Issue Brief Issue for Web

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SH A DAC S TATE H EALTH A CCESS CCESS D ATA A SSISTANCE C ENTER A Comparison of Children’s Uninsurance Rates Across the States: 1995-96 to 2ooo-o1 In the mid nineties, the rates of uninsured children climbed following the enactment of welfare reform, as many previously insured children became ineligible for Medicaid. 1 In 1997, the State Children’s Health Insurance Program (SCHIP) was enacted as Title XXI of the Social Security Act. From 1997 to 2000, all states developed and implemented programs under SCHIP. Many of these states, such as Tennessee and Missouri, have made significant efforts to identify and insure children who are not covered by a health insurance plan. During that same period, employer-sponsored coverage grew slightly for the population as a whole 2 but decreased for children. 3 Despite this decrease in private coverage, the Current Population Survey’s (CPS) two-year average uninsurance estimates show that more American children had health insurance coverage in 2000-01 than in 1995-96. In 2001, approximately 8.5 million children did not have health insurance, down from over 10 million in 1996. Here, we assess the changes in health insurance coverage among children across the states for the five-year time period spanning Welfare Reform and the enactment and implementation of SCHIP. Estimates used for all comparisons between 1995 and 2001 are adjusted for the verification question added to the CPS health insurance module in 2000 4,5 . With the exception of Figure 1, we use 2-year averages for 1995-96 and 2000-01. For observations pertaining only to 2000-01 (Table 2), we used verified data. A Health Data Resource for States April 2003/Issue 6 University of Minnesota School of Public Health Sponsored by a grant from The Robert Wood Johnson Foundation. 20 18 16 14 12 10 0 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 ~ ~ Welfare Reform (1) SCHIP Implementation (2) 13.8 14.8 15.4 13.9 13.4 12.8 15.0 Source: Historic Health Insurance Tables. March Supplement 2001 CPS Percent of Uninsured Children Figure 1: National Children’s Uninsurance Rates Between 1995 and 2001

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SHADAC Issue Brief 6

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SHA�DAC

STATE HEALTH ACCESS�CCESS�

DATA ASSISTANCE CENTER

STATE HEALTH ACCESS�

DATA ASSISTANCE CENTER

A Comparison of Children’sUninsurance Rates Across theStates: 1995-96 to 2ooo-o1In the mid nineties, the rates of uninsuredchildren climbed following the enactment ofwelfare reform, as many previously insuredchildren became ineligible for Medicaid.1 In1997, the State Children’s Health InsuranceProgram (SCHIP) was enacted as Title XXI of the Social Security Act. From 1997 to2000, all states developed and implementedprograms under SCHIP. Many of thesestates, such as Tennessee and Missouri, have made significant efforts to identify and insure children who are not covered bya health insurance plan. During that sameperiod, employer-sponsored coverage grewslightly for the population as a whole2 butdecreased for children.3 Despite thisdecrease in private coverage, the CurrentPopulation Survey’s (CPS) two-year average

uninsurance estimates show that moreAmerican children had health insurancecoverage in 2000-01 than in 1995-96.

In 2001, approximately 8.5 million childrendid not have health insurance, down fromover 10 million in 1996. Here, we assess thechanges in health insurance coverage amongchildren across the states for the five-yeartime period spanning Welfare Reform andthe enactment and implementation ofSCHIP. Estimates used for all comparisonsbetween 1995 and 2001 are adjusted for theverification question added to the CPShealth insurance module in 20004,5. Withthe exception of Figure 1, we use 2-yearaverages for 1995-96 and 2000-01. Forobservations pertaining only to 2000-01(Table 2), we used verified data.

A Health Data Resource for States April 2003/Issue 6

University of Minnesota

School of Public Health

Sponsored by a grant

from The Robert Wood

Johnson Foundation.

20

18

16

14

12

10

0

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001

~~

WelfareReform (1)

SCHIPImplementation (2)

13.8

14.815.4

13.9

13.412.8

15.0

Source: Historic Health Insurance Tables. March Supplement 2001 CPS

Percent of

Uninsured

Children

Figure 1: National Children’s Uninsurance Rates Between 1995 and 2001

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Changes in the Number of Uninsured Children

from 1995-96 to 2ooo-o1

Although an important catalyst, SCHIP was only one factor in the increase in coverage. SCHIP outreach effortsled to an increase in Medicaid enrollment,6 and the economy at this time was experiencing robust growth.These were also important contributions to the decreasein uninsured children.7

Variation in Percent Change Across States

In general, states with the lowest uninsurance rates forchildren in 1995-96 retain the lowest rates in 2000-2001. In addition, many of the states with the highestuninsurance rates in 1995-96 were among those with the

most noticeable decreases in uninsured children over thefive-year period. Tennessee led the nation with thelargest decrease in the number of uninsured childrenfrom 1995-96 to 2000-01, reducing the child uninsurancerate by approximately 10% over five years.

A few states have shown little or no improvement. Thechart below shows that only five states made statisticallysignificant decreases in their rates of uninsured children.In 2000-01, one in five children in Texas remaineduninsured, and in Arizona, New Mexico, and California,approximately one in six children had no health coverage.An additional ten states that did not have significantdecreases in their rates of uninsured children remainabove the national average.

AK

2.2%

WA

2.0%

OR

-1.7%

NV

-3.5%

CA

-1.2%

CO

-1.1%

AZ

-5.0%

NM

-3.0%

KS

0.1%

OK

-3.9%

TX

-0.2%

MT

3.9%

ND

2.1%

Increase

Percent Point Change

No Change

Decrease

Decrease (Significant)

SD

1.0%

NE

-1.1%

MN

-0.3%

IA

-3.6%

MO

-6.2%

TN -9.5%

WI

-1.4%

AR

-6.0%

GA-1.3%

FL-0.5%

AL-3.0%

MS-8.5%

LA-6.5%

NC-3.6%

SC-7.6%

NY-1.9%

VA-0.0%

ME-6.7%

IL3.0%

HI

4.6%

IN1.5%

WV2.0%

NJ

-4.1%

VT-2.9%

MA-1.5%

CT-2.1%

DE-3.3%

DC-4.7%

MD0.6%

RI-4.5%

MI-0.4%

KY-4.8%

ID

1.1%

UT

0.1%

WY

0.3%

OH0.2%

PA0.5%

NH0.5%

Figure 2: Percent Point Change in Two-Year Averages of Uninsurance Rates for Children: 1995-96 to 2000-2001

Figure 2: Percent Point Change in Two-Year Averages ofUninsurance Rates for Children: 1995-96 to 2000-2001

No state experienced a statistically significant increase (at a significance level of p<0.1) in thenumber of uninsured children during this time period.

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Alabama 12.9 9.8 -3.0 Montana 10.5 14.4 3.9

Alaska 11.1 13.3 2.2 Nebraska 9.2 8.1 -1.1

Arizona 22.5 17.5 -5.0 Nevada 19.9 16.4 -3.5

Arkansas 19.2 13.2 -6.0 New Hampshire 7.6 8.1 0.5

California 17.6 16.4 -1.2 New Jersey 15.3 11.2 -4.1

Colorado 16.1 14.9 -1.1 New Mexico 20.6 17.6 -3.0

Connecticut 10.4 8.3 -2.1 New York** 13.5 11.6 -1.9

Delaware 13.4 10.1 -3.3 North Carolina 15.1 11.5 -3.6

District of Columbia 16.3 11.6 -4.7 North Dakota 8.2 10.3 2.1

Florida 18.3 17.8 -0.5 Ohio 9.8 9.9 0.2

Georgia 15.0 13.6 -1.3 Oklahoma 20.9 16.9 -3.9

Hawaii 6.1 10.7 4.6 Oregon 13.9 12.2 -1.7

Idaho 13.0 14.1 1.1 Pennsylvania 8.1 8.6 0.5

Illinois 9.6 12.6 3.0 Rhode Island 9.4 4.9 -4.5

Indiana 11.5 12.9 1.5 South Carolina** 17.9 10.3 -7.6

Iowa 10.9 7.3 -3.6 South Dakota 8.3 9.2 1.0

Kansas 10.7 10.8 0.1 Tennessee*** 16.8 7.3 -9.5

Kentucky 15.7 10.9 -4.8 Texas 23.5 23.3 -0.2

Louisiana 21.3 14.8 -6.5 Utah 10.6 10.6 0.1

Maine 14.5 7.8 -6.7 Vermont 7.9 4.9 -2.9

Maryland 10.5 11.1 0.6 Virginia 10.7 10.7 0.0

Massachusetts 8.8 7.3 -1.5 Washington 9.9 11.9 2.0

Michigan 7.9 7.5 -.04 West Virginia 8.4 10.4 2.0

Minnesota 6.9 6.5 -0.3 Wisconsin 6.5 5.1 -1.4

Mississippi* 19.2 10.7 -8.5 Wyoming 12.6 12.9 0.3

Missouri** 13.1 6.9 -6.2 U.S.*** 14.3 13.1 -1.2

Asterisks correspond to the following significance levels: *p=0.1, **p=0.05, ***p=0.01. Results without asterisks are not significant.Source: 1995-1996 and 2000-2001 Historic Health Insurance Tables and March Supplement 2002 CPS.

State

Rate of Uninsured

Children 1995-96

(2-yr avg.)

Rate of Uninsured

Children 2000-01

(2-yr avg.)

Percent Point Change

Between 1995-96 &

2000-01 State

Rate of Uninsured

Children 1995-96

(2-yr avg.)

Rate of Uninsured

Children 2000-01

(2-yr avg.)

Percent Point Change

Between 1995-96 &

2000-01

Distribution of Uninsured Children

Uninsurance among children varies a great deal acrossthe states, with the highest rates concentrated in theSouthwest region. Over forty percent of all the uninsuredchildren in the U.S. live in three states-California,Texas, and Florida, while only twenty-eight percent ofall the nation’s children live in these states. By contrast,the large number of uninsured children in New Yorkand Illinois is a function of the large total populationsof children in those states, not of high uninsurancerates. Nine percent of the nation’s uninsured childrenlive in New York and Illinois, but eleven percent of allof the children in the country reside in these two states.

Figure 4: Distribution of UninsuredChildren Across States in 2ooo-01

Figure 3: Two-Year Average Uninsurance Rates for Children 1995-96 to 2001-01

Highest Numbers of Uninsured Children

State

California 1,466,500 17.13

643,000 7.51

462,000 5.34

328,000 3.84

4,207,000 49.68

1,358,500 15.86Texas

Florida

Source: Historic Health Insurance Tables. March Supplement 2001 CPS

New York

Illinois

TotalHighest 5

Number ofUninsured

Children

Percent of TotalUninsured

Children in U.S.

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STATE HEALTH ACCESS�

DATA ASSISTANCE CENTER

SHA�DAC

STATE HEALTH ACCESS�CCESS�

DATA ASSISTANCE CENTER

Notes1 Guyer, Jocelyn. Uninsured Rate of Poor Children Declines but Remains Above Pre-welfare ReformLevels. Center on Budget and Policy Priorities 2000. Washington, DC. http://www.cbpp.org.

2 Holahan, John; Pohl, Mary Beth. Changes in Insurance Coverage: 1994-2000 and Beyond. HealthAffairs Web Exclusive. April 3, 2002.

3 Cunningham, Peter J.; Reschovsky, James D.; Hadley, Jack. SCHIP, Medicaid Expansions Lead toShifts in Children’s Coverage. Center for Studying Health System Change. Issue Brief No. 59.http://www.hschange.org/CONTENT/508/

4 All SCHIP statistics have been taken from SCHIP Annual Reports. Uninsurance rates, Medicaid rates,and unemployment statistics have been taken from the CPS.

5 State Health Access Data Assistance Center (SHADAC) Issue Brief #4: What is Behind the 8 PercentDrop in Uninsurance: Changes in CPS Health Insurance Measurement and the Effect on State Policy.

6 Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services. The State Children’s Health Insurance Program AnnualEnrollment Report. Federal Fiscal Year 2001; October 1, 2000-September 20, 2001. February 6, 2002

7 Park, Michael H.: Cunningham, Peter J. Some Communities Make Progress in Reducing Children’sUninsurance. Center for Studying Health System Change 2000. Data Bulletin No. 19.http://www.hschange.org

University of Minnesota

Division of Health Services

Research and Policy

2221 University Avenue

Suite 345

Minneapolis, MN 55414

Phone 612-624-4802

Fax 612-624-1493

www.shadac.orgIB-??-????

Conclusions

With increased federal flexibility, states been able to tailor SCHIP and Medicaid

programs to their specific needs. However,this flexibility in the use and design of theprograms has made comparative analysismore difficult. Nonetheless, monitoringtrends at the state level is critical to under-standing the changing dynamics of healthinsurance coverage.

This preliminary assessment shows a markeddecrease in the uninsurance rates for childrenfollowing the implementation of SCHIP.While this analysis did not control for localenvironment and other effects, it is evidentthat many states had great success in loweringtheir children’s uninsurance rate over thisfive-year period. These accomplishments areencouraging and should be closely watched tomonitor the effects of changes in the trendover time.