PTA Local Reflections Judging Pre-judging, judging and post-judging.
Judging Economic Performance as - Home | IURD · Judging Economic Performance as Quality of Life...
Transcript of Judging Economic Performance as - Home | IURD · Judging Economic Performance as Quality of Life...
![Page 1: Judging Economic Performance as - Home | IURD · Judging Economic Performance as Quality of Life Prof. Clair Brown UC Berkeley ... Human Development Index (HDI) UN 13 ... 5,000 10,000](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042213/5eb75c6160d4d620a536b6b8/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Judging Economic
Performance as
Quality of Life
Prof. Clair Brown
UC Berkeley
With GSR Andrew Chong; IRLE grant.
![Page 2: Judging Economic Performance as - Home | IURD · Judging Economic Performance as Quality of Life Prof. Clair Brown UC Berkeley ... Human Development Index (HDI) UN 13 ... 5,000 10,000](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042213/5eb75c6160d4d620a536b6b8/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
Goal: Sustainable economic system that
produces a high quality of life for all 2
What is the problem?
Climate change must immediately be addressed by
all countries or cost of reducing GHGs becomes
astronomical…or face the 6th extinction.
Inequality is at historic highs in the U.S. and is a
problem around the world.
Economic growth no longer a “rising tide lifts all
ships”.
![Page 3: Judging Economic Performance as - Home | IURD · Judging Economic Performance as Quality of Life Prof. Clair Brown UC Berkeley ... Human Development Index (HDI) UN 13 ... 5,000 10,000](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042213/5eb75c6160d4d620a536b6b8/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
Does how we measure economic growth
matter?3
Growth in national income does not translate
into improving quality of life in advanced
economies.
Easterlin Paradox—over the long run in
developed countries, national happiness does not
increase with national income.
Specific measures of health, education, and
social problems are not related to average
national income.
![Page 4: Judging Economic Performance as - Home | IURD · Judging Economic Performance as Quality of Life Prof. Clair Brown UC Berkeley ... Human Development Index (HDI) UN 13 ... 5,000 10,000](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042213/5eb75c6160d4d620a536b6b8/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
4
![Page 5: Judging Economic Performance as - Home | IURD · Judging Economic Performance as Quality of Life Prof. Clair Brown UC Berkeley ... Human Development Index (HDI) UN 13 ... 5,000 10,000](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042213/5eb75c6160d4d620a536b6b8/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
Does how we measure economic growth
matter?5
Distribution of income (inequality) does matter
in quality of life across advanced countries.
Quality of life indicators worsen as income
inequality rises across countries.
Within a country, quality of life indicators improve
with income.
![Page 6: Judging Economic Performance as - Home | IURD · Judging Economic Performance as Quality of Life Prof. Clair Brown UC Berkeley ... Human Development Index (HDI) UN 13 ... 5,000 10,000](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042213/5eb75c6160d4d620a536b6b8/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
6
![Page 7: Judging Economic Performance as - Home | IURD · Judging Economic Performance as Quality of Life Prof. Clair Brown UC Berkeley ... Human Development Index (HDI) UN 13 ... 5,000 10,000](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042213/5eb75c6160d4d620a536b6b8/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
Earth’s system is becoming unstable
7
Global research report (Science Jan 2015)
4 of the 9 systems essential to stabilize the
earth system have become dangerously
compromised by human activity
Climate change
Loss of biodiversity
Deforestation
Phosphorus & nitrogen cycles
![Page 8: Judging Economic Performance as - Home | IURD · Judging Economic Performance as Quality of Life Prof. Clair Brown UC Berkeley ... Human Development Index (HDI) UN 13 ... 5,000 10,000](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042213/5eb75c6160d4d620a536b6b8/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
Policy Solution:
Tie growth to equity and sustainability8
Climate change is eclipsed in the U.S. by
stagnant wages and slow growth.
Focus on growth does not necessarily reduce
inequality, and growth could worsen CO2
emissions.
We need a new measurement of economic
performance as quality of life that includes
distribution across people and sustainability
across generations.
![Page 9: Judging Economic Performance as - Home | IURD · Judging Economic Performance as Quality of Life Prof. Clair Brown UC Berkeley ... Human Development Index (HDI) UN 13 ... 5,000 10,000](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042213/5eb75c6160d4d620a536b6b8/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
How would a holistic measurement of
economic performance help?9
Measurement of well-being of people and
environment will provide a better way to
evaluate economic growth and policies.
UK, France, OECD, UN have led the way in
creating economic performance measures
that include quality of life, its distribution and
the sustainability of the economic system.
![Page 10: Judging Economic Performance as - Home | IURD · Judging Economic Performance as Quality of Life Prof. Clair Brown UC Berkeley ... Human Development Index (HDI) UN 13 ... 5,000 10,000](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042213/5eb75c6160d4d620a536b6b8/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
Key components in
measuring economic performance10
Quality of life
Distribution of well-being (inequality)
Sustainability
![Page 11: Judging Economic Performance as - Home | IURD · Judging Economic Performance as Quality of Life Prof. Clair Brown UC Berkeley ... Human Development Index (HDI) UN 13 ... 5,000 10,000](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042213/5eb75c6160d4d620a536b6b8/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
Measuring Economic Performance:
Three approaches11
Gross national product (GDP) (monthly)
plus unemployment rate (monthly)
plus poverty rate (annual): Current approach
National income accounts approach measures both
market and nonmarket activities of households
(adjusted for inequality and environmental
degradation): Genuine Progress Indicator
Capabilities approach measure human capabilities
and freedoms, including a sustainable environment: Better Life Index
![Page 12: Judging Economic Performance as - Home | IURD · Judging Economic Performance as Quality of Life Prof. Clair Brown UC Berkeley ... Human Development Index (HDI) UN 13 ... 5,000 10,000](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042213/5eb75c6160d4d620a536b6b8/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
Strengths of the three approaches
12
GDP (monthly) is measured consistently and frequently over time and across countries. Compares economic (market) growth across countries and
within a country over time.
No indicators of income distribution, sustainability, or nonmarket activities.
GPI (annual) shows annual growth in quality of life over time. Based on national income accounts. So far cannot be used to
compare countries.
BLI (annual) is an index of how a group of countries compare in quality of life (annual). Does not indicate a country’s improvement or growth in
quality of life over time.
![Page 13: Judging Economic Performance as - Home | IURD · Judging Economic Performance as Quality of Life Prof. Clair Brown UC Berkeley ... Human Development Index (HDI) UN 13 ... 5,000 10,000](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042213/5eb75c6160d4d620a536b6b8/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
Human Development Index (HDI) UN
13
Single index number that combines three dimensions (up to 187 countries, 1990 on) Health (life expectancy)
Education (mean and expected years of schooling)
Living standards (income per capita)
Index calculated using fixed minimum and maximum goalposts for each dimension.
In 2010, two measures of inequality also calculated IHDI adjusts HDI for inequality in a country’s distribution of
each of the three dimensions
Gender Inequality Index (GII) measures reproductive health, empowerment and labor market participation
![Page 14: Judging Economic Performance as - Home | IURD · Judging Economic Performance as Quality of Life Prof. Clair Brown UC Berkeley ... Human Development Index (HDI) UN 13 ... 5,000 10,000](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042213/5eb75c6160d4d620a536b6b8/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
Genuine Progress Indicator (GPI)
14
Calculation of GPI (26 indicators)
Personal consumption, adjusted for inequality (Gini
coefficient)
Adds value of nonmarket work, leisure (adjusted for
unemployment) and volunteer work
Subtracts defensive expenditures (commuting, crime)
Subtracts externalities (depletion of natural capital,
CO2 emissions, costs of pollution)
Adds public goods (roads)
Used by states of Maryland and Vermont
![Page 15: Judging Economic Performance as - Home | IURD · Judging Economic Performance as Quality of Life Prof. Clair Brown UC Berkeley ... Human Development Index (HDI) UN 13 ... 5,000 10,000](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042213/5eb75c6160d4d620a536b6b8/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
HDI vs GPI
15
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
GP
I p
er
ca
pit
a
HD
I
United States HDI vs GPI measures
HDI
GPI (MD)
GPI (modified US)
![Page 16: Judging Economic Performance as - Home | IURD · Judging Economic Performance as Quality of Life Prof. Clair Brown UC Berkeley ... Human Development Index (HDI) UN 13 ... 5,000 10,000](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042213/5eb75c6160d4d620a536b6b8/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
Better Life Index (BLI) OECD--36 countries
16
Capabilities represented with 11 dimensions Housing, income, jobs, community, education,
environment, governance, health, life satisfaction, safety, work-life balance
Dimensions use 24 indicators Indicators normalized by sample’s minimum and
maximum of average country values Divide (country’s average – sample minimum value) by (sample
maximum - minimum).
Normalized indicators aggregated (equal weights) to calculate dimension.
BLI not presented as aggregated index, but online users can plug in weights to calculate national BLIs for OECD countries.
![Page 17: Judging Economic Performance as - Home | IURD · Judging Economic Performance as Quality of Life Prof. Clair Brown UC Berkeley ... Human Development Index (HDI) UN 13 ... 5,000 10,000](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042213/5eb75c6160d4d620a536b6b8/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
HDI vs BLI for 5 Rich Countries 2012-2013
17
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
2012 2013 2012 2013 2012 2013 2012 2013 2012 2013
France Germany Japan United Kingdom United States
BL
I
HD
I
HDI vs BLI 2012-2013 for 5 major OECD economies
HDI
BLI (All countries)
BLI (Annex II)
BLI (5 countries)
![Page 18: Judging Economic Performance as - Home | IURD · Judging Economic Performance as Quality of Life Prof. Clair Brown UC Berkeley ... Human Development Index (HDI) UN 13 ... 5,000 10,000](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042213/5eb75c6160d4d620a536b6b8/html5/thumbnails/18.jpg)
Important differences in GPI and BLI
18
GPI provides an annual measure to indicate changes in economic performance over time. Method needs to be standardized.
Does not rely upon survey of consumer perceptions.
BLI provides a dashboard of indicators of quality of life to compare countries. Provides a relative ranking for a group of countries,
without indicating improvements over time.
Uses subjective well-being measure of “life satisfaction”.Many economists think this is a critical variable in
measuring quality of life.
No specific adjustments for inequality.
![Page 19: Judging Economic Performance as - Home | IURD · Judging Economic Performance as Quality of Life Prof. Clair Brown UC Berkeley ... Human Development Index (HDI) UN 13 ... 5,000 10,000](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042213/5eb75c6160d4d620a536b6b8/html5/thumbnails/19.jpg)
How to measure inequality
19
How consumer expenditures are adjusted for
inequality in GPI matters
Many Gini coefficients of income distribution
Depends on whether or not capital gains, taxes
and government transfers are included in income.
Gini plots indicate that government tax and
transfer policies are important determinants of
inequality.
![Page 20: Judging Economic Performance as - Home | IURD · Judging Economic Performance as Quality of Life Prof. Clair Brown UC Berkeley ... Human Development Index (HDI) UN 13 ... 5,000 10,000](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042213/5eb75c6160d4d620a536b6b8/html5/thumbnails/20.jpg)
Movement of Gini coefficient over time
20
0.34
0.36
0.38
0.4
0.42
0.44
0.46
0.48
0.5
0.52
0.54
Gini Coefficients from 1979-2003
Money Income + Capital Gains(Losses)
Money Income
Money Income + GovernmentTransfers
Money Income + GovernmentTransfers + Capital Gains (Losses)- Taxes
![Page 21: Judging Economic Performance as - Home | IURD · Judging Economic Performance as Quality of Life Prof. Clair Brown UC Berkeley ... Human Development Index (HDI) UN 13 ... 5,000 10,000](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042213/5eb75c6160d4d620a536b6b8/html5/thumbnails/21.jpg)
US GPI using different Gini coefficients
21
10,000
11,000
12,000
13,000
14,000
15,000
16,000
17,000
18,000
19,000
20,000
GP
I p
er
ca
pit
a
GPI per capita under different Gini definitions
GPI with personal consumption notadjusted for inequality
Money Income + GovernmentTransfers + Capital Gains (Losses)- Taxes
Money Income + GovernmentTransfers
Money Income
Money Income + Capital Gains(Losses)
![Page 22: Judging Economic Performance as - Home | IURD · Judging Economic Performance as Quality of Life Prof. Clair Brown UC Berkeley ... Human Development Index (HDI) UN 13 ... 5,000 10,000](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042213/5eb75c6160d4d620a536b6b8/html5/thumbnails/22.jpg)
Problem: Measurement of sustainability
22
Sustainability is a complex issue because it asks if
today’s quality of life can be replicated in future
generations.
Four kinds of capital to pass on: natural, social, human, and
human made
Sustainability depends on critical assumption:
Weak sustainability: allows trade-offs among types of capital and
among inputs (capital, labor, resources, technology), with output
capability not decreasing.
Strong sustainability: trade-offs with natural capital have physical
limits, and critical levels for most natural resources must be
preserved.
![Page 23: Judging Economic Performance as - Home | IURD · Judging Economic Performance as Quality of Life Prof. Clair Brown UC Berkeley ... Human Development Index (HDI) UN 13 ... 5,000 10,000](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042213/5eb75c6160d4d620a536b6b8/html5/thumbnails/23.jpg)
GPI Environmental Indicators
23
-9,000
-8,000
-7,000
-6,000
-5,000
-4,000
-3,000
-2,000
-1,000
0
GP
I p
er
ca
pit
a
United States and MarylandGPI Environmental indicators
GPI (MD)
GPI (modified US)
![Page 24: Judging Economic Performance as - Home | IURD · Judging Economic Performance as Quality of Life Prof. Clair Brown UC Berkeley ... Human Development Index (HDI) UN 13 ... 5,000 10,000](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042213/5eb75c6160d4d620a536b6b8/html5/thumbnails/24.jpg)
BLI Environmental Indicators
24
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
2012 2013 2012 2013 2012 2013 2012 2013 2012 2013
France Germany Japan United Kingdom United States
BL
I
HD
I
BLI 2012-2013 for 5 major OECD economiesEnvironmental Indicators
BLI (All countries)
BLI (Annex II)
BLI (5 countries)
![Page 25: Judging Economic Performance as - Home | IURD · Judging Economic Performance as Quality of Life Prof. Clair Brown UC Berkeley ... Human Development Index (HDI) UN 13 ... 5,000 10,000](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042213/5eb75c6160d4d620a536b6b8/html5/thumbnails/25.jpg)
Policy 1: Inequality falls by 1.5% annually (Gini coefficient)
25
Measurement of GDP not directly affected by
change in income distribution.
Changes in consumption, savings and investment
may be affected, which then affects GDP.
GPI directly affected, because consumer
expenditures adjusted for change in Gini.
GPI rises steadily with reduced inequality.
![Page 26: Judging Economic Performance as - Home | IURD · Judging Economic Performance as Quality of Life Prof. Clair Brown UC Berkeley ... Human Development Index (HDI) UN 13 ... 5,000 10,000](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042213/5eb75c6160d4d620a536b6b8/html5/thumbnails/26.jpg)
26
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
20
00
do
lla
rs p
er
ca
pit
a
Policy 1: Gini ratio falls 1.5% each year from 1994-2004
GDP
GPI (policy 1)
GPI
![Page 27: Judging Economic Performance as - Home | IURD · Judging Economic Performance as Quality of Life Prof. Clair Brown UC Berkeley ... Human Development Index (HDI) UN 13 ... 5,000 10,000](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042213/5eb75c6160d4d620a536b6b8/html5/thumbnails/27.jpg)
Policy 2: 5% annual decrease in non-renewable
resource consumption? (1994-2004)
27
GDP not affected by pollution or environmental
degradation.
Net change in GDP is increase in renewable
energy minus decrease in fossil fuels.
GPI is directly affected and increases as
consumption of non-renewable resources
drops.
![Page 28: Judging Economic Performance as - Home | IURD · Judging Economic Performance as Quality of Life Prof. Clair Brown UC Berkeley ... Human Development Index (HDI) UN 13 ... 5,000 10,000](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042213/5eb75c6160d4d620a536b6b8/html5/thumbnails/28.jpg)
28
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
20
00
do
lla
rs p
er
ca
pit
aScenario 2: Decrease per capita non-renewable resource consumption by 5%
from 1994-2004
GDP
GPI (policy 2)
GPI
![Page 29: Judging Economic Performance as - Home | IURD · Judging Economic Performance as Quality of Life Prof. Clair Brown UC Berkeley ... Human Development Index (HDI) UN 13 ... 5,000 10,000](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042213/5eb75c6160d4d620a536b6b8/html5/thumbnails/29.jpg)
How we measure economic performance matters!
29
Economic growth must improve quality of life for
all people, now and in future generations.
Thank you!
Resources are provided on next slide.
![Page 30: Judging Economic Performance as - Home | IURD · Judging Economic Performance as Quality of Life Prof. Clair Brown UC Berkeley ... Human Development Index (HDI) UN 13 ... 5,000 10,000](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042213/5eb75c6160d4d620a536b6b8/html5/thumbnails/30.jpg)
Resources 1 of 3
30
Mismeasuring Our Lives, Stiglitz, Sen, and Fitoussi
http://www.stiglitz-sen-fitoussi.fr/documents/rapport_anglais.pdf
UN Human Development Index (HDI)
2013 Human Development Report: http://hdr.undp.org/en/2013-report
HDI datasets: http://hdr.undp.org/en/data
Genuine Progress Index (GPI)
http://genuineprogress.net/genuine-progress-indicator/
State of Maryland’s web site provides methodology and data:
http://www.dnr.maryland.gov/mdgpi/
“Methodological developments in US state-level Genuine Progress
Indicators: Toward GPI 2.0”, Bagstad et al, Ecological Economics 45
(2014) 474-485
“Beyond GDP: Measuring and Achieving Global Genuine Progress”,
Kubiszewski et al, Ecological Economics 93 (2013) 57-68
![Page 31: Judging Economic Performance as - Home | IURD · Judging Economic Performance as Quality of Life Prof. Clair Brown UC Berkeley ... Human Development Index (HDI) UN 13 ... 5,000 10,000](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042213/5eb75c6160d4d620a536b6b8/html5/thumbnails/31.jpg)
Resources 2 of 3
31
OECD Better Life Index (BLI)
http://www.oecdbetterlifeindex.org/
Happy Planet Index (HPI)
http://www.happyplanetindex.org/
UN World Happiness Reports, 2012 and 2013
2012 report:
http://www.earth.columbia.edu/sitefiles/file/Sachs%20Writing/2012/World%20Happi
ness%20Report.pdf
2013 report:
http://unsdsn.org/files/2013/09/WorldHappinessReport2013_online.pdf
Bhutan Gross National Happiness:
http://www.grossnationalhappiness.com/wp-
content/uploads/2012/04/Short-GNH-Index-edited.pdf
![Page 32: Judging Economic Performance as - Home | IURD · Judging Economic Performance as Quality of Life Prof. Clair Brown UC Berkeley ... Human Development Index (HDI) UN 13 ... 5,000 10,000](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042213/5eb75c6160d4d620a536b6b8/html5/thumbnails/32.jpg)
Resources 3 of 3
32
Magic of Awareness, Anam Thubten, Snow Lion Publications, 2012
Development as Freedom, Amartya Sen, Knopf, 1999
Clair Brown, American Standards of Living 1918-1988, Blackwell, 1994