Ireland at Another Turning Point - NUI Galway... Futures and Foresight Studies • Existing Irish...
Transcript of Ireland at Another Turning Point - NUI Galway... Futures and Foresight Studies • Existing Irish...
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FuturesIreland Project
Ireland at Another Turning Point
Reviving Development, Reforming InstitutionsAnd Liberating Capabilities
Rory O’[email protected]
www.nesdo.ie
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Futures and Foresight Studies• Existing Irish studies• Trends/drivers generate scenarios• Features of FuturesIreland study:1.how people respond to change, uncertainty
and ambiguity2.interaction of wealth creation, society and
public governance3. base on people’s experience
Intuition on public governance problems
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Society Public Governance Wealth Creation
Institutional
Inter-personal
Intra-personal
Analytical Framework for Mapping Narrative and Cross Fertilisation
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Social Cohesion andIdentity
Public Governance Business /Wealth Creation
Institutional
Inter-personal
Intra-personal
Cross-fertilisation (2):
Public Governance More Embedded in Society and Business
Monitoring/ Enforcing
Community
SocialValue
Voluntaryand
CommunityServices
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Social Cohesion andIdentity
Public Governance Business /Wealth Creation
Institutional
Inter-personal
Intra-personal
Cross-fertilisation:Social and Business: Impact on Public Governance
Peoplecentreddesign
Standards
Teenagementalhealth
AnimalWelfare
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Compliance v. Diagnostic MonitoringCompliance
• Process understood• Action will produce
desired goal• Desired goal service
ultimate purpose• Check compliance with
instructions• Use incentives
Diagnostic• Uncertain about how
to achieve outcome• Uncertain about
possible & desiredoutcomes
• Continuous monitoring• Root cause analysis• Simultaneous
engineering etc
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Findings from the FuturesIreland Project
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Ireland at a Turning Point
Economy:Basis of prosperity gone with rivals for FDISociety:Recent success based on social capital that was
not replacedPublic Policy:Positive combination of strategic policy &
partnership – now gone
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Ireland at a Turning Point
Economy:Technology as an enabler of opportunities (Perez
and Benckler)Society:Capabilities not being put to use. Values not in
short supply, but institutional contextsPublic Policy:From innovation to experimentation. From book-
keeping to accountability. A harvest ofimprovement waiting to be garnered
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Ireland at Another Turning PointIn both the 1950s and 1980s, hard fiscal realities
combined with:
• A focus on development• Reform of existing institutions & creation
of new ones• Concentration of authority, in order to
liberate talent rather than increasecontrol
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Society Public Governance Business /Wealth Creation
Institutional
Inter-personal
Intra-personal
Local SearchSociety Public Governance Business /
Wealth Creation
Institutional
Inter-personal
Intra-personal
DigitalHub
School-age Care
StudentResearch
Project
CribProject
Men’s HealthNetwork
Longford YouthAlcohol Project
AfricanChildren’sNetwork
NorthsidePartnership
TallaghtSchool
Indicators ofeducational
disadvantage
Office of theMinister for
Children (OMC)
SocialEntrepreneursIreland (SEI)
HeadstrongProject