Iraq's Petroleum Industry - Unsettled Issues

download Iraq's Petroleum Industry - Unsettled Issues

of 24

Transcript of Iraq's Petroleum Industry - Unsettled Issues

  • 8/13/2019 Iraq's Petroleum Industry - Unsettled Issues

    1/24

    Special Edition

    Iraqs Petroleum Industry:

    Unsettled Issues

    The Middle East Institute

    Washington, DC

  • 8/13/2019 Iraq's Petroleum Industry - Unsettled Issues

    2/24

    2 Middle East Istitute Viewpits: Iras Petrleum Idustry: Usettled Issues www.mei.edu

    Te mission o the Middle East Institute is to promote knowledge o the Middle East in Amer-

    ica and strengthen understanding o the United States by the people and governments o the

    region.

    For more than 60 years, MEI has dealt with the momentous events in the Middle East rom the birth o the stateo Israel to the invasion o Iraq. oday, MEI is a oremost authority on contemporary Middle East issues. It pro-vides a vital orum or honest and open debate that attracts politicians, scholars, government officials, and policyexperts rom the US, Asia, Europe, and the Middle East. MEI enjoys wide access to political and business leaders

    in countries throughout the region. Along with inormation exchanges, acilities or research, objective analysis,and thoughtul commentary, MEIs programs and publications help counter simplistic notions about the MiddleEast and America. We are at the oreront o private sector public diplomacy.Viewpointsare another MEI service toaudiences interested in learning more about the complexities o issues affecting the Middle East and US relationswith the region. Te views expressed in these Viewpointsare those o the authors; the Middle East Institute doesnot take positions on Middle East policy.

    o learn more about the Middle East Institute, visit our website at http://www.mei.edu

    Cover photos, clockwise rom the top lef hand corner: Flickr user YourLocalDave, USG, Wikipedia user Guitar guy, Flickr userYurLcalDave, Flickr user YurLcalDave, Flickr user MATEUS 27:24&25, ad USG.

    Middle East Institute

  • 8/13/2019 Iraq's Petroleum Industry - Unsettled Issues

    3/24

    3Middle East Istitute Viewpits: Iras Petrleum Idustry: Usettled Issues www.mei.edu

    Viewpoints

    Iraqs Petroleum Industry:

    Unsettled Issues

  • 8/13/2019 Iraq's Petroleum Industry - Unsettled Issues

    4/24

    4 Middle East Istitute Viewpits: Iras Petrleum Idustry: Usettled Issues www.mei.edu

    Iraqs Petroleum Industry:Unsettled Issues

    Viewpoints

    Preace 5

    Introduction, by mas W. Dva 6

    Iraqs Oil Bid Rounds: Politics and Pitalls,by Saifaldi D. Abdul-Rama 9

    Political and Legal Obstacles in Iraq,by Nicholas Skibiak 12

    Te Status o Forces Agreement and Investing in Iraq:Risky Business?by Adrew L. F 15

    Charts & Maps 18

  • 8/13/2019 Iraq's Petroleum Industry - Unsettled Issues

    5/24

    5Middle East Istitute Viewpits: Iras Petrleum Idustry: Usettled Issues www.mei.edu

    Preace

    Iraq has the worlds third-largest oil reserves. However, the development o Iraqs petroleum sector has been severelyhampered by decades o war, sanctions, underinvestment, the exodus o scores o technocrats, and sabotage. Repair-

    ing Iraqs oil inrastructure and expanding exploration, development, and production is o paramount importance tothe countrys uture. In June 2009, the Iraqi Oil Ministry embarked on an effort to help meet this challenge by offering

    service contracts to international oil companies (IOCs) in two rounds o tenders. Te essays contained in this special

    edition o MEI Viewpointsexplore the official expectations and current status o the contracts awarded to IOCs. Tey

    also provide a sober assessment o the legal and political obstacles yet to be overcome, as well as sage advice as to how

    those seeking to invest in Iraqs petroleum sector can minimize the hazards o doing business there.

    MEI wises t tak Mr. mas W. Dva, w played a istrumetal rle i all pases f te develpmet f tis

    publicati.

  • 8/13/2019 Iraq's Petroleum Industry - Unsettled Issues

    6/24

    6 Middle East Istitute Viewpits: Iras Petrleum Idustry: Usettled Issues www.mei.edu

    Introduction

    mas W. Dva

    With the recent conclusion o the first and second bid rounds to license oreign in-ternational oil companies (IOCs) to operate in specific Iraqi fields, many commentators

    have predictedthat the country is now on its way to meeting the very ambitious 12 mil-

    lion barrel per day (bpd) oil production benchmark. In making such predictions they

    cite the diminished violence in the nation, the seemingly ree and air 2010 elections,

    and especially the better organized 2009 bid rounds which granted IOCs the ability to

    develop petroleum in a profit sharing capacity.

    While all o us involved in Iraq want the best or the Iraqi Government and its people

    who have endured so much it is difficult to overlook several major obstacles in the

    upstream petroleum industry. A viable and dependable upstream production cannottake hold in Iraq without clear and timely resolution o several integral issues. Tis spe-

    cial edition o Viewpoints, which I am pleased to moderate, seeks to isolate these issues,

    understand them in a domestic and regional light, and offer pointed assertions by lead-

    ers in their field on how to improve the upstream production and domestic off-loading

    capacity. Te stakes could not be higher: the uture o stable worldwide petroleum

    production and the ability to und a democratic Iraq hang in the balance.

    ThE PRIzE

    According to dated publicly available surveys, there are 28 giant fields in Iraq, which

    hold an estimated 12% o the entire proven global reserves. Discovered as early as the

    Ottoman Empire, the largest giant field is Rumaila, located near Basrah in southern

    Iraq. Te giant field o Qurna (also called West Qurna or Qurna I & II) is also located

    in the Basrah Governorate. Te Majnoon field in the north is the third largest giant in

    Iraq. Each o these fields is estimated to be between the 3rdand 9thlargest fields in the

    world.

    Te extraordinary size o these fields and their highly sustained productivity are due to

    a nearly perect combination o a large subterraneous geological structure and a highly

    permeable reservoir. Tese special sedimentary properties make the ultimate recovery

    (ability to extract a high percentage rom the giant field) and success rate (defined as the

    number o successul wells completed as divided by the number o wells drilled) among

    the highest in the world. Moreover, the proximity o these giant fields to a usable port

    or offloading via pipeline in Umm Qasr (located on the Persian Gul in the disputed

    mas W. Dva is

    a corporate attorney andpartner in the Iraq LawAlliace, PLLC. he maybe reached at [email protected]

    Te views expressed in these Viewpointsare those o the authors; the Middle East Institute does not take positions on Middle East policy.

  • 8/13/2019 Iraq's Petroleum Industry - Unsettled Issues

    7/24

    7Middle East Istitute Viewpits: Iras Petrleum Idustry: Usettled Issues www.mei.edu

    Shatt al-Arab waterway) is small as compared to other giant fields in the North Slope o Alaska or Central Asia. Tis

    proximity to a port, high success and recovery rate, along with the superb geological properties o the petroleum itsel

    contributes to a highly lucrative prize or any IOC willing to engage in the sizeable risks associated with an Iraqi investment

    Understandably, this prize has brought serious international competition. O the 21 bidding

    consortiums involved in the 2009 petroleum bidding, 17 involved Chinese parties. Once

    added to overall demand rom mainland China, Chinese corporate interests are now the

    largest oreign investor in Iraq and the largest developer and consumer o upstream petro-

    leum in Iraq as well as the largest recipient o petroleum rom the Middle East.

    PoLITICAL AnD LEGAL ConSIDERATIonS

    Notwithstanding the ultimate prize o Iraqi upstream production, there remain several

    legal and political risks which cannot be ignored. Tese risks remain, as with everything in Iraq, disproportionately high

    as compared to other developing democracies. Specifically, such issues as security concerns, Kurdish political disputes

    the dubious legal structure o the petroleum regime itsel, and legal inconsistencies with the production sharing con-

    tracts signed by IOCs in the 2009 bid rounds add to the legal and political risk.

    Any discussion o the development o the Iraqi petroleum industry cannot underestimate the differences in legal treat

    ment between the areas o ederal Iraq and the semi-autonomous area under the rule o the Kurdistan Regional Gov-

    ernment (KRG). Despite the 2005 ederal Iraqi Constitution which has ambiguous language to the contrary, the KRG

    today ormulates and governs upstream petroleum production in the provinces under its control; namely Dohuk, Erbil

    and Sulamaneiyah. In a possible contravention o law, all licensing, monitoring, and production sharing is conducted by

    and between the KRG and the IOCs.

    Te KRG issued a parsimonious petroleum law well beore it began production in 2009, granted concessions in a profit

    sharing capacity with oreign operators, and has today many large international petroleum corporations actively op-

    erating within its borders. While the production and development is still in the early stages, the international corpora-

    tions have a vested interest in the development and urther estrangement o the KRG rom the rest o ederal Iraq. Te

    producing fields in the KRG are smaller than the giant fields in ederal Iraq. Granted, the ederal government believes

    that the KRG is overstepping its bounds and cites the clear provisions o the 2005 Constitution in support. However, as

    these Kurdish political actions are needed to create a workable majority in Iraqs Parliament and thereore orm a ed-

    eral government, there exists no ultimate deterrence or their actions. In the absence o such, the KRG has aggressively

    pushed orward in developing, marketing, and exporting its own reserves.

    Unlike the KRG, ederal Iraq has been acting without a parsimonious oil law since the current sovereign Governmen

    o Iraq has been in existence. Te environmental and legal underpinnings o upstream production are instead grounded

    Dva...

    According to datedpublicly availablesurveys, there are 28giant fields in Iraq,which hold an es-timated 12% o theentire proven globalreserves.

  • 8/13/2019 Iraq's Petroleum Industry - Unsettled Issues

    8/24

    8 Middle East Istitute Viewpits: Iras Petrleum Idustry: Usettled Issues www.mei.edu

    in the laws which remain in orce rom the previous Saddam Husayn and General Qasim regimes. Tese authoritarian

    and socialist structures created a nationalist monopoly on the production, transport, and export o oil, and only allowed

    the involvement o oreign companies i the Iraqi Parliament specifically allowed such activity (Law 97 o 1967). In the

    absence o a direct approval by Parliament, and incorporating a strict interpretation o Law 97, each and every IOC in

    Iraq successul in the 2009 bid rounds would need a specific vote in Parliament to be

    operating in Iraq legally. I there is no such authorizing vote, their presence is arguably

    illegal under Iraqi domestic law or operating in an ultra virescapacity. Tis dubious

    legal structure has dissuaded many supermajor petroleum companies rom investing

    in Iraq and participating in the bid rounds.

    Tis gap in Iraqi jurisprudence has recently been challenged in ederal Iraqi court by

    ormer parliamentarian Shadha Musawi. She argues that the Prime Minister and the

    Oil Minister had begun, without Parliaments approval, to decide the nations petro-

    leum policy through their licensing efforts in the first and second bid rounds. Musawis

    contentions are that oil policies, contracts, and licenses should be approved in greater

    concert with the regional governorates (which includes her native Basra Governorate)

    as well as the ederal Parliament. In Musawis view, and in a strict and literal reading o Law 97 o 1967, all contracts

    between Iraqs Ministry o Oil and any third parties must obtain a separate vote o approval rom Parliament to prove

    binding, legal, and enorceable under Iraqi law. Te case is now pending in a Baghdad ederal court. Its potential success

    on its merits is keenly watched by international observers.

    One o the most interesting aspects o the growth in the upstream petroleum production is that internal refining and

    distribution capacity within Iraq has not developed significantly. Still operating on a pre-war level, the increase in inra-

    structure development consistent with the sheer massive oreign investment ollowing the bid rounds will undoubtedly

    grow. Te opportunities or oreign investment in this sector will also be large and keenly competitive between Ameri-

    can, European, and Chinese interests, among others.

    CONCLUSION

    Te current chapter in Iraqs modern history will ultimately be judged by the capacity and pace with which it re-engages

    its Middle East neighbors and immerses itsel in the rapidly changing global economy. While always a steep road to

    plough, it will be markedly more difficult without a clear resolution o the legal and political issues herein presented as

    well as the internal political and bureaucratic obstacles which exacerbate the enormous risks associated with any Iraq

    investment. Tereore, I am pleased to introduce this special edition oMEI Viewpoints. As always, the authors welcome

    readers contributions and eedback, which undoubtedly contribute to the greater understanding o these issues and

    how they present themselves in our interconnected world.

    Dva...

    Any discussion othe development othe Iraqi petroleumindustry cannotunderestimate thedifferences in legaltreatment betweenthe areas o ederal

    Iraq and the semi-autonomous areaunder the rule othe ... KRG.

  • 8/13/2019 Iraq's Petroleum Industry - Unsettled Issues

    9/24

    9Middle East Istitute Viewpits: Iras Petrleum Idustry: Usettled Issues www.mei.edu

    Iraqs Oil Bid Rounds: Politics and Pitalls

    Saifaldi D. Abdul-Rama

    Saifaldi D. Abdul-RamaisVice President o IWG a US

    / Iraqi firm providing consult-ing, logistics, and construc-ti wrk i Ira. he is als aparter i te Taj Al-Kairat

    Grup fr Ivestmet. he asheld senior posts in the Iraqi

    government, including asAdvisor to the Vice Presidento Iraq (2009), Chie o Staffto the Speaker o Parliament

    (2005), and Chie o Staff tothe Minister o Industry &Mierals (2004).

    he first rounds o bidding to develop Iraqs oil fields were perceived to have been aailure because only the BP-led consortium accepted Iraqs bid parameters. However,

    the second round with seven groups o international oil companies (IOCs) eventu-

    ally signing contracts to develop fields and two more deals rom the first round signed

    was a success. Tis represented a major breakthrough not only or Iraq (particularly

    because the terms negotiated are very avorable to the host government), but also or

    Iraqi Oil Minister Husayn Shahristani, who almost singlehandedly pushed the licensing

    round policy. Nevertheless, some potential problems lie ahead.

    ThE ConTRACTS

    Te major fields and the companies that will develop them are:

    Rumaila BP / CNPC

    Qurnah 1 ExxonMobil / Shell

    Zubair ENI / Oxy / Kogas

    Majnoon Shell / Petronas

    West Qurnah 2 Lukoil / Statoil

    While these fields represent a majority o Iraqs discovered and producing acreage, it

    is important to point out that most o the fields awarded are located either in Basra

    Province or one o the surrounding southern provinces. Tis has several noteworthy

    implications. First, the residents o these provinces will be looking to the oil companies

    to provide jobs and to return some o the oil production earnings to them. Yet, con-

    trary to the residents perceptions, the contracts are structured so that the companies

    will merely improve production, leaving all o the other financial details to the central

    government. Furthermore, the Iraqi central government wants to limit the amount o

    money that is allocated to these oil-producing provinces in avor o ederal projects.

    POTENTIAL PITFALLS

    Discontent may spread among the residents o Iraqs oil producing provinces, who are

    likely to eel cheated not only by the ederal government but also by the IOCs. In act,

    this scenario has already started to play out at Alahdab field, where local residents say

    that the Chinese have not hired anyone locally and have brought in their own workers.

    Te views expressed in these Viewpointsare those o the authors; the Middle East Institute does not take positions on Middle East policy.

  • 8/13/2019 Iraq's Petroleum Industry - Unsettled Issues

    10/24

    10 Middle East Istitute Viewpits: Iras Petrleum Idustry: Usettled Issues www.mei.edu

    Abdul-Rama...

    Te persistence or intensification o this discontent is problematic at two levels. At the micro level, the disgruntlement

    could lead to instability, as has occurred in the Niger Delta region o Nigeria. At the macro level, the issues are more

    numerous and complex. At the top o the list is the absence o a legal ramework or apportioning the revenues accrued

    rom oil production. Impeding efforts to establish this ramework are the competing concerns o Iraqs three main eth-nic/sectarian groups: the Sunnis, who still eel that they have no stake in the new Iraq or its oil; the Shia, who eel that

    they do not receive enough o the oil revenues; and the Kurds, who are wrangling with

    the central government over their rights to produce and sell oil. Tis contention over

    the hydrocarbons law and revenue sharing stems rom the act that there is not yet an

    agreed upon social contract binding the state together. Put differently, Iraqis have yet to

    agree on the most undamental o state unctions and where sovereignty lies. Te stakes

    will only be higher as oil revenue begins to increase and as some regions and provinces

    begin to develop more rapidly than their neighbors. Whether they know it or not, many

    o the major oil companies are now at the center o this potential maelstrom.

    Te second major issue is what is likely to be a disparity between promises and results. Iraq has embarked upon one

    o the most ambitious oil development plans in history. Iraqi Oil Minister Husayn Shahristani has declared that Iraqs

    production would reach six million barrels per day (bpd) within three years and over ten million bpd within seven

    years. Most analysts do not believe that these goals can be attained. However, setting such overly ambitious goals risks

    creating unrealistic expectations which, i unulfilled, are apt to cause peoples confidence in the central government to

    erode. Some political groups (e.g., the Sadrists) might exploit the situation by omenting unrest in order to undermine

    establishment politicians.

    Setting unrealistically high oil production goals also unnecessarily antagonizes Iraqs neighbors, particularly Saudi Ara-

    bia and Iran, adding a new dynamic to the already complex relationships between the three countries. Were Iraq to

    reach the six million bpd threshold, it would begin to challenge Saudi Arabias role as OPECs leading producer. Reach-

    ing that threshold also would complicate Iraqs relationship with other OPEC members, which might seek to limit Iraqi

    production because o price concerns. Whether Iraq will accept such limitations, given the years o sanctions and lack

    o investment in the oil sector, is an open question.

    Equally uncertain is the role that Iran might play should the situation in the Gul deteriorate. For example, in the event

    o a military strike against Iran, the possibility o Iranian retaliation against Western oil interests (i.e., oil companies

    operating near its border) cannot be ruled out.

    Finally, Iraq has yet to finalize all o the legal rameworks associated with signing the development contracts with the

    IOCs. Nor do its laws adequately address some o the questions raised in the Iraqi Council o Representatives. What i

    a new prime minister or Council o Representatives seeks to change or dissolve the contracts that have already been

    Iraqis have yet toagree on the mostundamental ostate unctions andwhere sovereigntylies.

  • 8/13/2019 Iraq's Petroleum Industry - Unsettled Issues

    11/24

    11Middle East Istitute Viewpits: Iras Petrleum Idustry: Usettled Issues www.mei.edu

    signed? Tis issue is particularly important now that the Sadrists have a significant bloc in the Council and historically have

    sought to undermine the Oil Minister and the contracts he promulgated, which they believed were not in Iraqs best inter-

    ests.

    ThE WAY FoRWARD

    While the aorementioned issues are numerous and complex, international oil companies can take steps at the local level (i.e.

    in Iraqs southern provinces) and Iraqs central government can adopt measures at the national level to address them.

    Te central government must initiate an education campaign highlighting the role o the IOCs in Iraq and the need or

    the technology and investment they bring in helping to develop Iraqs fields. Tis must be coupled with a transparent

    policy that spells out precisely how much o the revenues will be returned directly to the producing provinces. Te IOCs

    can, and should, help Iraq reach this target, not by directly talking to Iraqs government, but by lobbying their own gov-ernments to push Iraqi leaders and the United Nations to draf such a policy and widely disseminate it. Iraqs constitu-

    tion stipulates that provinces which previously had been unairly deprived o resources could be compensated. Applied

    judiciously, this provision could be used to placate both the southern provinces and the

    Sunni provinces, which, since 2003, have been deprived.

    In addition to a transparent policy on revenue distribution, the ederal government

    should clearly outline an energy strategy or the country that includes the development

    o the energy sector and the surrounding inrastructure. Tis would help stimulate

    construction in the provinces where oil is being produced, which in turn could alleviate

    some o the popular discontent.

    Te oil companies have already done some things right in training Iraqi oil engineers

    on new technology outside Iraq. Tis needs to turn into a comprehensive program

    to develop a cadre o local technocrats who can be genuine partners or the IOCs in

    the years to come. Such a program would involve identiying talented students, offering them scholarships to study

    engineering and other fields needed or Iraqs upstream and downstream oil development, and enabling them to gain

    hands-on experience with the IOCs themselves. Te IOCs must ensure that they do not become benevolent ounda-tions, which would only engender more problems. Tey should target projects and sectors that would aim both to quel

    discontent and to serve their interests where they operate.

    While the situation in Iraq is raught with many pitalls and dangers, there is a huge potential to create model policies

    which, i developed and implemented effectively, could mitigate many o them. Te Iraqi government and the major oil

    companies operating there would be well advised to look beyond the narrow view o oil development and think o this

    as a broad step towards better institutions and a more stable state.

    Abdul-Rama..

    Te Iraqi govern-ment and the majoroil companies op-erating there wouldbe well advised tolook beyond thenarrow view o oildevelopment andthink o this as abroad step to betterinstitutions and amore stable state.

  • 8/13/2019 Iraq's Petroleum Industry - Unsettled Issues

    12/24

    12 Middle East Istitute Viewpits: Iras Petrleum Idustry: Usettled Issues www.mei.edu

    Political and Legal Obstacles in Iraq

    Nicholas Skibiak

    Nicholas Skibiak is an

    Associate at DuniaFrontier Consultants,specializing in upstream

    petroleum productionand investment riskanalysis in the MiddleEast.

    Since June 2009, the Government o Iraq (GoI) has secured nearly a dozen major oilfield technical service agreements with international oil companies (IOCs) afer two

    highly publicized bidding rounds. Te deals are seen as the cornerstone o Iraqs eco-

    nomic development in the coming years. While uture oil production has been rather

    optimistically projected as high as 12 million barrels per day (bpd) by 2020, signifi-

    cant obstacles to the development o the oil and gas industry remain. Te countrys

    inrastructure and skilled labor supply are insufficient, the security situation remains

    tenuous although much improved, and billions o dollars o investment are needed to

    acilitate oil field development and exports.

    In addition, legal challenges rom within Iraqs ractious political system also threaten

    to derail development o the oil and gas industry. Central to this issue is the ambiguous

    legal ramework that undergirds Iraqs oil industry. Te absence o any national hydro-

    carbon law leaves lawmakers and regional governments at odds over procedural issues.

    A draf law to govern investment and production has been in limbo since 2007 amid

    disputes between Baghdad and the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) over the

    proper mechanisms or revenue sharing.

    Te Iraqi National Constitution as written (particularly Article 112(2) and Article 115)would seem to grant significant power to regional governments to manage hydrocar-

    bon resources, as well as negotiate their extraction. However, the GoI has insisted on the

    primacy o the central government in negotiating and signing any deals with IOCs. Fur-

    thermore, the process by which the GoI negotiated contracts ollowing the two rounds

    o oil auctions in 2009 was so centralized around the Ministry o Oil (MoO) that it has

    drawn wide and vocal accusations o unconstitutionality.

    One internal row that has drawn significant publicity, both within Iraq and abroad,

    is the recent lawsuit filed by outgoing MP Shadha al-Musawi against the GoI, which

    challenges the constitutionality o the November 2009 BP-CNPC Rumaila deal, and

    aims to settle the question o whether Iraqs prime minister, parliament, or provincial

    governments have the legal authority to finalize oil contracts with oreign firms. Mu-

    sawi and her allies point to a pre-invasion law (Law 97 o 1967) that required ederal oil

    contracts to be ratified by parliament, and argue that the same requirement should hold

    or the Rumaila development. Te GoI, and the MoO in particular, have argued that the

    Rumaila and other IOC deals are merely technical service agreements, and thus do not

    Te views expressed in these Viewpointsare those o the authors; the Middle East Institute does not take positions on Middle East policy.

  • 8/13/2019 Iraq's Petroleum Industry - Unsettled Issues

    13/24

    13Middle East Istitute Viewpits: Iras Petrleum Idustry: Usettled Issues www.mei.edu

    Skibiak...

    warrant the same scrutiny as the production licenses envisioned by the 1967 law.

    Even i Iraqi courts accept the governments deense, there are serious questions about how the MoO developed the

    model contracts upon which the IOC deals were based. It is unclear whether government lawyers and ministers outside

    the MoO were given the opportunity to scrutinize the contracts beore they were signed and declared legally binding.

    Beyond these specific legal challenges there are quiet rumblings among Iraqs political actions about the possibility

    o revisiting the oil contracts once a new government is ormed. Iyad Allawi, the leader o the Iraqiyyacoalition, has

    promised a review o the IOC contracts i he becomes Iraqs next prime minister. Among the most vocal critics are

    the ollowers o Shiite cleric Muqtada al-Sadr (the Sadrist rend), the Fadhila Party, and some other Iraqi nationalists,

    who have accused the GoI o surrendering the nations oil wealth to oreigners, and insist that Iraq can develop its oil

    resources relying solely on national efforts. Hazim al-Araji, a senior member o the Sadrist rend, said his party might

    challenge the legality o the IOC contracts, claiming that there had been great mistakes in the negotiations.

    It is unclear to what extent the promises to revisit IOC contracts are anything other than political rhetoric. Te GoI has

    quietly assured IOCs that the legality o the existing contracts will not be challenged, but their confidence seems based

    on the assumption that, given the importance o oil revenues to Iraqs economic u-

    ture, no one would jeopardize the development o the oil industry by suspending field

    operations or demanding lengthy renegotiations.

    Another consequence o ailing to pass a national hydrocarbon law has been the lin-

    gering dispute between Baghdad and the KRG over oil production and exports in

    Iraqs northern provinces. Frustrated by stalled negotiations over a national oil law,

    the KRG passed its own hydrocarbon investment law in 2007 based on a contentious

    interpretation o the Iraqi constitution, and began independently issuing production

    sharing agreements (PSAs) to several dozen smaller IOCs. Baghdad has condemned

    these PSAs, which have drawn international scrutiny over allegations o impropriety (i not outright corruption). In

    addition, the central government blacklisted any IOCs operating in partnership with the KRG, barring them rom its

    2009 oil auctions.

    Despite the strong stance taken by the MoO against the Kurdish PSAs, the promise o $2 billion in annual oil revenues

    eventually compelled Baghdad in June 2009 to allow Kurdish oil exports, but only afer negotiating that all revenues

    would be channeled into the ederally managed Development Fund or Iraq, rather than directly to Irbil. At the same

    time, Baghdad reused to spend oil revenue on contracts it did not have a hand in negotiating, which lef the KRG un-

    able to pay its IOCs. Afer months o squabbling between the governments, which saw Kurdish oil exports halted in

    October 2009 and restarted in February 2010, the GoI reportedly agreed to cover the costs o oreign firms operating

    in the Kurdish region, including paying exploration and extraction costs, but not their profits. On February 14, the

    Te saga o theKurdish oil indus-try reinorces theimportance o a na-

    tional hydrocarbonlaw in allowing orthe ull develop-ment o Iraqs oilindustry.

  • 8/13/2019 Iraq's Petroleum Industry - Unsettled Issues

    14/24

  • 8/13/2019 Iraq's Petroleum Industry - Unsettled Issues

    15/24

  • 8/13/2019 Iraq's Petroleum Industry - Unsettled Issues

    16/24

    16 Middle East Istitute Viewpits: Iras Petrleum Idustry: Usettled Issues www.mei.edu

    F...

    Iraqi Security Forces (ISF).

    Te SOFAs greatest impact on companies conducting business in Iraq is that private US citizens, contractors, and their

    employees no longer benefit rom the limited privileges and immunities offered under CPA Order No. 17. In other

    words, contractors are now subject to the jurisdiction o the Iraqi civil and criminal

    courts, and can be arrested or detained or violations o Iraqi law. In particular, Article

    12 eliminates the contractor privileges and immunities offered under CPA Order No.

    17. Additionally, the SOFA does not guarantee that any US citizen arrested or detained

    is entitled to basic due process rights. Te US citizen is lef entirely in the hands and at

    the mercy o the Iraqi judicial system. Tus, contractors conducting business in Iraq

    must amiliarize themselves with the Iraqi judicial system, and its criminal and civil

    laws. Tis provision, among others, creates a significant negative impact on oreign

    companies conducting business in Iraq. For purposes o this essay, we will ocus mainly

    on new changes in the SOFA that impact the civil side o conducting business in Iraq.

    CoMPAnY REGISTRATIonS

    Following the guidelines in the SOFA, all petroleum companies must register to do

    business in Iraq in order to continue to perorm their existing contracts, or enter into

    new contracts. Moreover, the echnical Service Contracts outlined by the Ministry o Oil (MoO) mandate that all

    oreign companies maintain a domestic presence. While this may take the orm o a branch office or limited liability

    company (LLC), it is a required element o the first and second petroleum bid rounds that companies have a domestic

    license and comply with the yearly reporting requirements.

    PoSTREGISTRATIon oBLIGATIonS

    Once registered as a branch office or LLC, there are urther post-registration obligations. For example, branch offices

    and LLCs involved in the petroleum industry must register or a corporate income tax file with the General Com-

    mission or axes Corporate ax Department, and an employee must register or an income tax file with the General

    Commission or axes Employee Wage Withholding Department. Tey must also register a social security file with the

    Social Security Administration o the Ministry o Labor and Social Affairs.

    VISA AnD RESIDEnCY ISSUES

    Once registered to do business in Iraq, a company can sponsor non-Iraqi employees or visas and residency permits

    Visas must be obtained prior to an employees arrival in Iraq (except or entry via the Kurdistan Region). Importantly

    no visas may be obtained on arrival. All visas are approved by the Ministry o Interior (Residency Directorate) and then

    [M]any challengeslay ahead, includingthe volatile securityenvironment, theabsence o a hydro-carbon law, and aninrastructure ...urgently in need o

    rehabilitation aferyears o abuse andneglect under theSaddam regime,as well as urtherdeterioration since2003.

  • 8/13/2019 Iraq's Petroleum Industry - Unsettled Issues

    17/24

    17Middle East Istitute Viewpits: Iras Petrleum Idustry: Usettled Issues www.mei.edu

    orwarded to the Iraqi Embassy in the country o application or finalization. When entering Iraq, oreign employees

    must report to the Residency Directorate within ten days o their arrival, and must present themselves to the Ministry

    o Health or an HIV blood test within the same time period. However, stays o less than one week do not require such

    reporting. Business visas are typically one month in duration. During this time, the employer must apply or a residency

    permit or resident employees, and obtain all necessary visa extensions. When planning to depart, non-Iraqis in Iraq

    must obtain an exit visa within six days o their desired departure date. For non-Iraqis who hold a residency permit, the

    exit visa will include a reentry visa, valid or up to three months rom the date o de-

    parture. Failure to return within the three months will void the residency. A non-Iraqi

    will not be able to leave Iraq unless he or she is in possession o an exit visa. Finally, new

    HIV blood tests are required or non-Iraqis afer extended absence rom Iraq.

    PREPARInG FoR BUSInESS InVESTMEnTS In IRAq

    When considering business investments in Iraq, you must be financially well prepared.

    Under the new SOFA, US contractors and employees are no longer protected rom

    Iraqi prosecution and enorcement o Iraqi laws. I your company is considering leaping into business in Iraq, it must

    register quickly. Tis takes time, so do not wait or any grace period to expire. Also, be sure to educate and culturally

    sensitize employees to the environment they are entering. When contracting, remember that the Riyadh Convention is

    the preerred avenue or arbitration, and Jordan is a preerred jurisdiction. Obtain legal advice rom US and Iraqi coun

    terparts to ensure your company is in compliance with registration, tax, employment, and visa/immigration laws. You

    also will wish to establish procedures or your Iraq company and employees to ollow in case o arrest or detention so

    that they know who to call, including their consulates (Iraq is a party to the Vienna Convention). Remember that Iraq is

    in a transitional phase, and government capacity is low, which can sometimes lead to arbitrary and capricious treatment

    by government officials. Nothing in Iraq happens quickly, and with an inrastructure that is in such poor shape, there are

    many instances when phone systems, email, and other methods o communication just are not available. Finally, have

    patience. Te ultimate payoff will be well worth the effort or both your company and or the ultimate success o Iraq as

    a stable country in a volatile region.

    F...

    Under the newSOFA, US contrac-tors and employeesare no longer pro-tected rom Iraqiprosecution and en-

    orcement o Iraqilaws.

  • 8/13/2019 Iraq's Petroleum Industry - Unsettled Issues

    18/24

    18 Middle East Istitute Viewpits: Iras Petrleum Idustry: Usettled Issues www.mei.edu

    Charts & Maps

  • 8/13/2019 Iraq's Petroleum Industry - Unsettled Issues

    19/24

  • 8/13/2019 Iraq's Petroleum Industry - Unsettled Issues

    20/24

    20 Middle East Istitute Viewpits: Iras Petrleum Idustry: Usettled Issues www.mei.edu

    US Energy Inormation Administration, January 1, 2010

    PRoVEn PETRoLEUM RESERVES In IRAq

    ToTAL oIL PRoDUCTIon In IRAq

    US Energy Inormation Administration, January 1, 2010

  • 8/13/2019 Iraq's Petroleum Industry - Unsettled Issues

    21/24

  • 8/13/2019 Iraq's Petroleum Industry - Unsettled Issues

    22/24

    22 Middle East Istitute Viewpits: Iras Petrleum Idustry: Usettled Issues www.mei.edu

    IRAqS oIL ExPoRTS To ThE US

    US Energy Inormation Administration, January 1, 2010

    nET PETRoLEUM ExPoRTS/IMPoRTS In IRAq

    US Energy Inormation Administration, January 1, 2010

  • 8/13/2019 Iraq's Petroleum Industry - Unsettled Issues

    23/24

    23Middle East Istitute Viewpits: Iras Petrleum Idustry: Usettled Issues www.mei.edu

    REFInERY CAPACITY In IRAq

    US Energy Inormation Administration, January 1, 2010

  • 8/13/2019 Iraq's Petroleum Industry - Unsettled Issues

    24/24

    Middle East Institute