Is Programlari 10.05
Transcript of Is Programlari 10.05
Is Programlari 10.05.2017
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CONSTRUCTION PROJECT PLANNING
“Planning is a decision making process performed in advance of
action which endeavors to design a desired future and effective
ways of bringing it about” (Ackoff, 1970).
“Trying to anticipate what will happen and devising ways of
achieving the set of objectives and targets” (Fryer, 1992).
Both definitions emphasize that in planning there are goals (objectives)
that are desired (or instructed or specified) to be realized in future, and
that planning is a process during which efforts and decisions are made to
achieve the goals at the desired time in the desired way.
CONSTRUCTION PROJECT PLANNING
The main objectives of a construction project are:
to complete the construction within the specified time (duration),
to complete it within the budget, (with a profit),
to complete it in compliance with technical and administrative
specifications.
Construction project consists of several work items (tasks /
jobs) to be completed at certain times during the execution of
the project. These work items are to be done in a sequence.
Some items cannot be started before some other items are not
completed.
Some items may be carried out at the same time
CONSTRUCTION PROJECT PLANNING
Depending upon the number of work items, their sizes and
scope, completion of a project will take a certain time, which is
called “project duration”.
Construction managers will have to plan their work in order to
be able to complete the project in time, within the budget and
by complying with the specifications and standards. To plan for
a construction project, the following four questions should be
taken into account.
What should be done? (activities=work items)
How should the activities be performed? (methods)
Who should perform each activity and with what means? (resources)
When should activities be performed? (sequence and timing)
PURPOSE OF PLANNING (WHY?)
The purpose of planning is to assist the manager to fulfill his primary function, namely, direction and control.
Direction can be subdivided into execution (or action planning) and coordination. Execution concerns the directing of the parties under the supervision of the
construction company in the implementation of the project components (work items). The essential elements of how, when and who are thus prepared for the execution of the construction project.
The second planning function is to coordinate and communicate with the many parties involved into the realization of a construction project, i.e. owner, designer, licensing authorities, subcontractors and suppliers, and numerous specialists and functionaries on site and in home office.
Project control encompasses control and forecasting. Control involves measuring and evaluating performance and the taking of corrective action when performance diverges from plans. To be effective, a control system must be modeled closely after planning system.
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PLANNING PROCESS (HOW?)
Process of planning comprises five phases
planning the planning process
information gathering
preparation of plans
information diffusion
evaluation of planning process
PLANNING THE PLANNING PROCESS:
Each project ought to be analyzed beforehand and
throughout its duration in respect of the features that make
it unique environmentally, technologically and
organizationally. Decisions made at this stage include:
effort and timing for each planning stage,
updating frequency,
planning horizons and level of detail,
degree of planning and control centralization
The planner further decides on
the selection of the information to be gathered,
the method of distribution,
on the scheduling techniques to be used.
INFORMATION GATHERING
The next phase, information gathering, may require considerable resources. The source material required for planning a typical construction project includes:
Contract documents
Drawings and specifications
Site and environmental conditions (investigate the site)
Construction technology
Internal and external resources (e.g. availability and cost) self-resources
list of possible subcontractors and suppliers
Productivity of labor and equipment
Goals and constrains dictated by top management, the client, and various external authorities regarding quality control, finance and law.
After construction has started, information regarding progress on site is also collected for control and forecasting purposes, with emphasis on resources consumed and goals achieved.
PREPARATION OF PLANS
In the third stage, working out the plans, decisions are made based on the evaluation of the collected information using techniques adapted to resource planning and scheduling (e.g. site layout, temporary facilities, flow diagrams and process charts, Gantt, Line of Balance (LOB), Critical Path Method (CPM) and Program Evaluation and Review Technique (PERT)) and their respective cost implications (e.g. cash flow, break-even and risk analysis).
1. Decide the level of detail for the project schedule
2. Decide the preliminary work breakdown structure (Activities=What?)
3. Decide construction methods and resources (Methods=How? and resources=Who?)
4. Decide project completion constraints
5. Divide project into milestones (Timing=When?)
6. Prepare milestone schedule (Master Time Plan)
7. Develop the detailed work breakdown
8. Collect scheduling information from subcontractors
9. Decide activities sequence and duration (CPM, When?)
10. Perform scheduling calculations (obtain construction schedules)
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INFORMATION DIFFUSION
The preparation of the plans is followed by information dissemination according to users’ needs. Information overload can be as harmful as a shortage. The planner must take a realistic, and to a certain degree psychological assessment, of what information is required by whom and in what format.
The evaluation of factors made during this phase includes: Functionaries receiving information (e.g. project manager, purchasing agent)
Scope of information (e.g. by entire projects or by area, comprehensive or selective)
Subjects (e.g. cost, procurement status)
Content (e.g. guidelines and goals, results and status, variances and reasons, analysis and calculations, assumptions and explanations, and remedy suggestions)
Level of detail (e.g. broad brush, very detailed)
Distribution frequency (e.g. weekly, monthly)
Format (e.g. textual, tabular, symbolic, graphical, pictorial)
Medium (e.g. visual – paper screen, auditory – take, telephone, direct meeting)
Accompanying activities (e.g. consulting, advising, training, negotiations, involving and promoting)
OUTPUT OF THE PLANNING PROJECT
As a result of the planning process, a complete schedule of the project is obtained. The major benefits that may be expected from the planning process and the project plan can be summarized as follows (Oberlender, 1993);
1. Finish the project on time
2. Continuous (uninterrupted) flow of work
3. Reduced amount of rework (least amount of changes)
4. Minimize confusion and misunderstandings
5. Increased knowledge of status of project by everyone
6. Meaningful and timely reports to management
7. Knowledge of scheduled times of key parts of the project
8. Knowledge of distribution of costs of the project
9. Responsibility/authority of people are defined
10. Clear understanding of who does what, when and how much
11. Integration of all work to ensure a quality project for the owner
12. You run the project instead of project running you
PROJECT SCHEDULING
Bar Charts (Gantt Charts):
Network Analysis Systems
Critical Path Method (CPM) – Deterministic
Program Evaluation and Review Technique (PERT) -- Probabilistic
BAR CHARTS (GANTT CHARTS)
Before CPM and PERT, the scheduling was performed by Bar
Charts.
Although, it is useful in some cases, it does not relate the
activities in a logical sequence.
A bar chart is generally organized so that all activities are
listed in a column at the left side of the diagram. A horizontal
time scale extends to the right of the list, with a line
corresponding to each activity in the list. A bar representing
the progress of each activity is drawn between its
corresponding scheduled start and finish times along its
horizontal line.
May be used in simple projects.
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BAR CHARTS (GANTT CHARTS)
While preparing the Chart,
Y axis is the ‘Activities’,
X axis is ‘Time’
Time is in Years/Months/Weeks.Time
Act
ivit
ies
2009 2010
Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June
1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4
Concrete
Works
Painting
Flooring
BAR CHARTS (GANTT CHARTS)
The boxes are filled according to the sequence and time of the
activities.
2009 2010
Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June
1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4
Excavation
Ftg. Conc.
Found. Walls
Cement pipe
Rubbles
Lean conc.
Walls
R/C Conc.
MODERN PROGRAMLAMA YÖNTEMLERİ
1958 yılının başında, “US – Navy Special Projects Office” adlı bir
büro kurularak planlama ve kontrol için yardımcı olabilecek çareler
araştırmaya başladılar. Çalışmalarını, kısa adı PERT olan, “Program
Evaluation Research Task” ismi ile açıkladılar. 1958 Şubatında, bu
grubun matematikçilerinden Dr. C.E. Clark, ilk defa teorik
çalışmalarını grafik gösteriliş haline getirerek “ok diyagramı” diye
anılan faaliyet şebekesini kurmuştur. Çalışmalar büyük gelişmeler
kaydederek, Temmuz 1958’ de, şimdiki PERT metodu diye
adlandırılan, “Program Evaluation and Review Technique” metodu
tamamlanmıştır .
Benzer çalışmalara A.B.D. Hava Kuvvetleri’nde de rastlanmaktadır.
1958 yılında, Du Pont de Nemours Company adlı kimyasal
yatırımlar yapan firma, çok büyük bir yatırımın planlanması ve
yürütülmesinde “Critical Path Method” kısa adıyla CPM, adı verilen
yeni bir sistem uygulamıştır. Bu metot sayesinde firma birkaç yıl
içinde milyonlarca dolar tasarruf sağlamayı başarmıştır.
NETWORK ANALYSIS SYSTEMS
They provide a comprehensive method for project planning,
scheduling and controlling.
Network analysis is a general title for the technique of defining and
coordinating work by a graphical diagram that shows work activities
and the interdependencies of activities.
Two techniques are widely used for scheduling:
Critical Path Method (CPM), which is deterministic;
Program Evaluation and Review Technique (PERT), which is probabilistic.
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CRITICAL PATH METHOD (CPM)The CPM was developed in 1956 by the DuPont Company, with Remington Rand as consultants, as a deterministic approach to scheduling. The CPM method is commonly used in the engineering and construction industry. In order for a project to be scheduled by CPM the followings have to be known:
Work breakdown structure of the project, so that each activity of the project is determined,
Predictions about the activity durations,
Logical relations between the activities
For project management the CPM is the most commonly used network analysis technique. The concept is simple, the computations only require basic arithmetic, and a large number of computer programs are available to automate the work required of CPM scheduling.
There are two basic methods of constructing CPM diagrams: the arrow diagram (activity on arrow)
the precedence diagram (activity on node).
Although both methods achieve the same results, most project managers prefer the precedence diagram because it does not require the use of dummy activities.
CRITICAL PATH METHOD (CPM) Activity: The performance of a task required to complete the project,
such as, design of foundations, review of design, procure steel contracts,
or form concrete columns. An activity requires time, cost, or both time
and cost.
Event : A notation to show the starting and ending points of an activity.
It is an instant in time horizon.
Network: A diagram to represent the relationship of activities to
complete the project. The network may be drawn as either an “arrow
diagram” or a “precedence diagram”.
CRITICAL PATH METHOD (CPM)
Duration (D): The estimated time required to perform an activity. The time should indicate all resources that are assigned to the activity
Early Start (ES): The earliest time an activity can be started.
Early Finish (EF): The earliest time an activity can be finished and is equal to the early start plus the duration
EF = ES + D
Late Finish (LF): The latest time an activity can be finished.
Late Start (LS) : The latest time an activity can be started without delaying the completion date of the project.
CRITICAL PATH METHOD (CPM)
Total Float (TF) : The amount of time an activity may be delayed without delaying the completion date of the project.
TF=LETj-EETi-D
Free Float (FF) : The amount of time an activity may be delayed without delaying the early start time of the immediately following activity.
FF=EETj-EETi-D
Independent Float (IF) : The amount of time an activity may be delayed without delaying any other activity.
IF=EETj-LETi-D
where the subscript i represents the preceding event and the subscript j represents the following event.
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FLOATS
TIJ
TIJ
Total
Float
Free
Float
Independent
Float
EETi LETiEETj LETj
CRITICAL PATH METHOD (CPM)
Critical Path : A series of interconnected activities through the network diagram, with each activity having zero, free and total float time. The critical path determines the minimum time to complete the project.
Dummy Activity : An activity (represented by a dotted line on the arrow network diagram) that indicates that any activity following the dummy cannot be started until the activity or activities preceding thedummy are completed. The dummy does not require any time and resource.
Classified as identity dummy and logic dummy.
Identity dummy: used to identify activities when two or more parallel independent activities have the same start and finish events.
Logic dummy: used to prevent the error in logic arising from chains of wholly or partly independent activities having a common event.
Identity dummy
Logic dummy
NETWORK CONSTRUCTION
Network diagramming techniques:
Activity on Arrow (AoA)
Activity on Node (AoN)
Summary of Denotations:
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RULES FOR NETWORK CONSTRUCTION
The arrows can be straight or broken.
Each activity is represented with an arrow.
An activity cannot be connected to the beginning of a
preceding activity.
RULES FOR NETWORK CONSTRUCTION
Activities can be subdivided into two or more arrows.
Each network must have a beginning and an end.
Only one activity can be defined between two nodes.
EXAMPLES (CPM)
1.K starts after A and B, L stars after B and C are completed.
2.K begins after A, L begins after A, B and M starts after B
and C
3.K begins after A, L begins after A, B and M starts after A,
B and C
4.Draw the network for the following activities:
P is the starting activity.
M and L starts simultaneously after P.
B and E start and end at the same time after M.
H follows L but M must be completed before it starts.
G and S are the last activities; G starts after E; S starts after H.
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EXAMPLES (CPM)
A, B, C are the initial activities.
D starts after A, G starts after C and E and F starts after B.
I starts after D, H starts after E.
In order to starts K, H, F and G should be completed.
J follows H and I.
J and K are the last activities of the network.
A
B
C
D
E
G
F
I
H
K
J
EXAMPLE:
In the following table you are given a set of activities, their durations and relationships between them.
You are required to;
a) Draw A-o-A
b) Draw A-o-N
c) Carry out CPM calculations on both of the diagrams to find the project duration and critical path.
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A-O-N
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A-O-N A-O-N
EXAMPLE
Carry out CPM calculations for the given A-o-A network below to find project
duration (days) and the critical path(s).
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IN THE CRITICAL PATH:
1.The early start and late start dates should be same at both
the nodes i and j.
(TiE = TiG , TJE = TjG)
2.The critical path starts at the first node and ends in the
last one. Every network has at least one critical path.
3.There may be more than one critical paths.
4.The time of the critical path is the time of the project.
5.The critical activities are the ones with zero total float.
(the total float can never be zero).
EXAMPLE (CPM)
Activity Preceding Activities Time (weeks)
A - 3
B - 4
C - 5
D A 8
E A, B 3
F C 5
EXAMPLE (CPM)
Activity Preceding Activities Time (months)
A - 5
B - 1
C A 2
D A 3
E A 2
F C 3
G D 4
H B, E 2
I H 1
J F, G, I 1
KRİTİK YOL YÖNTEMİ (CPM)
İşlem Adı Süresi Bağlı olduğu olay
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İşlem Adı Süresi (hafta) Bağlı olduğu olay
A. 1 -
B. 1 A
C. 2 B
D. 2 A
E. 2 D
F. 2 D
G. 3 E
H. 1 F
I. 1 G
J. 1 C,H
K. 1 E
L. 1 E
M. 1 L
N. 1 I, J, K, M
İşlem Adı Bağlı olduğu olay Süresi (hafta)
A - 8
B - 5
C - 6
D A 4
E A, B 6
F C 7
G A 5
H D, E, F 8
I C 9
J D, E, F 6
K G, H 4
L D, E, F 6
M I, J 4
Activity Dependencies Duration
A - 2
B - 2
C - 4
D - 8
E A, F 3
F B 4
G C, D, E 3
H D, G 2
I E 7
J G 6
İşlem
Adı
SüresiBağlı
olduğu olay
KRİTİK YOL YÖNTEMİ (CPM) - ÖRNEK
Aşağıda verilen bilgilerden yararlanarak
Projenin CPM serim modelini oluşturunuz.
Her bir işlem için verilen tij işlem sürelerini kullanarak projenin yatırım süresini (Ty) ve düğümlerin en erken ve en geç tamamlanma zamanlarını, işlemlerin bolluklarını ( SB/TB), kritik yol ya da kritik yolları, işlemlerin en erken ve en geç başlama zamanlarını (EBi j , ETi j , GBi j , GTi j ) bulunuz.
C, F ve I işlemleri beraber bitiş işlemleridir.
A, E ve H işlemleri başlangıç işlemleridir.
H işleminden sonra J, G ve I işlemleri başlar.
F işlemi B, D ve G işlemlerinden sonra başlar.
A, E ve J işlemlerinden sonra D işlemi başlar.
A işlemi B ve D işleminden öncedir.
C işlemi B ve D işleminden sonradır.
Kukla işlem sayısı iki tanedir.
İşlem Süre (Tij)
A 15 Gün
B 7 Gün
C 4 Gün
D 17 Gün
E 10 Gün
F 6 Gün
G 19 Gün
H 3 Gün
I 20 Gün
J 5 Gün