Japan Tsunami Hazard Risk Assessment and Preparedness

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    Tsu n am i Disaster Mit igat ion

    Sys tem in J ap an

    1.Bitter Tsunami Experienced

    2.Tsunami Warning and Mitigation System

    3.Outline of Disaster Management System

    4.New Challenges against Tsunamis

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    Historical Damaging Tsunamis alongJapanese Coast (in last 150 years)

    Name (Magnitude) Year Dead or Missing

    Meiji-Sanriku Earthquake and Tsunami (M8.5) 1896 22,000

    Showa-Sanriku Earthquake and Tsunami (M8.1) 1933 3,064Tonankai Earthquake (M7.9) 1944 1,251 1)

    Nankai Earthquake (M8.0) 1946 1,443 1)

    Chile Earthquake (Mw9.5) 2) 1960 142

    Tokachi-Oki Earthquake (M7.9) 1968 52 1) Nihonkai-Cyubu Earthquake (M7.7) 1983 104 1)

    Hokkaido-Nansei-oki Earthquake (M7.8) 1993 230 1)

    1) The number includes dead or missing from earthquakes.

    2) Tsunami generated at far off Japanese coast.8

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    Tsunami Warning System Elements

    Communication & Transmission of Tsunami Warningto Localities & Civil Defense Authorities

    Signboard

    TSUNAMI

    Central Government

    /Radio Station

    TSUNAMI

    Radio

    TV Telops, Warning maps

    TSUNAMI

    Localgovernment

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    NHK TV Screen Image

    showing Seismic Intensity by Miyagi-ken Earthquake on 26 July 2003

    within 5 minutesafter theEarthquakewith/withoutTsunami Warnings

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    Safe EvacuationRoute

    Appropriate Risk Awaweness

    of Local Communities

    Promoting Basic Knowledge aboutTSUNAMI Disaster

    Understanding of Hazardous Areas

    +Early Warning

    =

    Safe Evacuation 16

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    Tsunami Evacuation Route Sign 1

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    Tsunami Hazard Area Tsunami Evacuation Area Tsunami Evacuation Building

    Pictogram on Tsunami

    There is a high possibility to be flooded in this areawhen earthquake occurs.

    Safe place/hill for evacuationagainst Tsunami. Building for evacuationagainst Tsunami.

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    Inundated level of previous Tsunami

    Sign of Previous Tsunami Height (2)

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    Tsunami Evacuation Map

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    Tsunami countermeasures taken by localmunicipalities and communities (1)

    Evacuation drill on Tsunami(Taro Town, Iwate Pref.)

    Group session on evacuation plan(Urado-District, Kochi Pref.)

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    Tsunami countermeasures taken by localmunicipalities and communities (2)

    Check of the dangerous points(Nansei-Town, Mie Pref.)

    Training for supplying food(Yawatahama-city, Ehime Pref.)

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    Tsunami countermeasures taken by localmunicipalities and communities (3)

    Meeting on the disaster map(Bungo-Takada-city, Oita Pref.)

    Drill for disaster management with maps(Hyga-city, Oita Pref.)

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    Letting residents incoastal areas and visitorsknow the hazard mapthrough various

    opportunitiesTsunami drills

    Showing information ondisaster risks andevacuation routes, etc.

    Tsunami Hazard Map Susaki City

    National Government prepared a guideline for help localauthorities to make and use hazard maps.

    Tsunami Hazard Maps

    - Identifying and showing vulnerable areas

    - Enhancing peoples awareness

    Purpose

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    4. New challenges against Tsunamis

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    Japan and its major seacoasts

    Seismic areas for reinforcing and promoting disaster reductionmeasures related to the Tokai,Tonankai and Nankai Earthquakes

    District (undesignated) for promoting seismic disaster reduction measures related toearthquakes along the Japan Trench

    and the Chishima Trench

    SurugaTrough

    200 km 400 km 600 km 800 km 1,000 km

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    Tokyo Inland EQ

    Tokai EQ

    Tonankai &Nankai EQ Japan Trench &

    ChishimaTrench EQs

    Possible large-scale earthquakes andtsunamis in Japan

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    Estimation of damage caused by possible EQs

    TokaiEQ

    TonankaiNankai

    EQ

    Victims(persons)

    Housesdestroyed

    Economicloss

    (billion yen)

    Kobe EQ1995

    9,200(7,900

    by strong tremors )

    18,000(8,600

    by tsunamis )6,436

    260,000 360,000 105,000

    37,000 57,000 10,000

    (Maximumcases)

    (by technical investigation committees of Central Disaster Management Council)

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    (formulated by Central Disaster Management Council on 30 March 2005)

    Setting an overarching goalfor disaster risk reduction in the next decade

    To h a lve the es t im ated death to l l and eco no m ic loss

    Death toll : 9,200 persons 4,500 Economic Loss : 37 trillion yen 19 trillion yen Strategic goal (ex.)

    - Increase the ratio of retrofitted houses : 75% (2003) 90% (2015)

    Death toll : 17,800 (8,600 by tsunamis) 9,100 Economic Loss : 57 trillion yen 31 trillion yen

    Strategic goal (ex.)- Every municipality at risk is expected to develop hazard maps in 2015

    Earthquake Disaster Risk Reduction Strategy

    Tokai EQ

    Tonankai & Nankai EQ

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    Communities last resort

    77%23%

    Police, Firefighting,Self-defense Force

    FamiliesNeighbors

    How the affected people wererescued in case of Great Hanshin-

    Awaji EQ?approx. 35,000 persons

    Need to build communities resilient to disasters,

    including through enhancing public awarenessand developing hazard mapping

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