JUNE 2013 Mark Florman. The World The World in 1991 46%
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Transcript of JUNE 2013 Mark Florman. The World The World in 1991 46%
JUNE 2013
Mark Florman
The World
The World in 1991
46%
The World in 2013
GINI index
Source: World Bank
22%
Shifting Demographics
Old vs. Young
Old - Indebted35% of WG
Young – No Debt65% of WG
2013 – Where are all the <30s?
Source: US Census Bureau
World Urbanisation
2012: 50% 2030: 60%
Source: Global Trends 2030, National Intelligence Council
World Population Growth
2012
13%
70%
18%
7 BILLION
2050
9.3 BILLION
67%
18%15%
More Developed CountriesLess Developed Countries
Least Developed Countries
Source: United Nations Population Fund
Global Middle Class Consumption
2000
• 65% Old World
2050
• 20% Old World
Demographic Facts
Japan & Germany:World’s Oldest Populations
European Elderly:58m more by 2050
European workforce ratio: 1/2 approaches
Resources
Land
Water
Minerals
How
Springboard Economy
Springboard Society
Migration
Old World
Shortages
STEM
Young
New World
Surpluses
STEM
Young
Europe
Unprecedented growth in productivity required from investing in
Physical Capital
Knowledge Capital
Human Capital
New Flat World
Connected & communicating
Constant fight over resources
Working old & poorInstability & angerOnline educationSustainable energy
Springboard Economy
Schools: STEM & business
Angel & VentureInnovation
ecosystemsProductivityApprenticeships
Springboard Society
No one left behindBusiness
responsibilitySocial impact
industryBack to workOne million jobsSlavery (CSJ)
UK Statistics
2013
45%
39%
16%
53 MILLION
2060
63 MILLION
34%
36%30%
Public Sector net debt as a % of GDP
Source: HM Treasury
66+ years old36-65 years old
0-35 years old
Source: Office of National Statistics
Current State of the UK
Living beyond our means
OvertaxedMortgaged the futureInward FacingShort termistLack of innovationNeed growth of 3%
p.a.
Long Term Solution
Promote innovation investments
Environment for flexible talent development
Encourage entrepreneurship
Shape disruptive technologies
Foster ecosystems
Short Term Spending Review
HMT will make £11.5bn overall savings from Government departments year 2015/16.
NHS budget to help fund investment in social care.
Investments in long-term capital infrastructure.
Will announce sums allocated to Local Enterprise Partnerships.
UK Housing
Facts on UK Housing
1.8 million households on waiting lists
60,000 households made homeless per year
4.6 million homes needed in next 20 years
2,000 housing associations Demographics and new household
formation increases pressure Income-housing cost ratio
worsening Impact of universal credit on
credit quality of HA’s
Homes & Communities
Communities that support each other
Innovation in work/home environments
Socially inclusive societies
Early intervention to support families
Invest in Communities
Construction & housing key catalyst to UK GDP
Private investment via social impact investing
Tax relief for social enterprises
Support new social enterprises
Private equity & venture capital
Static communities Innovation in Elderly &
Social Care
Invest in Markets
Measure and value social impact... ERR
Form a development service company to aggregate development plans
Aggregation of assets, income streams and risks
Migrate £50bn of bank finance towards bond market (currently £7.5bn)
Co-op housing – borrow against unfettered assets
Regulator to consider treatment of grants (as assets)
Thank you