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John Dhuyvetter NCREC Slide 2 Situation Stockpile roughage Other sources Stretching supply Reducing need Slide 3 Japan to accept beef under 30 months Feedlot placements lower than expected Cargill closes Texas plant 2013 cattle prices expected to rise Hay stocks lowest in five decades Drought widens and worsens Slide 4 Slide 5 Slide 6 Slide 7 Large ND carryover of 2011 record hay crop Good hay crop over much of state in 2012 with large harvest of CRP Extreme shortage to south resulting in huge movement on pipe truck back hauls to SD, NE, WY, CO Prices variable and generally twice what are typical NDASS survey hay prices 10/11alfalfa$71other $53 10/12alfalfa$141other $87 National 2012-2113 $195/t Slide 8 adult damage larvae Very disappointing first cutting Marginal or no second cutting Slide 9 Low cost / low quality Straw CRP slough Drained site / rowed Plastic twine/net Early-opportunity purchases Slide 10 PRINCIPLES Grazing readiness 3 leaf, late May Stimulatory light grazing June 1 July 15 Growing season rest 30-50 days Maintain residual cover stock to take half / leave half 3-4 pasture, twice over Greater root reserves and development Greater infiltration and stored moisture Faster nutrient cycling and greater N status Reduced soil temps and evaporation Less impact of drought with some banked grazing and greater production BENEFITS Slide 11 June 30, 2006. 2.04 rain to date. 2.3 AUM/acre during 2005 grazing season No use as yet in 2006 Slide 12 Corn stalks for dry cows 1-1.5 acre/cow/month Annual forage Millet, oat, sudex Swath graze Graze Hay land Damaged/abandoned crops Post harvest cover crop Move cows to better region Slide 13 Use Hay or graze Season Cool or warm Input costs Seed Fertilizer Herbicides Other Drought tolerance Establishment Diversity/complexity Toxicity Slide 14 2006 Hay Quality Survey TypeADFNDF%CP%TDN CRP42687.155 Hay Barley346013.062 Oat Hay356110.661 Oat/Pea325612.865 Wheat Hay325914.064 Millet346411.163 Sudex305413.366 Alfalfa415415.656 Alfalfa/Grass376012.057 Cereal Straw50784.244 Pea Straw52665.443 Slough Hay38667.552 Slide 15 CropstageYieldTDNCP Forage peaFlat pod1.46521 Forage oatEarly milk3.66213 Forage barley2.86213 Forage triticaleflower3.56114 Oat-pea2.66616 Barley-pea2.56417 Triticale-pea3.26014 German millet2.86212.8 Pearl millet2.46215.5 Sudan grass3.05911 Sorghum sudan3.06112.4 BMR sorgxsud2.46112.5 Slide 16 Stocking rates Destocking plans Evaluate forage growth Target dates Target animals Slide 17 Consider weaning 120-150 days Conserve 3-4 lbs/d pasture forage for cows Maintain cow condition Excellent calf gains and health Added costs ? Slide 18 Trait optimums Mature size Milk type Selection/culling Open/late Condition production Slide 19 Daily feeding Limit feeding Processing Feeder options Slide 20 Slide 21 Slide 22 1234 Mixed hay6 Grass hay20 CRP hay3256 Corn Silage30 Wheat straw10 Feed barley12 Corn DDGS22 mineral.1.3 32% liquid1.5 $/day1.601.541.481.90 lb/day33.627.146.220.4 CP/TDN8/5310/599/5712/74 Inventory hay Allocate to remainder of feeding period by limit feeding Minimum 5-10 lbs Cost compare available feed alternatives Balance energy and protein needs with limit fed grain and or byproducts Use straw or stalks as free choice filler Provide bunk space Slide 23 Water Mineral Slide 24 Oct 2011bought cheap CRP hay Dec 2011rented some additional pasture Apr 2012rented more pasture Jun 2012sorted out old pairs Jul 2012sold old cows early weaned calves Jul 2012found hailed winter wheat to buy Jul 2012limited heifer breeding to 1 cycle Aug 2012contracted DDGS Aug 2012shipped cows to better area Sep 2012 placed calves in feedlot early Dec 2012building partial partial confinement Slide 25 Try to bank some low cost feed when opportunity arises Expand forage base with residue and annuals Inventory, test, evaluate, and plan, plan, plan Stock conservatively and be prepared to cull, wean, sell Protect the condition and value of cattle and range