IS2009 BRICandBeyond d2 VP Changes
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Transcript of IS2009 BRICandBeyond d2 VP Changes
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Iconosphere 2009
BRIC and Beyond:Laying the Foundationsfor a Global Future
Jeff YangVP, Consumer StrategistGlobal View
Valeria Piaggio
VP, Consumer StrategistGlobal View
Shreya MukherjeeDirector, Consumer StrategistGlobal View
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The E Opportunity: Why Emerging Markets areimportant for marketers tomorrowand today
Getting to know the E Consumer: Three criticalforces driving consumption and growth
Bringing it back to business: How to takeadvantage of the E Opportunity even if yourbrand is domestic
Agenda
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Consumers spending power inemerging economies is expected torise from $4 trillion in 2006 to more
than $9 trillion by the middle of thenext decade. By that time, almost abillion people will enjoy incomes of at
least $5,000 per year.Economist5.15.08
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According to World Bank researchin 2000, developing countries were
home to 56% of the global middleclass, but by 2030 that figure isexpected to reach 93%.
Knowledge@Wharton 9.7.08
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More and more economists thinkthe United States and the rest of theworld may be moving in differentdirections.
Newsweek2.4.08
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Emerging Opportunity
Shelter from the storm. With the global economy in a downwardspiral, the fast-growing EM economies offer greener pastures wheregrowth is still robust, and products and brands can still flourish.
Photo courtesy of Luciana Stein, Iconoculture Cultural Fluent, Brazil
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Coming into their own. Unlike developed markets, EM countrieshave a rapidly expanding consumer base due to higherbirthrates and/or the move of big parts of the population up fromthe bottom of the pyramid.
Aspiring toward more. Its not just the size its the rise. EMconsumers are surging into the middle class,with boomingdisposable incomes and a growing taste for the finer things.
The power to spend. The rising income of EM consumers isbeing further boosted by two critical factors: strong localcurrencies and increased access to consumer credit.
Emerging Opportunity
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Brazil
RussiaIndia
China
BRIC
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What sets apart the BRIC countries?
BRIC: Brazil, Russia, India, China
MASSIVE GEOGRAPHICAL SIZE
DEEP RESOURCES
HUGE POPULATIONS
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Sources of Power
BRIC
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Brazil: Coasting as Commodities Soar
A large share of the world's beef, orange juice, soybeans andiron ore comes from the great green elbow. (Economist4.17.08)
BRIC countries source of power
Top left: Flickr.com/Photos/LFCastro image; bottom left: Flickr.com/Photos/Giselleimage; middle: Flickr.com/Photos/Estarsid image; right: Clarin.com image
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Russia: Plenty in the Tank
Russias GDP has beengrowingan average of 7% per year forthe past decade.
Real disposable income hasnearly doubled in the past fiveyears (Economist6.5.08).
Goldman, Sachs & Co. predictsRussia will be the worldseighth-largest economy by2025, with a per capita incomeof $45,000 (BusinessWeek2.20.06).
BRIC countries source of power
Flickr.com/Photos/Vtwhitelight image
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People as a primary resource
Chinas growth has been driven bymanufacturing, but its building itspostindustrial base.
India has succeeded in sectors like
IT, software and pharmaceuticals,but is investing in industries likeautomobiles and computerhardware.
The two have complimentary
strengths and an increasingly warmrelationship. The implications for thefuture are profound.
CHINDIA: China and India
Photo courtesy of Naudia Lou, Iconoculture Cultural Fluent, China
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CHINDIA: China and India
What happens when the two biggest and fastest growingcountries in the world join forces?
Together, the dragon and the elephant rule the world.
Left: Photo courtesy of Naudia Lou, Iconoculture Cultural Fluent, China;right: photo courtesy Anindita Sengupta, Iconoculture Cultural Fluent, Inda
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Frontier markets or the Emerging Emerging
This next bloc of EMs includes high-profile economieslike Mexico and Turkey, but also unfamiliar ones suchas Bangladesh, Egypt, Indonesia, Iran, Nigeria,
Pakistan, Philippines and Vietnam.
With their large and growing populations, thesecountries have the capacity for the kind of growth thatover the next several decades may rival the BRICs, andare certain to far outstrip the G7.
The Next Tier
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GlobalEconomy
InternationalPolitics
Business
Culture
Worldwide Impact
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The EM-Effect: International Politics
Flickr.com/Photos/Nafmo images
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The EM-Effect: Global Economy
IMAGE SOURCE
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The EM-Effect: Business
60 ofFortune magazines top 500 global companies arenow based in emerging markets.
Left: NEED IMAGE SOURCE; right: photo courtesy of Sairica Rose,Iconoculture Cultural Fluent, Spain
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The EM-Effect: Culture
Left: Photo courtesy of Luciana Stein, Iconoculture Cultural Fluent, Brazil;top middle: photo courtesy Sairica Rose, Iconoculture Cultural Fluent, Spain,bottom middle: photo courtesy Jason Hughes, Iconoculture Cultural
Fluent, Canada; right: photo courtesy Lindsay Paterson, IconocultureCultural Fluent, France
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LeapfroggersShedding the shackles of poverty, communism, economic crisis or nonexistentconsumer credit, emerging consumers are embracing consumption at broadband
speeds. The jump to adopt new products and services is quite abrupt and oftenmisses some steps in between. And even though recent economic woes havedeaccelerated the pace, the emerging consumer has tasted the good life and is notabout to give it up.
Left: Photo courtesy of Anna Coppola, Iconoculture Cultural Fluent, Russia;others: photos courtesy of Paula Alvarado, Iconoculture Cultural Fluent, Argentina
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Leapfroggers
Photo courtesy of Anna Coppola, Iconoculture Cultural Fluent, Russia
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Leapfroggers
Photos courtesy of Anna Coppola, Iconoculture Cultural Fluent, Russia
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Leapfroggers
Photo courtesy of Naudia Lou, Iconoculture Cultural Fluent, China
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Leapfroggers
Photo courtesy of Paula Alvarado, Iconoculture Cultural Fluent, Argentina
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Metatrend: Mobility
Key values: aspiration, access,empowerment, savvy
Leapfroggers
Photo courtesy of Anna Coppola, Iconoculture Cultural Fluent, Russia
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Video to be inserted here.
Leapfroggers
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Glocal AspirationsGlobal with a local twist seems to be the right concoction. Emerging-marketconsumers are eager to adopt what they see as a more modern and cooler lifestyle
while adapting those things to their particular needs, preferences and wallets. Someproduct categories require more localization than others: food/beverage, fashion andhealth/beauty are areas where taste, tradition and other cultural factors are at play.
Left: Photo courtesy of Anindita Sengupta, Iconoculture Cultural Fluent, India;middle: photo courtesy of Anna Coppola, Iconoculture Cultural Fluent, Russia;right: Flickr.com/Photos/Betchaboy image
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Glocal Aspirations
Photo courtesy of Naudia Lou, Iconoculture Cultural Fluent, China
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Glocal Aspirations
Photo courtesy of Naudia Lou, Iconoculture Cultural Fluent, China
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Metatrend: Complexity
Key values: experience,discovery, tradition, growth
Glocal Aspirations
Photo courtesy of Anindita Sengupta, Iconoculture Cultural Fluent, India
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Video to be inserted here.
Glocal Aspirations
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Women PowerWomen in emerging markets are generating a new wave of feminism that is uniqueto their cultures, characterized by the desire to balance new and traditional roles.
This movement is marked by big strides women are making in education, healthand business, as well as smaller ones in politics. There are everyday wins as well,from who does the dishes to who drives the family car (or fixes it, for that matter).Big or small, all improvements count. The result? EM women are changing history,their local economies, their families and their own lives.
Left: Photo courtesy of Patrick Corcoran, Iconoculture Cultural Fluent, Mexico;middle: photo courtesy of Luciana Stein, Iconoculture Cultural Fluent, Brazil;
right: photo courtesy of Juliana Medrano, Iconoculture Cultural Fluent, Argentina
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Women Power
NEED IMAGE SOURCES
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Metatrend: Complexity
Key values: empowerment,power, change, growth
Women Power
Photo courtesy of Luciana Stein, Iconoculture Cultural Fluent, Brazil
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Video to be inserted here.
Women Power
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Brazil: Casas BahiasCategory: Retail
Selling Affection
CasasBahia.com.br image; YouTube.com video
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Russia: IKEACategory: Home
An Agent of Change
Left: RussiaWithLove.Blogspot.com image; right: Carpetblog.typepad.com image
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Please insert video herehttp://www.marutisuzuki.com/commercials.aspx
India: Maruti SuzukiCategory: Auto
Unity in Diversity
CarsIndia.org image; MarutiSuzuki.com video
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China: Olay (P&G)Category: Beauty
Connecting with Todays Women
Middle: FMD1.com image; others: Olay.com.cn images
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Todays centerless world wont be that centerlessanymore, not when Chindia is poised to be thenext global superpower.
Emerging nations will be dominating, and brandsthat did not get acquainted with those marketsand their millions of consumers will have to dotoo much, too late.
Key takeaway: The world of 2020
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