Jakarta Condo 3q14
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Transcript of Jakarta Condo 3q14
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8/10/2019 Jakarta Condo 3q14
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ECONOMY
Third quarter GDP
growth was in line with
Bank Indonesias full year
growth projections,
reaching the lower end of the
forecast of 5.1% - 5.5% range.
The stock market composite index increased 7.4% during the
quarter, closing at 5,225 on September 22nd. On the currency
side, the US Dollar experienced a depreciation by 0.23 to Rp.12,003 per US$ 1.00, whilst inflation for the first 9 months
reached 3.42%, with rising food prices being the largest
contributor to this.
CONDOMINIUM MARKET REVIEW
Both sales and pre-sales activities remained strong
during the third quarter of 2014.Current political condition
has not affected the overall Greater Jakarta condominium market.
Middle segment condominiums continued dominating the existing
and proposed supplies, and contributed about 51.1% of the total
sales. During July to September, around 12,066 units of new
condominiums were launched to the market.
Sales rate of existing condominiums in the Greater
Jakarta area reached 97.6% in the third quarter of 2014,
relatively stable from the previous quarter and increased
by 1.0% year-on-year.The occupancy rate was recorded at
63.1%, which went up by 1.6% from that in the preceding quarter.
During the review quarter, the pre-sales rate of proposed
condominium projects was 68.8%, rising by 4.9% from that in the
last quarter and significantly 9.8% year-on-year, leaving about
47,749 units of future stock to be absorbed.
Middle segment projects dominated the pre-sales
activities, and stood at 37.5% of the total transactions.Interms of method of payment, one to three year cash instalment,
bank mortgage, and cash are equally used in middle-class projects
and above, whilst buyers of lower-middle class projects preferred
mortgage payment.
In terms of pre-sales rate by segment, the pre-sales rates
of lower-middle, middle, upper-middle, and upper
segment condominiums were recorded at 62.9%, 74.1%,
70.5%, and 70.6%, respectively. As of the third quarter, 60%
of buyers were investors, indicating the strong investment
sentiment on property.
The sales rate of low-cost condominiums climbed by about 1.1%from 96.6% in the previous quarter and 1.2% over the preceding
years figure, with an occupancy rate of 65.0%. The pre-sales rate
of this condominium segment stood at 75.6%, decreasing 1.7%
quarter-on-quarter.
Total cumulative supply of Jakarta condominiums in
September 2014 stood at 132,472 units, increasing by
4.4% quarter-on-quarter and 13.4% year-on-year,
following the completion of 11 projects during the review
quarter. During the same period, 25 new projects were
launched. These projects brought the total proposed
condominium supply in Greater Jakarta to about 153,273 units.
The newly launched projects during the review quarter weredominated by lower-middle segment condominiums (61.8%),
followed by middle (19.7%), upper-middle (13.9%) and upper
(4.6%).
A total of 301 proposed projects were offered to the market as
of third quarter of 2014. The lower-middle segment
condominiums led the proposed supply in Jakarta with a share of
38.3% or approximately 58,672 units, followed by middle (34.9%),
upper (13.8%), and upper-middle segment (13.0%), respectively.
In terms of location, the majority of existing projects
were concentrated in the secondary area, holding about
72.6% of the total supply or 96,140 units, whilst the CBD
held about 19.5% and prime district of about 7.9%,
respectively.The secondary area also became the location for
almost all of the future projects, holding about 92.0% of the total
supply, whereas prime and CBD areas represented 4.2% and 3.8%
of the supply, respectively.
Most of the existing projects were located in South Jakarta
(29.6% of the total projects), followed by North Jakarta with
21.6%. However, majority of the proposed projects will be in
Tangerang (25.1%), followed by Bekasi (14.8%).
The condominium price trend continued to increase,
along with the growth of land prices.As of September 2014,
the average price of condominiums in the CBD area wasRp39,600,000 per square meter (/sq.m.), a significant increase of
35.6% year-on-year. Meanwhile, the average price in the prime
area was Rp35,400,000/sq.m., a growth of 28.3% compared to the
third quarter of 2013.
OUTLOOKAs demand for condominium future supply continues to be high,
many new condominium projects are still expected to be
launched towards the end of this year. Lower-middle and middle
segment condominium projects with huge number of units are
projected to be the most coveted, in response to the large
potential of these segments.
Q3 2014AKARTA, INDONESIA
CONDOMINIUM SNAPSHOTMARKETBEAT
A Cushman & Wakefield Research Publication
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8/10/2019 Jakarta Condo 3q14
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PT Cushman and Wakefield Indonesia
Indonesia Stock Exchange Building
Tw.2, 15/F, Jakarta, Indonesia
(+62) 21 2550 9500
www.cushmanwakefield.com
For more information, contact:
Arief Rahardjo
Senior Associate Director,
Head of Research & Advisory
(+62) 21 2550 9500
This report has been produced by Cushman & Wakefield China for use by those with an interest in commercial property solely for
information purposes. It is not intended to be a complete description of the markets or developments to which it refers. The report
uses information obtained from public sources which Cushman & Wakefield China believe to be reliable, but we have not verified such
information and cannot guarantee that it is accurate and complete. No warranty or representation, express or implied, is made as to
the accuracy or completeness of any of the information contained herein and Cushman & Wakefield China shall not be liable to any
reader of this report or any third party in any way whatsoever. All expressions of opinion are subject to change. Our prior written
consent is required before this report can be reproduced in whole or in part. Should you not wish to receive information from
Cushman & Wakefield China or any related company, please email [email protected] with your details in the body of your email
as they appear on this communication and head it Unsubscribe. 2014 Cushman & Wakefield China All rights reserved.
ECONOMIC INDICATORS
INDONESIA 2012 2013 2014F
DP Growth 6.3% 5.5 - 5.9% 5.15.5%
Inflation Rate 4.5% 9.8% 3.5% - 5.5%
Central Bank-Rate 5.75% 7.5% 5.5%
Source: Government data (Statistic Bureau, Central Bank of Indonesia, Mi nistry of Finance)
NEWLY COMPLETED PROJECTS
PROJECT SEGMENT APPROX
UNITS
Margonda Residence 4 Lower-Middle 399
Sentra Timur Residence (T. Ruby) Lower-Middle 391
Tifolia Apartment (Pulomas Park Center) Middle 1,260
d'Green Pramuka Residence (T. Bougenville) Lower-Middle 1,035
Scientia Residence (T. C & D) Middle 522
Serpong Greenview (T. Beechwood) Lower-Middle 662
The Aspen Residences (Tower A) Middle 207
Sky Terrace (T. Pecatu & Uluwatu) Middle 342
Sky Terrace (T. Sanur) Middle 162Bogor Valley (T. Raffles) Lower-Middle 627
Sunter Icon (T. Emerald) Middle 378
NEWLY LAUNCHED PROJECTS
PROJECT SEGMENT APPROX
UNITS*
Margonda Residences 6 Middle 504
Bassura City (T. Heliconia) Lower-Middle 975
Bintaro Icon (T. Calluna) Middle 247
Ciputra International (T. Amsterdam) Upper-Middle 412
Kota Ayodhya (T. Indigo) Lower-Middle 828
SpringLake Summarecon Bekasi (T. Davallia) Lower-Middle 778
Grand Kamala Lagoon (T. North Emerald) Lower-Middle 812
Grand Kamala Lagoon (T. South Emerald) Middle 464
Citra Lake Suites (T. Oakwood) Middle 126
Hillcrest House (Millenium Village) Upper-Middle 384
Jewalk Upper-Middle 220
Tazzaland Apartment Middle 700
Thamrin District Residence Lower-Middle 1,302
La Foret Vivante Upper 253
Grand Dhika Mansion Pejaten Upper-Middle 44
Urban Heights (Tower L) Lower-Middle 669
Apartment Menara Cibinong (T. C & D) Lower-Middle 483The Kensington Royal Suites (T. Addington) Upper-Middle 137
The Kensington Royal Suites (T. Belmont) Upper-Middle 117
The Kensington Royal Suites (T. Clifford) Upper-Middle 199
Sentul Garden Apartment Lower-Middle 915
La Vie Upper 300
Core Residence Lower-Middle 700
Selatan 8 (T. Sultan) Middle 336
Horison Blok M Upper-Middle 161*) Total units are approximate numbers and may change over the construction period.
Based on sales price, the Jakarta Condominium market is further classified into 4 (four) price segments (prices are
estimated average hard-cash price term, before tax, on semi gross area):
- Upper : > Rp.30mio per sm - Upper-middle : Rp.20mio per sm to 30mio per sm
- Middle : Rp.12mio per sm to 20mio per sm - Lower-Middle : < Rp.12 million per sm
SUPPLY, DEMAND, SALES RATE
CONDOMINIUM SALES PRICE
LOCAL CURRENCY (RP/SQM)
LOCATION Q313 Q214 Q314 EURO/SQMUS$/
SQFT
12-MONTH
OUTLOOK
CBD Area 29.2Mio 37.6Mio 39.6Mio 2,259 306
Prime Area 27.6Mio 33.3Mio 35.4Mio 2,289 274
DEFINITIONS:
CBD area includes the most prominent business corridors such a s, Sudirman, Kuningan, Thamrin, Gatot Subroto, a nd
Satrio. Prime residential area includes Kebayoran Baru, Senayan, Menteng, Pondok Indah, Permata Hijau, and Kemang,
mostly representing areas that are favoured by high-income families and expatriates.
EXISTING SUPPLY BY DISTRICT
68,5
14
74,1
87
77,6
25
85,7
13
105,7
93
119,4
35
132,4
72
64,5
84
69,9
96
73,5
95
81,5
82
101,5
65
115,6
92
129,3
07
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
90,000
100,000
110,000
120,000
130,000
140,000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 3Q2014
SalesR
ate
Un
its
Supply Demand Sales Rate
South, 29.6%
Central,16.6%
West, 17.7%
Nor th, 21.6%
East, 2.7%
Tangerang,7.4%
Bekasi, 0.7% Depok, 3.2%