JRC needs for a database on historic floods Ad de Roo, José I. Barredo
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Transcript of JRC needs for a database on historic floods Ad de Roo, José I. Barredo
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JRC needs for a database on historic floods
Ad de Roo, José I. Barredo
Expert meeting on hazard/disaster data: EU flood Information CRED - 19 May 2011, Brussels
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For what reasons JRC needs historic data
• JRC is collaborating with EEA and supporting them in providing pan-European overviews and analysis of historic floods, e.g.– EEA report: Mapping the Impact of Recent Natural and
Technological Disasters in Europe; An overview of the last decade (Flood chapter written by JRC, Barredo)
• A good quality database of historic floods is essential for this analysis
• JRC has developed methods for flood risk and damage mapping, including affected population and economic losses, which are also used in the pan-European climate change research– The Climate change / Policy change / Land Use change / Water &
disasters research is the current core of the work of JRC• A good quality database of historic floods is essential for testing
and validation of these methods at pan-European level
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Work of JRC on floods / water quantity
• Clients:
– COM: ENV, ECHO, ENTR, REGIO, CLIMA, AGRI, MARKT
– Other: EEA, ICPDR (Danube), IKSE/ICPER (Elbe)
• European Flood Alert System: early warning on river floods
– Incl realtime collection of river flow data
• Scenario studies on flood prevention measures:
– Oder commission (2002), Elbe commission (2008), ENV Blueprint retention measures study (ongoing)
• Historic floods analysis
– Using EM-DAT (CRED)
• Flood hazard and risk mapping
• Land use changes and consequences for hazards
• Climate changes and consequences for water hazards
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From flood hazard + exposure => risk
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Water depth – damage database
Convert flood hazard into damage based on land use data and flood depth damage functions
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Climate change effects on river floods(summary of 8 scenarios)
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Mitigation of (Future) Flood Risk- Forecasting and early warning: European Flood Alert System- Land use change scenario analysis- Potential benefits of flood mitigation
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Flood Risk
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GMES Initial Operation: Emergency Management Services
• Funded by COM-ENTR-GMES (2011-2013)– Coordinated by COM-ECHO-MIC
• Procurement coordinated by COM-JRC• Two components
– Mapping• Rapid mapping during/after disasters, upon request by organisations
that have the mandate to request this (COM-MIC, MS, WFP etc)– As currently done in the SAFER project– Starting 2012: open procurement (framework contract)
» NB: this rapid mapping could be used for direct inclusion in the floods database» However, products might not have been taken at the peaktime of the flood (depends on satellite overpass)
– Early Warning Systems• European Flood Alert System
– Until now done by and at JRC with collaborations from ECMWF, DWD, MS– Starting 2012: to be fully outsourced
» MIC funding phased ‘out’, GMES funding phased ‘in’
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Thank you!