Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012

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Global @dvisor A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse The Economic Pulse of the World Citizens in 24 Countries Assess the Current State of their Country’s Economy for a Total Global Perspective

description

As the Chancellor delivers his Autumn Statement, new research released today finds just 15% of Britons believing their economy to be in “good” shape, with only 10% expecting to see an improvement over the next 6 months.

Transcript of Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012

Page 1: Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012

Global @dvisor

A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse

The Economic Pulse of the World Citizens in 24 Countries Assess the Current State of their Country’s Economy for a Total Global Perspective

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SURVEY METHOD

• The survey instrument is conducted monthly in 24 countries around the world via the Ipsos Online Panel system.

COUNTRIES

• The countries reporting herein are Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, China, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Indonesia, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Poland, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States of America.

SAMPLE

• For the results of the survey presented herein, an international sample of 18,713 adults age 18-64 in the US and Canada, and age 16-64 in all other countries, were interviewed. Approximately 1000+ individuals participated on a country by country basis via the Ipsos Online Panel with the exception of Argentina, Belgium, Hungary Indonesia, Mexico, Poland, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, South Korea, Sweden and Turkey, where each have a sample approximately 500+. In this wave (G@33), 500+ individuals in Denmark also participated in the survey and 1000+ individuals in Kenya participated in a similar survey.

WEIGHTING

• Weighting was then employed to balance demographics and ensure that the sample's composition reflects that of the adult population according to the most recent country Census data, and to provide results intended to approximate the sample universe. The precision of Ipsos online polls are calculated using a credibility interval. In this case, a poll of 1,000 is accurate to +/- 3.5 percentage points and one of 500 is accurate to +/- 5.0 percentage points in their respective general populations. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error, and measurement error. For more information on credibility intervals, please visit the Ipsos website.

These are the findings of the Global @dvisor Wave 38 (G@38), an Ipsos survey conducted between October 2nd and October 16th, 2012.

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Analytic Components… There are three analytic components that make up the findings of this monthly Economic Pulse report.

Each question is tracked and analyzed from questions dealing with:

• Thinking about our economic situation, how would you describe the current economic situation in [insert country]? Is it very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad?

The currently perceived macroeconomic state of the respondent’s country:

• Rate the current state of the economy in your local area using a scale from 1 to 7, where 7 means a very strong economy today and 1 means a very weak economy.

The currently perceived state of the local economy:

• Looking ahead six months from now, do you expect the economy in your local area to be much stronger, somewhat stronger, about the same, somewhat weaker, or much weaker than it is now?

A six month outlook for the local economy:

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THE WORLD at a GLANCE

THE WORLD at a GLANCE

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The Top Line Summary

Global @dvisor

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Global Average of National Economic Assessment (36%) Down One Point, Lowest Since 08/09 Crash

As 2012 comes to a close, global economic sentiment reflects a sense of impending trouble. The assessment line, which has been regularly teetering up and down by a scale of one or two points, has reached a three-year low as 36% of global citizens agree their current national economic situation is “good”. The assessment rating has reached its lowest point since the 2008/2009 crash.

In fact, nearly all geographic regions studied reflect a negative change in aggregate sentiment since last sounding. The Middle East and Africa (50%) fell four points overall, while Latin America (41%), Asia-Pacific (40%) and Europe (24%) all fell one point. North America (46%) is the only exception as it remains unchanged, however, this is due to the cancelling out of a two point improvement in Canada (68%) and a two point decline in the United States (24%).

Saudi Arabia (79%), Sweden (72%), Canada (68%), China (63%) and Australia

(61%) lead the global pack as the countries with the highest proportions of respondents assessing their national economies as “good” while Spain (3%), Hungary (4%), Italy (6%), France (6%) and Japan (9%) sit at the bottom.

Countries with the greatest improvements in this wave: Sweden (+7pts to 72%), Indonesia (+6pts to 46%), China (+5pts to 63%), Canada (+2pts to 68%), Poland (+2pts to 21%)

Countries with the greatest declines: Belgium (-8pts to 28%), South Korea (-8pts to 16%),

Germany (-8pts to 60%), Turkey (-6pts to 44%), South Africa (-5pts to 26%).

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Global Average of Local Economic Assessment (27%) Unchanged

The global average of local economic assessment among the core 24 countries remains unchanged with three in ten (27%) global citizens who agree the state of the current economy in their local area is ‘good’.

The poll finds assessments of local economies to be strongest in Saudi Arabia (53%), Sweden (52%), China (47%), Canada (44%), Australia (42%) and Brazil (42%).

Spain (6%), Japan (6%), Hungary (8%), Italy (8%) and France (10%) sit at the bottom

of the global ranking for this metric.

Countries with the greatest improvements in local economic assessment: Indonesia (+10pts to 36%), Sweden (+8pts to 52%), Saudi Arabia (+6pts to 53%), Brazil (+6pts to 42%) and Russia (+3pts to 20%).

Countries with the greatest declines in local economic assessment: Germany (-8pts to 39%), Belgium (-4pts to 18%), China (-4pts to 47%), Turkey (-3pts to 32%), South Korea (-3pts to 14%) and France (-3pts to 10%).

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Global Average of Future Outlook for Local Economy Down One Point: 22%

Currently, a global average of 22% believe their local economy will be stronger six months from now, a figure that is one point lower than last wave.

Brazil holds on to its number one spot on this measure (74%), leading India (44%), Saudi Arabia (44%), Indonesia (41%), Argentina (40%) and Mexico (40%).

A very small minority of those in France (3%) and Japan (5%) express they believe their local economy will be stronger in half a year’s time. They are joined at the end of the ranking by Hungary (7%), Belgium (8%) and Italy (9%).

Countries with the greatest improvements: Indonesia (+10pts to 41%), Brazil (+4pts

to 74%), China (+3pts to 35%), Canada (+3pts to 21%), Sweden (+3pts to 19%) and South Africa (+3pts to 14%).

Countries with the greatest declines: United States (-5pts to 25%), Turkey (-4pts to 23%), Italy (-4pts to 9%), India (-4pts to 44%), Germany (-3pts to 11%), Russia (-3pts to 14%), South Korea (-3pts to 13%) and Mexico (-3pts to 40%).

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Those Countries Where the National Area Economic Assessment…

is HIGHEST

this month

has experienced an IMPROVEMENT

since last sounding

has experienced a DECLINE since last sounding

is LOWEST

this month

Saudi Arabia 79% Sweden 7 Germany 8 Spain 3%

Sweden 72% Indonesia 6 Belgium 8 Hungary 4%

Canada 68% China 5 South Korea 8 France 6%

China 63% Canada 2 Turkey 6 Italy 6%

Australia 61% Poland 2 South Africa 5 Japan 9%

Germany 60% Brazil 1 Russia 4 Great Britain 15%

India 58% Great Britain 1 Mexico 2 South Korea 16%

Brazil 57% United States 2 Poland 21%

Japan 2

Saudi Arabia 1

Australia 1

Spain 1

Thinking about our economic situation, how would you describe the current economic situation in [insert country]? Is it very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad?

1. National Economic Assessments: Countries at a Glance Compared to the Last Wave…

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1. National Economic Assessment: Regions at a Glance Compared to the Last Wave…

REGION (in descending order by NET)

NET ‘Good’

CHANGE (since last sounding)

BRIC 51% N/A Middle East/Africa 50% 4%

North America 46% N/A LATAM 41% 1%

APAC 40% 1% G-8 Countries 27% 1%

Europe 24% 1%

Thinking about our economic situation, how would you describe the current economic situation in [insert country]? Is it very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad?

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2. Local Economic Assessment: Countries at a Glance Compared to the Last Wave…

Those Countries Where the Local Area Economic Assessment…

is HIGHEST

this month

has experienced an IMPROVEMENT

since last sounding

has experienced a DECLINE since last sounding

is LOWEST

this month

Saudi Arabia 53% Indonesia 10 Germany 8 Japan 6%

Sweden 52% Sweden 8 China 4 Spain 6%

China 47% Saudi Arabia 6 Belgium 4 Hungary 8%

Canada 44% Brazil 6 Turkey 3 Italy 8%

Australia 42% Russia 3 South Korea 3 France 10%

Brazil 42% Poland 2 France 3 South Korea 14%

Australia 1 Canada 2 South Africa 1 India 2

Hungary 1 Mexico 2 Japan 2

Argentina 1 Great Britain 1

Italy 1 Spain 1

Rate the current state of the economy in your local area using a scale from 1 to 7, where 7 means a very strong economy today and 1 means a very weak economy

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REGION (in descending order by NET)

NET ‘Strong’

Top 3 Box (5-6-7)

CHANGE (since last sounding)

BRIC 37% N/C Middle East/Africa 36% 1%

North America 34% N/C APAC 29% N/C

LATAM 28% 1% G-8 Countries 20% 2%

Europe 19% 1%

2. Local Economic Assessment: Regions at a Glance Compared to the Last Wave…

Rate the current state of the economy in your local area using a scale from 1 to 7, where 7 means a very strong economy today and 1 means a very weak economy

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Countries where the Assessment of the Local Economic Strengthening …

is HIGHEST

this month

has experienced an IMPROVEMENT

since last sounding

has experienced a DECLINE

since last sounding

is LOWEST

this month

Brazil 74% Indonesia 10 United States 5 France 3% India 44% Brazil 4 India 4 Japan 5%

Saudi Arabia 44% China 3 Turkey 4 Hungary 7% Indonesia 41% Canada 3 Italy 4 Belgium 8% Argentina 40% Sweden 3 Mexico 3 Italy 9%

Mexico 40% South Africa 3 Russia 3 Great Britain 10% China 35% Poland 2 South Korea 3 Poland 10%

Hungary 2 Germany 3 Germany 11% Australia 1 Saudi Arabia 2 Spain 11%

Great Britain 1 Belgium 2 Japan 2

Looking ahead six months from now, do you expect the economy in your local area to be much stronger, somewhat stronger, about the same, somewhat weaker, or much weaker than it is now?

3. Six Month Outlook on the Local Economy: Countries at a Glance Compared to the Last Wave…

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3. Six Month Outlook on Local Economy: Regions at a Glance Compared to Last Wave…

Looking ahead six months from now, do you expect the economy in your local area to be much stronger, somewhat stronger, about the same, somewhat weaker, or much weaker than it is now?

REGION (in descending order by NET)

NET ‘Stronger’

CHANGE (since last sounding)

LATAM 52% 1%

BRIC 42% N/C

Middle East/Africa 27% 1%

North America 23% 1%

APAC 24% N/C

G-8 Countries 12% 2%

Europe 10% N/C

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DETAILED FINDINGS

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Assessing The Current Economic Situation …

Detailed Tables B.3

…in Their Country

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Now thinking about our economic situation, how would you describe the current economic situation in [insert country]? Is it very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad?

Global Citizens Assess the Current Economic Situation in their Country as “Good”

36% 79%

72% 68%

63% 61%

60% 58%

57% 46%

44% 36%

32% 28%

27% 26%

24% 21%

16% 15%

9% 6% 6%

4% 3%

Total Saudi Arabia

Sweden Canada

China Australia Germany

India Brazil

Indonesia Turkey

Argentina Mexico

Belgium Russia

South Africa United States

Poland South Korea Great Britain

Japan France

Italy Hungary

Spain

‘Very Good / Somewhat Good’

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Global Average Tracked - Global Citizens Assess the Current Economic Situation in their Country as “Good”:…

Now thinking about our economic situation, how would you describe the current economic situation in [insert country]? Is it very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad?

56% 55%

45%

32%

29%

38% 38% 39% 39% 40% 41% 40% 42% 41% 41% 40% 41% 38% 40% 41% 40% 40% 38% 39% 38% 39% 38% 39% 39% 39% 38% 37% 37% 38% 38% 37% 36%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Apr/0

7 O

ct/0

7 Ap

r/08

Nov

/08

Apr/0

9 N

ov/J

an/1

0 Ap

r/10

May

/10

Jun/

10

Jul/1

0 Au

g/10

Se

p/10

O

ct/1

0 N

ov/1

0 D

ec/1

0 Ja

n/11

Fe

b/11

M

ar/1

1 Ap

r/11

May

/11

Jun/

11

Jul/1

1 Au

g/11

Se

p/11

O

ct/1

1 N

ov/1

1 D

ec/1

1 Ja

n/12

Fe

b/12

M

ar/1

2 Ap

r/12

May

/12

Jun/

12

Jul/1

2 Au

g/12

Se

p/12

O

ct-1

2

Total Good

1

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Sep ‘10

Oct ‘10

Nov ‘10

Dec ‘10

Jan ‘11

Feb ‘11

Mar ‘11

Apr ‘11

May ‘11

Jun ‘11

Jul ‘11

Aug ‘11

Sep ‘11

Oct ‘11

Nov ‘11

Dec ‘11

Jan ‘12

Feb ‘12

Mar ‘12

Apr ‘12

May ‘12

Jun ‘12

Jul ’12

Aug ’12

Sep ’12

Oct ‘12

Argentina 38% 35% 42% 39% 45% 41% 43% 46% 46% 47% 50% 50% 59% 54% 55% 52% 55% 47% 51% 38% 45% 34% 37% 34% 36% 36%

Australia 77% 78% 74% 75% 78% 72% 70% 70% 73% 66% 64% 56% 61% 62% 67% 68% 70% 66% 62% 64% 61% 61% 58% 59% 62% 61%

Belgium 36% 29% 28% 31% 34% 39% 36% 41% 40% 42% 41% 37% 31% 25% 24% 19% 22% 16% 24% 21% 28% 29% 34% 35% 36% 28%

Brazil 58% 66% 64% 62% 56% 61% 53% 52% 51% 51% 53% 52% 55% 55% 59% 56% 62% 63% 54% 59% 49% 52% 58% 51% 56% 57%

Canada 68% 63% 63% 62% 68% 68% 64% 68% 69% 69% 72% 73% 66% 66% 62% 63% 65% 65% 64% 62% 62% 62% 63% 65% 66% 68%

China 75% 79% 74% 72% 74% 73% 67% 75% 68% 68% 66% 61% 65% 65% 62% 55% 64% 72% 71% 62% 63% 60% 67% 53% 58% 63%

France 10% 10% 12% 12% 11% 10% 10% 8% 11% 12% 8% 12% 7% 6% 7% 5% 6% 7% 9% 9% 9% 9% 8% 9% 6% 6%

Germany 56% 64% 67% 63% 64% 64% 62% 67% 68% 68% 71% 66% 63% 64% 64% 61% 70% 71% 68% 68% 69% 66% 68% 69% 68% 60%

Great Britain 16% 12% 16% 13% 15% 12% 8% 10% 15% 13% 10% 11% 17% 11% 10% 8% 13% 10% 14% 12% 10% 12% 11% 14% 14% 15%

Hungary 7% 13% 7% 6% 3% 5% 3% 6% 5% 6% 5% 4% 4% 2% 3% 2% 2% 3% 4% 4% 3% 4% 3% 5% 4% 4%

India 82% 88% 88% 87% 76% 77% 73% 76% 73% 71% 62% 69% 69% 75% 69% 68% 65% 74% 79% 72% 70% 58% 60% 68% 58% 58%

Indonesia 49% 54% 45% 48% 37% 38% 40% 46% 47% 40% 41% 36% 42% 35% 50% 46% 45% 40% 35% 36% 40% 41% 40% 46% 40% 46%

Italy 14% 16% 11% 14% 11% 14% 12% 10% 14% 10% 10% 8% 8% 8% 6% 5% 5% 6% 6% 5% 3% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6%

Japan 7% 8% 6% 9% 6% 8% 8% 7% 9% 8% 8% 6% 8% 6% 7% 8% 8% 9% 9% 8% 9% 9% 7% 11% 11% 9%

Mexico 23% 25% 20% 25% 25% 33% 22% 25% 27% 29% 34% 33% 25% 28% 32% 30% 24% 29% 31% 33% 28% 28% 32% 29% 34% 32%

Poland 33% 29% 30% 28% 23% 29% 19% 23% 22% 20% 24% 28% 27% 30% 28% 27% 27% 21% 27% 25% 25% 28% 33% 22% 19% 21%

Russia 27% 28% 29% 27% 26% 25% 26% 26% 26% 29% 25% 26% 27% 23% 25% 30% 30% 28% 33% 33% 36% 33% 29% 28% 31% 27%

Saudi Arabia 78% 76% 81% 81% 80% 81% 85% 87% 89% 89% 87% 88% 89% 83% 89% 86% 86% 90% 89% 88% 88% 83% 85% 84% 80% 79%

South Africa 41% 46% 41% 51% 45% 45% 40% 41% 43% 42% 38% 39% 34% 39% 32% 32% 42% 40% 36% 35% 33% 38% 39% 38% 31% 26%

South Korea 35% 32% 37% 39% 34% 38% 22% 25% 29% 27% 27% 18% 21% 18% 26% 21% 17% 17% 20% 22% 20% 21% 18% 17% 24% 16%

Spain 9% 10% 7% 7% 4% 6% 6% 8% 6% 6% 7% 6% 3% 5% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 3%

Sweden 72% 77% 75% 75% 82% 80% 71% 78% 76% 76% 77% 70% 74% 69% 73% 74% 72% 73% 70% 71% 64% 75% 71% 81% 65% 72%

Turkey 39% 43% 41% 41% 46% 47% 43% 49% 50% 51% 57% 48% 61% 59% 54% 58% 55% 58% 58% 51% 49% 51% 51% 56% 50% 44%

United States 15% 18% 20% 19% 20% 20% 19% 17% 23% 19% 19% 14% 15% 14% 19% 21% 21% 19% 22% 27% 23% 26% 25% 28% 26% 24%

For All Countries Tracked: Citizens Assess the Current Economic Situation in their Country as “Good”

Now thinking about our economic situation, how would you describe the current economic situation in [insert country]? Is it very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad?

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36% 72%

46% 63%

68% 21%

57% 15%

58% 36%

6% 6%

4% 79%

61% 3%

32% 24%

9% 27%

26% 44%

60% 28%

16%

Total (-1) Sweden (+7)

Indonesia (+6) China (+5)

Canada (+2) Poland (+2)

Brazil (+1) Great Britain (+1)

India (N/C) Argentina (N/C)

France (N/C) Italy (N/C)

Hungary (N/C) Saudi Arabia (-1)

Australia (-1) Spain (-1)

Mexico (-2) United States (-2)

Japan (-2) Russia (-4)

South Africa (-5) Turkey (-6)

Germany (-8) Belgium (-8)

South Korea (-8)

Countries Ranked and Marked By Change In Assessment From Last Month (Left Column) Thinking about our economic situation, how would you describe the current economic situation in [insert

country]? Is it very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad?

% Very Good / Somewhat Good

Green marks countries experiencing improvement; Blue marks countries with no change from last month; Red marks countries experiencing a decline…

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7% 6%

5% 2% 2%

1% 1%

0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

-1% -1% -1%

-2% -2% -2%

-4% -5%

-6% -8% -8% -8%

-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%

Countries Ranked by Net Improvement, Decline or No Change Compared to Last Month: Thinking about our economic situation, how would you describe the current economic situation in [insert country]? Is it very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad?

Sweden (+7) Indonesia (+6)

China (+5) Canada (+2) Poland (+2)

Brazil (+1) Great Britain (+1)

India (N/C) Argentina (N/C)

France (N/C) Italy (N/C)

Hungary (N/C) Saudi Arabia (-1) Australia (-1) Spain (-1) Mexico (-2) United States (-2) Japan (-2) Russia (-4) South Africa (-5) Turkey (-6) Germany (-8) Belgium (-8) South Korea (-8)

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Now thinking about our economic situation, how would you describe the current economic situation in [insert country]? Is it very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad?

Assessing the Current Economic Situation by All Regions:

64%

46% 45% 41%

24%

61%

40%

51%

27%

71%

51% 50%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Ap

r 20

07

Oct

200

7 Ap

r 20

08

Nov

200

8 Ap

r 20

09

Nov

/Jan

/10

Mar

201

0 Ap

r 20

10

May

201

0 Ju

n 20

10

Jul 2

010

Aug

2010

Se

p 20

10

Oct

201

0 N

ov 2

010

Dec

201

0 Ja

n 20

11

Feb

2011

M

ar 2

011

Apr

2011

M

ay 2

011

Jun

2011

Ju

l 201

1 Au

g 20

11

Sep

2011

O

ct 2

011

Nov

201

1 D

ec 2

011

Jan

2012

Fe

b 20

12

Mar

201

2 Ap

r 20

12

May

201

2 Ju

n 20

12

Jul 2

012

Aug

2012

Se

p 20

12

Oct

201

2

North America (Can/US) LATAM Europe APAC G8 BRIC Middle East/Africa

Very Good / Somewhat Good

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North American (Canada/US) Countries Assessing the Current Economic Situation

Now thinking about our economic situation, how would you describe the current economic situation in [insert country]? Is it very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad?

N/C

47%

24%

80%

68%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Apr

2007

O

ct 2

007

Apr

2008

N

ov 2

008

Apr

2009

N

ov/J

an 2

010

Mar

201

0 Ap

r 20

10

May

201

0 Ju

n 20

10

Jul 2

010

Aug

2010

Se

pt 2

010

Oct

201

0 N

ov 2

010

Dec

201

0 Ja

n 20

11

Feb

2011

M

ar/1

1 Ap

r/11

May

/11

Jun/

11

Jul/1

1 Au

g/11

Se

pt/1

1 O

ct/1

1 N

ov/1

1 D

ec/1

1 Ja

n/12

Fe

b/12

M

ar/1

2 Ap

r/12

May

/12

Jun/

12

Jul/1

2 Au

g/12

Se

p/12

O

ct/1

2

United States Canada

Very Good / Somewhat Good

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LATAM Countries Assessing the Current Economic Situation

Now thinking about our economic situation, how would you describe the current economic situation in [insert country]? Is it very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad?

57%

50%

36%

42%

32%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Ap

r-07

O

ct-0

7 Ap

r-08

N

ov-0

8 Ap

r-09

N

ov-0

9/Ja

n-10

M

ar-1

0 Ap

r-10

M

ay-1

0 Ju

n-10

Ju

l-10

Aug-

10

Sept

-10

Oct

-10

Nov

-10

Dec

-10

Jan-

11

Feb-

11

Mar

-11

Apr-

11

May

-11

Jun-

11

Jul-1

1 Au

g-11

Se

pt-1

1 O

ct-1

1 N

ov-1

1 D

ec-1

1 Ja

n-12

Fe

b-12

M

ar-1

2 Ap

r-12

M

ay-1

2 Ju

n-12

Ju

l-12

Aug-

12

Sep-

12

Oct

-12

Brazil Argentina Mexico

1 Very Good / Somewhat Good

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European Countries Assessing the Current Economic Situation

Now thinking about our economic situation, how would you describe the current economic situation in [insert country]? Is it very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad?

1

59% 60%

27%

3%

64%

72%

55%

15%

28%

6% 4%

50%

21%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

Ap

r-07

O

ct-0

7 Ap

r-08

N

ov-0

8 Ap

r-09

N

ov/J

an 2

010

Mar

-10

Apr-

10

May

-10

Jun-

10

Jul-1

0 Au

g-10

Se

p-10

O

ct-1

0 N

ov-1

0 D

ec-1

0 Ja

n-11

Fe

b-11

M

ar-1

1 Ap

r-11

M

ay-1

1 Ju

n-11

Ju

l-11

Aug-

11

Sept

-11

Oct

-11

Nov

-11

Dec

-11

Jan-

12

Feb-

12

Mar

-12

Apr-

12

May

-12

Jun-

12

Jul-1

2 Au

g-12

Se

p-12

O

ct-1

2

Germany France Spain Sweden Great Britain Belgium Italy Hungary Poland

Very Good / Somewhat Good

Page 26: Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012

26 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse

APAC Countries Assessing the Current Economic Situation

Now thinking about our economic situation, how would you describe the current economic situation in [insert country]? Is it very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad?

78%

61%

90%

63%

58%

9%

65%

27%

16% 16%

46%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Ap

r-07

O

ct-0

7 Ap

r-08

N

ov-0

8 Ap

r-09

N

ov-0

9/Ja

n-10

M

ar-1

0 Ap

r-10

M

ay-1

0 Ju

n-10

Ju

l-10

Aug-

10

Sep-

10

Oct

-10

Nov

-10

Dec

-10

Jan-

11

Feb-

11

Mar

-11

Apr-

11

May

-11

Jun-

11

Jul-1

1 Au

g-11

Se

pt-1

1 O

ct-1

1 N

ov-1

1 D

ec-1

1 Ja

n-12

Fe

b-12

M

ar-1

2 Ap

r-12

M

ay-1

2 Ju

n-12

Ju

l-12

Aug-

12

Sep-

12

Oct

-12

Australia China India Japan Russia South Korea Indonesia

Very Good / Somewhat Good

1

Page 27: Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012

27 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse

G8 Countries Assessing the Current Economic Situation

Now thinking about our economic situation, how would you describe the current economic situation in [insert country]? Is it very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad?

15%

80%

68%

27%

59% 60%

6% 9%

65%

27%

47%

24%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Apr-

07

Oct

-07

Apr-

08

Nov

-08

Apr-

09

Nov

-09/

Jan-

10

Mar

-10

Apr-

10

May

-10

Jun-

10

Jul-1

0 Au

g-10

Se

pt-1

0 O

ct-1

0 N

ov-1

0 D

ec-1

0 Ja

n-11

Fe

b-11

M

ar-1

1 Ap

r-11

M

ay-1

1 Ju

n-11

Ju

l-11

Aug-

11

Sept

-11

Oct

-11

Nov

-11

Dec

-11

Jan-

12

Feb-

12

Mar

-12

Apr-

12

May

-12

Jun-

12

Jul-1

2 Au

g-12

Se

p-12

O

ct-1

2

Great Britain Canada France Germany Italy Japan Russia United States

Very Good / Somewhat Good

1

Page 28: Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012

28 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse

BRIC Countries Assessing the Current Economic Situation

Now thinking about our economic situation, how would you describe the current economic situation in [insert country]? Is it very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad?

42%

57%

65%

27%

88%

58% 63%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Ap

r-07

O

ct-0

7 Ap

r-08

N

ov-0

8 Ap

r-09

N

ov 0

9/Ja

n 10

M

ar-1

0 Ap

r-10

M

ay-1

0 Ju

n-10

Ju

l-10

Aug-

10

Sept

-10

Oct

-10

Nov

-10

Dec

-10

Jan-

11

Feb-

11

Mar

-11

Apr-

11

May

-11

Jun-

11

Jul-1

1 Au

g-11

Se

pt-1

1 O

ct-1

1 N

ov-1

1 D

ec-1

1 Ja

n-12

Fe

b-12

M

ar-1

2 Ap

r-12

M

ay-1

2 Ju

n-12

Ju

l-12

Aug-

12

Sep-

12

Oct

-12

Brazil Russia India China

Very Good / Somewhat Good

N/C

Page 29: Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012

29 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse

Middle East/African Countries Assessing the Current Economic Situation

Now thinking about our economic situation, how would you describe the current economic situation in [insert country]? Is it very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad?

51%

44%

73% 79%

38%

26%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

N09

/J10

Mar

-10

Apr-

10

May

-10

Jun-

10

Jul-1

0

Aug-

10

Sep-

10

Oct

-10

Nov

-10

Dec

-10

Jan-

11

Feb-

11

Mar

-11

Apr-

11

May

-11

Jun-

11

Jul-1

1

Aug-

11

Sept

-11

Oct

-11

Nov

-11

Dec

-11

Jan-

12

Feb-

12

Mar

-12

Apr-

12

May

-12

Jun-

12

Jul-1

2

Aug-

12

Sep-

12

Oct

-12

Turkey Saudi Arabia South Africa

Very Good / Somewhat Good

4

Page 30: Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012

30 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse

Assessing The Economy…

Detailed Tables B.6

…In Their Local Area

Page 31: Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012

31 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse

Rate the current state of the economy in your local area using a scale from 1 to 7, where 7 means a very strong economy today and 1 means a very weak economy

Citizen Consumers Who Say The Economy In Their Local Area is Strong…

27% 53%

52% 47%

44% 42% 42%

41% 39%

36% 32%

24% 23%

22% 21%

20% 18% 18%

15% 14%

10% 8% 8%

6% 6%

Total Saudi Arabia

Sweden China

Canada Australia

Brazil India

Germany Indonesia

Turkey South Africa

United States Mexico

Argentina Russia

Belgium Poland

Great Britain South Korea

France Hungary

Italy Japan Spain

% Strong (Top 3: 5-6-7)

Page 32: Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012

32 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse

Citizen Consumers Who Say The Economy In Their Local Area is Strong

Rate the current state of the economy in your local area using a scale from 1 to 7, where 7 means a very strong economy today and 1 means a very weak economy.

N/C

28% 30% 29% 29% 29% 30% 30% 30% 31% 30% 30% 31%

29% 30% 30% 30% 31% 29% 30% 29% 29% 29% 29% 29% 30% 29% 29% 28% 29%

27% 27% 27%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Mar

/10

Apr/1

0

May

/10

Jun/

10

Jul/1

0

Aug/

10

Sept

/10

Oct

/10

Nov

/10

Dec

/10

Jan/

11

Feb/

11

Mra

/11

Apr/1

1

May

/11

Jun/

11

Jul/1

1

Aug/

11

Sept

/11

Oct

/11

Nov

/11

Dec

/11

Jan/

12

Feb/

12

Mar

/12

Apr/1

2

May

/12

Jun/

12

Jul/1

2

Aug/

12

Sep/

12

Oct

/12

Total - % Strong (Top 3: 5-6-7)

Page 33: Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012

33 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse

Aug ‘10

Sep ‘10

Oct ‘10

Nov ‘10

Dec ‘10

Jan ‘11

Feb ‘11

Mar ‘11

Apr ‘11

May ‘11

Jun ‘11

Jul ‘11

Aug ‘11

Sep ‘11

Oct ‘11

Nov ‘11

Dec ‘11

Jan ‘12

Feb ‘12

Mar ‘12

Apr ‘12

May ‘12

Jun ‘12

Jul ’12

Aug ’12

Sep ’12

Oct ‘12

Total 30% 30% 30% 31% 30% 30% 31% 29% 30% 30% 30% 31% 29% 30% 29% 29% 29% 29% 29% 30% 29% 29% 28% 29% 27% 27% 27% Argentina 25% 26% 21% 28% 28% 30% 28% 26% 30% 28% 31% 30% 29% 36% 35% 36% 34% 35% 29% 30% 23% 27% 17% 24% 22% 22% 21% Australia 52% 53% 57% 53% 55% 60% 54% 53% 51% 50% 46% 46% 42% 43% 49% 46% 47% 47% 46% 43% 42% 39% 43% 41% 38% 41% 42% Belgium 20% 19% 17% 21% 16% 20% 30% 23% 27% 26% 25% 24% 19% 21% 18% 16% 14% 15% 11% 16% 14% 19% 19% 20% 19% 22% 18%

Brazil 46% 45% 50% 47% 51% 42% 47% 41% 39% 42% 41% 43% 46% 39% 44% 49% 46% 50% 44% 41% 41% 41% 39% 51% 41% 36% 42% Canada 46% 48% 43% 46% 42% 49% 49% 46% 49% 49% 51% 49% 51% 48% 48% 44% 45% 45% 46% 44% 44% 45% 46% 48% 44% 46% 44%

China 59% 59% 63% 59% 55% 56% 57% 56% 56% 51% 49% 47% 45% 53% 48% 48% 48% 52% 49% 59% 53% 46% 44% 50% 50% 51% 47% France 15% 13% 14% 14% 12% 14% 15% 16% 14% 16% 16% 14% 18% 12% 15% 12% 12% 12% 13% 15% 13% 15% 14% 14% 15% 13% 10%

Germany 33% 35% 39% 43% 43% 40% 43% 38% 46% 46% 47% 47% 45% 43% 41% 43% 41% 45% 48% 47% 47% 47% 48% 45% 48% 47% 39% Great Britain 15% 15% 13% 16% 15% 15% 14% 12% 14% 17% 17% 12% 12% 17% 13% 13% 13% 16% 15% 18% 13% 13% 15% 14% 14% 16% 15%

Hungary 14% 11% 15% 11% 9% 12% 10% 9% 12% 10% 12% 11% 9% 9% 8% 8% 7% 8% 6% 7% 7% 8% 7% 7% 8% 7% 8% India 56% 61% 61% 67% 60% 51% 55% 52% 52% 47% 50% 42% 49% 47% 47% 48% 48% 47% 51% 56% 54% 50% 39% 46% 48% 43% 41%

Indonesia 26% 29% 33% 31% 32% 25% 23% 30% 27% 33% 27% 29% 24% 31% 26% 34% 33% 31% 26% 25% 28% 27% 28% 29% 29% 26% 36% Italy 19% 18% 17% 15% 18% 14% 18% 16% 16% 18% 17% 16% 14% 13% 12% 10% 10% 10% 12% 12% 9% 8% 7% 8% 9% 9% 8%

Japan 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 4% 5% 5% 5% 7% 6% 7% 5% 5% 7% 6% 5% 7% 6% 6% 7% 7% 8% 6% 8% 8% 6% Mexico 18% 18% 18% 15% 17% 22% 21% 17% 18% 18% 19% 25% 24% 21% 21% 23% 22% 22% 28% 25% 27% 22% 20% 19% 19% 24% 22% Poland 31% 29% 21% 25% 22% 19% 21% 19% 23% 17% 21% 21% 23% 24% 24% 19% 21% 24% 18% 22% 20% 23% 20% 24% 18% 16% 18% Russia 30% 24% 26% 24% 19% 20% 16% 17% 21% 18% 18% 19% 17% 18% 23% 18% 19% 21% 21% 23% 18% 22% 19% 16% 17% 17% 20%

Saudi Arabia 58% 57% 47% 50% 58% 57% 55% 62% 63% 61% 63% 66% 69% 64% 58% 67% 64% 69% 65% 69% 65% 64% 67% 71% 48% 47% 53% South Africa 28% 26% 27% 26% 30% 34% 29% 22% 23% 28% 34% 34% 27% 26% 26% 25% 23% 26% 26% 29% 26% 30% 27% 29% 26% 23% 24% South Korea 22% 22% 23% 26% 28% 23% 25% 16% 19% 21% 18% 21% 16% 16% 16% 18% 17% 12% 15% 16% 17% 16% 19% 14% 13% 17% 14%

Spain 10% 10% 10% 11% 10% 9% 9% 9% 10% 9% 8% 11% 8% 6% 8% 8% 6% 6% 7% 6% 5% 4% 6% 6% 5% 7% 6% Sweden 53% 54% 54% 58% 55% 53% 57% 51% 54% 47% 52% 59% 57% 52% 55% 43% 48% 49% 45% 46% 53% 51% 54% 48% 55% 44% 52%

Turkey 25% 29% 34% 27% 30% 32% 33% 33% 33% 35% 38% 46% 32% 45% 42% 44% 45% 35% 41% 37% 41% 40% 40% 38% 37% 35% 32% United States 17% 16% 19% 20% 20% 19% 24% 18% 18% 19% 18% 22% 17% 18% 16% 19% 23% 22% 24% 23% 20% 23% 22% 28% 28% 23% 23%

Citizen Consumers Who Say The Economy In Their Local Area is Strong

% Strong (Top 3 5-6-7)

Rate the current state of the economy in your local area using a scale from 1 to 7, where 7 means a very strong economy today and 1 means a very weak economy.

Page 34: Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012

34 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse

27% 36%

52% 53%

42% 20%

18% 42%

24% 8%

23% 21%

15% 8%

6% 44%

41% 22%

6% 32%

14% 10%

47% 18%

39%

Total (N/C) Indonesia (+10)

Sweden (+8) Saudi Arabia (+6)

Brazil (+6) Russia (+3) Poland (+2)

Australia (+1) South Africa (+1)

Hungary (+1) United States (N/C)

Argentina (-1) Great Britain (-1)

Italy (-1) Spain (-1)

Canada (-2) India (-2)

Mexico (-2) Japan (-2)

Turkey (-3) South Korea (-3)

France (-3) China (-4)

Belgium (-4) Germany (-8)

Countries Ranked and Marked By Change In Assessment From Last Month (Left Column):

Green marks countries experiencing improvement; Blue marks countries with no change from last month; Red marks countries experiencing a decline.

Rate the current state of the economy in your local area using a scale from 1 to 7, where 7 means a very strong economy today and 1 means a very weak economy…

Page 35: Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012

35 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse

10% 8%

6% 6%

3% 2%

1% 1% 1%

0% -1% -1% -1% -1%

-2% -2% -2% -2%

-3% -3% -3%

-4% -4%

-8%

-25% -20% -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%

Countries Ranked by Net Improvement, Decline or No Change Compared to Last Month:

Indonesia (+10) Sweden (+8)

Saudi Arabia (+6) Brazil (+6)

Russia (+3) Poland (+2)

Australia (+1) South Africa (+1)

Hungary (+1)

Argentina (-1) Great Britain (-1) Italy (-1) Spain (-1) Canada (-2) India (-2) Mexico (-2) Japan (-2) Turkey (-3) South Korea (-3) France (-3) China (-4) Belgium (-4) Germany (-8)

Rate the current state of the economy in your local area using a scale from 1 to 7, where 7 means a very strong economy today and 1 means a very weak economy…

Page 36: Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012

36 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse

All Regions Assess the Strength of Their Local Economy

Rate the current state of the economy in your local area using a scale from 1 to 7, where 7 means a very strong economy today and 1 means a very weak economy.

32% 34%

25%

28%

19%

37%

29%

21% 20%

46%

37%

35% 36%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

55%

Mar

201

0

Apr

2010

May

201

0

Jun

2010

Jul 2

010

Aug

2010

Sept

201

0

Oct

201

0

Nov

201

0

Dec

201

0

Jan

2011

Feb

2011

Mar

201

1

Apr

2011

May

201

1

Jun

2011

Jul 2

011

Aug

2011

Sept

201

1

Oct

201

1

Nov

201

1

Dec

201

1

Jan

2012

Feb

2012

Mar

201

2

Apr

2012

May

201

2

Jun

2012

Jul 2

012

Aug

2012

Sep

2012

Oct

201

2

North America LATAM Europe APAC G-8 Countries BRIC Middle East/Africa

% Strong (Top 3 5-6-7)

Page 37: Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012

37 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse

North American Countries Assess the Strength of Their Local Economy

Rate the current state of the economy in your local area using a scale from 1 to 7, where 7 means a very strong economy today and 1 means a very weak economy.

% Strong (Top 3 5-6-7)

N/C

23%

44% 44%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

55%

Mar

201

0

Apr

2010

May

201

0

Jun

2010

Jul 2

010

Aug

2010

Sept

201

0

Oct

201

0

Nov

201

0

Dec

201

0

Jan

2011

Feb

2011

Mar

201

1

Apr

2011

May

201

1

Jun

2011

Jul 2

011

Aug

2011

Sept

201

1

Oct

201

1

Nov

201

1

Dec

201

1

Jan

2012

Feb

2012

2

Mar

201

2

Apr

2012

May

201

2

Jun

2012

Jul 2

012

Aug

2012

Sep

2012

Oct

201

2

United States Canada

Page 38: Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012

38 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse

LATAM Countries Assess the Strength of Their Local Economy

Rate the current state of the economy in your local area using a scale from 1 to 7, where 7 means a very strong economy today and 1 means a very weak economy.

38%

42%

21% 22%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

55%

Mar

201

0

Apr

2010

May

201

0

Jun

2010

Jul 2

010

Aug

2010

Sep

2010

Oct

201

0

Nov

201

0

Dec

201

0

Jan

2011

Feb

2011

Mar

201

1

Apr

2011

May

201

1

Jun

2011

Jul 2

011

Aug

2011

Sept

201

1

Oct

201

1

Nov

201

1

Dec

201

1

Jan

2012

Feb

2012

Mar

201

2

Apr

2012

May

201

2

Jun

2012

Jul 2

012

Aug

2012

Sep

2012

Oct

201

2

Brazil Argentina Mexico

% Strong (Top 3 5-6-7)

1

Page 39: Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012

39 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse

European Countries Assess the Strength of Their Local Economy

Rate the current state of the economy in your local area using a scale from 1 to 7, where 7 means a very strong economy today and 1 means a very weak economy.

27%

39%

10% 13%

6%

44%

52%

15% 15% 18%

11% 8%

29%

18%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Mar

-10

Apr-

10

May

-10

Jun-

10

Jul-1

0

Aug-

10

Sept

-10

Oct

-10

Nov

-10

Dec

-10

Jan-

11

Feb-

11

Mar

-11

Apr-

11

May

-11

Jun-

11

Jul-1

1

Aug-

11

Sept

-11

Oct

-11

Nov

-11

Dec

-11

Jan-

12

Feb-

12

Mar

-12

Apr-

12

May

-12

Jun-

12

Jul-1

2

Aug-

12

Sep-

12

Oct

-12

Germany France Spain Sweden Great Britain Belgium Italy Hungary Poland

% Strong (Top 3 5-6-7)

1

Page 40: Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012

40 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse

APAC Countries Assess the Strength of Their Local Economy

Rate the current state of the economy in your local area using a scale from 1 to 7, where 7 means a very strong economy today and 1 means a very weak economy.

56%

42%

61%

47%

41%

4% 6%

23% 20%

16% 14%

29% 32%

37% 36%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Mar

201

0

Apr

2010

May

201

0

Jun

2010

Jul 2

010

Aug

2010

Sept

201

0

Oct

201

0

Nov

201

0

Dec

201

0

Jan

2011

Feb

2011

Mar

201

1

Apr

2011

May

201

1

Jun

2011

Jul 2

011

Aug

2011

Sept

201

1

Oct

201

1

Nov

201

1

Dec

201

1

Jan

2012

Feb

2012

Mar

201

2

Apr

2012

May

201

2

Jun

2012

Jul 2

012

Aug

2012

Sep

2012

Oct

201

2

Australia China India Japan Russia South Korea Turkey Indonesia

% Strong (Top 3 5-6-7)

N/C

Page 41: Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012

41 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse

G8 Countries Assess the Strength of Their Local Economy

Rate the current state of the economy in your local area using a scale from 1 to 7, where 7 means a very strong economy today and 1 means a very weak economy.

% Strong (Top 3 5-6-7)

16% 15%

44% 44%

14%

10%

27%

39%

18%

8% 4% 6%

23% 20% 20% 23%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Mar

201

0

Apr

2010

May

201

0

Jun

2010

Jul 2

010

Aug

2010

Sept

201

0

Oct

201

0

Nov

201

0

Dec

201

0

Jan

2011

Feb

2011

Mar

201

1

Apr

2011

May

201

1

Jun

2011

Jul 2

011

Aug

2011

Sept

201

1

Oct

201

1

Nov

201

1

Dec

201

1

Jan

2012

Feb

2012

Mar

201

2

Apr

2012

May

201

2

Jun

2012

Jul 2

012

Aug

2012

Sep

2012

Oct

201

2

Great Britain Canada France Germany Italy Japan Russia United States

2

Page 42: Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012

42 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse

BRIC Countries Assess the Strength of Their Local Economy

Rate the current state of the economy in your local area using a scale from 1 to 7, where 7 means a very strong economy today and 1 means a very weak economy.

% Strong (Top 3 5-6-7)

38% 42%

20%

41%

61%

47%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Mar

201

0

Apr

2010

May

201

0

Jun

2010

Jul 2

010

Aug

2010

Sept

201

0

Oct

201

0

Nov

201

0

Dec

201

0

Jan

2011

Feb

2011

Mar

201

1

Apr

2011

May

201

1

Jun

2011

Jul 2

011

Aug

2011

Sept

201

1

Oct

201

1

Nov

201

1

Dec

201

1

Jan

2012

Feb

2012

Mar

201

2

Apr

2012

May

201

2

Jun

2012

Jul 2

012

Aug

2012

Sep

2012

Oct

201

2

Brazil Russia India China

N/C

Page 43: Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012

43 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse

Middle East/ African Countries Assess the Strength of Their Local Economy

Rate the current state of the economy in your local area using a scale from 1 to 7, where 7 means a very strong economy today and 1 means a very weak economy.

29% 32%

49% 53%

26% 24%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Mar

201

0

Apr

2010

May

201

0

Jun

2010

Julo

201

0

Aug

2010

Sept

201

0

Oct

201

0

Nov

201

0

Dec

201

0

Jan

2011

Feb

2011

Mar

201

1

Apr

2011

May

201

1

Jun

2011

Jul 2

011

Aug

2011

Sept

201

1

Oct

201

1

Nov

201

1

Dec

201

1

Jan

2012

Feb

2012

Mar

201

2

Apr

2012

May

201

2

Jun

2012

Jul 2

012

Aug

2012

Sep

2012

Oct

201

2

Turkey Saudi Arabia South Africa

% Strong (Top 3 5-6-7)

1

Page 44: Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012

44 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse

Assessing the Strength of The Local Economy…

Detailed Tables B.7

…Six Months From Now

Page 45: Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012

45 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse

Citizen Consumers Who Say The Economy in the Local Area to be Stronger in The Next Six Months…

Looking ahead 6 months from now, do you expect the economy in your local area to be much stronger, somewhat stronger, about the same, somewhat weaker, or much weaker than it is now?

22% 74%

44% 44%

41% 40% 40%

35% 25%

23% 21%

19% 17%

14% 14%

13% 11% 11%

10% 10%

9% 8%

7% 5%

3%

Total Brazil India

Saudi Arabia Indonesia Argentina

Mexico China

United States Turkey

Canada Sweden

Australia Russia

South Africa South Korea

Germany Spain

Great Britain Poland

Italy Belgium Hungary

Japan France

% Much Stronger / Somewhat Stronger

Page 46: Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012

46 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse

31% 30% 30% 29% 28% 28% 28% 29% 27% 27% 28%

26% 27% 27% 26% 25% 24% 24% 24% 24% 24% 25% 24% 26%

24% 24% 23% 23% 23% 23% 22%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Apr

2010

May

201

0

Jun

2010

Jul 2

010

Aug

2010

Sept

201

0

Oct

201

0

Nov

201

0

Dec

201

0

Jan

2011

Feb

2011

Mar

201

1

Apr

2011

May

201

1

Jun

2011

Jul 2

011

Aug

2011

Sept

201

1

Oct

201

1

Nov

201

1

Dec

201

1

Jan

2012

Feb

2012

Mar

201

2

Apr

2012

May

201

2

Jun

2012

Jul 2

012

Aug

2012

Sep

2012

Oct

201

2

Citizen Consumers Who Say The Economy in the Local Area to be Stronger in The Next Six Months

Looking ahead six months from now, do you expect the economy in your local area to be much stronger, somewhat stronger, about the same, somewhat weaker, or much weaker than it is now?

1 Global Total

% Much Stronger / Somewhat Stronger

Page 47: Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012

47 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse

Sep ‘10

Oct ‘10

Nov ‘10

Dec ‘10

Jan ‘11

Feb ‘11

Mar ‘11

Apr ‘11

May ‘11

Jun ‘11

Jul ‘11

Aug ‘11

Sep ‘11

Oct ‘11

Nov ‘11

Dec ‘11

Jan ‘12

Feb ‘12

Mar ‘12

Apr ‘12

May ‘12

Jun ‘12

Jul ’12

Aug ’12

Sep ’12

Oct ‘12

Total 28% 28% 29% 27% 27% 28% 26% 27% 27% 26% 25% 24% 24% 24% 24% 24% 25% 24% 26% 24% 24% 23% 23% 23% 23% 22% Argentina 42% 39% 44% 43% 42% 44% 44% 42% 45% 47% 47% 52% 52% 50% 47% 45% 42% 43% 47% 44% 44% 38% 39% 40% 41% 40% Australia 27% 29% 27% 24% 23% 24% 22% 23% 20% 19% 19% 16% 16% 16% 18% 16% 19% 16% 16% 16% 14% 16% 15% 16% 16% 17% Belgium 15% 13% 12% 12% 13% 13% 14% 15% 11% 14% 10% 6% 8% 8% 4% 5% 6% 5% 7% 6% 8% 8% 8% 8% 10% 8%

Brazil 75% 78% 76% 78% 73% 73% 67% 72% 71% 64% 71% 71% 65% 74% 72% 71% 74% 69% 71% 75% 67% 69% 66% 65% 70% 74% Canada 27% 26% 27% 27% 31% 29% 28% 28% 26% 25% 24% 18% 15% 19% 19% 19% 21% 20% 22% 20% 21% 18% 19% 17% 18% 21%

China 50% 50% 48% 44% 49% 49% 40% 42% 44% 39% 36% 35% 44% 39% 42% 32% 39% 34% 42% 36% 39% 34% 38% 36% 32% 35% France 5% 3% 4% 4% 5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 5% 3% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 4% 6% 5% 9% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3%

Germany 26% 31% 35% 27% 30% 28% 26% 24% 26% 22% 22% 18% 16% 12% 15% 13% 18% 20% 17% 17% 20% 14% 13% 16% 14% 11% Great Britain 13% 12% 13% 12% 13% 11% 8% 10% 12% 14% 9% 9% 10% 8% 9% 7% 10% 9% 12% 10% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 10%

Hungary 18% 23% 13% 10% 12% 15% 10% 11% 7% 8% 10% 8% 6% 5% 6% 3% 5% 6% 8% 7% 7% 6% 7% 6% 5% 7% India 64% 65% 65% 61% 55% 61% 55% 55% 50% 52% 43% 52% 54% 56% 50% 50% 50% 56% 57% 55% 54% 50% 53% 53% 48% 44%

Indonesia 35% 35% 34% 30% 26% 26% 29% 28% 32% 29% 29% 28% 29% 28% 32% 37% 32% 28% 26% 26% 31% 31% 32% 32% 31% 41% Italy 16% 17% 16% 15% 18% 16% 17% 15% 15% 15% 13% 14% 10% 11% 21% 12% 15% 19% 19% 14% 12% 10% 12% 12% 13% 9%

Japan 6% 6% 8% 8% 8% 9% 8% 9% 10% 9% 10% 7% 7% 10% 6% 7% 8% 8% 12% 9% 7% 7% 8% 7% 7% 5% Mexico 35% 38% 30% 36% 33% 37% 43% 38% 41% 37% 39% 36% 34% 36% 39% 39% 36% 42% 46% 43% 39% 39% 37% 41% 43% 40% Poland 19% 19% 19% 21% 12% 19% 14% 17% 13% 15% 16% 18% 19% 15% 13% 16% 16% 12% 15% 12% 16% 15% 13% 11% 8% 10% Russia 21% 13% 24% 16% 16% 18% 18% 18% 16% 16% 13% 16% 15% 20% 17% 15% 17% 15% 20% 14% 18% 14% 11% 13% 17% 14%

Saudi Arabia 46% 48% 45% 47% 45% 52% 56% 60% 59% 60% 62% 64% 57% 53% 54% 60% 63% 57% 59% 57% 57% 52% 59% 47% 46% 44% South Africa 25% 21% 27% 27% 28% 22% 16% 16% 21% 23% 17% 10% 15% 16% 20% 16% 16% 21% 16% 15% 15% 13% 20% 22% 11% 14% South Korea 22% 20% 22% 25% 22% 25% 19% 14% 17% 12% 15% 13% 15% 14% 14% 12% 11% 14% 11% 14% 15% 14% 13% 15% 16% 13%

Spain 22% 20% 21% 20% 20% 21% 21% 23% 22% 20% 18% 18% 15% 23% 17% 21% 18% 15% 18% 16% 14% 18% 13% 12% 12% 11% Sweden 19% 21% 19% 20% 16% 21% 17% 18% 17% 16% 15% 14% 14% 11% 16% 12% 16% 12% 17% 15% 10% 15% 10% 14% 16% 19%

Turkey 29% 28% 27% 23% 30% 32% 28% 32% 34% 36% 38% 25% 40% 35% 28% 35% 31% 34% 39% 34% 25% 30% 29% 26% 27% 23% United States 22% 24% 29% 25% 27% 27% 21% 24% 25% 22% 22% 17% 17% 16% 20% 23% 26% 26% 26% 25% 25% 24% 28% 28% 30% 25%

Citizen Consumers Who Say The Economy in the Local Area to be Stronger in The Next Six Months…

% Much Stronger/Somewhat Stronger

Looking ahead six months from now, do you expect the economy in your local area to be much stronger, somewhat stronger, about the same, somewhat weaker, or much weaker than it is now?

Page 48: Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012

48 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse

22% 41%

74% 35%

21% 19%

14% 10%

7% 17%

10% 40%

11% 3%

44% 8%

5% 40%

14% 13%

11% 44%

23% 9%

25%

Total (-1) Indonesia (+10)

Brazil (+4) China (+3)

Canada (+3) Sweden (+3)

South Africa (+3) Poland (+2)

Hungary (+2) Australia (+1)

Great Britain (+1) Argentina (-1)

Spain (-1) France (-1)

Saudi Arabia (-2) Belgium (-2)

Japan (-2) Mexico (-3) Russia (-3)

South Korea (-3) Germany (-3)

India (-4) Turkey (-4)

Italy (-4) United States (-5)

Countries Ranked and Marked By Change In Assessment From Last Month (Left Column):

Green marks countries experiencing improvement; Blue marks countries with no change from last month; Red marks countries experiencing a decline.

Looking ahead six months from now, do you expect the economy in your local area to be much stronger, somewhat stronger, about the same, somewhat weaker, or much weaker than it is now?

Page 49: Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012

49 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse

10% 4%

3% 3% 3% 3%

2% 2%

1% 1%

-1% -1% -1%

-2% -2% -2%

-3% -3% -3% -3%

-4% -4% -4%

-5%

-20% -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20%

Countries Ranked by Net Improvement, Decline or No Change Compared to Last Month:

Argentina (-1) Spain (-1) France (-1) Saudi Arabia (-2) Belgium (-2)

Indonesia (+10) Brazil (+4) China (+3)

Canada (+3) Sweden (+3)

South Africa (+3) Poland (+2)

Hungary (+2) Australia (+1)

Great Britain (+1)

Japan (-2) Mexico (-3) Russia (-3) South Korea (-3) Germany (-3) India (-4) Turkey (-4) Italy (-4) United States (-5)

Looking ahead six months from now, do you expect the economy in your local area to be much stronger, somewhat stronger, about the same, somewhat weaker, or much weaker than it is now?

Page 50: Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012

50 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse

All Regions - Citizen Consumers Who Say The Economy in the Local Area to be Stronger in The Next Six Months

Looking ahead six months from now, do you expect the economy in your local area to be much stronger, somewhat stronger, about the same, somewhat weaker, or much weaker than it is now?

34%

23%

48% 52%

19%

10%

24% 20%

12%

55%

42% 38%

27%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Mar

201

0

Apr

2010

May

201

0

Jun

2010

Jul 2

010

Aug

2010

Sept

201

0

Oct

201

0

Nov

201

0

Dec

201

0

Jan

2011

Feb

2011

Mar

201

1

Apr

2011

May

201

1

Jun

2011

Jul 2

011

Aug

2011

Sept

201

1

Oct

201

1

Nov

201

1

Dec

201

1

Jan

2012

Feb

2012

Mar

201

2

Apr

2012

May

201

2

Jun

2012

Jul 2

012

Aug

2012

Sep

2012

Oct

201

2

North America LATAM Europe APAC G-8 Countries BRIC Middle East/Africa

% Much Stronger/Somewhat Stronger

Page 51: Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012

51 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse

North American Countries - Citizen Consumers Who Say The Economy in the Local Area to be Stronger in The Next Six Months

Looking ahead six months from now, do you expect the economy in your local area to be much stronger, somewhat stronger, about the same, somewhat weaker, or much weaker than it is now?

31%

25%

38%

21%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

Mar

201

0

Apr

2010

May

201

0

Jun

2010

Jul 2

010

Aug

2010

Sept

201

0

Oct

201

0

Nov

201

0

Dec

201

0

Jan

2011

Feb

2011

Mar

201

1

Apr

2011

May

201

1

Jun

2011

Jul 2

011

Aug

2011

Sept

201

1

Oct

201

1

Nov

201

1

Dec

201

1

Jan

2012

Feb

2012

Mar

201

2

Apr

2012

May

201

2

Jun

2012

Jul 2

012

Aug

2012

Sep

2012

Oct

201

2

United States Canada

% Much Stronger/Somewhat Stronger

1

Page 52: Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012

52 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse

LATAM Countries - Citizen Consumers Who Say The Economy in the Local Area to be Stronger in The Next Six Months

Looking ahead six months from now, do you expect the economy in your local area to be much stronger, somewhat stronger, about the same, somewhat weaker, or much weaker than it is now?

74%

32% 34%

40%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

Mar

201

0

Apr

2010

May

201

0

Jun

2010

Jul 2

010

Aug

2010

Sept

201

0

Oct

201

0

Nov

201

0

Dec

201

0

Jan

2011

Feb

2011

Mar

201

1

Apr

2011

May

201

1

Jun

2011

Jul 2

011

Aug

2011

Sept

201

1

Oct

201

1

Nov

201

1

Dec

201

1

Jan

2012

Feb

2012

Mar

201

2

Apr

2012

May

201

2

Jun

2012

Jul 2

012

Aug

2012

Sep

2012

Oct

201

2

Brazil Argentina Mexico

% Much Stronger/Somewhat Stronger

1

Page 53: Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012

53 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse

European Countries - Citizen Consumers Who Say The Economy in the Local Area to be Stronger in The Next Six Months

Looking ahead six months from now, do you expect the economy in your local area to be much stronger, somewhat stronger, about the same, somewhat weaker, or much weaker than it is now?

% Much Stronger/Somewhat Stronger

5% 3%

28%

11%

19% 19% 18%

8%

20%

9%

22%

7%

23%

10%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

Mar

201

0

Apr

2010

May

201

0

Jun

2010

Jul 2

010

Aug

2010

Sept

201

0

Oct

201

0

Nov

201

0

Dec

201

0

Jan

2011

Feb

2011

Mar

201

1

Apr

2011

May

201

1

Jun

2011

Jul 2

011

Aug

2011

Sept

201

1

Oct

201

1

Nov

201

1

Dec

201

1

Jan

2012

Feb

2012

Mar

201

2

Apr

2012

May

201

2

Jun

2012

Jul 2

012

Aug

2012

Sep

2012

Oct

201

2

Germany France Spain Sweden Great Britain Belgium Italy Hungary Poland

N/C

Page 54: Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012

54 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse

APAC Countries - Citizen Consumers Who Say The Economy in the Local Area to be Stronger in The Next Six Months

Looking ahead six months from now, do you expect the economy in your local area to be much stronger, somewhat stronger, about the same, somewhat weaker, or much weaker than it is now?

36%

17%

57%

35%

66%

44%

11%

5%

17% 14%

21%

13%

32%

23%

31%

41%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Mar

201

0

Apr

2010

May

201

0

Jun

2010

Jul 2

010

Aug

2010

Sept

201

0

Oct

201

0

Nov

201

0

Dec

201

0

Jan

2011

Feb

2011

Mar

201

1

Apr

2011

May

201

1

Jun

2011

Jul 2

011

Aug

2011

Sep

2011

Oct

201

1

Nov

201

1

Dec

201

1

Jan

2012

Feb

2012

Mar

201

2

Apr

2012

May

201

2

Jun

2012

Jul 2

012

Aug

2012

Sep

2012

Oct

201

2

Australia China India Japan Russia South Korea Turkey Indonesia

% Much Stronger/Somewhat Stronger

N/C

Page 55: Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012

55 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse

G8 Countries - Citizen Consumers Who Say The Economy in the Local Area to be Stronger in The Next Six Months

Looking ahead six months from now, do you expect the economy in your local area to be much stronger, somewhat stronger, about the same, somewhat weaker, or much weaker than it is now?

% Much Stronger/Somewhat Stronger

18%

10%

38%

21%

5% 3%

23%

11% 11%

5%

20%

9%

17% 14%

25%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

Mar

201

0

Apr

2010

May

201

0

Jun

2010

Jul 2

010

Aug

2010

Sept

201

0

Oct

201

0

Nov

201

0

Dec

201

0

Jan

2011

Feb

2011

Mar

201

1

Apr

2011

May

201

1

Jun

2011

Jul 2

011

Aug

2011

Sept

201

1

Oct

201

1

Nov

201

1

Dec

201

1

Jan

2012

Feb

2012

Mar

201

2

Apr

2012

May

201

2

Jun

2012

Jul 2

012

Aug

2012

Sep

2012

Oct

201

2

Great Britain Canada France Germany Japan Italy Russia United States

2

Page 56: Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012

56 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse

BRIC Countries - Citizen Consumers Who Say The Economy in the Local Area to be Stronger in The Next Six Months

Looking ahead six months from now, do you expect the economy in your local area to be much stronger, somewhat stronger, about the same, somewhat weaker, or much weaker than it is now?

79% 74%

17% 14%

66%

44%

35%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

Mar

201

0

Apr

2010

May

201

0

Jun

2010

Jul 2

010

Aug

2010

Sept

201

0

Oct

201

0

Nov

201

0

Dec

201

0

Jan

2011

Feb

2011

Mar

201

1

Apr

2011

May

201

1

Jun

2011

Jul 2

011

Aug

2011

Sept

201

1

Oct

201

1

Nov

201

1

Dec

201

1

Jan

2012

Feb

2012

Mar

201

2

Apr

2012

May

201

2

Jun

2012

Jul 2

012

Aug

2012

Sep

2012

Oct

201

2

Brazil Russia India China

% Much Stronger/Somewhat Stronger

N/C

Page 57: Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012

57 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse

Middle East/African Countries - Citizen Consumers Who Say The Economy in the Local Area to be Stronger in The Next Six Months

Looking ahead six months from now, do you expect the economy in your local area to be much stronger, somewhat stronger, about the same, somewhat weaker, or much weaker than it is now?

32%

23%

44% 44%

38%

14%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Mar

201

0

Apr

2010

May

201

0

Jun

2010

Jul 2

010

Aug

2010

Sept

201

0

Oct

201

0

Nov

201

0

Dec

201

0

Jan

2011

Feb

2011

Mar

201

1

Apr

2011

May

201

1

Jun

2011

Jul 2

011

Aug

2011

Sept

201

1

Oct

201

1

Nov

201

1

Dec

201

1

Jan

2012

Feb

2012

Mar

201

2

Apr

2012

May

201

2

Jun

2012

Jul 2

012

Aug

2012

Sep

2012

Oct

201

2

Turkey Saudi Arabia South Africa

% Much Stronger/Somewhat Stronger

1

Page 58: Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012

58 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse

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Page 59: Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012

59 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse

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