irculation Climateand OceanClimate W orld O cean C irculation E xperiment. he oceans, by vir tue of...

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W o r l d O c e a n C i r c u l a t i o n E x p e r i m e n t Ocean Circulation and Climate W o r l d O c e a n C i r c u l a t i o n E x p e r i m e n t Ocean Circulation and Climate

Transcript of irculation Climateand OceanClimate W orld O cean C irculation E xperiment. he oceans, by vir tue of...

Page 1: irculation Climateand OceanClimate W orld O cean C irculation E xperiment. he oceans, by vir tue of their lar ge capacity to stor e and transpor t heat, ar e an essential par t of

W o r l d O c e a n C i r c u l a t i o n E x p e r i m e n t

OceanCirculation

andClimate

W o r l d O c e a n C i r c u l a t i o n E x p e r i m e n t

OceanCirculation

andClimate

Page 2: irculation Climateand OceanClimate W orld O cean C irculation E xperiment. he oceans, by vir tue of their lar ge capacity to stor e and transpor t heat, ar e an essential par t of

he oceans, by virtue of their largecapacity to store and transportheat, are an essential part of the

physical climate system. They are alsoan important component in the globalcarbon cycle. Containing 96% of theearth’s water they dominate the hydro-sphere and play a key role in naturalclimate variability at seasonal, inter-annual and longer timescales, as wellas in anthropogenic climate change.

It is vital therefore that a study of theocean and its circulation should be an

integral part of the World ClimateResearch Programme (WCRP). TheWorld Ocean Circulation Experiment(WOCE) was designed to improvethe ocean models necessary for predicting decadal climate variabilityand change.

This brochure summarises why andhow WOCE came about, and itsobjectives. It also illustrates some ofthe progress to date and what out-standing problems remain to besolved.

IntroductionIntroductionContentsContents

Elements of the Climate System 1

Why and How WOCE Came About 2

The WOCE Objectives 3

Collecting Ocean Data in WOCE 4

The Development of Ocean Models 6

Heat and Fresh Water Transport 7

Ocean Currents 8

Ocean Variability 9

Ocean / Atmosphere Interaction 10

Future Ocean Monitoring 11

The WOCE Data Set – A Unique Resource 12

What has been Achieved? 13What Remains to be Done?

WOCE International Project OfficeSouthampton Oceanography CentreEmpress DockSouthampton SO14 3ZH, UKTel: +44–(0)1703–596789Fax: +44–(0)1703–596204e–mail: [email protected]://www.soc.soton.ac.uk/OTHERS/woceipo/ipo.html

WOCE Data Information UnitUniversity of DelawareCollege of Marine StudiesLewes, DE 19958, USATel: +1–302–645–4278Fax: +1–302–645–4007e–mail: [email protected]://diu.cms.udel.edu/woce/

For further information contact:

T

Published by the WOCE International Project Office, August 1997WOCE Report No. 154/97

Design & Layout: Stephen PeachPrinted by: Design & Print Centre, University of Southampton

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1

Elements of the Climate SystemElements of the Climate System

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‘Develop theability to describeand model oceancirculation’

Why and How WOCE Came AboutWhy and How WOCE Came About

he WCRP carries out the

research required to allow

climate prediction on a

range of timescales (months,

years and decades). When WCRP

was conceived, a fundamental

limitation to predictions on long

timescales was an inability to

describe and model the oceans

and their circulation. This

stemmed in part from

our limited ability to

observe the oceans

globally and from

inadequate computer

power.

In 1978 the short–

lived US Seasat

satellite showed that

ocean currents,

temperatures and winds

could be monitored

globally. This, and

rapidly deveoping super-

computer power, meant

that by the early 1980’s a World

Ocean Circulation Experiment to

address the role of ocean

circulation in the climate system

could be planned.

Scientists in 30 countries

developed and committed their

national resources to an inter-

nationally–agreed observational

experiment to be carried out

between 1990 and 1997. The

plan required a significant

expansion of sea–going

capabilities. The timing was

designed to coincide with the

launch of a new generation of

ocean–observing satellites.

WOCE observations are almost

complete but research will con-

tinue in a phase of Analysis,

Interpretation, Modelling and

Synthesis (WOCE AIMS) until

2002. WOCE will provide the

understanding of the ocean

required for climate prediction

as well as providing benefits to

a wide range of research and

operational marine activities not

necessarily related to climate

research.

‘Develop theability to describeand model oceancirculation’

The WOCE Survey Grid

2

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WOCE has twomajor goals

3

The WOCE ObjectivesThe WOCE Objectives

WOCE has twomajor goals

Goal 1

To develop ocean models useful forpredicting climate change and tocollect the data needed to test them.

• How much heat and fresh water dothe oceans transport and exchangewith the atmosphere and cryosphere?

• How are the ocean currents drivenand the temperature and salinitydetermined by the atmosphericforcing?

• How variable is the ocean? What roleis played by the small eddies that fillthe ocean?

• How do the properties that aredetermined by the ocean’s interactionwith the atmosphere move around theocean?

Goal 2

To determine the representativenessof the WOCE data sets for the long-term behaviour of the ocean and tofind methods for determining thelong–term changes in oceancirculation.

• How do WOCE observationscompare with earlier measurements?Can we quantify changes over tens ofyears?

• Can we identify cost–effective ways tomonitor future change? Whatparameters should we measure andhow often?

Intergovernmental Panel onClimate Change 1995Excerpts from theSummary for Policy Makers

“The increasing realism of simulations of

current and past climate by coupled ocean-

atmosphere models has increased our

confidence in their use for projection of future

climate change”.

“Many factors currently limit our ability to

project and detect future climate change. To

reduce uncertainties further work is needed on

the following priority topics:

• Representation of climate processes in

models, especially feedbacks associated

with clouds, OCEANS, sea ice and

vegetation…

• Systematic collection of long–term

instrumental and proxy observations of

climate system variables (eg …ocean

characteristics…) for the purposes of

model testing”.

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‘New earthobservingsatellites and…’

4

Central to WOCE has been

a global survey of the

oceans’ temperature and

salinity distribution and a number

of chemical tracers (nutrients,

dissolved oxygen, CFC’s,

Tritium/Helium, C14). These

observations allow the properties,

pathways and rates of watermass

movements to be determined.

Research ships had to be

modernised to cope with the

large science teams and new

equipment required for this

survey.

The European satellites ERS–1

and ERS–2, and the US/French

satellite TOPEX/POSEIDON

used by WOCE have

revolutionised our view of the

oceans, their circulation and the

atmospheric forcing. Global

satellite measurements of sea

level (accurate to 3 cm), and its

slope, allow the variations of

surface currents to be repeatedly

determined.

Collecting Ocean Data for WOCECollecting Ocean Data for WOCE

‘New earthobservingsatellites and…’

Sea Surface height from the TOPEX/POSEIDON satellite.Currents are strongest where slopes are greatest. (JPL, USA)

Deep Pacific Helium Plume at 10°N.(W. Jenkins, USA)

220°W 180° 140° 100°W

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

41036032028024020016012080400-20

permil

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‘…an expansionof sea–goingcapabilities’

5

Moored and drifting buoys, sea

level measurements and

estimates of the transfer of heat,

water and momentum between

atmosphere and ocean have all

contributed to a new and com-

prehensive global data set. The

Autonomous Lagrangian

Circulation Explorer (ALACE)

float was one of the develop-

ments especially designed for

WOCE to make global observa-

tions. The float drifts with the

currents at 1 km depth and sur-

faces every week to report its

position and data to a satellite.

The strength of the WOCE

dataset lies in its global distrib-

ution and the success of efforts

to ensure all observations are

made to the highest possible

standards. Measurement “to

WOCE standard” has become a

benchmark in ocean observations.

30

20

10

0

-10

-20

-30

-40

-50

-60

-7020 40 60 80 100 120 140

1,000m Drifting1 week

Recordingtemperature and salinity as it rises

About 1 dayat surface

Schematic of ALACE operation.(WHOI, USA)

ALACE float tracks from the IndianOcean. (R. Davis, USA)

Mooring equipment ready fordeployment. (SOC, UK)

Location of WOCE Current Meter Arrays

‘…an expansionof sea–goingcapabilities’

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‘Resolving thesmall scalesrequires powerfulcomputers’

stimating decadal

variations in climate, either

natural or anthropogenic,

requires models of the global

ocean. These models represent

physical processes occurring

within the ocean and exchanges

between the atmosphere and the

ocean by equations that are

solved numerically.

Many processes occur on small

(tens of kilometres) scales. The

most important ones must be

represented in the models, either

explicitly or by reliable parameter-

isations. Those that were least

well understood were measured

in WOCE.

The most advanced global ocean

models now have resolutions of

order one–sixth of a degree (17km)

and up to 40 levels through the

full 6 km ocean depth. Ocean

models must be run for hundreds

of “model years” to reach a

steady state and then tested by

comparison with observations

such as those from WOCE. This

requires the most powerful

supercomputers. Reliable estimates of future ocean

conditions require knowledge of

the present state of the ocean.

This is best achieved by assimi-

lating satellite and in–situ obser-

vations into models. While data

assimilation is now common in

weather forecasting, it is in its

infancy in oceanography. Data

assimilation, one of the main

tasks of WOCE AIMS, will require

training of a new generation of

oceanographers and access to the

most powerful supercomputers.

The Development of Ocean ModelsThe Development of Ocean Models

‘Resolving thesmall scalesrequires powerfulcomputers’

A global model of the sea surface height pattern due to surface currents.Note that the small eddy–scales can be seen. (OCCAM, UK)

6

E

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7

How much heatand fresh water do the oceanstransport andexchange with the atmosphereand cryosphere?

he ocean circulation is

global. It is driven by

winds, and by exchanges

of heat and freshwater with the

atmosphere (through precipita-

tion and evaporation), and with

the cryosphere (by ice formation

and melting).

Ocean currents transport warm

water polewards mostly near

the surface along the western

side of ocean basins and return

cooler, denser water equator-

ward in the interior. These

ocean currents act to redistribute

heat and fresh water around

the globe.

A key test of climate models

is their ability to reproduce

the measured transports of

heat and fresh water in both

the ocean and the atmosphere.

Global estimates of ocean trans-

ports have already been made

from pre–WOCE data. From the

more extensive and superior

WOCE data, improved calcula-

tions will undoubtedly result,

and a key test of the new deter-

minations will be compatibility

of implied and independently

measured exchanges across the

sea surface.

Heat and Fresh Water TransportHeat and Fresh Water Transport

How much heatand fresh water do the oceanstransport andexchange with the atmosphereand cryosphere?

0.1

0.450.4

0.0

0.3

0.60.8

1.4

1.71.2

1.4

0.4

0.9

1.4

1.00.6

0.2 1.0

1.1

1.0

0.7144 151 9.5

10 0.8

0.6

8.01.1

0.8

141141

100

50

0

-50

cm/y

r

40°S 20° 0° 20° 40° 60°NEq

OCCAM (Model)Baumgartner&ReichelLarge&Doney(Measurements)P

reci

p.E

vap.

Ocean transport of heat in Petawatts (1015 watts). 1 PWis about 60 times the global consumption of energy.

(A. McDonald and C.Wunsch, USA)

Fresh water transport in millions of cubic metres(approx. tonnes) per second,

(A. McDonald and C.Wunsch, USA)

Estimates of evaporation and precipitation for the Pacific from a modeland from two climatologies. (P. Saunders, UK)

T

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How are the ocean currentsdriven and thetemperature and salinitydetermined by the atmosphericforcing?

arge–scale ocean currents

are driven by the winds and

by changing ocean density

at the surface. Before WOCE,

only a few of the largest currents

had been measured. During

WOCE, the transports of all the

major currents, Gulf Stream,

Kuroshio, Antarctic Circumpolar,

Agulhas, Brazil, East Australian

and Malvinas currents were

measured.

Their variability was also deter-

mined for the first time. This,

together with the observed vari-

ability of atmospheric forcing,

will allow theories of ocean

dynamics to be tested.

One of the key processes in

determining the temperature and

salinity in the ocean interior is

the entrainment of winter–cooled

water. WOCE studied this process

at both middle and high lattudes.

A variety of model formulations

is being used to determine which

best represents the observed

processes.

8

Ocean CurrentsOcean Currents

How are the ocean currentsdriven and thetemperature and salinitydetermined by the atmosphericforcing?

60°S 30°S 30°N6000

5000

4000

3000

2000

1000

0

EQ

Dep

th (

m)

O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D 1992 1993 1994 1995

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90

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70

60

50

40

30

20

Tra

nspo

rt (

Sv)

SatelliteIn-situ

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

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1.0

Dep

th (

km)

-30

-20-10

-10

0

0

20 304050

6070 80

90

010

10

20

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20

30

30

30

40

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50

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60

1010

70

80

100

12000 km Pacific salinity section from the Antarctic (left) to Alaska (right). It shows water modified in the Antarctic descending to

the ocean floor and into the interior. (L. Talley, USA)

A section throughthe Kuroshio

current showingthe magnitude(cm/s) of the

eastward flow.

Kuroshiotransport

calculated bycombining

satellite and in–situ data

(units are millionsof cubic metres

per seond).(S. Imawaki,

Japan)

L

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9

How variable isthe ocean? Whatrole is played bythe small eddiesthat fill the ocean?

he atmosphere is full of

cyclones and anticyclones

that give us day–to–day

changes in weather. The ocean is

full of the same type of features,

eddies and wave–like motions.

However the ocean features are

much smaller (typically 100 km

diameter), longer–lasting (iden-

tifiable for months to years) and

slower moving, taking around

100 days to pass any point.

To determine the average proper-

ties of the ocean, we have to

assess how much the eddies will

“contaminate” our measurements.

The eddies also do much of the

mixing in the

ocean and trans-

port properties

even if there is

no average flow.

WOCE measure-

ments have

shown how

effective vertical

mixing is in the

ocean interior

and have

already changed

our ideas of

where such

mixing occurs.

Ocean VariabilityOcean Variability

How variable isthe ocean? Whatrole is played bythe small eddiesthat fill the ocean?

100 km

60

40

20

0

-20

-40

-60

-150 -100 -50 0 50 100 150

18°W22°26°30°34°38°6000

5000

4000

3000

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1000

0

0.90.80.7

0.60.50.4

0.30.20.10.0

2.0

5.08.022.0

Dep

th (

m)

Diffusivity (10

-4m2s

-1)

A 2000 km section in the South Atlantic running east-wards from the Brazil coast. It shows energetic mixingpenetrating up through most of the ocean depth, over

rugged topography in mid–ocean. (J. Toole, USA)

Satellite altimeter data showing areas of strongest eddy variability close to major current systems. (M. Jones, UK)

Satellite infrared image of surface temperaturesshowing the small scales that models

need to represent. (ERS–1, ESA)

T

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How do theproperties that are determined by the ocean’sinteraction withthe atmospheremove around theocean?

bservations from

satellites and merchant

ships reveal sea surface

temperature and salinity

anomalies that persist for years.

Such anomalies result from

changes in rainfall and evapora-

tion, from heat exchange with

the atmosphere and from ocean

circulation changes.

There are few measurements

below the ocean surface over

periods of ten years or longer.

Where there are, for example

from comparisons of WOCE

observations with previous

measurements, we see significant

long–term changes. These

changes are almost as large as

those at the surface, have

significant vertical extent and

are seen across whole ocean

basins. A test of coupled ocean/

atmosphere climate models is

whether they can reproduce

these subsurface changes.

Measuring the slow

movement of subsur-

face anomalies is

difficult by measuring

currents directly.

WOCE uses temper-

ature, salinity and

tracer chemicals, e.g.

CFCs, to show the time

since water was last in

contact with the atmos-

phere. The measure-

ments reveal the path the water

has taken around the ocean.

Such information is important in

assessing the ocean’s ability to

store greenhouse gases like CO2.

10

Ocean / Atmosphere InteractionOcean / Atmosphere Interaction

How do theproperties that are determined by the ocean’sinteraction withthe atmospheremove around theocean?

0.25 0.25 0.25

0.25

70° 60° 50° 40° 30° 20°

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

1

0.25

0.1

0

-0.1

-0.25

-1

°C

DE

PT

H (

m)

W

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40

20

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20 020406080 20

4 YR

8 YR

11 YR

18 YR

18-20 YR

26-27 YR

28-29 YR

35 YR

1930 1950 1970 1990

-0.2

0

0.2

Temperature1500-2500m

Bermuda

A section fromAmerica to Africa

(24°N) showingthat temperaturesincreased by up

to 0.5°C from1957 to 1992, atdepths between

1 and 2.5 km.(G. Parrilla,

Spain)

CFC tracers showthe time taken fordeep water fromnear Greenlandto move into theSouth Atlantic.

(W. Smethie, USA)

Temperatures between 1.5 and 2.5 km depthnear Bermuda show an increase of 0.4°C over

the past 70 years. (T. Joyce, USA)

O

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‘Using WOCEexperience todesign a cost–effective oceanmonitoringsystem’

esearch techniques and

facilities have been used

to make WOCE measure-

ments but in the future, monitor-

ing the ocean and its interaction

with the atmosphere will require

routine and more cost-effective

methods.

Because of their global coverage,

satellites measuring sea surface

temperature, surface winds and

sea–level are essential com-

ponents of a long–term global

observing system. However, in-

situ observations will continue to

be needed for calibration of

satellite data.

Routine subsurface measurements

of the upper ocean can be made

from merchant ships along major

shipping routes. ALACE floats

developed during WOCE can be

used in all parts of the ocean to

obtain temperature/salinity

profiles. In the future acoustic

remote sensing of the ocean

interior may become routine.

Research ships and other

research techniques will be

essential complementary com-

ponents for observing the global

ocean in the future.

Assimilation of the observations

into ocean models, as planned

for the WOCE AIMS phase, is a

key component in a cost-effective

observing system, such as the

planned operational Global

Ocean Observing System

(GOOS).

WOCE Goal 2: Future Ocean MonitoringWOCE Goal 2: Future Ocean MonitoringFuture Ocean MonitoringFuture Ocean Monitoring

‘Using WOCEexperience todesign a cost–effective oceanmonitoringsystem’

PALACE 77

0

400

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1600

(kg/m )

27.0 27.2 27.4 27.6 27.8 28.0 28.2 28.4

Dep

th (

m)

σ 30

OCT. FEB

1992 1993 1994 1995 1996

-10

-5

0

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10

Monthly averages Annual + Semi-annual + Trend

mm

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60

40

20

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40

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60 20 0 20 60 100140 180 140100

High latitude data from a profilingALACE float show the winterchanges in density structurecaused by surface cooling.

(J. Gould, UK)

Global sea–levelfrom TOPEX/

POSEIDON and afitted annual andsemi–annual sig-nal. (NASA, USA)

Distribution of upper ocean temperature profiles. There are few merchantship observations in the Southern Ocean. (NODC, USA)

11

Temperature0 5 10 15 20 25

0

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400

600

800

1000

1200

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1600

1800

Dep

th

R

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‘A global data setof unprecedentedscope, accuracyand quality’

OCE has generated a

large, global and

varied coherent data

set which has dramatically

enhanced the deep ocean data

resource. The WOCE data system

acquires and distributes high–

quality, well–documented data,

ensuring widespread usage. This

is done through a network of

Data Assembly Centres (DACs).

Each WOCE DAC has expertise

in, and responsibility for, a

specific data type. The centres

receive and quality–control data

from investigators. They also

generate data products. The data

and products are distributed via

the Internet and on CD–ROMs to

users ranging from students to

leading research groups.

While WOCE data are now avail-

able from the DACs, it is planned

that all WOCE in–situ data will be

available by 2002 from the World

Data Centre A (Oceanography) in

Washington, DC, USA. The

satellite data sets are handled by

the satellite mission agencies.

12

The WOCE Data Set – A Unique ResourceThe WOCE Data Set – A Unique Resource

‘A global data setof unprecedentedscope, accuracyand quality’

data centres

data collection

distributionWOCE CD–ROM

CRAY

WOCEDAC

WDCAUSA

CD-ROMWOCE DATA

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14Pre-1990

WOCE

Sta

tions

or

Dat

a-Y

ears

(th

ousa

nds)

On

e T

ime

Su

rvey

Rep

eat

Hyd

rog

rap

hy

SurfaceDrifters

SubsurfaceFloats

CurrentMeters

DeepHydrographic

Comparison of amounts of data collected during WOCE and pre–1990data held by US–NODC. (WOCE IPO)Available from WOCE IPO

W

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‘Data assimilationis the key todefining the stateof the ocean’

13

OCE has been an

enormous co–

operative venture

among marine scientists. It has

carried out a large part of all

components identified in the

1987 Implementation Plan.

Between $350m and $500m has

already been spent on WOCE

even excluding the costs of the

satellites. This initial investment

has already produced a unique

data set as well as new and

important results, some of which

are displayed in this brochure. WOCE scientists are co–operating

through a series of regional and

global work-

shops. They

initiate joint

data analysis

and inter–

pretation and

comparisons

of models and

observations.

The greatest benefits from WOCE

are yet to come. These benefits

will result from model develop-

ment, model–data intercom-

parisons and assimilation of

data into models. Ocean obser–

vations will continue beyond

1997 in the WCRP Climate

Variability and Predictability

(CLIVAR) project and ultimately

in an operational sense in the

Global Ocean Observing System

(GOOS).

CLIVAR and GOOS will draw

on WOCE results. It is there–

fore imperative that funding

for WOCE AIMS activities

continue until the project’s

end in 2002.

What has been Achieved?What Remains to be Done?What has been Achieved?What Remains to be Done?

‘Data assimilationis the key todefining the stateof the ocean’

60°S

60°N

0° 90° 180° 270° 360°The global surface circulation from assimilating satellite altimeter data into an ocean model (D. Stammer, USA)

Countries involved in WOCE

W

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Permission to reproduce any figure used in this document should be obtained through the WOCE International Project Office