January – June 2006 August, 2006

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January – June 2006 August, 2006 Confectionery Industry Review

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Confectionery Industry Review. January – June 2006 August, 2006. USA Market. 2006 First Six Months Retail Performance. 2006 Retail Confectionery Sales. 52 week sales estimates July 2005 – June 2006 % $ Change Confectionery $28.6+3.2% (Chocolate, Sugar, Gum) - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Transcript of January – June 2006 August, 2006

Page 1: January – June 2006 August, 2006

January – June 2006 August, 2006

Confectionery IndustryReview

Page 2: January – June 2006 August, 2006

USA Market

2006 First Six MonthsRetail Performance

Page 3: January – June 2006 August, 2006

2006 Retail Confectionery Sales

52 week sales estimates July 2005 – June 2006 % $ Change

Confectionery $28.6 +3.2%(Chocolate, Sugar, Gum) Sales in billionsEstimates are based upon interpretation of IRI retail sales data, NCA Shipment Data, and Euromonitor

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2006 Retail Channel Performance

Channel 2006 $ Sales 2006 % GrowthSupermarkets $4.3 -0.6%*Wal-Mart $3.2 +3.8% Mass X Wal-Mart $1.3 +2.1%Convenience Stores $4.1 +7.2%Drug Stores $2.4 +4.1%*Warehouse Clubs $3.1 Even*Dollar Stores $.8 +0.2%Vending $1.1 -0.4%*Bulk $1.4 Even

Based on 52 Week Sales – July 2005 – June 2006

* Source: Sales figures are compiled by National Confectioners Association based on input from Information Resources, Inc. NCA/CMA Monthly Shipment Reports and U.S. Department of Commerce

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2006 Retail Category SalesCategory $ Sales Growth Category Size (000 millions)

Misc. Snacks +30.0% $197Coffee +7.8% $3,001Snack/Granola Bars +4.7% $1,873Candy & Gum +1.2% $7,921Salty Snacks +0.6% $7,320Bakery Snacks -0.4% $839Carb. Beverages -0.9% $13,409Ice Cream -1.2% $4,376Cereal -1.5% $6,082Cookies -2.1% $3,901Milk -3.5% $10,895Dry Fruit Snacks -6.6% $511

Information Resources 52 week sales through July 16, 2006

Supermarkets,

Drug and Mass Only

Page 6: January – June 2006 August, 2006

Candy and Gum Rank 3rdAmong Food Categories

$13.40

$7.40

$6.10

$4.40

$3.90

$7.80

$10.90

$0.0 $3.0 $6.0 $9.0 $12.0 $15.0

Carbonated Beverages

Milk

Candy& Gum

Salty Snacks

Cereal

Ice Cream

Cookies

Prod

uct C

ateg

orie

s

$ Billions

-0.9%

-3.5%

+1.2%+0.6%

-1.5%

-1.2%

-2.1% IRI Food, Drug & MassExcluding Wal-Mart 7/16/06

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2006Seasonal Performance

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Confectionery Seasonal Sales(** in millions of dollars)

$ Sales2006 Valentine’s Day $9712006 Easter $1,8842005 Halloween $2,0882005 Christmas $1,375

Results and Projection as of June 2006Source: Sales figures are compiled by National Confectioners Association based on input from Information Resources, Inc. NCA/CMA Monthly Shipment Reports and U.S. Department of Commerce

Page 9: January – June 2006 August, 2006

Seasonal Confectionery Trends

2006 2005 2004 2003 2002

VALENTINE’S -4.0% -3.0% -7.6% +6.5%

EASTER -7.6% +5.5% +2.2% -2.2%

HALLOWEEN +2.4% +0.7% -0.4%

CHRISTMAS -3.5% -1.4% -3.0%* IRI FD&M

+0.1%+7.0%

+2.3%+2.4%

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USA Market

2006 First Six MonthsManufacturer Performance

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2006 Confectionery Performance

Category Manf. Sales % Chocolate $2.5 billion -0.2%Non-Choc. $1.4 billion +6.8%

NCA Monthly Shipment Reports January – May 2006

Manufacturers’ ShipmentsJanuary – May 2006

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USA Market

New Trends

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Trends - What's for 2006/07

Limited Editions

Dark Chocolate

High End and Gourmet Candy

High Cocoa Content Chocolates

Single Origin Chocolates

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Gourmet Chocolates are hot! It all depends on your definition of gourmet.

Combined, Dove, Ferrero, Ghirardelli, Hershey Dark, Lindt, Mon Cheri and Perugina grew 32.2% in 2005

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Trends - What's for 2006/07

Sugar Free Gums

Licorice

Single Serve Seasonal Offerings

Breath Fresheners

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USA Market

2005 AnnualConfectionery Performance

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2005 Confectionery Performance

Category Retail Sales Manf. Sales % Total $28.1 Billion $18.3 billion +2.6%Chocolate $15.8 Billion $10.3 billion +3.2%Non-Choc. $8.9 Billion $5.8 billion +7.0%Gum $2.6 Billion $1.7 billion -12.4%

NCA Estimates base on 2006 U.S. Dpt. Of Commerce 311D Report and NCA Monthly Shipment ReportsDifferences based on estimation and “Not specified by kind” category.

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2005 Confectionery & Snack Sales

The 2005 U.S. Retail Market % $ Change

Confectionery $28.1 +2.6%(Chocolate, Sugar, Gum) Savory Snacks $27.5 +4.4%Biscuits & Crackers $11.1 +1.3% Sales in billionsNCA Shipment Data and Euromonitor

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Retail Landscape ChangingChannel 2005 $ Sales 2005 % GrowthSupermarkets $4.3 -1.1%*Wal-Mart $2.8 +3.8% Mass X Wal-Mart $1.2 +0.7Convenience Stores $3.8 +8.8%Drug Stores $2.3 +1.0%*Warehouse Clubs $3.2 +3.6%*Dollar Stores $.8 EvenVending $1.2 -1.9%*Bulk $1.5 -0.5*estimates