J Social Interaction
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Transcript of J Social Interaction
How do you imagine social interactionwithin 10 years, taking into consideration
the impact of technology on humanrelations?
Solaris A single united intellectual Planet Ocean
(Stanisław Lem, 1961)
Easy access to Internet everywhere
Big & Smart Data
development
Mood Reading
Social media influence
Internet of things
I believe that the breathtaking changes that are about to
transform the very nature of social interaction in the
nearest future will be the cause
of technology penetrating each sphere of human life
2
When some cool autumn evening of 2025 you will return from your vacation spent abroad before the scheduled time in a bad mood, to cheer you up, your refrigerator will offer you your favorite chocolate-banana ice cream, which it
ordered while you were on the plane.
How come? Read further…
3
Easy access to Internet Everywhere
0,3%
6,7%
29,4%
40,4%
75,0%
85,0%
1993 2000 2010 2014 2020 2025
Internet penetration in the world, % (ITU) Today• 4 billion people without Internet access
• 46% of users are in Asia
Tomorrow• 50% of the world’s population (3.8 billion) will be
connected to Mobile Internet by 2020 (GSMA)
• 2.6 billion LTE (wireless 300 Mbit/s) subscriptions by the end of 2019
• 6,7 billion people will have access to Internet
• 75% Internet users will come from emerging economies
• 600 million potential internet users in Africa by 2025 and 700 million in India
Google is going to provide access to 3G-like speeds internet to 4 billion people on earth who currently don't have reliable Internet access, by an aerial wireless network
trough balloons and flying solar drones in the stratosphere.4
Internet will embrace the entire globe and will
penetrate its most isolated places. It will unite big
industrial centres with small villages on all the continents
into a single vibrant
network. According to forecasts,
already in 2025 85% of the Earth’s population will be
active Internet users
Internet Everywhere
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Internet of things
• (Internet of Objects) The network of physicalobjects, electronics, software, and sensorsexchanging data with the manufacturer,operator and/or other connected devices.
• Between 2014 to 2020 the number of devicesconnected to the Internet will increase by 3,5times (50,1 billion or 7 devices per person,Cisco)
0,001 0,5
8,711,2
14,218,2
22,9
28,4
34,8
42,1
50,1
1992 2003 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Devices connected to Internet, BLN Today• Smartphones, PC, Tablets
• Watches, Wristlets, Glasses
• Health implants, animal biochips
• Natural monitoring systems
• Automobiles, industrial and agricultural vehicles
• Smart home systems
• Commercial devices and machines
• Home consumer electronics
• Municipal and public infrastructure
Tomorrow• Human microchips \implantable gadgets
• Contact lenses
• Virtual reality systems
• Cloud technologies
• Analytical recommendation systems
• Social networks 6
IOT Enviroment
Business Any Devices
Everybody
Any Network
Any location
Any context
Any Service
Any Social network
CloudTransport
Energy
Virtual reality
Healthcare
Security
Agriculture
Buildings
Consumer electronic
Many/Single
People/DevicesOwn/Another
Communication links
As technological devices surrounding
people will be plugged into Internet, they will be able not only to collect and analyze, but also to
share information. So there will emerge
excellent opportunities to
accumulate
BIG data and to use
it in order to suggest unique
one-to-one offers 7
Big & Smart Data
• Analysis of the vast array of data that would provide additional value inthe form of preferences and behavioral characteristics of each person.
• Recommendation systems analyzing previous purchases, interests, andactivities, and suggesting personal marketing offers and advertising:iTunes, Amazon, Google etc.
• Most of the decisions about what to sell to each consumer will be takenby analytical systems with the help of things (phone, refrigerator, etc.).
130 1 227
7 910
40 000
2005 2010 2015 2020
Digital Universe in the World, ExaBytes (=billion of GB) Today• Retail • Online Retail
• Advertising
• Content (media)
• Banking
• Telecommunications
• Social networks
Tomorrow• Manufacturing
• Healthcare
• Location
• Body monitoring
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Smart Data Environment
Purchases History
Health&Bodymonitoring
Social Network activities
Social offline links
Moving&Location
Mood
ActivitiesActivities of
friends
Content consumption
Product consumption
Home activities
Monitoring system
Devices
Understanding each customer trough his/her behavior and
proposing to him/her or his/her an intellectual thing (mobile devices,
smart home) individual product corresponding to behavior,
preferences, specific mood, current location and social
connections at a given point in time, in a particular place trough
personalized messages
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Social networks influence
• Social media are web instruments that allow people to create, share andexchange personalized content (information, images, actions) and havemany to many conversations
• In 2012, Facebook made a massive (N = 689,003) experiment, bymanipulating the news feeds (to show different groups of usersonly one type on friends content – positive/negative). It provedthat emotional states could be transferred to others viaemotional contagion, leading people to experience the sameemotions without their awareness (www.pnas.org).
• In 2020 Social Media advertising budget will increase by 20 times (24BUSD) to 2010 (Jack Myers Tomorrow Today)
1,4 1,62,1
5,0
2012 2013 2014 2020
Social services users, BLN
x 2,4
Today• Cooperation • Blogs and microblogs
• Content communities • Social networking sites
• Virtual worlds • Video consumption
• HR • Brand
• Service • Development
• Marketing • Communications • Sales
Tomorrow• Education
• Devices intercommunication
• Physical condition exchange
• Real-time services
• Intervention in communications
• Implanting opinions and desires
• Implantable gadgets and chips
• Mood transmission
• Social TV10
Social BookmarksInfluence
Quantified SelfSocial Networks
Blog/MicroblogsCrowd Wisdom
Q&AComments
Social CommerceMarketplace
Social StreamsLocation
NicheworkingEnterprise
WikiDiscussion & Forums
BusinessService Networking
Reviews & RatingsSocial Curation
VideoContent/Documents
EventsMusic
LivecastingPictures
Implant gadgets
Manipulation and interference
into communication to form
opinions, moods, desires and
sales.
Real time data changing: content, location, mood, condition, type of activity
All aspects of the life cycle and style: work, home,
entertainment
The interpenetration andand content generation of things, persons, services and
analytical systems 11
Mood reading
The case of Steven Hawking demonstrates that computers are already able to interpret signs and
synthesize human speech.
With the help of intelligent devices (smart watches, glasses, contact lenses, prosthesis, smart implants, intelligent implanted health monitoring system, microchips, stimulants physical activity)attached to, embedded into and worn by people, their physical condition (pulse, pupils, activity, dictionary expressions) will be analyzed, and
mathematical models will allow to determine their current mood.
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Mood reading process
The Real-Time Monitoring System of the Psychological, Behavioral and Physiological personal state
Monitoring devices of a person’s condition, physical activities and thephysical data of the body and organs
The system analyzes the content that is generated and consumed by the
user
The system analyzes the purchase, movement and social ties in a given
period
Building a correlationbetween the current
physiological state and personal mood &
intention
Analysis array data of links between the person’s physical
condition of and his actions and words
Analysis of the relationship between the behavior and the
state of billions of people
Building models to guess the mood of people,
depending on the
data from various smart
sensors
Commercialization reading mood
Sales & Purchase
Advertising
Content recommendation:
books, tv programs
Individual offers
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Your boss called you from vacation
Your watches noticed your worsened mood
You requested to return home via your smartphone
Your location is constantly monitored
The smartphone ordered a flight and transfer
Your house follows your mood
The fridge knows that ice cream improves your mood
Your house informed the fridge about the time of your arrival
The fridge ordered your favorite ice cream
Additionally, the house also prepared a warm bath for you
So... How did the ice-cream arrive?
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Communication in the nearest FuturePeople are always online
Ongoing information exchange with both friends and strangers
Devices and analytical cloud systems will generate their own content
Commercial organizations will manipulate human communication
Marketing will start managing moods and desires at subconscious level
Each product offered will be tailored for each individual, depending on his mood, behavior, social status, lifestyle, location and the current social environment
Referential and manipulative systems will leave little choice for the consumer
The border between the real and virtual as well as between private and public is blurred15
We have to be ready to live and work within Solaris
All steps will create a truly new reality, a sort of smart socium, a kind of Solaris
This new reality suggests new agenda for people and for business. Fast-pace progress of technologies creates a new agenda, and brings both threats and opportunities. If people will rely on technologies in their everyday life choices they might lose their personality. However, if people are ready for new challenges and understand the vital importance of social responsibility, they will win more free time to reveal their creative potential.
Plato was afraid that by using writing people will lose their memory. Popes were scared that the invention of the printing press was inspired by the devil. In the 20th century, people were worried that TV will eliminate books. New things always mean risk. But they are only the tools in our hands, and we choose how to employ them.
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