Moving to Altium Designer From OrCAD - Altium: Next Generation
J u l y 2020 - GCA Altium
Transcript of J u l y 2020 - GCA Altium
U P D AT E O N : I M PA C T O F C O V I D - 1 9 O N V A L U AT I O N L E V E L S I N T H E G L O B A L T E C H N O L O G Y, S O F T W A R E A N D I T S E R V I C E S S E C T O RJ u l y 2 0 2 0
2
AGENDA
Executive summary2 11
Update on GCA Altium1 2
Details on the current valuation environment3 14
Get in contact4 25
AppendixA 28
3
SAN FRANCISCO
NEW YORK
MANCHESTER LEEDS
BIRMINGHAMLONDON
STOCKHOLM
PARIS
MILANLAUSANNE MUNICH
TEL AVIV
FRANKFURTZURICH
MUMBAI
NEW DELHI
HO CHI MINH CITY
SINGAPORE
TAIPEI
SHANGHAIFUKUOKA
OSAKAKYOTO
TOKYONAGOYA
A LEADING INDEPENDENT GLOBAL INVESTMENT BANK
Managing Directors
80+employees
500+bankers
400+locations
25countries
14
4
GCA Altium offers clients a broad range of services on matters related to M&A, including advising on debt, financial restructuring and equity
capital markets
TARGETED, INDEPENDENT & UNBIASED CORPORATE FINANCE ADVICE
MERGERS & ACQUISITIONS DEBT ADVISORY EQUITY CAPITAL MARKETS
All of our senior professionals have a breadth of M&A experience, and we leverage our extensive industry
sector and transaction experience to provide our clients with balanced and insightful judgment.
Our team delivers a comprehensive range of advisory services for public and private companies, including buyside, sellside, public takeovers and going-private
transactions, as well as hostile, defence, strategic alliances, recapitalisations and restructurings. In addition, we have a deep understanding of the
complexities involved in successfully completing cross-border transactions.
Our debt advisory team offers acquisition, growth, and asset based financings as well as refinancings and recapitalisations. Our capital sources include not only traditional commercial banks, but also non-traditional sources such as credit funds, hedge funds and private
sources of debt capital.
Our financial restructuring services include capital raising and rescue / bridge financing, covenant resets, distressed mergers & acquisitions, and assessment of
strategic alternatives including complete restructurings of the balance sheet with write-downs
and debt-to-equity swaps.
Our experience as corporate financiers and equity capital market advisers enables us to lead capital
raisings for quoted and non-quoted clients.Raising capital is a core skill for a corporate finance
adviser. We get involved with everything from private placements (including pre-IPO financing), to IPOs and
all forms of secondary issue.
Our sources of capital range from traditional venture and crossover firms to more non-traditional sources
like hedge funds, sovereign wealth funds, public mutual funds and family offices.
5
We strive to provide balanced and insightful advisory services to a broad client base across all key industry sectors
FOCUSING ON GROWTH SECTORS
TECHNOLOGY
The team’s experience includes semiconductors and electronics, software, SaaS, and tech-enabled
services
CONSUMER, RETAIL, E-COMMERCE & LEISURE
We advise clients on e-commerce, specialty retail, apparel, action sports
and consumer tech, as well as the hospitality sector and online travel
DIGITAL MEDIA & MEDIA
Our bankers work with industry leaders across ad-tech, digital content, filmed entertainment, gaming and mobile, as
well as major broadcasters
FINANCIAL TECHNOLOGY & SERVICES
As payments and banking become a virtual reality for many, our bankers are
working with sector leaders and innovators across the Fintech space
INDUSTRIALS & INDUSTRIAL TECHNOLOGY
We advise across a wide range of industrial sub-sectors, including
aerospace & defence, energy, and transportation amongst many more
BUSINESS SERVICES
We have solid experience in BPO, facility management, governmental
services, customer experience as well as human capital management
HEALTHCARE
We work with clients in biopharmaceuticals, diagnostics &
research tools, medical devices, healthcare IT, and care services.
6
We have a deep understanding of the complexities involved in successfully completing cross-border transactions
WE ARE SPECIALISTS IN CROSS-BORDER TRANSACTIONS
CROSS-BORDER
~50%DOMESTIC
~50%
7
GCA Altium successfully advised on 41 transactions at the height of the COVID-19 crisis including numerous technology transactions
WE GET THINGS DONE
Fully digital deal-making gives GCA Altium’s M&A process a competitive edge• Preparation: Our global setup and personal relationships to the relevant buyer universe enable us to identify buyers worldwide. Building on previous process
experience, we have been able to increase transaction speed and security through proper preparation• Preparing the management: Presentation coaches and GCA Altium-guided rehearsals succeeded in creating impactful presentations despite social distancing.
Remote work requires formally structured communication processes and tight project management• Educating buyers: Having pre-selected highly involved buyers earlier enabled us to provide hands-on support, leading to transaction security and best results
for our clients
March April May June
…more to come
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A winner of multiple awards and consistent top 10 rankings on Mergermarket
OUR EXCELLENCE IN DEAL MAKING IS CONSISTENTLY RECOGNISED IN THE MARKET
• Boutique M&A Financial Adviser of the Year for the second consecutive year
• M&A Innovation of the Year
June 2019
• Rainmaker of the Year
• Corporate Finance Team of the Year
• PE Equity Exit Deal of the Year
• Private Company Deal of the YearJune 2019
• Corporate Finance Team of the Year
October 2019
• Corporate Finance Advisory Team of the Year (North West)
• Exit of the Year (Yorkshire)October 2019
GCA ranked by deal count:
• No.8 in Japan
• No.8 in Germany
• No.9 in Germany, Austria & Switzerland
• No.9 in Europe (buyouts & exits)
9
Selected recent software and technology transactions
UNIQUE TRACK-RECORD IN SOFTWARE TRANSACTIONS
Note: Flag to the left: target; Flag to the right: acquirer
Cloud-based communication
DMS and CRM software
PIM softwareRecruitment
softwareCloud-based
ERPCorporation tax software
Digital workplaces
Contact centresoftware
Mid-office travel software
Data-driven intelligence
Cloud-based utility ERP
Workflow solutions
Cloud-based ERP
Fuel pricing software
Cloud-based accounting
HR software
Insurance software
Cloud-based data storage
Marketing software
Cloud native loyalty software
Cloud based CRM platform
Data transformation
Field services ERP
Backup software
ERP softwareTerminal mgt.
systemsCloud-based project mgt.
Market research software
Visual data research software
Treasury mgt. software
Cyber security software
Aviation software
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Selected Semiconductor and IT services transactions
DEEP EXPERTISE IN ADVISING SEMICONDUCTOR AND IT SERVICES COMPANI ES
Note: Flag to the left: target; Flag to the right: acquirer
Component refurbishment
Component refurbishment
LiDAR sensor technology
3D semicon-ductor solutions
Nanofabrication equipment
Sensor technology
Micro & opto-electronic systems
Semiconductor test business
Connectivity solutions
PTC equipment
Semiconductor test sockets
Digital power IC solutions
Power and energy solutions
Semiconductor encapsulating
Electrical inter-connect systems
Outsourced software testing
IT infrastructure outsourcing
IT outsourcingservices
Software dev. services
Digital advertising services
IT services for the education industry
Outsourced digitalcommunication
IT consulting services
IT and digital operations support
IT managementconsulting
Digital visualization services
ICT equipment and related services
IT lifecycle and system support
Enterprise softwaresolutions provider
Microsoft-based business software
solutions
SAP consulting and support services
Storage solutions
Semiconductor IT Services
11
AGENDA
Executive summary2 11
Update on GCA Altium1 2
Details on the current valuation environment3 14
Get in contact4 25
AppendixA 28
12
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY (I/II)
Since our last update in April, valuation levels in the technology sector have largely reached pre-crisis level again. Our view that technology companies, in particular software companies, have preserved value during COVID-19, has been confirmed. While valuation levels of horizontal software providers have reached pre-crisis levels, vertical software providers are currently trading even higher (+12%). Also, the hardware technology sector appears to hold up well, trading evenly (+0%) while IT services providers are trading slightly below pre-crisis levels (-8%)
1
By now, most companies in our peer group have commented on their full year outlook. The picture is mixed, as approx. half of our peer group did not see a need to adjust their outlook, the other half did or even fully suspended their outlook (26%). Differences can be clearly observed between the peer groups and their resilience in this crisis
2
While we had expected a further set-back of stock market valuations per our valuation update in April (in particular in comparison with the Global Financial Crisis 2007-2009), government support measures drove stock markets to new highs, and all indices in our analysis are trading well-above pre-crisis levels
3
Longer term, liquidity is expected to flow even more strongly into stable, crisis-proof assets, such as mission-critical software companies with a high degree of recurring revenues and strong margins. Given the scarcity of such assets, we may even see increasing valuation multiples for high-quality assets – nevertheless, we continue to see attractive investment opportunities within the sector
4
M&A markets paused in April and May. Since June, we see a soft re-opening of the M&A markets and expect deal-flow to pick up significantly after the summer break. As we expect a selection bias, we in particular expect high quality assets to be brought to market. Given the strong sentiment of public markets and the continued high levels of liquidity in the markets, we expect transaction multiples to – at least – remain stable
5
13
• EBITDA multiples of horizontal software companies have remained rather stable over the last six months• Significant increases in revenue and EBITDA multiples can be observed in payment and cloud infrastructure
technology. Also, multiples for HCM software companies recovered strongly and now trade above pre-crisis level• Our outlook: We expect the segment to continue to perform well
Horizontal software
• IT services companies have experienced the strongest decline in valuation in the technology space due to their perceived project nature of the business model. In particular smaller IT services companies have downward-adjusted their earnings expectations for 2020
• Our outlook: We expect a continued recovery of valuation levels in particular as the crisis highlighted the need for up-to-date IT infrastructure across virtually all industries and the public sector. We expect that especially IT services companies delivering solutions for cloud hosting, mobile access and cyber security will see continued high demand
IT services
• EBITDA multiples of vertical software companies have remained rather stable with little deviation from the valuation levels observed in April
• In particular, the healthcare software segment underperforms the broader market• Valuation multiples for travel software providers continue to be higher than pre-crisis as investors look through short
term earnings downgrades to an expected rebound post COVID-19• Our outlook: While we are positive on the general outlook, we expect vertical software companies to continue to
develop more heterogeneously, reflecting the quality of the underlying asset and exposure to end-markets
Vertical software
• Compared to our last update, we see much higher valuation levels on a peer group level, trading now at pre-crisis levels despite the peer group drawing a rather cautious picture in their earnings forecasts, reporting reduced visibility of customer demand, intensified competition as well as risk of pressure on prices
• Within the Hardware segment, valuation levels of Robotics and Automation companies have surged as investors expect a trend of re-nationalization of production
• Our outlook: We expect the peer group to remain in a wait-and-see attitude following a sideways movement
Hardware
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY (II/II)
Note: Indication on lower-right side indicates assessment as of last valuation update
Peer group Comment Assessment
1)
14
AGENDA
Executive summary2 11
Update on GCA Altium1 2
Details on the current valuation environment3 14
Get in contact4 25
AppendixA 28
15
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
30-Dec 13-Jan 27-Jan 6-Apr23-Mar 4-May10-Feb 24-Feb 9-Mar 20-Apr 18-May 1-Jun 15-Jun
Markets recovered strongly – most technology indices are in positive terrain for 2020
STOCK MARKET PERFORMANCE OF TECHNOLOGY INDICES AND KEY PEER GROUPS
Source: Capital IQ as of 23-Jun-2020
5%37%(32%)
12%36%(24%)
13%37%(24%)
(11%)28%(39%)
(5%)26%(31%)
13%36%(23%)
(3%)33%(36%)
(5%)
PLMBusiness
Software
Payment Cloud
Infrastructure
HCM Financial
Software
Healthcare Travel
7%
Robotics /
Automation
Semiconductors
23%
EMS IT Services
Large
IT Services
Small / Mid
61%31%
(17%)
1%12%
(32%)(3%)
2%
(11%) (12%)
Horizontal software Vertical software Hardware IT services
Subsector performance: 30-Dec-2019 to 22-Jun-2020
Share price development of technology indices vs. key peer groups
LowUptick
from lowPerformance since Dec-19
Horizontal Software
Vertical Software
Hardware
NASDAQ
IT Services
EuroStoxx Tech
MSCI World Tech
Index (100=30-Dec-2019)
+40% +19% +11% +15% +4% +9%+37% +9% +11% +16%+6% +9% +16%vs. April
2020
NASDAQ 100 all-time high on 1 July
Low up to (40%) in mid-March
16
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
24-Feb10-Feb30-Dec 23-Mar9-Mar13-Jan 27-Jan 6-Apr 20-Apr 4-May 18-May 1-Jun 15-Jun
While volatility peaked mid-March, market volatility remains high
VOLATILITY
Source: Capital IQ as of 23-Jun-2020
140%606.8
Volatility development of selected indices
HighΔ since Dec-19
VDAX
NASDAQ-100 VIX 75%447.4
Index (100=30-Dec-2019)
Peak in volatilityin mid-March
17
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
9-Mar24-Feb30-Dec 13-Jan 27-Jan 10-Feb 6-Apr23-Mar 20-Apr 4-May 18-May 1-Jun 15-Jun
Valuation multiples have remained rather stable – in subsectors that are considered long-term beneficiaries of the COVID-19 crisis, especially
payment technology and robotics / automation multiples even increased significantly
EV/EBITDA VALUATION DEVELOPMENT OF OUR KEY PEER GROUPS
Note(s): 1) EV to next-twelve months EBITDA; 2) Strong decline in earnings forecasts for the travel sector with a corresponding moderate drop in share prices have driven the peer group valuation up significantlySource: Capital IQ as of 23-Jun-2020
(8%)33%60%
12%38%75%
(2%)25%74%
0%35%65%
Development of peer group forward-looking1) valuation levels
LowUptick
from lowPerformance since Dec-19
Travel
(8%)
HCMPayment Financial
Software
PLMCloud
Infrastructure
Business
Software
4%
Healthcare
(14%)
Robotics /
Automation
Semi-
conductors
EMS
(2%)
IT Services
Large
IT Services
Small / Mid
52%
19%
(2%)
6% 12% 4%
62%2)
45%
(8%)
Subsector performance: 30-Dec-2019 to 22-Jun-2020
Horizontal Software
Vertical Software
Hardware
IT Services
Index (100=30-Dec-2019)
Horizontal software Vertical software Hardware IT services
37% +19% +7% (3%) (2%) (11%)+35% +6% +6% +10%+41% +12% +11%vs. April
2020
Low up to (40%) in mid-March
18
As of today1), c. 50% of our total peer group has adjusted or suspended their outlook for 2020
QUALITATIVE ANALYSIS OF OUTLOOK ADJUSTMENTS DURING THE COVID -19 CRISIS
Note: 1) As of 26-Jun-2020
26%
17%
50%
4%2%
• As expected, most companies commented on their full-year guidance when reporting their Q1 results• The picture is mixed, as approx. half of our peer group did not see a need to adjust their outlook, the other half did (on average a revenue
guidance adjustment of (4.5%)) or even fully suspended their outlook (26%)• Interestingly, 4% of our peer group increased their guidance. These were mostly cloud infrastructure providers• Compared to our survey in April, a large number of software companies has now suspended their outlook. This holds in particular true for
companies in the Travel, Financial or Payment Technology sector. Notable exception is the healthcare software sector, which in unison confirmed their guidance
• Other than expected, the hardware technology sector appears to hold up well. This is especially true for the EMS segment where most companies confirmed their guidance while the picture in the semiconductor and robotics segments is mixed
∑ 103 companies
Complete observed group Key peer groups
20%
31%
40%
9%
40%
50%
5%
5%
18%
12%
67%
3%
Horizontal software
Hardware
Vertical software
IT services
∑ 35
40%
13%
40%
7%
∑ 20
∑ 33 ∑ 15
Positive adjustmentOutlook suspended Adjustment of outlook No adjustment of outlook / moderate adjustment No news, yet / n.a.
Mostly cloud infrastructure
providers All healthcare software providers
Esp. small-cap IT services companies
Most EMS providers
Travel and financial technology sectors
19
First COVID-19 cases in Europe
Businesses open up again
“Peak” of the crisis
Multiples across all three sub-sectors increased significantly since our last valuation update in April, in particular multiples in the HCM
segment recovered strongly (+9.8x) fueled by positive earrings announcements and the $1.4bn Saba Software transaction
HORIZONTAL SOFTWARE I: BUSINESS, HCM AND PLM SOFTWARE
Note(s): 1) NTM = Next twelve months; 2) USD 2tn Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security Act; 3) “GFC” = Change in valuation multiples during the Global Financial Crisis 12/07 – 03/09 in %; “n.a.” = Comparison not applicable, as peer group was not listed in 2007Source: Capital IQ as of 23-Jun-2020
EV/Sales NTM1)
EV/EBITDA NTM
Ho
rizo
nta
l so
ftw
are
I: B
usi
ne
ss, H
CM
an
d P
LM s
oft
war
e
13-Jan30-Dec 9-Mar27-Jan 10-Feb 23-Mar24-Feb 6-Apr 20-Apr
50x
4-May 18-May 1-Jun 15-Jun
10x
20x
30x
40x
12%41.5x37.2x
(2%)17.0x17.4xBusiness Software
HCM
PLM
n.a.
(39%)
6%30.8x29.0x (48%)
30-Dec 23-Jun Delta GFC
30.8x
41.5x
17.0x
10-Feb30-Dec 13-Jan 27-Jan 24-Feb 20-Apr9-Mar 23-Mar 6-Apr 4-May 18-May 1-Jun 15-Jun
12.5x
2.5x
5.0x
7.5x
10.0x
Business Software
HCM
PLM
12%10.1x9.0x
(9%)5.6x6.1x
n.a.
(52%)
22%9.0x7.4x (67%)
9.0x
10.1x
5.6x
30-Dec 23-Jun Delta GFC3)
Driven a.o. by Cornerstone`s acquisition of Saba Software
and positively adjusted earnings expectations
20
First COVID-19 cases in Europe
Businesses open up again
“Peak” of the crisis
Payment and cloud infrastructure technology were the only sectors that even increased their earnings outlooks. In addition, these sectors
saw a steep expansion of revenue and EBITDA multiples
HORIZONTAL SOFTWARE II: PAYMENT AND CLOUD INFRASTRUCTURE SOFTWAR E
Note(s): 1) NTM = Next twelve months; 2) USD 2tn Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security Act; 3) “GFC” = Change in valuation multiples during the Global Financial Crisis 12/07 – 03/09 in %; “n.a.” = Comparison not applicable, as peer group was not listed in 2007Source: Capital IQ as of 23-Jun-2020
27-Jan 10-Feb30-Dec 13-Jan
35x
9-Mar24-Feb
30x
23-Mar 6-Apr 18-May20-Apr 4-May 1-Jun 15-Jun
10x
5x
15x
20x
25x
19.0x
27.6x
10-Feb 1-Jun30-Dec 6-Apr24-Feb27-Jan13-Jan 23-Mar9-Mar 20-Apr 4-May 18-May
8x
15-Jun
2x
4x
6x
10x
12x11.4x
Ho
rizo
nta
l so
ftw
are
II:
Pay
me
nt
and
Clo
ud
Infr
astr
uct
ure
so
ftw
are
Payment
Cloud Infrastruct. 76%11.4x6.5x
55%9.5x6.1x
n.a.
n.a.
30-Dec 23-Jun Delta GFC3)
19%19.0x16.0x
52%27.6x18.2xPayment
Cloud Infrastruct. n.a.
n.a.
30-Dec 23-Jun Delta GFC
EV/Sales NTM1)
EV/EBITDA NTM
9.5x
+52% since 30 Dec –Wirecard dropping out of the peer group end-June
resulting in shift in median
21
First COVID-19 cases in Europe
Businesses open up again
“Peak” of the crisis
6-Apr24-Feb
15x
30-Dec 13-Jan 9-Mar10-Feb27-Jan 23-Mar 20-Apr 4-May 18-May 1-Jun 15-Jun
10x
5x
20x
25x
As expected, multiples for mission-critical software for the Healthcare and Financial sectors have remained stable. Multiples for
Travel technology companies increased as investors look through short term earnings downgrades to an expected rebound post COVID-19
VERTICAL SOFTWARE: HEALTHCARE, TRAVEL AND FINANCIAL SOFTWARE
Note(s): 1) NTM = Next twelve months; 2) USD 2tn Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security Act; 3) “GFC” = Change in valuation multiples during the Global Financial Crisis 12/07 – 03/09 in %; “n.a.” = Comparison not applicable, as peer group was not listed in 2007Source: Capital IQ as of 23-Jun-2020
4-May30-Dec 23-Mar13-Jan 24-Feb27-Jan 10-Feb 9-Mar
1.5x
6-Apr 20-Apr 18-May 1-Jun 15-Jun
3.0x
4.5x
6.0x
7.5x
Healthcare
Financial Software
Travel
5.4x
5.1x
Ve
rtic
al s
oft
war
e: H
eal
thca
re, T
rave
l an
d F
inan
cial
so
ftw
are
(1%)5.1x5.1x
0%4.2x4.2x
n.a.
(25%)
30-Dec 23-Jun Delta GFC3)
(2%)5.4x5.6x (44%)
4.2x
Strong decline in earnings forecasts for the Travel sector with a
corresponding moderate drop in share prices have driven the peer
group valuation up by more than 60%
62%19.8x12.2x
4%15.0x14.4x
n.a.
(36%)
4%18.3x17.7x (39%)
30-Dec 23-Jun Delta GFC
Healthcare
Travel
Financial Software
EV/Sales NTM1)
EV/EBITDA NTM
15.0x
18.3x
19.8x
22
First COVID-19 cases in Europe
Businesses open up again
“Peak” of the crisis
Multiples in the EMS and semiconductor segments remain broadly stable, but have recovered compared to our valuation update in April.
Valuation levels of robotics and automation companies have surged as investors expect a trend towards re-nationalization of production
HARDWARE: ROBOTICS / AUTOMATION, EMS AND SEMICONDUCTOR COMPANIES
Note(s): 1) NTM = Next twelve months; 2) USD 2tn Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security Act; 3) “GFC” = Change in valuation multiples during the Global Financial Crisis 12/07 – 03/09 in %Source: Capital IQ as of 23-Jun-2020
6-Apr23-Mar24-Feb10-Feb
24x
30-Dec 9-Mar13-Jan 27-Jan 20-Apr
12x
4-May 18-May 1-Jun 15-Jun
3x
6x
9x
15x
18x
21x
(8%)6.3x6.8x
45%22.5x15.6xRobot. / Autom.
EMS
Semiconductors
(40%)
(43%)
(8%)13.4x14.6x 11%
30-Dec 23-Jun Delta GFC
13.4x
6.3x
22.5x
23-Mar13-Jan30-Dec 27-Jan 9-Mar10-Feb 15-Jun24-Feb 6-Apr
1x
20-Apr 4-May 18-May 1-Jun
2x
3x
4x
6x
5x
4.6x
0.4x
3.4x
Robot. / Autom.
EMS
Semiconductors
(13%)0.4x0.4x
8%3.4x3.2x
(54%)
(64%)
(4%)4.6x4.8x (24%)
30-Dec 23-Jun Delta GFC3)
Har
dw
are
: Ro
bo
tics
/ A
uto
mat
ion
, EM
S an
d S
em
ico
nd
uct
or
Co
mp
anie
s
EV/Sales NTM1)
EV/EBITDA NTM
+45% since 30 Dec
23
First COVID-19 cases in Europe
Businesses open up again
“Peak” of the crisis
While valuation multiples for IT services companies continued to recover, stock market valuations do yet not reflect the expected positive
medium to long term impact from increased investments into digitalization projects across various industries and in the public sector
IT SERVICES: LARGE CAP AND SMALL / MID CAP IT SERVICES COMPANIES
Note(s): 1) NTM = Next twelve months; 2) USD 2tn Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security Act; 3) “GFC” = Change in valuation multiples during the Global Financial Crisis 12/07 – 03/09 in %Source: Capital IQ as of 23-Jun-2020
12x
23-Mar30-Dec 10-Feb13-Jan 24-Feb27-Jan 9-Mar 6-Apr 15-Jun20-Apr 4-May 18-May 1-Jun
2x
4x
6x
8x
10x
(2%)9.6x9.7x
(14%)7.5x8.7xIT Services - Large
IT Services - S / M (44%)
(43%)
30-Dec 23-Jun Delta GFC
27-Jan 24-Feb30-Dec 23-Mar13-Jan 10-Feb 9-Mar 6-Apr 20-Apr 4-May 18-May 1-Jun 15-Jun
0.5x
1.0x
1.5x
IT Services - Large
IT Services - S / M (5%)1.0x1.0x
(10%)1.1x1.2x
(64%)
(44%)
30-Dec 23-Jun Delta GFC3)
1.1x
1.0x
7.5x
9.6x
IT s
erv
ice
s: L
arge
cap
an
d S
mal
l / M
id C
ap IT
se
rvic
es
Co
mp
anie
s
EV/Sales NTM1)
EV/EBITDA NTM
24
While the global technology M&A markets mostly were on hold between March and June, we see first signs of recovery and expect M&A
activity to pick-up significantly after the summer break
DEVELOPMENT OF THE TECHNOLOGY M&A MARKET
Note: 1) Projected valueSource(s): 451 Research‘s M&A KnowledgeBase, S&P Global Market Intelligence
465 479 447484 489
547 534 560505 540
487
351
0
10′000
30′000
50′000
0
2′526
30′901
Q2 ’20Q1 ’18Q3 ’17 Q4 ’17 Q2 ’18 Q3 ’18 Q4 ’18 Q1 ’19 Q2 ’19 Q3 ’19 Q4 ’19
9′880
Q1 ’20
15′846 18′56512′245
8′975
47′712
36′417
12′374
26′71222′141
Total # of deals Total deal value in EURm
• While Q1 2020 was not affected by COVID-19, Q2 2020 clearly shows declines in the number of deals and transaction value
673 675 724
196
140 151
103122 126
0
50
100
150
200
6′538
May-20Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 Jun-20Apr-20
15′203
1′126
Total # of deals Total deal value in EURm
• The global (technology) M&A markets mostly were on hold between March and June resulting in a significant decline in total deal value
• As of June deal activity is slightly picking up again
Scarcity of high-quality assets
We see high investor demand for high-quality assets that are
expected to come out of the crisis almost unaffected – driving
valuations for premium assets
€Prices are less affected than
expected
Currently no pressure on transaction multiples from public
markets
Low risk of increasing bid-ask-spreads
A significant valuation discount, which we were concerned about per our last valuation update, has
so far not been an issue in our ongoing transactions
Software assets are coming out on top
Software assets with a high share of recurring revenues and sound margins have proven to preserve value more than other IT markets
European M&A activity in the technology space
We see first signs of recovery in the technology M&A sector and expect deal-flow to pick up significantly after the summer break. Our expectation is that in particular high quality assets will be brought to market. Given the strong sentiment of public markets and the continued high levels of liquidity in the markets, we expect transaction multiples to – at least – remain stable
~50% of deals in Q2 were completed in
the software sector
Quarterly Monthly
25
AGENDA
Executive summary2 11
Update on GCA Altium1 2
Details on the current valuation environment3 14
Get in contact4 25
AppendixA 28
26
GET IN CONTACT (I/II)
Mario Schlup, Director Guido Viggiani, AnalystSascha Pfeiffer, Member of the Board Raiko Stelten, Managing Director
• More than 13 years of corporate finance experience with more than 40 completed transactions in the Technology and Tech-enabled Services sectors
• Prior to joining GCA Altium, Raiko worked for DC Advisory
• Member of GCA Altium’s Executive Committee and GCA’s global board of directors
• More than 20 years of corporate finance experience with more than 100 completed transactions predominantly in software / technology M&A
• Prior to joining GCA Altium in 2013, Sascha worked for DC Advisory / Close Brothers in Frankfurt and London
[email protected]+49 (69) 20 434 64 -15+49 177 74 156 43
[email protected]+49 (69) 20 434 64 -18+49 171 33 508 79
27
Dedicated European Technology Team
GET IN CONTACT (II/II)
Sigurd Solheim, Managing [email protected]
Lausanne
Raymond Frojd, Managing [email protected]
Kristoffer Källeskog, Managing [email protected]
Stockholm
Sébastien Delattre, [email protected]
Thomas Egli, Managing [email protected]
Alexander Grünwald, Member of the [email protected]
Zurich
Malte Abrams, [email protected]
Tobias Schultheiss, Managing [email protected]
Frankfurt
Alessandro Soprano, Managing [email protected]
Milan
Hugues Archambault, Managing [email protected]
Paris
Xavier Moreels, Managing [email protected]
BENELUX
Adrian Reed, Managing [email protected]
Daniel Fugmann, [email protected]
James Craven, Managing [email protected]
London
28
AGENDA
Executive summary2 11
Update on GCA Altium1 2
Details on the current valuation environment3 14
Get in contact4 25
AppendixA 28
29
PEER GROUP CONSTITUENTS OVERVIEW (I/III)
Note: 1) Wirecard dropped out of the peer group end of June due to current condition of the company
PLM software
Payment software
HCM software
Cloud Infrastructure software Business software
Ho
rizo
nta
l so
ftw
are
1)
30
PEER GROUP CONSTITUENTS OVERVIEW (II/III)
Note: 1) Only included in the qualitative analysis of management statements about outlook adjustments
Robotics / Automation
Healthcare software
Semiconductors
Financial software
EMS
Travel software
Ve
rtic
al s
oft
war
eH
ard
war
e
1)
1)
31
PEER GROUP CONSTITUENTS OVERVIEW (III/III)
Large Cap Small / Mid Cap
IT s
erv
ice
s
32
Basis of this presentation
LEGAL DISCLAIMER
The views presented herein are for discussion purposes only and are based on publicly available information.
GCA ALTIUM AG (“GCA ALTIUM” or “GCA”) is not advocating any of the courses of action presented herein, which are being presented solely to illustrate a range of available options. This analysis is presented with the understanding that no dissemination of the contents hereof will be provided to anyone other than representatives of the addressee without the written permission of GCA.
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