Julie Sinistore June 30th Presentation
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Transcript of Julie Sinistore June 30th Presentation
Life Cycle Assessment of Cellulosic Ethanol
Julie Sinistore Research Experience for Teachers
June 30th, 2010
Outline ! What is Life Cycle Assessment (LCA)?
! How do you do an LCA? ! Case study in the applicaGon of LCA
Corn grain and cellulosic ethanol ! Direct vs. Indirect Land Use Change ! Fossil vs. bioGc carbon emissions
What is LCA? ! Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) is the invesGgaGon and valuaGon of the environmental impacts of a product or service. It is sGll a method in progress:
! “There is no single method for conducGng LCA studies. OrganizaGons should have flexibility to implement LCA pracGcally as established in this InternaGonal Standard, based upon the specific applicaGon and the requirements of the user.” (ISO 14040:1997) iso.org
What can you do an LCA on? Goods, services, anything!!
LCA Pieces: Boxes, lines, quantities
Inputs
Primary output
Secondary output
Good or Service Functional unit &
Measurement quantity
Assumptions Data
Allocated inputs
Allocated outputs
Conversion rates/Process
+ Result Metric
Comparison Sensitivity Analysis
Step 1. Pick the good or service and its functional unit
! Say you wanted to do an LCA on bo[led water Do you want an LCA on one bo[le of water or all the bo[led water sold in a store or all the bo[led water Pepsi made or sold last year?
! Examples of reference quanGGes: One unit – a bo[le of water, a gallon of milk, a bushel of corn, a liter of fuel, a plane, a car
One Gme step – yearly producGon at a factory, daily irrigaGon water use
One funcGonal unit (service) – one plane trip, one screening of a movie
Mix and match – gallons of ethanol per year
Step 2: Define your measurement quantities
! What do you want to measure in the life-‐cycle of this thing? Energy Greenhouse gas Water
Air polluGon Water polluGon
Money Social implicaGons
! Divide your measurement quanGty by your reference quanGty and you have a metric! Energy per plane flight Water use per gallon of milk
GHG emissions per bo[le of water
Step 3: Define the beginning and the end (boundary)
How far “upstream” and “downstream” do you want to go? Sweet corn production LCA up to the farm gate, the store or your dinner table? Ethanol production up to the refinery, the gas station or burning in your car?
Step 4: Think of every input/output of production
Inputs Outputs
Plastic
Paper
Water
Ink
Energy
Transportation
Bottles of water
GHGs
Other?
Other?
Process and Conversion rates (not just what but how)
! You need to understand the manufacturing process of a product or the administraGon of a service This may uncover hidden inputs and outputs
Product: What kind of plasGc is used to make the bo[le and what is the process for making the mold?
Service: What is required to operate a passenger train (e.g. personnel, wear and tear on equipment)?
! What are the conversion rates and losses? How much plasGc does it take to make 1 bo[le (and how much is lost as waste)?
Step 5: Data compilation ! Decide what data do you need
Electrical grid mix a state or region – Wisconsin or the US Conversion efficiencies – liters ethanol per kg corn Process energy – MJ from natural gas for process heat TransportaGon – distance from refinery to farm, truck or train, number of trips, fuel efficiency of a full and empty truck
! Be consistent about sources Literature – different papers use very different numbers Databases – some are free, some are not Experimental/observaGonal data – self-‐generated data GeospaGal data – helps with landscape factors and transportaGon assumpGons
Industry standards – check ISO documents for data standards, industry standard values are a good starGng point
Step 6: Allocation ! All inputs/outputs are not created equal.
Primary output
Good or Service
Allocated inputs
Allocated outputs
Inputs
Most are straightforward, but some are more “slanted,” so you need to figure out their “right-left” component.
counts doesn’t count
a
counts = total·cosa
a
Warning! Math metaphor!
unitless ratio
Allocation: How? ! How do we allocate some of the energy and GHGs associated with making parts of a product in an LCA? Economic/Market allocaGon: Energy required or GHGs emi[ed to replace an economically equivalent amount of the product on the market (could be an economic subsGtute).
Mass allocaGon*: Make a raGo of the mass of the input you used to make the product and the total mass and mulGply that by the total energy or GHGs from the input producGon.
Energy allocaGon: Same as with mass, but with energy.
*This is tough if the product has no mass like electricity.
Allocation
You can also allocate energy and GHGs for co-‐products by all the same methods plus: • System expansion: Expand the analysis boundary to include the upstream and downstream costs of the products that co-‐products displace.
• Eg. PlasGc is a valuable co-‐product of oil refining, so you could apply an energy or GHG credit to oil refining which is proporGonal to the energy and GHG value of plasGc by the Economic, Mass, Energy or System Expansion systems.
Step 7: Comparison LCAs are only valuable if you have something to compare your numbers to.
Let’s say the net energy used to make a 16oz water bo[le is 12Joules and 5gCO2eq are emi[ed.* • Is that high or low?
What do you compare it to? • Other bo[led water brands • Tap water • Other “economic subsGtutes”
*completely fictitious
Step 8: Sensitivity analysis ! IdenGfy variables and assumpGons which could dramaGcally affect your analysis.
! Test the sensiGvity of your results to those assumpGons. Eg. If you had a co-‐product credit of 5MJ per liter of ethanol, try 10, 9, 8, 7, 6, 4, 3, 2, 1 and 0 and see how that changes your results.
Eg. If you did a market-‐value co-‐product credit, try a mass or energy balance credit.
! You may adjust or throw out some assumpGons based on sensiGvity analysis.
Result Metric
Comparison Sensitivity Analysis
Rules of LCA 1. Know your system.
2. Know your data and data sources.
3. If you must allocate, allocate fairly and always remember why you are allocaGng.
4. Be consistent with data and allocaGon.
5. Clearly state all assumpGons and the reasons for the assumpGons.
6. QuesGon everything.* * This is a good rule for life too.
Case Study: Ethanol ! FuncGonal Unit
Liter of fuel or all the liters produced in a year at a refinery ! Measurement quanGty
Energy (MJ) GHG (gCO2eq)
! Metrics Energy or GHG per liter or year Net Energy RaGo (output energy/input energy) GHG Intensity (gCO2eq/MJ output)
! Boundaries Farm or field to fuel (as it leaves the refinery)
! AllocaGon Eg: co-‐products and farm machinery
! Comparison Gasoline 92 gCO2eq/MJ* and LHV 32MJ/L
* CA Low Carbon Fuel Standard value for gasoline
How is corn ethanol made?
Corn Ethanol Feedstock production Corn grain
Inputs: NPK, lime, natural gas, pesticides, diesel, gasoline, tillage practices, equipment
Liquefaction Heating & enzymatic hydrolysis
Inputs: Natural gas, electricity, enzymes Fermentation Yeast
Inputs: Natural gas, electricity, yeast, nutrients Fuel processing Distillation, dehydration, denaturation Inputs: Natural gas, electricity, gasoline
Products Ethanol, animal feed (WDG) Allocation of energy and GHG values for ethanol and co-products
To market Transportation
CO2
Remember: if you burn a fossil fuel you get GHGs.
Drying WDG to get DDG requires natural gas
Cellulosic Ethanol Feedstock production Corn stover, switchgrass, wood
Inputs: NPK, lime, natural gas, pesticides, diesel, gasoline, tillage practices, equipment
Pretreatment Dilute Acid, AFEX, SPORL
Inputs: Natural gas, electricity, chemicals
Saccharification Enzymatic hydrolysis
Inputs: Natural gas, electricity, enzymes
Fermentation Yeast or bacteria
Inputs: Natural gas, electricity, microbes, nutrients Fuel processing Distillation, dehydration, denaturation Inputs: Natural gas, electricity, gasoline
Products Ethanol, animal feed, electricity, heat, lignin-derivatives
Allocation of energy and GHG values for all products
Burn lignin for process heat or electricity
To market Transportation
Ethanol production differences for various feedstocks
Produc1on step Corn grain Corn stover Switchgrass
Biomass produc1on
FerGlizer input high allocaGon low
Soil Gllage medium to high allocaGon low
Equipment legacy mature developing developing
Pretreatment not necessary necessary necessary
Enzymes cheap expensive expensive
Co-‐products animal feed electricity animal feed & electricity
You tally the inputs and outputs Net GHG emission Net Energy Use
Inputs Does this input add to GHG emissions or use energy?
Natural Gas (NG)
Petroleum fuels (transportaGon/Gllage)
Soil Gllage
NPK and Lime
Electricity
Land use change
Outputs Does this output abate GHG emissions or provide energy?
Ethanol
Co-‐products (feed, electricity)
Yes Yes
Yes Yes
Yes Yes Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
No
Yes**
*Yes for coal or NG power, no for nuclear or renewable solar or wind energy **Carbon released from burning the ethanol was sequestered from the air by the plant
Yes Yes and No*
Direct vs. Indirect Land Use Change from Biofuels ! Direct Land Use Change (DLUC): A farmer decides to grow an energy crop where no other crop was grown or a non-‐energy crop was grown.
! Indirect Land Use Change (ILUC): A naGon or region grows less of a food-‐crop or diverts a food crop to bioenergy uses. Demand for that food crop does not decrease, so producGon shiss elsewhere (another state or country).
Direct LUC example
! A farmer decides to take land a current land use e.g. ConservaGon Reserve Program (CRP) land, forest, food-‐crop land or fallow land and grow a bioenergy crop on that land.
Indirect LUC example ! A U.S. farmer takes a replaces a food-‐crop (e.g. soybeans) with a bioenergy crop (e.g. switchgrass).
! Demand for soybeans remains the same or increases.
! Land in another country (e.g. Brazil) is taken out of forest, pasture or other producGon to produce soybeans to make up for this lost supply in the U.S.
Why does ILUC matter?
! An indirect change in land use could cause more GHGs to be emi[ed than if the bioenergy crop did not cause ILUC.
! What if producing soybeans in Brazil emits more GHGs than producing soybeans in the U.S.?
Important differences between energy and GHG LCA
! There are processes/inputs which produce GHGs that do not use energy Soil Gllage pracGces N applicaGon, runoff and leaching
! There are processes/inputs which use energy and don’t produce GHGs Nuclear, wind and solar electricity
Caution: What counts in the GHG LCA? Follow the carbon!
Trapped Carbon
Ethanol
Gasoline
CO2
CO2
CO2 CO2
CO2 CO2
CO2
CO2
CO2
CO2 > CO2
Questions? Visit www.glbrc.org for more information on the
GLBRC’s scientific publications and education and outreach programs.
Or, email me: [email protected]