JMP and SEI research for the Yorkshire and Humber Assembly.
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Transcript of JMP and SEI research for the Yorkshire and Humber Assembly.
![Page 1: JMP and SEI research for the Yorkshire and Humber Assembly.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022070401/56649f1d5503460f94c345c5/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
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JMP and SEI research for the Yorkshire and Humber Assembly
![Page 3: JMP and SEI research for the Yorkshire and Humber Assembly.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022070401/56649f1d5503460f94c345c5/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
Research aims
to identify practical, deliverable measures within the scope of regional transport policy to significantly reduce levels of carbon dioxide emissions from the transport sector
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Context for this study
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Climate ChangeIntergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (2007) Fourth Assessment Report
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Context
The earlier YHA report Evaluating the contribution that key regional strategies make towards addressing climate change identifies the contribution of transport to the region’s carbon dioxide emissions 2007
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ContextTransport’s contribution to CO2 emissions in Yorkshire and the Humber
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Context – earlier YHA research
Modelling of the contribution of transport to a number of hypothetical future scenarios was undertaken, including the Y&H Vision, and a Stabilising Carbon Trends (SCT) scenario
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ContextTransport assumptions in the SCT scenario
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Our research and the modelling using REAP
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The task on transport
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How did we do this?
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Modelling using REAP
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Modelling using REAP
In short REAP modelling can provide an indicative view of carbon dioxide emissions under a range of policy scenarios.
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Modelling in this research
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Developing Scenarios
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Business as usual scenario
Essentially a baseline position based on continuing delivery of LTP and other existing programmes of transport policy interventions.
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Do-something scenarios
Packages of practical measures that help to achieve increased vehicle occupancy and reduced travel distances, especially by the car
This involves the modelling of far reaching programmes of practical transport investment and interventions in the period from 2011, way beyond the scale of current practice in the region
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Practical transport interventions
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Interventions used in the modelling
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Interventions used in the modelling
Far reaching packages
Applied at practical levels to account for regional differences
Up to 16 different interventions modelled in each future scenario
Modelled effects of the combination of these interventions
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Interventions used in the modelling
Personalised journey planning
Regional smartcard
Light rail extensions
Bus priority measures
Rail electrification
Workplace travel plans
Home working or teleworking
Travel awareness and education campaigns
Grocery home shopping
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Interventions used in the modelling
School travel plans
Car clubs
Car sharing
HOV lanes
Mileage based road user charging
Congestion charging in urban areas
Car free zones
A radical approach to land use planning at new developments
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Results of the modelling
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Business as UsualLand transport only
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
2001 2006 2011 2016 2021
CO
2 (t
/cap
.)
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Business as UsualIncluding aviation
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
2001 2006 2011 2016 2021
CO
2 (t
/cap
.)
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Step change scenarioLand transport only
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
2001 2006 2011 2016 2021
CO
2 (t
/cap
.)
Step Change
Business As Usual
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Step change scenarioIncluding aviation
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
2001 2006 2011 2016 2021
CO
2 (t
/cap
.)
Step Change
Business As Usual
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Accelerated scenarioLand transport only
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
2001 2006 2011 2016 2021
CO
2 (t
/cap
.)
Accelerated
Business As Usual
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Accelerated scenarioIncluding aviation
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
2001 2006 2011 2016 2021
CO
2 (t
/cap
.)
Accelerated
Business As Usual
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Comparison of scenariosIncluding aviation
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
2001 2006 2011 2016 2021
CO
2 (t
/cap
.) Step Change
Accelerated
Business As Usual
Sustaining Carbon Trends
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Key Conclusions
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Where do we go from here?
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The road from Bali ….. must be paved not with good intentions but concrete actions and rigorous implementation
His Excellency Mr. Rachmat Witoelar,
President, UN Climate Change Conference, closing address, Bali, 15th December 2007
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