2

Methodology

On behalf of The Israel Project, Public Opinion Strategies conducted a national survey of N=800 likely voters. The survey was administered by phone and was conducted July 18-19, 21-22, 2012. The survey has a margin of error of +3.46%.

4

61%

71% 69%

59%

66% 58%

44%

63% 60% 57%

56% 58% 51%

58% 56% 51% 51%

55% 58% 56%

60% 57%

61%

10% 8% 6% 7% 6% 9%

5% 8%

5% 5% 7% 9% 5% 7% 5% 4% 5% 6% 6%

10% 8% 6% 7%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Israel Supporter Palestinian Supporter Neither/Don’t Know/Refused

** Trend from joint research by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner and Public Opinion Strategies.

Crisis in Egypt

Flotilla Incident Talks Stall

Peace talks renew

Gaza War Israel-Hamas Truce

Annapolis

Now, thinking about the ongoing conflict between Israel and the Palestinians in the Middle East, please tell me whether, in general, you think America should be... A strong supporter of Israel, a supporter of Israel, a supporter of the Palestinians ...or... a strong supporter of the Palestinians?

Voters continue to believe the US should side with Israel in the conflict with the Palestinians.

Lebanon

5

82%

56% 45%

1% 5% 13%

GOP (38%)

IND (17%)

DEM (44%)

Israel Pales. Israel

By Party

Pales. Israel

There is consensus across party lines.

February 2012

77 53 8 3 8 46

Now, thinking about the ongoing conflict between Israel and the Palestinians in the Middle East, please tell me whether, in general, you think America should be... A strong supporter of Israel, a supporter of Israel, a supporter of the Palestinians ...or... a strong supporter of the Palestinians?

6

51% 60% 64% 62%

71%

12% 2%

7% 6% 5%

18-34 (24%)

35-44 (21%)

45-54 (14%)

55-64 (21%)

65+ (19%)

Israel Pales. Israel Pales. Israel Israel Israel Pales.

And, among all age groups.

Pales.

By Age

Now, thinking about the ongoing conflict between Israel and the Palestinians in the Middle East, please tell me whether, in general, you think America should be... A strong supporter of Israel, a supporter of Israel, a supporter of the Palestinians ...or... a strong supporter of the Palestinians?

February 2012

45 12 50 6 67 2 64 7 63 5

8

80% 89%

81% 72%

10% 5%

11% 15%

Total GOP (38%)

IND (17%)

DEM (44%)

American voters overwhelmingly believe Iran is building nuclear weapons.

First, do you believe that Iran is building nuclear weapons?

By Party Total

Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No

+70 +57 +84 +70

9

60%

27%

7% 3%

Total

Over 60% of Americans continue to believe Iran is a very big threat to Israel.

Does Iran’s nuclear program pose a very big threat, a moderate threat, not much of a threat or no threat at all to each of the following places...

Israel

Very Big Threat

Not Much Threat No Threat

Moderate Threat

February 2012

67 21 5 4

10

Does Iran’s nuclear program pose a very big threat, a moderate threat, not much of a threat or no threat at all to each of the following places...

34% 41%

15% 9%

Total

Very Big Threat

Moderate Threat

While one-third of voters say that Iran’s nuclear program is a very big threat to the

United States...

February 2012

44 35 13 7

The United States*

*Asked of Sample A Only, N=400

Not Much Threat No Threat

11

Does Iran’s nuclear program pose a very big threat, a moderate threat, not much of a threat or no threat at all to each of the following places...

39% 41%

12% 6%

Total

Very Big Threat

Not Much Threat No Threat

Moderate Threat

A higher percentage believe that Iran’s nuclear program is a very big threat to the US and its

NATO allies.

The United States and its NATO allies**

**Asked of Sample B Only, N=400

13

78% 86%

67% 75%

17% 11% 23% 20%

Total GOP (39%)

IND (17%)

DEM (43%)

Americans continue to strongly support sanctions against Iran.

Now, as you may know, the United States has imposed strong economic and trade sanctions on Iran to try to discourage Iran's nuclear program...

Generally speaking, do you support or oppose these sanctions?* By Party Total

Support Oppose Support Oppose

*Asked of Sample A, N=400

56% Strongly

64% Strongly 51%

Strongly 52%

Strongly

Support Oppose Support Oppose

February 2012

82 16 89 11 83 15 75 23

14

66% 73%

82% 87% 83%

29% 20% 15%

8% 11%

18-34 (25%)

35-44 (19%)

45-54 (15%)

55-64 (21%)

65+ (19%)

Support for sanctions is high across all age groups.

By Age

Sup Opp

*Asked of Sample A, N=400

37% Strong

Sup Opp Sup Opp Sup Opp Sup Opp

51% Strong

58% Strong

74% Strong 66%

Strong

February 2012

74 22 81 17 90 10 86 13 81 17

Now, as you may know, the United States has imposed strong economic and trade sanctions on Iran to try to discourage Iran's nuclear program...

Generally speaking, do you support or oppose these sanctions?*

15

80% 87%

78% 74%

16% 9%

18% 23%

Total GOP (43%)

IND (15%)

DEM (42%)

And, even if Americans learn that sanctions could cause hardship for Iranians, support

remains high. And, if you learned that these sanctions cause hardship for ordinary Iranians,

would you still support these sanctions?* By Party Total

Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No

*Asked among those who support sanctions, N=312

+64 +51 +78 +60

16

76% 88%

75% 79% 84%

19% 12%

22% 18% 10%

18-34 (21%)

35-44 (18%)

45-54 (15%)

55-64 (24%)

65+ (20%)

This holds true across age.

And, if you learned that these sanctions cause hardship for ordinary Iranians, would you still support these sanctions?*

By Age

Yes No

*Asked among those who support sanctions, N=312

Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No

+57 +74 +53 +61 +76

17

30% 22% 19%

40%

67% 77% 79%

55%

Total GOP (38%)

IND (16%)

DEM (45%)

There’s still not a strong sense that sanctions and diplomacy will prevent Iran from developing

nuclear capabilities. How likely do you think it is that sanctions and diplomacy will prevent Iran’s

development of nuclear capabilities?** By Party Total

Likely Not

Likely

**Asked of Sample B, N=400

6% Very

32% Not

At All 4% Very

38% Not

At All

36% Not

At All 9% Very

26% Not

At All

Likely Not

Likely Likely Not

Likely Likely Not

Likely

February 2012

32 67 20 80 30 68 46 54

18

34% 22%

28% 32% 32%

60%

75% 71% 65% 67%

18-34 (23%)

35-44 (23%)

45-54 (13%)

55-64 (21%)

65+ (19%)

And, this sentiment is true across age.

By Age

Likely Not

Likely

**Asked of Sample B, N=400

6% Very

30% Not

At All

Likely Not

Likely

4% Very

37% Not

At All

Likely Not

Likely

7% Very

27% Not

At All

Likely Not

Likely

6% Very

28% Not

At All

Likely Not

Likely

8% Very

34% Not

At All

How likely do you think it is that sanctions and diplomacy will prevent Iran’s development of nuclear capabilities?**

February 2012

34 66 30 68 28 70 29 71 37 61

19

Americans continue to support expanded economic and diplomatic sanctions.

80% 81% 75% 78% 78%

15% 13% 20% 19% 18%

Dec 2009

May 2010

Nov 2011

Feb 2012

July 2012

Sup Opp

54% Strng

Sup Opp

55% Strng

Sup Opp

12% Strng

44% Strng

Sup

49% Strng

Opp

48% Strng

Expanded economic and diplomatic sanctions coupled with direct talks with Iran to negotiate over its nuclear program

** Trend from joint research by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner and Public Opinion Strategies.

Now I am going to read you a series of actions that can be taken with regard to Iran if they do not stop their nuclear program. After I read each one, please tell me whether you support or oppose that action...

Opp Sup

+65 +60 +55 +59 +68

214 North Fayette Street Alexandria, Virginia 22314

Phone: (703) 836-7655 Web: www.pos.org