ISP 4860: Senior Seminar 2Winter 2011

Section 001 (Bowen)

Class 1, January 10Course web site: www.is.wayne.edu/drbowen/SenSemW11

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Starting Off• Things to do:

Initial the signin sheet (every week)• If “No” for email, log on to Pipeline to activate

o pipeline.wayne.edu

Pick up a copy of the Syllabus and Topics

• Review of Syllabus Meeting next two weeks in Computer Lab C

(Room 3150) in the Undergraduate Library Semester assignment: 25-page research

paper• Suggested format: five Chapters with suggested

topics, each Chapter averaging five pages

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Review of Syllabus

• Contact information for David Bowen

• Office hours

• Textbooks and other references

• Assignment schedule

• Listing of normal Chapter topics for paper

• Grading scale 10% means one letter grade Strong push to get drafts in, keep up to date

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Review of Syllabus

• Grade Appeals

• Accommodations

• Plagiarism What it is Consequences When it usually happens

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Paper Topics

• Overall – “the human footprint” on earth• Your paper zeroes in on one subtopic

List in right column of assignment schedule on Pg 2 of Syllabus

Seven sections, five Chapters – also Pg 2• Footnotes not in MLA style

• Part of each class on information for each subtopic

• Read “your” Chapter in SOP ASAP

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During Each Class…

• Info on human footprint and subtopics• Research requirements

Number and quality of references Research notebooks References and citations You will find large numbers of references in

any these areas• Writing

One aspect each week Class writing activity

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During Each Class…

• Also some time on the US / World financial crisis – why? Something to do with Economy and

Development But also a large system that we do not

understand• Like the ecosystem• We depend on the ecosystem – Ecosystem

Services• We do not understand it as well as we think we do,

so we should be cautious here

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Course Website

• http://www.is.wayne.edu/drbowen/SenSemW11

• What is/will be there: All handouts and class notes Link to Moodle Link to Libraries News stories related to course Original documents related to course

• Miss a class? Download materials, review, ask questions before next class

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Course Website and Moodle

• Look at course website http://www.is.wayne.edu/drbowen/SenSemW11

• In this course, turn work in and get it back online using Moodle (alternative to BlackBoard) http://tools.comm.wayne.edu/moodle

• Pictures for Moodle this week and next week – be ready, or use your own

• How to use – two weeks, UGL Comp Lab 3

The Human Footprint

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The Human Footprint• Quick review of subtopics – all interlocked

Population Urbanization Development / disease Food / fish Institutional Capacity and Failed States Water Ecosystem services Energy / Global Warming Sustainability Consumption & waste Land: dwelling & food Tragedy of Commons

Handout

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The Human Footprint

• Refers to total human impact on earth Includes how we affect ourselves

• US is not typical – we are at the rich end

• Many systems world depends on are stretched now

• Will get worse Earth’s population 6.6 B now, headed for

9.4 B – ↑ 50%

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Human Population (Billions)

Region 2007 Pop 2050 UN est.

World 6.6 9.1

China 1.3 1.4

India 1.0 1.5

US 0.31 0.41

Europe 0.73 0.65

More Developed 1.2 1.2

Less Developed 5.4 7.8

Least Developed 0.80 1.7

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The Human Footprint

• Footprint will get larger Rest of humanity wants to be like developed

world US ~4.5% of population For example, we consume 20 M Bbl/day of

petroleum, whole world consumes 80 (US 25%)

Factor of 5.6 greater if they achieve our current lifestyle

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The Human Footprint

• Will get worse Plus safety factor because systems are

stretched now, maybe 1.5 Total increase in consumption:

1.5 (population) × 5.6 (consumption) × 1.5 (safety) = 12.6

No one knows how to produce this much more in any aspect

THEREFORE: future will be VERY different

Your Research Paper

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Scope: Three Aspects

• The range or scope for each topic has six aspects:a. Adequacy of current supplyb. Adequacy if current trends continue

Population, development

c. New technology and methodsd. Sustainabilitye. Subtopic scope: all types (e.g. for food), a class of

types (e.g. grains) or one type (e.g. rice)f. Geographical scope: worldwide, regional or

national? (NOT local, e.g. Detroit))

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Choosing Your Scope

• On your own, you can narrow one of f or g by one level

• If you want to narrow two aspects or more than one level of the scope, you need to: Describe what you want to do Get my approval

• If, when you submit your topic on Moodle, you just use the one-word topic, you are choosing the full scope (all 3 aspects)

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Stick With Your Choice

• In the past, many people said they kept changing their topic because they “found more research resources” on another topic They did not finish the paper (did not even get

a good start) You will be able to find more than enough

resources on any one of these topics If you do change topic, you have to repost on

Moodle.• Do not erase old topic, just put the new one

underneath

Financial Crisis

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The Economy

• The $1 economy• The economy as a wheel – the money

wheel If the money moves quickly, we all get more

of it, but we have to spend it quickly If we stop spending, the wheel stops If we slow our spending, everyone slows

down, everyone gets poor and anxious• Theory of capitalism – let people buy what

they want, the buy more, we get prosperity

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The Economy

• Our economy relies on credit All electronic money is credit, for example Credit can be moved around the money wheel

much faster than cash If we had to use cash, the money wheel would

turn much more slowly – we would all be much poorer

• Banks must work to lend money quickly if the money wheel is to spin quickly

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Recession

Brief history:1. High investor demand for mortgages2. Risky mortgages sold, then resold to

investors such as banks (“toxic assets”)3. “Housing bubble” burst, house prices fell4. Foreclosures, bank sales at low prices,

more foreclosures5. House buyers wait for lower prices, sales

fall, house prices fall again, etc.

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Recession

Brief history:6. Banks can’t sell toxic assets, don’t know how

much they are worth, don’t know how much the banks are worth, get nervous, hoard cash

7. Banks stop lending, money wheel slows down for everyone

8. “Real economy” starts downward spiral9. Job losses, more foreclosures, housing prices

drop, people walk away from houses10. If people get used to this, gets hard to stop

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Recession

• If everyone spends their money the way they see fit, does the economy work well? Yes: Milton Friedman, 1912 - 2006.

Dominated recent economics. If government borrows money, that drives up interest rates, innovation slows, economy slows

No: John Maynard Keynes, 1183 – 1946. Government is “the spender of last resort” and must tax/borrow and spend to kick-start the money wheel, to stimulate the economy

Recovery

• China and US were/are coupled together China has large migration to cities, needs jobs

• No social safety net, citizens save for health crises, retirement and children’s education

• So low consumption• Must export

US (comparatively) high labor costs, much manufacturing outsourced

• Larger retired/retiring population

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Recovery

• China and US were/are coupled together US economy 70% consumption, 30%

manufacturing• must borrow to finance consumption

China 30% consumption, 70% manufacturing• Buys US debt by issuing new renminbi (yuan)• One of underlying causes of mortgage bubble

Long-term, both must move to 50-50• China needs to add high-value manufacturing• US must control deficits, manufacture more

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Costs

• China and India have new prosperity, growing economies, need raw materials China very aggressive on long-term contracts

world-wide

• Prices for raw materials world-wide are growing

• Can prosperity based on material consumption keep going long-term? Probably need a new type of consumption

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Writing

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Teaching Writing

• In the past, I spent a lot of course time and on writing, and grading time on correcting writing problems

• It didn’t seem to make any difference Those who wrote well coming in, did well Those who could not write, didn’t seem to

apply anything we went over

• What to do?

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#1 Reason for Writing

• To organize your own thinking

#1 Way to Good Writing• Have something you want to say

#1 Way to Find Mistakes• Read your Essay out loud to yourself, and

listen

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• www.is.wayne.edu/olgt then link to Writing Guide, or use The Everyday Writer

• Writing Center in 2310 UGL / 313-577-2544

• The OWL at Purdue (link on website)

• Many of you have heard this before, but the problem is applying this stuff

More Examples and Details

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Common Writing Problems• Functional grammar

Rules of grammar have a purpose – to transmit meaning

Rules of grammar are always changing Different grammars for different groups Get too far from the group’s grammar and

you are not understood (must change with changes)

The further you get from the group’s grammar, the harder it is to understand you

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Common Writing Problems• Functional grammar

• Being able to use good standard grammar is like dressing well for a job interview

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Writing

• Write one-half page on how this year is starting out for you – fifteen minutes Give a clear overall impression of your experience Give specific examples in an organized manner No spelling or grammar standards as long as

meaning is clear• Group critique – read yours aloud to the group• Whole group discusses each piece and makes

suggestions for improvements, you take notes• Rewrite, turn both in

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For Next Week…

• Have: Three-ring research binder 3½-inch floppy diskette labeled with your

name, or a USB flash drive, any capacity

• Next two weeks: class meets in Computer Lab C (Room 3150) UGL, then back here A way to access an email account using a

web browser – do you know your password?

• Be ready for Moodle picture