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    Copyright@ 1 9 80 b y Makoto I toh

    All

    rights reserved

    Library of

    Congress

    Cataloging ir: Publ ication Dato

    Itoh,

    Makoto,

    1936-

    Value

    an d

    crisis.

    Includes bibliographical references

    and

    index.

    1 .

    Marx ian econornics.

    2.

    Value.

    3 .

    Prices

    4. Economics-Iapan-History.

    I. Title.

    HB97. 5.824 335.-4'12 80-8084

    ISBN

    U-85345-556-2

    1 s B N 0 - s m s - 5 5 7 - 0 ( p b r . )

    Monthly

    Review

    Press

    62

    West

    14th

    Street, Ne w

    York,

    NY. 10011

    47

    Red

    Lion

    Street,

    London

    WC

    l R 4PF

    Manufactured in the United States

    ofAmerica

    10 9 8 7 6

    5 4 3 2

    1

    Contents

    Pre face and Aeknowledgrnents

    T

    1 .

    The Development ofMarxian Economics

    in

    Iapan ll

    I. The Pre-World Warl Per od

    12

    Il.

    The

    Fervent Debates

    of

    the

    In tervvar P er iod 15

    Ill.

    The

    Postwar

    Period

    26

    IV. A BriefConclusion 45

    2 . A

    Study

    of

    M : - 1 r x ' s

    Theory ot

    Value 4?

    I.

    The

    Twofold

    Concept

    of

    Value

    47

    ll.

    The Forms of

    Value 52

    Ill. The Substance ofValue '5 8

    IV.

    Prices

    of

    Production 66

    3. Man-is

    Theory of Market Va lue 80

    I.

    The Problems

    in

    Mar:-r's

    Theory of Market Value 80

    Il.

    The

    Technical Average Theory ofMarket Va lue 8 4 -

    III.

    Uno's

    Theory

    of

    Market

    Value '8 6

    IV. Prices ofProduction and Market Value 89

    4.

    The

    Formation

    of

    Man-r's

    Theory

    of

    Crisis

    93

    I. Two Types ofCrisis

    Theory

    94

    II. Crisis Theory in the Crurrdrisse 95

    Ill. Crisis Theory in

    Theories ofSurplus

    Value 101

    IV. Cornpletion of the Crisis Theory in

    Capi

    tal 10 6

    5 . Man-:ist

    Theories of

    Crisis

    L 19

    i I. The Diversity ofCrisis

    Theories 11 9

    ll. Completing

    the Basic Theory of

    Crisis ' _ 3

    III. The Metamorphoses ofCrisis L3 8

    Il

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    6

    Contents

    6. The Inflational Crisis of

    World

    Capital ism

    I.

    II

    III.

    IV .

    Notes

    Index

    The

    Inflational Crisis of the

    1970s

    Hovv to Apply

    Maris Theory ofCrisis

    The Overaecumulation ofWorld Capitalisrn

    The Breakdown of the

    Relative Stabil ity

    of

    Postwar

    World Capitalisrn

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    IP

    F - P

    e v . - i r

    1

    1

    I-

    I

    i

    I

    I

    The Formation of Marx's P

    t e

    T h e o r y

    O f

    C r i s i s

    e

    Marx's

    theory

    of crisis

    in

    Capital forms

    a

    focal point of his

    systematic critique of

    classical

    economics,

    in

    which capital ist

    economy

    is regarded a s the

    ultimate

    natural

    order

    of human

    society. Unlike

    the

    classical school, Marx

    treats

    the

    law

    ofmotion

    of

    eapitalist

    product ion scient ifical ly , v . - ' i t h

    its

    historical forms an d

    mechanisms. Without

    such

    a

    systematic

    theory we cannot clarity

    the logica] necessity of eyclical

    crises, which

    reveal the contra-

    dictory nature of capitalist economy in al l

    its

    interrelations.

    In

    dealing

    with

    such

    complex phenomena,

    determning

    the

    level an d the

    empirical

    basis

    of

    abstraction

    is particularly

    irn-

    portant. The crisis theory in Capitol was developed

    in o rd er

    to

    prove the inevitabil ity ofcyclical crises at the level ofbasic principle.

    lts empirical basis v v a s the typical cyel ical

    crises

    in the

    middle

    ofthe

    nineteenth century,

    the

    most

    suitable

    historical foundat ion fo r

    elaborating the principle of crisis.

    Ifwe

    were to take

    a s

    the basis of abstraction the whole history of

    crises, including the immature crises of the mercantalist

    age,

    we

    would either

    have

    to

    deal rvith exeessively variegated factors (often

    not

    exclusively economic

    factors,

    such

    a s

    wars)

    attecting the course

    an d

    phases of

    crises,

    or we would have

    to

    resort

    to

    excessively

    abstract

    formal

    factors, in order to prove not

    only

    the possibility but

    the logical necessity of cycl ical crises.

    Kz

    Uno's

    systematic

    division

    of

    levels

    of study of Marxian economics in to pr inc iples ,

    stages

    theory, and

    empirical

    analysis is

    essential

    h ere. S tud ie s

    This

    essay

    was firs t published in the

    Bulletin

    of the

    Conference

    of Socicrtist

    Econorrrists

    4,

    no.

    1 0

    ( F e h r u a r _ . ' 1 9 5 5 1 and reprinted in revised form in Science

    an d S oc ie ty 4 2 , n o.

    2(Surnmer

    1 9 ? ` 8 ` ) .

    93

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    94 Value

    and Crisis

    of

    the

    role of

    economic

    crisis throughout the world history of

    capital ism, comprising the three s t a g e s of mercantilism, liberalism,

    an d imperialism,

    belong

    to

    another, higher level of research, that

    is,

    stages th eo ry , r ath er th an to the leve l of principles of pol it ical

    economy,

    which

    are developed

    in

    the

    theoretical

    system

    of

    Capital.

    The firmer ou r understanding of the pr inc ip le o f

    crises,

    the bet ter

    will

    be

    ou r ability to formulate a stages theory of

    crisis, or

    further,

    to

    anal yze th e

    critical

    situation of contemporary

    capitalism.

    lt

    is

    therefore

    necessary to

    recognize,

    even in o ur

    age, the

    importance

    ofMaris crisis

    theory,

    abstracted

    from

    the

    typical

    cyclical crises of

    the

    md-nineteenth century.

    l.

    Two Types

    o,fC

    risis

    T l 1 < ? 0 t ' }

    However,

    Marx's

    crisis theory

    is

    no t fully complete. ln particu-

    lar, it contains two di ffe rent types of

    theory which

    are no t easily

    reconciled

    with each other.

    We

    ca n call these the excess capital

    theory an d the excess commodity theory .

    For instance,

    in

    the

    third

    section of chapter

    1 5

    ofVolume III of

    Capital Marx tries

    to

    show that a steep a nd s udde n fall

    in

    the

    general

    rate of profit

    d ue to

    absolute over-production of capital

    _ . .

    in

    a

    ratio to

    the labouring

    population

    (III: 251)*

    brings

    forth

    cyclical

    crises. In th is context, excess commodities in

    the

    market

    an d

    difficulties

    of

    realization

    of

    surplus value

    are

    regarded

    a s

    the

    result of

    the falling

    rate ofprofit

    caused by

    the cxcess accumulation

    of capital* Maris attempt

    in

    Capitol to deve lop

    a business

    cycle

    theory along this line

    can

    be observed also in

    his theory

    of capital

    accumulation in

    Volume I (see I: 6 1 2 -2 0 , 6 3 2 -3 3 , 762-71, 784-

    85 ;

    s e e also ll: 410-1

    1 ,

    486-87) , and in

    his

    credit theory in

    Volume

    III (see Ill: 513-14).

    ln contrast

    with

    this,

    in the first section

    of

    the

    same chapter 1 5 of

    Volume

    III,

    Marx looks fo r

    the

    restriction

    to

    capitalist production

    in

    the

    difficulty of

    realizing

    surp lus va lue

    in

    the circulation pro-

    cess,

    a s

    follows:

    1

    l

    i

    _ , . -

    I

    L

    t

    i

    1

    i

    |-

    M a rx's Theory ofC

    risis 95

    The conditions of direct exploitation, a n d t ho se of

    realising

    i t, are

    not. identical.

    .

    _

    .

    The

    first

    ar e

    only

    limited by

    the

    productive

    power

    of

    society, the latter by the proportional

    relation of the

    various branches ofproduction a nd the consumer power of society.

    [Alongwith the increase of productionof

    surplus-value,

    there

    is

    ari

    increase

    in ]

    the contradiction between the conditions

    under

    which

    this surplus-value is produced an d those under

    which

    it is realisecl.

    (lll: 244-45)

    Also, in chapter 30 of

    Volume lll Mar:-r

    points out that the

    disproportion of production in various

    branches

    an d the re-

    stricted

    consumption of the

    masses

    as opposed to development of

    productive

    power, ar e

    the

    ultimate

    reason

    or

    cause

    of

    crises

    (Hi:

    484). In

    these

    places,

    he

    considers that

    crises

    occnr

    from

    the

    overproduction of

    commodities

    beyond

    demand, d ue to either the

    disproportion

    among

    production hranches or the restricted

    con-

    sumption

    of

    the

    masses.

    Excess

    capital

    and

    the

    fall

    of

    the

    profit

    rate

    are

    seen

    a s

    results ofthis process.

    Need less to say, both capital

    an d

    commodities are g eneral ly i n

    cxcess in cr is is per iods . But it

    is

    important to discern which ofthese

    is

    the fundamental cause

    of economc crises.

    The

    excess capital

    theory an d the

    excess

    commodity theory

    are logicalljv opposed to

    each other at

    this

    point. We cannot

    keep

    both theories if

    we

    seek to

    prove the

    logical

    necessity

    of economc

    crisis in the

    principle of

    political economy.

    Why do these two different

    types

    of crisis theory c o e : - i s t s o

    uneasily

    in

    Capitol?

    ln

    which direction, an d how, should \larr s

    crisis

    theory

    be

    completed?

    I

    will

    try

    to give an answer to these

    questions by reviewing the formation of M a r ? - ` s crisis theory from

    the Crundrisse

    to Capital.

    ll. Crisis Theory in

    the

    Crundrisse

    ln The Chapter on Capital

    in

    the Grundr isse (which is the fi rs t

    manuscript fo r Capital w r it ten in 1857-1858), Marx develops his

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    96 Va lue and

    Crisis

    theoretical

    studies

    of crisis mainly at the hfigiflfiing of cction zi

    T

    he Circulation Process of

    CHPHLI

    an d

    lftlfi f - 1 I 1 fl l Y 5 1 S Of P m fi t

    theory

    in

    section 3,

    Capital

    a s

    Fructiferous.

    At

    the

    beginning of section 2 of the Crundrisse, in contrast to

    Volume II ofCapital, Marx treats the sell ing of commodity pro-

    ducts

    by

    capital

    i.e.

    C -M,

    a s

    an

    important

    restr ic t ion on

    the

    motion of capital, 5 3 - Y i n g

    lt is forgotten that,

    as Malthus says, the

    very

    existence of

    a

    profit

    upn

    an y cmmndity

    pre-supposes

    a demand exterior to

    that

    of

    the

    lflbufgf who

    ha s

    produced it, and hence the demand

    of

    the

    l abourer h i rnse lf c an n eve r b e an ad equte d eman d. S in ce o ne

    production sets

    the

    other into

    inotionan d

    hence creates consumers

    f or i tse lf

    in

    the alien

    capital's

    workers, it s e e m s t o e ach individual

    capital that

    the

    demand of the

    w * o r l < 1 ' 1

    C I H S

    Plifld

    b l?

    Pfflucffl

    itself

    is an adequate

    demand. On

    one

    side,

    this

    demand

    which

    production

    itself posits

    drives

    it forward, an d

    must

    drive it

    forward

    bgynd the

    proportion in

    which it

    would

    ha ve to

    prodticfi

    Wlh

    regard

    to the workers;

    on

    the other side, if the demand erieflf

    U flw

    demand of the labourer

    himself

    disappears

    of Slflflkfi

    U P then the

    collapse

    occurs.

    (323, 420)3

    Marx supposes

    here

    that cominofility

    Pfductln

    by Capi ta l 3 5 3

    whole

    must

    exceed the

    proper

    proportion fo r consumers demand,

    an d emphasizes that

    the

    fi nal p roduc t

    finds

    its

    limit in direct and

    final consumption (32

    3;

    42 ) .

    lt

    must be noted that

    Mailx

    d - p p s

    not

    y et

    discuss the log ica l necessity of

    economic

    crises rn C Y C

    I C -

    Offli-

    He tends rather to

    maintain

    in

    the Crundr isse that economic crisis

    is

    almost

    equivalent

    or

    leads

    directly,

    to

    the

    final

    collapse

    of

    capital ist

    production,

    basing himself on an

    excess commodity

    theory of an underconsunipt ionist type. h _ _

    Marx

    is here apparently

    trying

    to

    follow

    an d develop

    t e crisis

    theory of Sismondi an d Malthus, who opposed R 1 0 ? - I d @ S C l - 2 5 5 1 0 3 1

    theory Marx contrasts Sismondi with

    Ricardo

    a s follows:

    Those econ omists

    w ho , like

    Ricardo, conceiveld

    proiuctin

    a s

    directly identicalwith the self-realisation ofcapita . . .

    avel

    ered

    foie

    grasped the

    positive

    essence

    of

    capital

    more correc Y

    3

    Ma

    rx's Theory ofCrisis 97

    deeply than

    those

    who,

    like

    Sismondi, emphasized the barriers

    of

    consumption

    and

    of

    the available

    circle of

    counter-values, alhough

    h e latter has better

    grasped

    the limted nature ofproduct ion based

    on capita l, its negative

    one-sidedness.

    The former more its univer-

    sal

    tendency , the

    latter its particular

    restr ictedness. (314,

    410)

    Surely, Sismondi

    an d

    Malthus

    tried

    to

    show the

    inevitability of

    general overproduction,

    and

    therefore the

    particular restrictedness

    of capitalist

    production,

    whereas economists like Ricardo

    empha-

    sized

    one-sidedly

    the adjustment of demand and supply on the

    basis of the law of value, denying the possibility of the general

    oveiproduct ion of commodities. According

    to the labor theory

    of

    value of classical eco no mics , the values of yearly

    commodity

    products and revenues,

    such a s

    the

    wages,

    profits, and

    rents

    neces-

    sary

    to

    b u y th em , always

    equal

    each other

    in

    total, fo r both are

    determined

    by

    the total

    quantities ofyearly

    social labor.

    Extension

    of the scale of production by capital

    increases

    both

    the

    supply of

    an d

    the demand for commodity products equally in total value.

    Sismondi

    and Malthus

    opposed

    this theory

    by in

    effect throwing

    overboard the labor theory of va lue , argu ing that

    various

    fo rm s o f

    revenue

    stemmed

    i ridependently f rom

    capital, labor,

    and land,

    an d

    they thus questioned

    wh y

    the total of these revenues should be

    sufficient

    to

    b uy the to ta l s upply of the yearl y products of labor.

    Here

    the social relation ofproduction and consumption , or that of

    supply and demand,

    is separated from

    the

    inner co-relation

    with

    social

    l abor, and

    only

    the external balance

    at

    the surface ofcircula-

    tion

    is

    called

    into question.

    Malthus,

    fo r

    example,

    said,

    If

    production

    be

    in

    a

    great

    excess

    above consumption, the

    motive

    to

    accumulate and produce must

    cease

    from

    the

    want of

    an

    effectual demand in

    those

    who have the

    principal means of purchasing,'*

    an d

    he main ta ined th a t this

    difficulty

    might

    be overcome through

    the

    unproduct ive

    demand

    oflaridowners, etcf

    Sismondi

    advanced an underconsumptioriist

    theory a little

    earlier and rather more decisive ly

    than Malthus.

    According

    to

    him,

    the accumulation ofcapital causes the contrac-

    tion ofconsumption demand through both substitution of laborers

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    98 Value

    an d

    Crisis

    (a nd fa rm ers ) b y machines in the

    process of

    centralization

    of

    production, on the

    on e hand, while

    it

    results in the increase of

    commodity

    products

    without

    regard

    to the scale of consumption

    d em an d, on the

    other.

    Consequent ly, the snperabundance of

    production,

    that goes beyond

    consumption,

    T must occur.

    In

    o rd er to

    make

    c le ar th e

    rest ricted character

    of

    capitalist

    production an d

    the

    inevitability

    of

    general

    overproduction, wliich

    is neglected

    by classical

    economics, Marx

    emphasized,

    a s we have

    seen, the

    difficulty of

    realization caused

    by the restriction of

    consumption

    d em an d. H e thus

    extended the l ine

    of

    thought

    of

    Malthus an d S ismond i. H is

    intention was

    to develop, along

    with

    the

    labor theory of value of the classical school, the crisis theory of

    the anti -c lass ica l (or

    counter-classical)

    school,

    in

    order

    to

    criticize

    the

    harmony postulated

    by

    the

    classicists.

    U p

    to

    this

    point,

    the crisis

    theory

    of an underconsumptionist

    type elaborated

    in

    the

    Cru

    nd

    r i s s e

    tends to

    lack

    the

    inner

    relation

    to

    the working of

    the

    law of

    value.

    However,

    in contras t to Sismondi

    an d

    Malthus,

    Manr does no t

    abandon

    the

    labo r theory

    of value,

    but

    attempts

    to develop it

    systematically

    as the law of inotion of

    capital,

    with its historical

    forms, b y

    criticizing

    the

    limts of

    the

    classical

    theory

    of

    value.

    At

    the

    same

    time,

    he

    criticizes the

    excess

    commodity theory of an

    underconsumptionist

    ty pe to the exten t

    that

    it

    is inconsistent

    with

    the law ofmotion of capital

    based

    on the

    la w of value.

    For instance,

    Marx

    says, criticizing Proudhon, that it is superfi-

    c ia l to

    deduce the

    necessity

    of

    overproduct ion from

    the

    fact

    that

    the worker cannot b uy

    back his

    product ( 3Z6; 424),

    He

    goes on

    to

    consider

    the interrelations between

    the

    various sectors which pro-

    duce

    raw

    materials, machinery , workers* necessaries,

    and surp lus

    products.

    In

    this

    rudimentary formulation of

    a reproduction

    scheme, he

    shows ho w

    commodity products of

    each

    sector ca n

    be

    bought

    an d consumed

    a s either

    constant capital (which tends to

    be

    neglected

    by

    the classical economists) , variab le capi ta l, o r

    surplus

    value.

    Thus, when

    the inner relation between

    production

    and

    consumption ofcommodity

    products

    is observed on the basis ofthe

    i

    i

    i

    i

    '

    1

    I

    I

    t

    i

    1

    'I

    i

    |i

    i

    i

    i .

    _ _ r r - i . -

    .~ - - r - _ .

    M a rx's Theory ofC risis 99

    law of value,

    it

    becomes

    clear

    that the extens ion of capital ist

    product ion brings

    forth not

    only an increase of consumer demand

    by

    the

    workers,

    but also an inc rease

    in

    th e demand fo r means of

    product ion.

    This

    calls into question

    his

    previous notion that

    geri-

    eral overproduction occurs

    because

    the

    fi na l p ro du ct Ends

    its

    limts

    in

    direct

    and

    fina l consu inpt ion.

    Marx

    ends

    his

    discussion

    here,

    suggesting that the main

    point is not

    in

    merely

    the balance

    betweenproduction

    an d

    consumption,

    but

    rather

    the restriction

    to

    the

    value increasing

    process

    ofcapital. Marx writes

    a s fol lows:

    general over-production would take

    place,

    not because relatively

    too little of

    the

    commodities

    to

    be

    consumed

    b y t he w o rk er s

    or

    too

    little of those

    to

    be

    consuined

    by

    the capitalists ha d b ee n [con-

    sumedl,

    but because too

    much of

    both

    ha d

    been produced-not

    too much

    for consumption,

    but too

    much

    to retain

    the correct

    relation

    between consumption and

    value

    increasing; too niuch

    tor

    value

    increasing*

    (346-47;

    442-143)

    What, then, does too much production

    fo r

    value increas ing

    mean?

    This problem is

    not

    y e t p re s e nt ed

    in

    the Crundrisse.

    However,

    there

    is

    another

    sort of attempt to a pp ro ac h th e logical

    necessity of

    crisis

    in

    section 3

    of The

    Chapter

    on Capital _

    namely , the attempt

    to

    construct

    a

    crisis theory

    in

    r elati on to th e

    law

    of the

    tendency

    of the profit

    rate

    to

    fall.

    Profit theory in the Crundrisse

    still

    lacks

    a

    theory

    of

    prices

    of

    production. The concepts ofprofit an d profit rate are shown simply

    in

    terms of the ratio of

    total

    social surp lus va lue to

    total value

    of

    capital.

    Marx

    then

    goes

    on

    directly

    to

    the theory

    of

    the

    tendential

    fall ofprofit rate:

    Presupposing the

    same

    surplus-value, the

    same

    surplus-labour in

    ,oroportion to

    necessary

    labour, then, the rate ofprofit depends on

    the relation

    between

    the part

    of

    capital exchanged for

    living

    labour

    and

    the

    part existing in

    the

    form of ra w

    material and mearis

    of

    production. Hence, the

    smaller

    the portion

    exchanged for living

    labour

    becomes,

    the smaller

    becomes

    the rate

    of profit. [And

    the

    increase

    of productivity

    in the

    process of

    capital

    accurnulation

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    1 0 O Value an d Crisis

    expresses

    itselfl a s

    a

    dimin ished proport ion

    of

    the capital

    exchanged

    fo r living labour relative to

    the

    part of

    capital existing

    a s

    constant

    value. (633, 747)

    Basing hirnself on

    this

    notion of the

    tendency

    of the profit rate,

    Manr

    continues his discussion

    a s

    follows:

    Beyond a

    certain point,

    the

    development

    of

    the

    powers of produc-

    tion becomes

    a barr ier

    for capi ta l ; hence

    the

    capital relation be -

    comes

    a barr ier

    for t he d evelopmen t

    of

    the productive

    powers of

    labour.

    _ . .

    The

    growing

    incompatibility

    between

    the

    productive

    development ofsocie ty and its hitherto

    existing

    relations ofproduc-

    tion expresses itself in bitter contradictions, crises, spasms. (635,

    749;

    see

    also 636; 750)

    Marx's

    discussion here is different

    from

    Ricardo 's theory of the

    falling

    tendency

    of

    the

    profit

    rate. Ricardo thought, assuming the

    rising tendency of th e p ri ce of corn

    because

    of the dimnishing

    fertility of the land, that with the

    progress

    of society the natural

    price of

    labour

    has alway

    a

    tendency

    to

    rise, and

    that the

    natural

    tendency of profits then is

    to

    fa1l. Against this, Marx

    attempts to show that

    it

    is not

    a

    natural

    factor

    like feitility,

    outside

    capital, but th e inc reasing process of productive pow er in si de

    capital

    that causes a falling tendency of profit rate.

    This

    was a

    theoretical achievernent, related to hi s

    discovery

    of the principle of

    reproduction

    of constant capital ,

    which

    had been neglected

    by

    the

    classical

    school.

    However, there remain

    fundamental questions

    a s

    to

    whether

    this tendency

    of

    the

    profit

    rate

    to

    fall

    du e

    to

    the rising

    composition

    of capital indeed

    brings

    forth crises when it

    p a s s e s

    beyond a

    certain point.

    On

    the

    one

    hand, it is difficult to explain

    the

    cycl ical nature of crises directly from

    this, a s this

    is not a

    cyclical

    but a

    long-term movement. Further, the tendential

    fall of

    the

    profit

    rate does not necessarily imply a

    crucial

    obstacle to capital

    accumulation. This is because the

    tendent ial fall

    of the profit

    rate

    d u e to th e r is in g

    composition

    of capital may

    occur even though

    the

    absolute volume of surplus

    value

    is increasing. Depending upon

    I__L _ _ J 1 I

    1

    4

    1

    i

    1

    i

    i

    E

    F

    1

    I

    _ _ - f

    i

    F

    Mar:r's

    Theory ofC

    risis

    1 0 1

    the

    production

    of relative surp lus va lue , the absolute volume of

    surplus

    value

    ca n go on

    increasing an d

    capital accumulation ca n

    also

    continue

    even though

    at

    a dimnishing pace. 1 1

    On

    this point

    Marx

    s

    theory

    of the tendential fall ofprofit rate is clearly

    different

    from that of

    Ricardo, which

    contains a

    formal necessity

    for an

    absolute

    reduction

    of

    the

    volume

    of

    profi t, though

    basing it

    on

    the

    incorrect

    presumption

    of the incapabil ity of a n i nc re as e of pro-

    ductivity

    in

    agriculture.

    If

    the process of the

    tendential

    fall of the profit rate includes

    0CC3510-ali Sflddfiflr

    an d

    sharp declines

    in

    the profit rate which

    cause cycl ical crises,

    we

    should make cle ar ju st w hy the y must

    occu

    r. W e s e e that

    Marx's

    excess

    capital

    theory of crisis was still fa r

    from

    complete in

    the

    Crundrisse.

    lll.

    Crisis Theory iri Theories of Surplus Value

    Theories ofSurplus

    Value

    is edited mainly

    from nos. 6-15,

    no .

    18 , an d paitially n os . 2 1 -- 2 2, among the twenty - three notebooks

    which

    were

    w r it ten du r ing

    1861-1863

    a s the second manuscript

    draft fo r ,Cc1pital. lt shows in a number of ways

    the development

    of

    Marxs theoretical

    progress from

    the

    Grundrisse

    to

    Capitaf.

    As fo r crisis theoiy , the

    discussion

    in Theories of Surplus

    Value

    is

    concentrated

    in chapter

    17,

    Ricardo's Theory of Accumula-

    tion

    an d

    a

    Critique of It (The

    V er y N a tu re

    of Capital

    L ea ds to

    Cnses).

    T he m ain

    emphasis

    .o f Marx's discussion is still on the excess

    Eommodi ty theory , a s in the Grundr isse. He

    says, f or example ,

    The mete (direcnproductiori process of

    capital in

    itself, cannot

    add anything

    new regarding the

    explication of

    crisis.

    F or

    the

    problem

    of

    realization which

    causes crises can only

    emerge

    in

    the

    circulation

    process

    which is

    in itself also

    a

    process of

    reproduction

    (513,

    513).

    1 2 lt

    shows

    the development of the possibility ofcrisis,

    which

    became apparent in the simple rrietarnorphosis of the com-

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    10 2 V 2 1 1

    ue

    and Cr is is

    modity, gaining

    its content

    o r b as is through the motion of

    capita1(508-11;

    507-11).

    Marx here still retains, in part, the

    underconsumptionist

    type of

    view to e xp la in the necessity of crisis, saying over-production

    arises

    precisely

    from the fact

    that

    the mass of

    the peop le can never

    cons ume m ore

    than the

    average

    quantity

    of

    necessaries,

    that

    their

    consumption

    therefore

    does not grow correspondingly with the

    productivityof

    labour (469; 468).

    However, he

    puts

    more

    s t r e s s

    on

    the

    disproportionality type

    of

    crisis theory, ref lect ing the progress

    of

    his

    enquiry into

    the

    intersectoral relations

    among capitals.

    Wliile criticizing R ic ar do , w ho ,

    admitting

    the

    possibility

    of

    partial

    overproduction, rejec ted the possibility of general over-

    production

    of commodities, Marx says, For a crisis (and therefore

    also for overproduct ion)

    to

    be

    general, it suffices fo r it

    to affect

    the

    principal commodit ies (506;

    505).

    P o in ti ng o nt

    that

    if cotton

    cloth

    were

    overproduced,

    it

    would

    affect

    not only

    workers

    in this

    sector,

    but also spinners,

    cotton growers , engineers, and

    iron

    an d

    coal producers, Marx m a in ta ins ,

    If

    over-production has taken

    place not

    only

    in

    cotton,

    but

    also in linen,

    silk and

    woollen

    fabrics,

    then it

    can be understood

    how over-product ion

    in these few,

    but

    leading articles,

    calls

    forth a more

    or l e s s general ( relative) over-

    production

    on

    the

    whole

    market

    (523-24 ; 523).

    He continues:

    Since, however, capita lis t production can al low itsel ffree rein only

    in certain

    spheres, under

    certain

    condit ions,

    there could

    be

    no

    capitalist production

    at

    a1l

    if

    it

    had to

    develop simuitrrrieousfy

    and

    evenly inall

    spheres. Because absolute

    over-product ion takes

    place

    in

    certain

    spheres,

    relative

    over-production

    occurs

    also

    in

    the

    spheres where there has

    been

    no over-production. (532, 532)

    Thus Marx asserts that

    disproportional

    and

    partial overproduc-

    tion,

    which

    is

    regarded

    by Ricardo

    a s

    being

    always

    adjusted through

    the

    motion of capital,

    necessarily

    leads

    to

    general overproduction

    an d crisis through

    intersectoral

    inf iuence when

    it

    occurs

    in

    the

    leading

    commodities.

    Marx's excess commodity

    theory

    of

    crisis

    became diversi fied, adding this disproportionality

    type

    to the

    former

    underconsumptionist

    type

    of

    view.

    i

    _ _ _

    t

    II

    I

    H ' -

    Marx's

    Theory

    ofC

    risis

    10 3

    Even

    though

    Marx s ti ll lays s t r e s s on the difficulty of realization

    in

    the

    circulation

    process,

    outside

    of direct produc tion , he

    no w

    c om es to regard

    the circulation

    process

    also a s a part of the repro-

    duction

    process, including relations

    among various

    branches of

    product ion.

    This seems

    to suggest that

    he

    is

    seeking to discover

    the

    obstacle

    to

    capitalist

    production

    arising from

    i ns ide the

    reproduc-

    tion

    process

    of

    capital

    itself. At the

    same t ime,

    he no

    longer

    views

    crises one-sidedly a s

    standing

    in

    opposition to , a nd only destructive

    o f, th e la w ofva lue or the law of

    motion

    ofcapital . He indicates not

    only

    that crises occur

    a s a

    breakdown of the

    equalization

    process

    among capitals based o n th e law of value, but also that the

    crisis

    itself ma y be

    a

    form of equalisation (522;

    521).

    Crisis theory

    is

    about to be separated from

    the

    so-called breakdovvn

    theory,

    an d

    to

    be developed a s

    the

    concrete

    form

    of

    reproduction or accumula-

    tion

    theory.

    However , the

    process

    of

    capital

    accumulation,

    while

    incessantly

    causing anarchical disproportions

    in

    the distribution of labor

    quan ti ti es among

    various

    branches of production, can usually

    adjust

    these

    disproportionalities through competi tion,

    with

    the

    credit

    system among

    capitals

    synchronizing with the motion of

    market prices. This shows the concrete forms of the regulation of

    th e law of

    value in

    the

    ordinary

    process

    of

    capital

    accumulat ion- L a

    Therefore, even

    granted

    the anarchical

    nature

    of

    capitalisrn,

    it is

    still difficult to explain why serious

    disproportionalit ies, including

    an

    overproduction

    of

    leading

    articles

    sufficient to cause a general

    crisis, must necessarily

    occur

    an d furthennore

    be cycl ical. Such

    serious

    disproportionalit ies

    seem

    unlikely

    to

    occur

    without

    the

    appearance of some unusual special difficulty ins ide the

    process

    of

    capital

    accumulation

    a s a

    whole. Ho w then c an s uc h an

    unusual

    difficulty occur which

    cannot

    be

    overcome

    without

    a

    sharp

    crisis?

    Wliile the excess capital

    theory

    of crisis c ou ld p ro vid e an

    answer,

    in

    Theories

    ofSurplus Value

    this type of

    theory is

    harclty

    developed. Marx

    raises the following question,

    however, which

    relates to this point.

    Ric ardo denied the possibility of general

    overproduction

    of

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    Value

    an d

    Crisis

    commodit ies,

    not merely

    because of

    his acceptance

    ofSay's

    theory

    of demand

    an d

    supply, but because of

    his understanding that an

    excess

    of capital accumulation

    could

    no t

    occur except in

    the

    too-distant

    f uture o r in a situation

    too accidental and

    particular

    to

    be treated

    in principle.

    This

    view,

    even

    though in a

    sense

    logically

    consistent , c lear ly

    did not

    accord

    with

    the

    real

    development

    of

    capital ism after Ricardo's t ime. Nevertheless,

    his

    successors con-

    tinued, inconsistently, both

    to

    deny the

    possibility

    of

    general

    overproduct ion of commodities

    an d to explain

    the

    cyclical

    crises

    from the

    excess

    of

    capital.

    What then

    would

    Ricardo have said to the

    stupidity of

    his succes-

    sors,

    who

    deny over-production in

    one

    form (as

    a

    general glut of

    commodities

    in the market) and who,

    not only

    admt

    its existence

    in another form, as over-production of capital, plethora of capital,

    over-abundance of capital,

    but

    actually turn it into an

    essential

    point

    in their doctrine? . . . [Crises must

    be clarified so

    as to

    contain

    both

    forms

    of

    over-production.

    Therefore]

    the

    only

    re-

    maining

    question

    thus is: what is the relation between these two

    forms

    ofover-production?

    ( - 4 9 7 ;

    497)

    A page later he summarizes:

    The question

    is, therefore,

    what

    is the over-abundance of

    capital

    an d

    ho w

    does

    it

    differ from

    over-production?

    Marx

    still

    does

    no t

    investigate the important question he raises

    in

    this passage,

    but goes on

    to

    discuss the

    excess

    commodity theory

    a s we have seen.

    Thus

    wh at th e overp roduc tion or plethora of

    capital really is still remains

    to

    be answered.

    Marx 's theoret ica l

    research

    prior

    to and

    including

    Theories

    of

    Surplus

    Value seems to la ck the foundations to answer this ques-

    tion

    in two

    respects.

    On the one hand ,

    in

    order to

    clarify the

    distinction an d relation between the overproduct ion of capital an d

    the

    plethora of cap ita l, the latter

    being, a s he

    s a y s

    in

    Capital, a n

    expression

    used only

    with reference to the interest-bear ing capital,

    i. e. , moneyed

    capital

    in

    t he money mark et (Ill: 476), a theoretical

    t reatment of the working of the credit

    system

    is c lea rl y i nd is -

    pensable. Marx

    noticed

    from the beginning

    the

    important

    role

    of

    Ma

    rx's Theory ofC risis 105

    the

    credit

    system

    in

    the

    motion

    of capital ist economy, arid pointed

    out already

    in

    the Crur idr isse that the tendency ofcapital

    to

    reduce

    the circulation period formed

    the

    fundamental determinant of

    credit and

    credit

    contrivances

    of capital (551;

    659). He

    also

    pointedly

    remarked in another

    place

    in

    the

    Grundrisse:

    ln a

    general cr is is

    of

    over-product ion the

    contradiction

    is

    not

    between

    the different

    kinds of product ive capital , but between industrial

    an d loanable

    capi tal_between

    capital

    a s

    directly involved in the

    production process

    an d capital

    a s money existing ( relat ively ) out-

    side of it (316,

    413).

    Then, in Theories ofSurplus V a lu e , a lo ng

    with his development of

    a

    disproportionality theory, he begins to

    pay

    attention to

    the

    fact

    that the

    chain reaction

    resulting

    from the

    fact that capitalists

    are

    unable

    to

    clear

    their

    bills

    through

    commer-

    cial credit mediates the outbreak of

    crises

    (512;

    511).

    Bu t

    Marx's

    theory of interest up

    to

    Theories

    of Surplus Vaiue does not yet

    contain a

    systematic

    investigation

    into

    the

    credit

    mechanism; the re

    is only an elaboration of the

    abstract

    form of interest-bearing

    capital,

    presupposing the existence of

    moneyed capitalists

    outside

    the industrial enterprise.

    lt

    became

    indispensable fo r Marx

    to

    expand his work

    decisive ly beyond capital

    in

    general in his

    original

    plan

    1

    in

    order to m ake

    clear the motion of capital

    in

    business cycles

    through

    the

    credit system.

    On the other

    hand,

    a

    correct

    theory of the capitalist

    law

    of

    population in the process of capital accumulation

    was

    also in-

    dispensable,

    prirnarily to

    clarify the relationship of overproduc-

    tion of capi ta l to the laboring popu la tion . Ma rx worked on such

    a

    theory

    in

    chapter

    1 8

    of

    Theories

    of

    Surpius

    Vcriue,

    pointing

    out that with the accumulation of capital

    a

    change

    takes

    place

    in

    its

    organ ic composit ion

    and the

    constan t part of

    the

    capital

    g ro ws a t

    a

    faster

    rate than the variab le ( II : 564;

    562),

    a nd tha t

    machinery

    always

    creates a

    relative

    surplus

    population,

    a

    reserve

    army

    of workers (556; 554).

    However,

    unlike his exposition in

    Capital, Marx here almost neglects cyclical changes

    in

    the for-

    mation

    and absorption of the relative surplus population, stressirig

    only the former. Thus

    his

    study of the capital ist law of

    population

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    l06 Value

    and Crisis

    wa s too

    rudimentary

    to

    support the excess capital theory- of crisis at

    this

    point.

    IV.

    Corripletion

    of

    the

    Crisis

    T he or y i

    ri

    Capital

    Th e e x c e s s

    capital theory

    in Capital , clarifying what the

    over-

    production

    of capital is in relation to the labor ing population, is of

    great importance. lt

    not only clears up the

    question

    of the over-

    abundance

    or plethora

    of capital

    in

    Theories ofS urplus

    Val

    ue, b ut

    in

    effect formulates a

    ne w crisis theory

    ent irely unique

    to

    Capital.

    '5

    Although it

    is

    still presented a s if it were a

    discussion

    under

    the

    extreme

    condit ions assumed (III:

    2

    5 5 )

    in

    Part

    III

    of

    Volume III

    ofCapital,

    it

    is not at a ll an accidental idea,

    but a logical

    outcome

    of

    Marx's

    theoretical development from

    Theories

    to

    Capi

    to l

    . For

    it

    is connected with an d presupposes, on the one hand , the

    investiga-

    tion

    into

    th e c re d it system

    in Part

    V of

    Volume

    III, w here the

    distinction an d relation between overproduction of capital

    an d

    plethora of capital are clearly observed, and on the other

    hand,

    the progress in the theory of the capitalist law of population in

    Par t

    V11 of Volume I, w he re the cycl ical changes involving the

    formation an d

    absorption of relative surplus populations are

    taken

    into consideration.

    However, a s

    it

    is formulated in Capital fo r the

    Brst t ime,

    this

    t ype

    of

    crisis theory, which focuses on the absolute over-production

    of

    capital,

    is

    not

    sufficiently

    complete

    a s

    regards its

    full

    meaning

    and log ic a l necessity.

    In

    Capitol we

    still fin d an excess commodity

    theory ofcrisis, which is an extension, a s we have seen, ofthe effort

    in the

    Crundr isse an d

    Theories to develop

    the

    crisis

    theory

    of

    Sismondi an d Malthus, while

    criticizing the l imitations

    of

    the

    classical

    school. There thus

    appears

    in

    Capitafs

    crisis theory

    a

    kind of anti-classical residue,

    which seems

    to

    take

    intennediary

    factors or results of

    crises

    fo r causes. This theory has fundamental

    diffrculties

    in proving the cycl ical nature and logical necessity of

    i

    3

    | , . - .

    | . .

    *

    *'.L-_

    Marx's Theory ofC risis 10 7

    general overproduction, particularly

    with

    relation

    to

    the working

    of

    the

    law of value, on the basis of

    which

    capital ad jus ts the

    ceaseless

    disequil ibrium

    between the s uppl y and demand of

    vari-

    ous commodities a s long a s compet it ive capital accumulation goes

    on

    a s

    a

    whole.

    The

    essential weakness

    of

    the

    excess

    commodity theory

    stems

    from i ts basic

    effort to

    look

    for capital's

    difficrilties no t within the

    process

    of

    product ion , bu t

    rather

    in circulation.

    In contrast,

    the

    excess

    capital theory

    in

    Capital

    shows

    how the

    real

    barrier of

    capitalist

    production is capital itself (Il: 250), moving through

    the processes of both production an d circulation. Marx's attempt

    to clarify the logical necessity

    of

    cyclical crises should thus

    be completed by develop ing the

    latter,

    n ot the

    former,

    type of

    crisis

    theory.

    1 6

    The

    excess capital theory in Capital

    is , however,

    still incomplete

    in

    several

    respects.

    A s w e ha ve

    mentioned,

    in

    contrast

    with

    Theories,

    Capital

    deals with

    the

    changes

    in the absorption an d displacenierrt

    of relative surplus populations

    in its

    theory of the capitalist law of

    population.

    Manr

    no

    longer considers

    only

    the

    mechanismof

    the

    creation of the

    relative

    surplus

    population.

    For instance,

    in

    the

    first

    section of chapter

    25

    of the first

    volume

    of Capital, which deals

    with

    the

    general law of capital

    accumulation,

    Man; disc-usses

    the

    increased

    demand

    for

    labour-pover

    that

    accompanies ac -

    cumulation, the composition of capital remaining

    the

    same.

    Bu t

    he does

    not

    fully

    make c lear

    the

    theoretical necessity

    an d meaning

    of this

    section.

    After

    the

    second section of

    the same

    chapter he

    emphasizes, rather

    independently

    of

    the

    first

    section,

    the progres-

    sive

    production of

    a

    relative surplus-population or industrial

    re-

    serve army

    which accompanies the relative dimnution of the

    variable part

    of capital

    simultaneously with the progress of ac -

    cumulation

    a s

    the general

    law ofaccumulation. The

    definition

    of the capitalist law of population,

    a s

    a result, still

    lays

    too much

    stress on

    the

    progressive formation of

    surplus

    population.

    lt

    is possible that Marx was

    strongly

    impressed by

    the

    existence

    of

    various forms of

    a

    massive

    reserve

    army

    in the

    British

    economy

    of

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    an d Crisis

    his day, an d he cites them to

    il lustrate

    his theory of relative surplus

    population.

    Although this

    analysis

    of

    concrete forms

    of

    the

    reserve

    army is

    important

    fo r

    the

    study

    ofBritish capitalism

    of

    that

    period,

    it

    should also be noted that these forms of the reserve army

    include

    not only the re lative surp lus population produced

    inside

    capitalist

    production but

    also

    the

    surplus

    population

    resulting

    from

    the

    decomposing

    processes of small commodity

    producers and

    peas-

    ants.

    lf

    we

    use

    the levels ofprinciples, stages theory,

    an d

    empirical

    analysis t ha t K z Uno suggests, we

    should

    not

    include

    the

    latter

    portionof surplus population

    in

    elucidating

    the

    basic pr inc iple . In

    order

    to m ake

    clear

    the

    basic principle

    of capitalist economy, we

    must concentrate

    entirely

    on

    the la w

    of

    motion

    of

    capitalist

    pro-

    duction, without re fer ring di rec tl y to the relations

    with

    various

    other types of producers.

    Besides,

    it

    seems t heore ti ca ll y imprope r no t

    to

    consider

    the

    specific restriction of f ixed capi ta l

    while

    treating changes

    in the

    method

    of

    production

    under capitalist

    accumulation

    an d

    its influ-

    ence

    on the laboring class. In this sense,

    the theo ry

    of

    capital

    accumulation should have been placed not at the end ofVolume I

    but

    after the turnover of capital

    in

    Volume II,

    thus

    theoretically

    aligning the reproduction of capital with

    the

    theory of

    reproduc-

    tion

    schema. Industrial capitalists

    normally

    have fixed capi ta ls

    in

    their production

    processes, m a kin g th em function a s a

    part of

    profit-yielding capitals. And they

    convert

    surplus value into capi-

    tal, successively, privately,

    an d

    on smal l

    scales,

    on the basis of

    their

    a lr eady exi sti ng means of product ion.

    The accum ula tion of

    c a pi ta l u n de r

    these

    conditions

    proceeds

    n o rm a lly in

    a

    capital-

    widening rather than cap ita l-deepen ing fashion,

    on

    the basis

    of

    al ready ex is ting

    methods of

    product ion. Attempts to gain

    extra

    surplus

    value through adoption of

    superior methods

    of

    production

    are

    narrowly

    res tr ic ted , and undertaken only partially in such

    a

    process. Thus

    in

    a period ofprosperity it is

    unlikely

    that capital will

    str ive to produce re lative surplus value

    a nd to

    create a relative sur-

    plus population by scrapping and

    replacing existing

    fixed capitals.

    la

    Marx

    also

    says, when he

    explains

    the notion of

    the abso lu te

    1

    i

    1

    1 1 1 - _ .

    li

    i

    i

    i

    : _ . l

    _ _ i 1 - 1 -

    r

    r

    F

    Maris Theory of

    Crisis

    10 9

    overproduction of

    capital, that

    the expansion of relative surplus

    working t ime would no t be

    feasible

    at an y rate

    in

    the case when

    the demand for labour were

    s o strong that there

    were a tendency

    for

    wages to r ise (lll:

    251). If in

    principle we

    consider

    the

    process

    of

    capital

    accumulation

    in

    relation

    to the ex is ting fixed

    capital,

    the

    increase

    of

    demand

    fo r

    labor

    power that

    accompanies

    accumula-

    tion under the same composition of capital will appear

    no t

    as

    an

    accidental, b ut

    a s

    a necessary process

    in periods

    of prosperity.

    A

    steep an d

    sudden

    fall

    in

    the

    general

    rate

    of profit du e

    to

    a

    rise in

    wages would no longer be

    a

    mere

    inference

    under the extreme

    condit ions

    assumed,

    b u t w ou ld be

    seen

    a s a necessary logical

    result

    of capitalist accumulation

    in the per iod

    ofprosperity.

    1 The

    fundamental

    weak

    point

    of

    capitalist production

    which

    must

    treat

    human labor power

    a s a commodity

    without

    being able

    to produce

    it a s a commodity

    comes

    here

    to

    be

    crucial

    to

    capital

    accumulation.

    However, why c anno t overacc umu la ted capital be laid .aside

    partial ly

    unused

    without

    causing

    a

    sharp

    crisis?

    Or

    why

    cannot

    capital

    slow down

    the pace of accumulation a s

    the profit

    rate falls,

    converting prosperity into stagnation without

    a

    drastic crisis? These

    questions

    still r ema in to be solved after we

    have proved

    the logical

    necessity

    fo r

    overaccumulation

    of

    capital to

    occur.

    An

    understand-

    in g of the working of

    competit ion

    through

    the

    commodity market

    an d

    of the credit system

    among capitals is

    essential

    to answer these

    questions. Marx's contribution in Part V of

    Volume lll

    of

    Capital

    is absolutely

    essential

    here,

    although it

    seldom has been treated

    a s

    an indispensable

    part

    of

    Marxian

    crisis

    theory

    except

    in the

    Iapanese

    U no

    school.

    W e

    cannot deny that the

    theoretical systematization ofthe

    credit

    mechanism,

    w h ich Marx attempted

    for the first

    t im e in

    Volume

    Ill

    of

    Capital, is far

    from

    complete.

    Credit

    theory,

    including

    business

    cycle

    theory,

    is

    clearly

    the

    most unfinished

    subject

    in

    al l ofCapi-

    tol. In

    particular,

    the

    credit system

    is

    no t

    yet fully

    abstracted

    as an

    inner mechanism of capitalist

    production.

    Marx recognized that

    the

    credit system

    is forrried to utilize idle

    capitals

    or to shorterr the

    unproduct ive circulat ion period

    in

    the turnover of

    capital,

    as we

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    have

    seen

    in

    the

    Cruridrisse an d a s

    we

    can also s e e

    in Volume

    1 1 of

    Capital. However,

    when

    he oberved the

    working

    of bank cred it ,

    Marx

    laid

    stress on money capitalists an d

    other

    depositors, out-

    side

    the

    ranks of industrial an d commercial capitalists. Though

    various sorts of

    depositors such

    a s mere money

    capitalists

    do exist in

    the

    real

    capitalist economy, the

    principle

    of

    the credit

    system

    should

    be abstracted from these

    outside

    factors

    in

    order

    to

    clarify

    the

    substantial

    function

    of the credit system, which is

    to

    facilitate

    the

    setting

    in

    motionof idle elements ofcapital which

    necessarily

    result

    from the turnover

    ofcapitals. The

    regular

    movement of the money

    market

    through

    the

    business cycles is real ly detemi ined by move-

    ments in the mutual utilizationof

    these

    idle

    elements

    of capital.

    We

    m u st n o ti ce here that Marx's inclination

    to

    emphasize

    moneyed

    capitalists

    in

    credit theory

    comes

    no t only from the

    insufficiency

    of theoretical

    abstraction

    but also from the

    theory

    of

    interest

    within

    the

    framework

    of

    capi ta l in

    general

    expounded

    in

    the Crundrisse.

    The

    credit system

    in

    principle

    ought to

    be

    re-

    garded a s a

    purely

    internal

    mechanism of

    capitalist production, no t

    relying

    on outside

    money

    lenders

    or

    moneyed

    capitalists

    who

    have no substantial

    function

    in furthering

    capitalist production.

    Therefore, the commercial

    credit which

    the capitalists

    engaged in

    reproduct ion give

    to

    on e another

    in

    the form of bills of exchange

    should

    be

    treated

    a s

    the basis of the

    credit

    system

    (Ill:

    479). Bank

    c red i t, t hen , is the discount ing of bills of exchange brought by

    industrial

    an d commercial capi ta li st s, and it depends on funds

    formed out of

    both

    the deposits of these

    capitalists

    and the return

    payments

    fo r

    their

    matured

    bills.

    The

    abil i ty

    of

    banks to expand

    credit elastically by

    means of

    issuing

    bank notes

    or

    bankers

    bills is

    ultimately regulated by t he movement of

    these

    funds

    originating

    fromcapitalists engaged in

    reproduction.

    As

    Marx poin ts out, Ifwe

    obsenre

    the cycles

    in which

    modern

    industry moves . _ _ we shall find that a low rate of interest

    generally

    corresponds to periods of

    prosperity

    or

    extra

    profit,

    a

    rise

    in

    interest

    separates

    prosperity an d

    i ts reverse, and a maximum of

    interest

    up to

    a pointof

    extreme

    usury corresponds to

    the

    period ofcrisis (III: 360).

    Maris

    Theory

    ofC risis 1 l l

    ln periods of prosperity, the

    ready

    flow an d

    regularity

    of the

    returns,

    l inked

    with extensive commerc ia l c red it , ens ur es the

    supply of loan capi ta l

    in

    spite of the increased demand f or it,

    an d

    preven ts the leve l of the rate of interest from

    rising.

    This

    is the

    only period

    during

    the course of the business cycle

    when

    a relative

    abundance

    of

    loanable capital co incides

    with

    a

    real

    expansion

    of

    industrial

    capital (III: 4:88).

    This

    situation changes at the

    end

    of

    the per iod of

    prosperity, when overaccumulat ion ofcapital

    occurs.

    Marx points ou t in the context of the

    excess

    capital theory the

    remarkable interrelated

    changes

    among wages, profits, and interest:

    The demand for labour-power can increase because the exploita-

    tion

    of

    labour

    takes

    place

    under especially

    favourable

    eircuinstances,

    but the rising demand for labour-power, a nd thu s f or v a ri ab l e

    capital, does not

    in

    itself

    increase

    the profit;

    it,

    on the contrary,

    lowers it pro ta nto . B u t

    the

    demand for variab le capi ta l can never-

    theless

    increase at the

    same

    t ime,

    thus

    also

    the de ma nd for

    money-

    capital-which ca n

    raise

    the rate

    of

    interest.

    Tlie market-price: of

    labour-power

    then rises

    above

    its average, more

    than

    the

    average

    number of labourers

    are

    employed,

    an d

    the

    rate

    of interest rises at

    the

    same t ime because under

    such

    circumstances the demand for

    money-capital

    rises. . . . If wages should rise

    for

    some reaso n

    during an

    otherwise unfavourable state of

    business, the rise in

    wages w o ul d l ow e r the

    rate

    of profit, but

    raise the

    rate of interest

    to

    the

    extent that it increased the d em an d f or money-capital .

    (III: 513-14)

    The rising

    demand

    for

    money

    capital in the

    face of a

    falling

    rate

    of

    profit

    d ue to

    a

    rise

    in

    wages

    becomes an

    inevitable

    result

    of

    the

    capital

    accumulation process when the excess capital theory

    is

    properly

    extended. However,

    if industrial

    an d

    commercial capitals

    continue

    to

    sell

    their

    products

    a s

    before, paying

    their

    matured bil ls ,

    thus

    forming

    disposable funds usable

    by

    the banks in turn, the

    banks can

    expand

    their

    credit

    elastically

    to meet the rising

    demand

    fo r money c ap ita l. Besides,

    in this

    case it is also possible that

    capitalists

    will

    reduce

    their investment because of

    the reduct ion

    in

    net proht ,

    without any serious collapse

    in

    the chain of

    credi t. Thus

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    l 1 2 Value and

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    in

    order

    to prove the

    theoretical

    necessity of

    a

    sharp crisis,

    a

    little

    more concret ization seems

    indispensable.

    Marx emphasizes in several places ho w the

    speculative

    use of

    credit

    raises

    the rate of interest. He

    points

    out that

    a

    high rate of

    interest

    can be paid

    (and

    this

    is done

    in part

    during times

    of

    speculation)

    not out

    of the

    profit, b u t o ut

    of

    the borrowed capital

    i tse lf , and this

    can

    continue

    fo r

    a

    while

    (III:

    512-13).

    The supply

    ofan article

    ca n fall below

    average, a s

    it does wh en c rop

    failures in corn, cotton, etc. occur; a nd the de ma nd fo r

    loan capita l

    ca n

    increase because

    speculation

    in these

    commodit ies counts

    on

    further rise

    in p ri ce s a nd th e

    easiest wa y

    to make them

    rise

    is to

    temporarily withdraw a

    poltion

    of the supply from

    the market.

    But

    in order to pa y for

    the

    purchased commodities without

    selling

    them,

    money

    is s ec ure d b y m ea ns of

    the commercial

    bill of

    exchange operations.

    In

    this

    case, the demand

    fo r lo an c ap it al

    increases,

    an d

    the

    rate

    of

    interest

    can rise

    a s

    a

    result

    of

    this

    attempt

    to

    artificially

    prevent

    the supply

    of

    this

    commodity from

    reaching

    the

    market.

    The higher

    rate of

    interest then

    reflects an

    art ificial

    reduction in the supply ofcommodity-capital. (III:

    514-15)

    Marx does

    not make clear why

    such speculat ive

    operations

    become s o i iwidespread

    at

    the

    en d

    ofprosperity periods.

    Nor

    does he

    attempt to clarify the relation between overproduction of capital

    an d

    the

    heightening of massive speculation. However, it is

    not

    difficult

    to

    fin d

    the logically necessary relation. When wages

    rise

    d ue to an overaccumulat ion of capital,

    this

    not on ly squeezes the

    general rate of

    profit

    but also

    necessarily

    affects

    market prices

    of

    commodit ies

    in

    tw o

    ways.

    First,

    the

    prices

    of

    commodit ies pro-

    duced

    by

    sectors

    having

    a lower organ ic composit ion of capital

    (i.e. , more labor- intensive sectors)

    must

    rise continuously a s

    long

    a s wage

    costs

    rise

    under the

    equalization of

    the profit

    rate, a s

    Marx

    points out

    in

    chapter ll of Volume III of

    Capital.

    Second ly , the

    increase indemand f or

    means ofconsumption following

    the

    rise of

    wages ma y raise

    some

    prices ofconsumption goods

    or

    goods used

    to

    produce

    them

    if

    the

    supply

    of

    these goods

    cannot

    be

    promptly

    adjusted,

    a s

    is often the case with agricultural products.

    Maris

    Theory

    ofCrisis 1 1 3

    ln the middle

    period

    of prosperity,

    market prices f luctuate

    only

    within a

    narrow range around

    steady

    prices

    ofproduction

    based

    on

    a s te ad y wag e level,

    while.capital-widening

    accumulation

    con-

    t inues to d ep en d on

    relative

    surplus

    population.

    At the end of

    prosper it y , on

    the other hand , market prices

    of some

    commodit ies

    inevitably

    rise

    a s

    the

    result ofoveraccumulation ofcapital. There-

    fore, unusual

    speculative

    stockpiling of these commodities is car-

    ried

    on

    by

    industrial

    capitals, and especial ly by commercial

    capi-

    tals, which fully utilize

    the elasticity

    of

    the

    credit system.

    However, wh en

    subjected

    to

    such

    massive

    speculative

    opera-

    tions, the elasticity- of

    credit diminishes. More

    commercial

    ex-

    change

    bills are

    issued

    and

    brought to

    banks

    to

    be

    discounted. The

    maturity period of bills is prolonged and payments are

    delayed

    or

    are

    made

    only

    by

    new borrowing. Along

    with

    the r is ing demand for

    money capital

    to

    meet

    additional

    payments fo r

    wages,

    such a

    speculative demand

    never

    fails

    to tighten

    the money market

    through

    a

    relative

    dimnution

    of

    reserve

    funds

    in

    banks,

    which

    results in

    a rise in

    interest

    rates. Th e drain of

    gold

    reserves from

    the

    central bank

    in

    the m on ey

    market demonstrates this tendency

    of

    the

    credit system most strikingly at

    the

    critical point in

    the

    last

    stages of

    prosperity.

    Thus, overproduction ofcapital necessarily causes

    three

    related

    difficul ties for the capitalists: increasing

    wages,

    fa ll ing profit rates,

    an d

    rising interest rates. The prob lem ofoverproduction of

    capital

    in relation

    to

    the

    laboring

    population is expressed in

    a

    shortage of

    loanable

    money capital. Th e net profits of industrial and commer-

    cial

    capitalists

    are

    drastically

    squeezed by

    a

    rise

    of

    both

    wages

    an d

    interest.

    In

    palticular,

    the

    tightening

    of

    credit is fa ta l to speculative

    stockpiling operations, which also face a

    general

    decline in

    real

    investment from ne t profits.

    It

    soon becomes no t only difficult but

    positively

    unprofitable

    to

    maintain speculative

    stockpiling, i n v ie w

    of the

    rising

    cost of interest.

    Sacrifice sales must begin in

    order to

    pay

    matured

    b i lls. Break-

    downs of large-scale speculative

    operations

    are ordinarily the most

    concre te moments

    of turning

    prosperity

    into sharp

    crisis.

    The

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    11 4 Va lue and

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    conflictof the opposite

    movements in

    the general rates ofprofitan d

    in terest thus b r ings

    about the

    collapse of the credit

    system.

    The beginning of cycl ical crisis is

    usually

    heralded

    by

    the

    collapse

    of

    speculation

    among c ommer cial

    capitals

    engaged

    in

    large-scale

    wholesale

    trade. For a t the e nd

    of

    prosperity, specula-

    tive

    stocl-:piling

    utilizing

    credit

    has

    been developed

    most

    inten-

    sively an d

    on the

    largest

    scale

    in

    this area,

    and therefore the shock

    of tightening

    credit

    or a rising

    rate

    of interest is

    also

    most serious

    here. On the

    other hand,

    the collapse of speculation by

    these

    commercial

    capitals

    results in

    serious shock

    to

    both the commodity

    market

    an d

    t he m oney market.

    Marx

    points

    out that crises

    begin this

    way,

    saying, Crises

    do not

    corne

    to

    the surface , do

    not

    break out, in

    the

    retail business

    first,

    which deals with

    direct cons umption , bu t in

    the

    sphere

    ofwhole-

    sale tra de , a nd of banking, which

    places

    the

    money-capital

    of

    society at

    the

    disposal

    of the former (III: 304).

    At the

    same t ime,

    more

    or less speculative overtrading,

    not only

    by

    commercial

    capitals but also by industrial capi ta ls , on

    the

    basis ofoveraccumu-

    lation of capital

    comes

    to be untenable

    an d

    begins to break down.

    Collapse

    of speculative

    stockpiling causes

    a

    sharp

    decline

    in the

    market prices of commodit ies which have been maintained

    an d

    r ais ed b y

    speculative operations. The basis of credit

    relations,

    which have

    presupposed

    a

    certain level of market prices, is de-

    stroyed.

    A

    chain

    reaction of

    insolvency

    appears. All

    the capitals

    an d

    banks restr ict new

    credit severely

    in order to

    secure their

    ow n

    reserves

    of payment, in spite of

    a

    sharpiincrease

    in

    demand fo r

    money

    cap ital to

    pay

    old

    debts.

    Thus the in terest rate

    reaches its

    maximum again

    a s

    soon

    a s

    the

    ne w crisis s e t s

    in .

    Credit suddenly stops then, payments are

    suspended, the reproduction process is paralysed. _ . . a

    super-

    abundance

    of idle industrial

    capital

    appears side

    by

    side with an

    almost

    absolute absence

    of loan capital (III:

    488).

    The collapse of the commodity

    market

    and

    general

    difficulty

    in

    sell ing accompany

    the

    shrinkage and collapse of credit. Th e stop-

    page of credit d isturbs and

    shrinks production throughout whole

    Marfs Theory

    of

    C

    risis 1 [5

    branches,

    fo r the

    entire

    continuity of

    the reproduction process

    rests upon credit (III: 490)

    in

    capitalist production. Marx describes

    the outcome of the

    absolute

    overproduction of capital:

    The

    chain of

    payment

    obligat ions du e at specific dates is broken

    rn

    a

    hundred places.

    The

    confusion

    is augmented

    by

    the

    atten-

    dant

    collapse

    of

    the

    credit

    system,

    which

    develops

    simultaneously

    with

    capital, an d

    leads to v io le -n t a nd acute crises, to sudden

    an d

    forcible depreciations, to the a c tu a l s ta gna tion

    an d

    disruption of

    the process of reproduction

    an d

    thu s to a real falling off in re-

    production. (III:

    254)

    Employment of laborers

    must also

    be sharply reduced,

    with

    the

    falling offof reproduction through the collapse of

    the

    credit

    system.

    A large

    number

    of

    laborers

    are forced to be

    unernployed.

    A sharp

    decline

    ln

    wages occurs.

    The

    consumption

    demand

    of

    laborers

    is

    reduced.

    The

    chain ofdifficulties in selling capitalist commodit ies

    lscompleted.

    The

    coexistence

    of

    a

    superabundance

    of

    idle

    indus-

    trlal

    capital

    an d an unemployed excess

    laboring

    population

    becomes inevitable

    a s a result

    of the abso lu te sho itage

    of

    loan

    capital.

    Capital

    values in

    the form of credit

    d ocum ents , com -

    modities,

    an d

    physical

    factors of production are

    destroyed. Th e

    contradiction between

    capitalisrrfs

    relations of

    produc tion and its

    increase of

    productive

    power is clearly revealed.

    However, it must a ls o be noted that capitalist product ion

    does

    not

    en d

    its

    existence

    with a

    mere economic crisis.

    In principle,

    the

    phase of crisis

    necessarily

    changes into depression. The ana rch ic

    a nd u ne ve n destruction of capitals gives

    some

    capitals a

    chance to

    preserve

    a

    portion

    of

    their

    value.

    Reproduct ion under

    capital

    is

    resumed

    by such capitals. Bu t

    it

    is

    no t easy

    fo r capital to

    get

    out of

    the

    depression, for the anarch ic

    an d

    uneven

    destruction

    of

    capitals

    during the crisis has caused a distorted proportionality between

    branches

    of product ion.

    This

    is difficult

    to

    readjust immediately

    because

    of the immobility of the

    existing

    fixed capital. The

    credit

    system

    is

    formed in principle

    to fac il itate the mutual motion of

    circulating

    cap ita ls , and

    it is almost

    useless

    in

    mobilizing the

    values

    of

    fixed capitals exist ing

    in

    the production

    processes.

    The

    re-

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    11 6

    Value

    and Crisis

    fore,

    even

    though loanable money capital becomes

    plentiful,

    reflecting the

    contraction an d paralysation

    of

    industrial

    capital

    (III:

    485),

    it

    cannot play

    a positive

    role

    in

    removing the funda-

    mental

    difficulty of

    depression. The

    superabundance of idle in-

    dustrial

    capital, unused loan cap ita l, and unemployed labor ing

    population, or ,

    low rates of profit,

    i nteres t, and wages, coexist,

    unable

    to

    combine

    in

    this

    period.

    Throughout

    th e p er io d of

    depression,

    however, th e fa ll

    in

    p rice s a nd the competitive struggle would

    have

    driven

    every

    capital ist to lower the individual value ofhis

    total

    product below

    its

    genera l v alue

    b y means

    of n ew m ac hin es , n ew and improved

    working methods, ne w

    combinations

    (III: 255). Besides,

    in

    con-

    trast with the prosper ity period,

    the

    existing f ixed capitals are

    in

    genera l no longer

    profitable,

    an d so there is

    pressure

    to depreciate

    them

    in

    o rder t hat t hey may be renewed a s soon a s possible. W hen

    most

    capitals in the

    main branches of production

    come to

    depre-

    ciate

    a

    large proportion of the value oftheir fixed capitals and arnass

    their

    o wn m on ey

    capital sufficientto

    invest in

    ne w equipment,

    t hen they

    can ad op t ne w methods of

    production

    through renewals

    of

    fixed

    capi ta ls . These

    renewals

    of

    fixed capitals

    occur compet i-

    tively an d hence

    simultaneously

    at

    the

    en d of the depression.

    Capitals which

    succeeded

    in adopting new methods of produc-

    tion

    are able to resume active accumulation even under

    the

    re-

    duced levels

    of market prices ofproduction.

    At the

    same t ime,

    the

    proportionality among branches of

    production

    is

    fundamentally

    readjusted through

    the process of

    renewals

    of

    fi xe d c ap ita ls , b e-

    cause capitals

    can move f reely

    to

    invest

    the

    whole of their

    value

    in

    the

    most

    promising

    branches

    during

    that

    process.

    A

    distorted

    proportioiiality between branches of production is

    thus

    restored

    corresponding to new relations ofproduction.

    Not only these re lations among capitals, b ut also productive

    relations between cap ita l and

    wage

    labor, are renewed. On the on e

    hand, the

    value

    of labor power

    is

    reduced through improvements

    in

    methods of

    production,

    an d the rate ofsurplus value is increased

    to

    ex tend the basis of

    accumulation

    ofcapital. On the other hand,

    i

    1

    entre

    Morx's

    Theory

    ofCrisis

    1

    17

    the

    Organic C0I1P0Sf0t

    Of

    capital

    is r ais ed to c re ate a relative

    surplus popula t ion, which fomis

    the

    fundamental condition

    for

    capital to

    reach

    a higher

    level

    ofaccumulation

    ofvalue than

    in

    the

    ffmef Pfifld Of prosperity. All this clearly

    reveals

    the

    historical

    c

    aracter an d

    alienated nature ofcapitalist development- the rising

    composition of capital necessary

    to

    achieve

    a

    relative

    surplus

    1-

    popu

    ation is realized in

    the

    depression phase, when labor [ 1 3 5

    been made

    superabundant

    by the i 5 5 _

    Once relat ions among capitals

    an d

    between capi ta l and labor

    hat@ bfiffl

    ffifgfllzed,

    corresponding to the

    ne w

    value

    relatiors

    based

    on

    the

    l l f -1

    _ _neW eve

    U

    P T O U C W

    P O W G Y ,

    Capital resumes its

    expansion

    with a restored rate of

    profit.

    Trade

    in

    commodities

    1 n r . ' : r ` a s e s t - l m o o ( t 1 l 1 l y , 'and

    the credit

    system expands

    elastically.

    us,

    e

    in

    ustrial

    cycle

    (or business cycle),

    composed

    Ofthfefg

    phases of prosperity, crisis,

    and

    depression runs

    its course anew

    Each

    phase becomes

    the

    cause of

    the

    successive phase in

    turn, and

    the

    same

    vicious

    c ir cle would

    be

    described

    once

    more

    undfl

    expanded conditions

    of

    production,

    with an

    expanded

    market

    an d

    increased productive forces (III:

    255).

    This industrial

    cycle is

    of

    such

    a nature that

    the same

    circuit must

    reproduce itself once the

    first impulse has been

    given

    (III:

    489).

    The

    l ife-cyclei

    of xed

    capital in

    the

    essential

    branches of industry furnisheg

    3 matfliaj

    basis of the per iodic cr isis (Il:

    186); in

    particular

    it

    is

    a decisiva

    d . _ .

    eterminant of

    the

    time length of the circuit of business cycles fo r

    the

    simultaneous

    renewal

    of

    fixed

    capitals in the

    main branchgs

    S

    t

    4 ` I

    e

    starting point fo r every new

    p0Spny

    phasg

    T he i nn e r

    contradiction

    of

    capitalist

    production

    whh

    C o m , - S

    from

    the difficultyof treating

    human

    labor power a s i a

    commodity

    an d

    w h ic h b u rs ts ou t in periodic crises through competition

    an d

    credit

    am l ` -

    ong capita

    s ,

    is given

    an

    actual

    solu t ion in

    the course of

    industrial

    cycles. Nevertheless,

    it

    cannot

    be a

    fundamental solu-

    IQIL

    an d S 0

    lt I T I U S be Coristaritly repeated in these cycles.

    Cyclical

    crises n o t o n ly

    reveal

    the contradiction

    in

    the

    motion

    of

    capital

    bu t also form

    a necessary

    part of the

    mechanism

    of capital isi

    development.

    Th e supply of

    the labor

    power commodity

    the basic

  • 7/25/2019 ITOH - Value and Crisis (Cap 4 y 5) (OPT) R

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    l 1 8 Va lue and C ri si s

    condition fo r capital accumulation,

    is

    secured in pr inc ip le through

    the deve lopment of the capital ist law of population

    in

    the form of

    busiriess cycles.

    Business cycles , including

    periodic c ris es , a t

    the same t ime

    constitute

    the

    mec han ism fo r ad ius ti ng value relat ions between

    capital an d wage labor

    an d

    among various commodity products.

    The

    regulation of

    the

    values of commodities

    in

    accordance

    with

    th e la b or q ua ntitie s which are socially

    necessary to reproduce

    them, along

    with

    the adjustment of the

    allocation

    of social labor

    necessary to maintain the reproduction of commodities, is carried

    through in the course of industrial cycles. Thus industrial cycles

    form th e most inclusive

    mechanism

    fo r the

    operation

    of

    the

    law of

    value a s

    the law ofmotion of capital.

    Therefore, the systematic development of the value theo ry in

    Capitol

    mu s t

    include a crisis

    theory,

    and

    the

    crisis

    theory

    should in

    turn

    synthesize

    the

    concrete mechanisms

    of

    the law

    of

    value

    a s

    the

    law ofmotion of capital. The crisis theory

    in

    Capital in

    effect

    also

    summarizes the fundamental cr itique against the classical school,

    which regarded the necessity of general overproduction or crisis

    a s

    incorisistent with

    their law

    of

    value.

    Even

    though

    still

    incompleto, the essential points necessary

    to

    elaborate the excess capital theory of crisis are already present

    in

    Capital, a s

    we

    have seen, through the

    theories

    of accumulat ion,

    profit,

    an d

    the credit

    system. Apart

    from

    the

    concrete historical

    studies of

    crises

    which

    should

    belong to d if ferent , higher levels of

    research, such

    a s

    stages

    theory

    or

    empir ical

    analysis

    of

    contempo-

    rary capital ism, Marx 's crisis theory can and should

    be

    completed

    in

    principle.

    To

    leave the incomplete parts of its theory untouchod does

    an injustice t o th e

    scientif ic achievement ofCapital. In

    particular,

    it is

    essential

    to

    c omp le te M arx 's excess

    capital theory of

    crisis

    together with

    his

    credit theory ,

    in

    order not

    merely

    to overcome the

    crucial limtations of both classical and anti -classical theory, but

    also to provide a

    sound theoretical

    standard

    for analyzing the contra-

    dictory movement of

    capital ism,

    with

    its changing phases

    of eco-

    nomc and soc ia l