' 4'2,$.&M/,1$&'7$. 76K6.237 ;/0$,'21$

./,1$; 16.-$4' K6.237 ;'.'6, 46.0$. G6,&$1$$.&6K$0$' K6,'732 F

BQIVD

T$;$1 $.$;'&'& ,60,6&' K6,0$.4$ '.' 4'G6,03.$7$.

162/46 #'"=M4#" -"7-"##46(L 3.237 16.062$%3'

2'.07$2 G6.0$,3% 4$,' >$,'$K6;C>$,'$K6; 8$.0

4'G6,03.$7$.I +62'$G >$,'$K6; 4'1$&37$. 764$;$1

1/46; ,60,6&' &$23 G6,&$,3 &6*$,$ K6,3,32$.L 4$.

K6,4$&$,7$. 3,32$. 2'.07$2$. 7/.2,'K3&'K6&$,.8$

5J 26,%$4$G 1/46; ,60,6&' 8$.0 4'%$,$G7$.IT$;$1 $.$;'&'& ,60,6&' 26,4$G$2 K6K6,$G$ 373,$.

8$.0 4'*$,' 4'$.2$,$.8$ F

!I \$,'& 560,6&' F 8$'23 0$,'& 8$.0 16.8$2$7$. 4$.

16.00$1K$,7$. 7$,$726,'&2'7 %3K3.0$. $.2$,$

>$,'$K6;C>$,'$K6; G6.6;'2'$.I

JI B'%(*%-* "--6- 6@ "#'4&%'" F 8$'23 G6.0373,$.

G6.86K$,$. 2'$GC2'$G 2'2'7 4$2$ 26,%$4$G 0$,'&

,60,6&'.8$ $2$3 &6K$0$' &2$.4$, 46>'$&' %$,0$

>$,'$K6; G6.0$,3% B@D 26,%$4$G 0$,'&

,60,6&'.8$I

6P; !@:BD

#/46; 560,6&' 8$.0 26;$% 4'G6,/;6% &6K6;31.8$

K$'7 1/46; ;'.'6, 1$3G3. ./. ;'.'6, &6;$.-32.8$

4';$737$. K6K6,$G$ 3-' 1/46; 8$'23 46.0$. *$,$ F

'Y 8B=8 0N@BR;Q;BE8 @R .B8B?G;E<E8 -B=82

5J 26&2 4';$737$. K6,23-3$. 3.237 16.0373,

K6&$,.8$ 7/.2,'K3&' >$,'$K6; K6K$& b 26,%$4$G>$,'$&' B.$'7 23,3..8$D >$,'$K6; 26,'7$2I a$,'$&' @

8$.0 ;$'..8$ 4'&6K$K7$. /;6% M$72/, ;$'. 8$.0 -30$

161G6.0$,3%' @ 4$. &34$% 26,1$&37 4$;$1

76&$;$%$. G6.00$.003 B*4#'3-8%(2" "--6- DI 5J -30$

4'03.$7$. 3.237 16.0373, &6K6,$G$ 467$2 0$,'&

,60,6&' 26,%$4$G 4$2$I T$6,$% 5J $4$;$% 4$,' ./;

&$1G$' &$23I +61$7'. 467$2 .';$' @ 4$,' 1/46;

,60,6&' 76G$4$ 2'2'7 4$2$L 1$7$ .';$' 5J &61$7'.

2'.00'I 5313& 5J &6K$0$' K6,'732 F

BQIIRD

9626,$.0$. F

@' j .';$' @ $723$; B&$1G6;D

@* j .';$' @ 8$.0 4'%'23.0 4$,' 1/46; ,60,6&'

@ j .';$' @ ,$2$C,$2$

Z$&'; 4$,' +)++ '.' -30$ 16.0%$&';7$. %*.3#'"* T

#Y3%-" B5J 8$.0 4'&6&3$'7$.D 8$.0 16,3G$7$.

7/,67&' 4$,' 5J &6%'.00$ 0$1K$,$..8$ ;6K'%

16.467$2' 1323 G6.-$-$7$. 1/46; 4$;$1

G/G3;$&'IA4-3&264 5J B5$JD 4',313&7$. &6K$0$'

K6,'732F

BQI^D

9626,$.0$. F

. j -31;$% &$1G6;

7 j -31;$% >$,'$K6; K6K$&

5 -B=8

: 26&2 4'03.$7$. 3.237 16.03-' %'G/26&'& BZSD

K$%($ &6;3,3% .';$' 7/6M'&'6. >$,'$K6; K6K$& BbD

4$,' 1/46; ,60,6&' &$1$ 46.0$. ./; 4$. %'G/26&'&

$;26,.$2'>6 BZ$D 8$'23 &6;3,3% .';$' 7/6M'&'6.>$,'$K6; b 2'4$7 &$1$ 46.0$. ./;I Z$; 26,&6K32

4$G$2 4'.8$2$7$. &6K$0$' K6,'732 F

ZS :β! =βJ = ………….β7 j S

Z$ :β! ≠βJ ≠………….β7 ≠ 0

<3-3$. G6.03-'$. '.' $4$;$% &6K$0$' 4$&$, 3.237

G61K3$2$. 76G323&$.L $G$7$% G6,&$1$$. 0$,'&

;'.'6, 4$G$2 4'$03.$7$. 3.237 16,$1$;7$. $2$3

161G6,7',$7$. .';$' @ 0$,'& ;'.'6, -'7$ .';$' b!LbJL

……. Xn sudah diketahui. Apabila hipotesis nol

26,&6K32 4'26,'1$ $2$3 K6.$,L 1$7$ &6;3,3% 1/46;

2'4$7 &'0.'M'7$. 3.237 16.-6;$&7$. >$,'$K6; 26,'7$2

B@D 4$. .';$' G6.86&3$'$. &6*$,$ &'0.'M'7$. 2'4$7

K6,K64$ 46.0$. ./;I +64$.07$. 7,'26,'$ G6.03-'$.%'G/26&'& $4$;$% &6K$0$' K6,'732 F



^

Z/ F 4'2/;$7 -'7$ :S %'23.0 g :α B7C!DB.C7D<$K6; BZ$ 4'26,'1$D

Z/ F 4'26,'1$ -'7$ :S %'23.0 f :α B7C!DB.C7D<$K6; BZ$ 4'2/;$7D

T'1$.$ Fα = tingkat signifikan = 0.01 atau 0.05

. j -31;$% &$1G6;

7 j >$,'$K6; K6K$& 4$;$1 1/46; ,60,6&' K6,0$.4$

T$,' $.$;'&'& >$,'$.& 4'4$G$27$. .';$' :S

K6,4$&$7$. ,313& &6K$0$' K6,'732 F

BQIeD

8 -B=8

=-' 2 4'03.$7$. 3.237 16.03-' %'G/26&'& ./; BZSDK$%($ 1$&'.0C1$&'.0 7/6M'&'6. 4$,' ,60,6&' &$1$

46.0$. ./; 4$. %'G/26&'& $;26,.$2'M.8$ BZ$D $4$;$%

1$&'.0C1$&'.0 7/6M'&'6. 4$,' 1/46; 2'4$7 &$1$

46.0$. ./;I Z$; 26,&6K32 4$G$2 4'.8$2$7$. &6K$0$'

K6,'732 F

ZS: βS= 0β!= 0βJ= 0, …………. β7 j S

Z$: βS≠ 0β!≠ 0βJ≠ 0, .…………. β7 ≠ 0

]'7$ %'G/26&'& ./; 4'26,'1$L 1$7$ 1/46; 8$.0

4'%$&';7$. 2'4$7 4$G$2 4'G6,03.$7$. 3.237

161G6,7',$7$. @I +6K$;'7.8$ 7$;$3 %'G/26&'& ./;

4'2/;$7L 1$7$ 1/46; 8$.0 4'%$&';7$. 4'G6,03.$7$.

3.237 161G,64'7&' .';$' @I N';$' 2 4$,' 7/6M'&'6.

>$,'$K6; b 4$. 7/.&2$.2$ ,60,6&' 4$G$2 4'*$,'46.0$. 16.003.$7$. ,313& &6K$0$' K6,'732F

2 S 3.237 koefisien variabel X (β!D

BQIXD

2 S 3.237 koefisien variabel X (β!D

BQI!SD

T'1$.$ +K $4$;$% 76&$;$%$. K$73 4$,' 7/6M'&'6.

>$,'$K6; b 4$. +$ $4$;$% 76&$;$%$. K$73 4$,'

7/.&2$.2$ ,60,6&'I )6.03-'$. %'G/26&'& '.' $4$;$%

&6K$0$' K6,'732F ]'7$ 2S %'23.0 g 2 $ B.C7C!D

2$K6; 1$7$ ZS 4'2/;$7

]'7$ 2S %'23.0 f 2 $ B.C7C!D2$K6; 1$7$ Z$ 4'2/;$7

6P; "98@C@?BD<=; 0.9?H;E]S<8=@E -B=82

=-' $32/7/,6;$&' 4'03.$7$. 3.237 16.062$%3' $4$

$2$3 2'4$7.8$ G6.8'1G$.0$. $&31&' 7;$&'7

$32/7/,6;$&' 8$'23 7/,6;$&' 8$.0 26,-$4' $.2$,$

,6&'43$; G$4$ &$23 G6.0$1$2$. 46.0$.

G6.0$1$2$. ;$'. G$4$ 1/46; ,60,6&'I =-' T3,K'.C

Y$2&/. %$.8$ 4'03.$7$. 3.237 $32/7/,6;$&'

2'.07$2 &$23 B @4-#' 6-*"- %3'626--"$%'46(D 4$.

16.&8$,$27$. $4$.8$ '.26,*6G2 B7/.&2$.2$D 4$;$1

1/46; ,60,6&' 4$. 2'4$7 $4$ >$,'$K6; ;$0 4' $.2$,$

>$,'$K6; K6K$&I +2$2'&2'7 T3,K'. – Y$2&/. 16.03-'

%'G/26&'& ./; BZSD 4$. %'G/26&'& $;26,.$2'>6 BZ$D

&6K$0$' K6,'732F

Z/ F $4$ $32/7/,6;$&' G/&'2'M 4$. .60$2'M

Z$ F 2'4$7 $4$ $32/7/,6;$&' G/&'2'M 4$. .60$2'>6L

46.0$. $;26,.$2'M

9,'26,'$ G6.03-'$..8$ $4$;$% &6K$0$' K6,'732 F

`';$ .';$' TY 26,;62$7 $.2$,$ K$2$& $2$& $2$3

3=="- 863(* B43D 4$. BP C 43DL 1$7$ 7/6M'&'6.

$32/7/,6;$&' &$1$ 46.0$. ./;L K6,$,2' 8;:<C

<:< <98@C@?BD<=;I

`';$ .';$' TY ;6K'% ,6.4$% 4$,'G$4$ K$2$&

K$($% $2$3 $6M"- 863(* B4;DL 1$7$ 7/6M'&'6.

$32/7/,6;$&' ;6K'% K6&$, 4$,'G$4$ ./;L K6,$,2'

$4$ <98@C@?BD<=; T@=;8;R I

`';$ .';$' TY ;6K'% K6&$, 4$,'G$4$ BP C 4;DL 1$7$

7/6M'&'6. $32/7/,6;$&' ;6K'% 76*'; 4$,'G$4$ ./;L

K6,$,2' $4$ <98@C@?BD<=; EBO<8;R I `';$ .';$' TY 26,;62$7 4' $.2$,$ K$2$& $2$& B43D

4$. K$2$& K$($% B4;D $4$ TY 26,;62$7 $.2$,$ BP

C 43D 4$. BP C 4;DL 1$7$ %$&';.8$ 8;:<C :<T<8

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