InvestorUpdate May 2016 FINAL - Continental Resources 2016 FINAL... · new information, future...
Transcript of InvestorUpdate May 2016 FINAL - Continental Resources 2016 FINAL... · new information, future...
Forward‐Looking InformationCautionary Statement for the Purpose of the “Safe Harbor” Provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995
This presentation includes “forward‐looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. All statements included in this presentation other than statements of historical fact, including, but not limited to, forecasts or expectations regarding the Company’s business and statements or information concerning the Company’s future operations, performance, financial condition, production and reserves, schedules, plans, timing of development, rates of return, budgets, costs, business strategy, objectives, and cash flows, are forward‐looking statements. When used in this presentation, the words “could,” “may,” “believe,” “anticipate,” “intend,” “estimate,” “expect,” “project,” “budget,” “plan,” “continue,” “potential,” “guidance,” “strategy,” and similar expressions are intended to identify forward‐looking statements, although not all forward‐looking statements contain such identifying words.
Forward‐looking statements are based on the Company’s current expectations and assumptions about future events and currently available information as to the outcome and timing of future events. Although the Company believes these assumptions and expectations are reasonable, they are inherently subject to numerous business, economic, competitive, regulatory and other risks and uncertainties, most of which are difficult to predict and many of which are beyond the Company’s control. No assurance can be given that such expectations will be correct or achieved or the assumptions are accurate. The risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, commodity price volatility; the geographic concentration of our operations; financial, market and economic volatility; the inability to access needed capital; the risks and potential liabilities inherent in crude oil and natural gas exploration, drilling and production and the availability of insurance to cover any losses resulting therefrom; difficulties in estimating proved reserves and other revenue‐based measures; declines in the values of our crude oil and natural gas properties resulting in impairment charges; our ability to replace proved reserves and sustain production; the availability or cost of equipment and oilfield services; leasehold terms expiring on undeveloped acreage before production can be established; our ability to project future production, achieve targeted results in drilling and well operations and predict the amount and timing of development expenditures; the availability and cost of transportation, processing and refining facilities; legislative and regulatory changes adversely affecting our industry and our business, including initiatives related to hydraulic fracturing; increased market and industry competition, including from alternative fuels and other energy sources; and the other risks described under Part I, Item 1A Risk Factors and elsewhere in the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10‐K for the year ended December 31, 2015, registration statements and other reports filed from time to time with the SEC, and other announcements the Company makes from time to time.
Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward‐looking statements, which speak only as of the date on which such statement is made. Should one or more of the risks or uncertainties described in this presentation occur, or should underlying assumptions prove incorrect, the Company’s actual results and plans could differ materially from those expressed in any forward‐looking statements. All forward‐looking statements are expressly qualified in their entirety by this cautionary statement. Except as expressly stated above or otherwise required by applicable law, the Company undertakes no obligation to publicly correct or update any forward‐looking statement whether as a result of new information, future events or circumstances after the date of this presentation, or otherwise.
Readers are cautioned that initial production rates are subject to decline over time and should not be regarded as reflective of sustained production levels. In particular, production from horizontal drilling in shale oil and natural gas resource plays and tight natural gas plays that are stimulated with extensive pressure fracturing are typically characterized by significant early declines in production rates.
We use the term "EUR" or "estimated ultimate recovery" to describe potentially recoverable oil and natural gas hydrocarbon quantities. We include these estimates to demonstrate what we believe to be the potential for future drilling and production on our properties. These estimates are by their nature much more speculative than estimates of proved reserves and require substantial capital spending to implement recovery. Actual locations drilled and quantities that may be ultimately recovered from our properties will differ substantially. EUR data included herein remain subject to change as more well data is analyzed.
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1Q 2016 Highlights
3
Operational efficiencies continue to translate to the bottom line (changes from YE 2015)• STACK oil window target CWC down $500,000 to $9.5 million; spud‐to‐TD days down 32%• Bakken CWC down $500,000 to $6.3 million; stimulation costs down $500,000
Excellent, repeatable results from over‐pressured STACK wells• Foree 1‐18‐7XH IP: 2,061 Boe per day (69% oil), 7,200’ lateral• Bernhardt 1‐13H IP: 1,046 Boe per day (77% oil), 4,550’ lateral • Quintle 1R‐10‐3XH: IP 2,150 Boe per day (71% oil), 9,850’ lateral (still cleaning up)
Outpacing guidance • Full year production guidance raised to 205,000 to 215,000 Boe per day • Record 1Q 2016 production of 230,802 Boe per day (12% YoY production growth) • LOE and G&A below guidance • Cash costs down 17% from FY 2015
Strong liquidity• $1.88 billion available under credit facility as of April 29, 2016• Long‐term debt only increased by ~$20 million from 4Q 2015 through April 29, 2016
Enhanced completions increasing performance throughout the Company • SCOOP Woodford: 35% ‐ 40% production uplift from offsets over first 90‐to‐180 days• Bakken: 45% ‐ 60% production uplift from offsets over first 180 days
2016 OutlookBuilding on 2015 Achievements
2016 budget• Capex of $920 million to maintain average production of 205,000 to 215,000 Boe per day (updated from
200,000 Boe per day) • Cash flow neutral at ~$37 WTI; cash flow positive at current WTI strip prices and capital budget• $150 to $200 million annualized cash flow impact from ±$5 move in WTI• 19 operated drilling rigs (32% reduction from 2015 average)• 2.5 completion crews in south; 0 to 1 in Bakken
2016 priorities• Cash flow neutrality • Debt reduction • STACK delineation • CWC reductions• Operational efficiencies
2016 play drivers• Over‐pressured window in STACK shows ~3x production uplift compared to normally‐pressured wells • Enhanced completions in SCOOP Woodford are generating 40% increase in initial 180‐day production rates • Bakken DUCs (drilled and uncompleted wells) provide catalyst for high cost‐forward ROR with $3.5 million
incremental completion cost; projected YE 2016 DUC EUR average of 850 MBoe per well
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BAKKEN~1,030,000 NET ACRES
STACK MERAMEC/OSAGE(1)~171,000 NET ACRES
SCOOP WOODFORD(2)
~430,000 NET ACRES
SCOOP SPRINGER~214,000 NET ACRES
1. Included are 155,000 net acres of Continental’s Woodford rights2. Included are 214,000 net acres of Continental’s Springer rights
Source: Evercore ISI, January 2016
Single Well Breakeven For North American Oil Plays*
$0$10$20$30$40$50$60$70$80$90
SCOOP Liqu
ids
Bakken
(800
mbo
e EU
R)1,00
0MBo
e Midland
Wolfcam
pSprabe
rry (HZ)
Wattenb
erg Inne
r / M
iddle…
STAC
KSprin
ger
Southe
rn Cana ‐ C
onde
nsate
Eagleford Oil
SCOOP Oil
800M
Boe Midland
Wolfcam
pBa
kken
(600
mbo
e EU
R)Eagleford Co
nden
sate
Wolfberry
Wattenb
erg Extend
ed Lateral
Northern Co
lorado
Bone
Spring
Delaware Wolfcam
p (Cen
tral)
575M
Boe Midland
Wolfcam
pDe
laware Wolfcam
p (NW)
Three Forks
Wattenb
erg Co
reGen
eric M
idCo
n ‐ Liquids
Green
River Vertical (U
inta)
Southe
rn M
idland
Southe
rn Cana ‐ O
ilCana
Woo
dford
Delaware Wolfcam
p (Sou
th)
Ute. B
utte Hz
Miss
Lim
e
SCOOP Liqu
ids
Bakken
(800
MBo
e EU
R)
STAC
KSCOOP Sprin
ger
SCOOP Oil
CLR TOP‐TIER PLAYS
Bakken
(600
MBo
e EU
R)
*To generate a 10% after‐tax IRR
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CLR Assets Are Top‐Tier in U.S.
2.0 Million Net Reservoir Acres
STACK WOODFORD~155,000 NET ACRES
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
$2 $3 $4
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STACK Over‐Pressured Oil SCOOP Woodford Condensate
NW Cana JDA(2)
Target EUR: 1,700 MBoeAvg. Lateral: 9,800’
ROR
ROR
ROR
WTI Oil Price, $/BBL Gas Price, $/Mcf
Gas Price, $/Mcf
Target Enhanced Completion EUR: 2,000 MBoeHistoric EUR: 1,725 MBoeAvg. Lateral: 7,500’
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
$2 $3 $4
$12.3MM Target 2016
$12.9MM YE 2015
Target EUR: 2,150 MBoeAvg. Lateral: 9,800’
ND Bakken
ROR
WTI Oil Price, $/BBL
Top‐Tier Rates of Return
Note: $2.25 gas used for oil price sensitivities and $45 WTI used for gas price sensitivities 1. Estimated 195 DUC’s at YE 2016, $3.5MM gross incremental completion cost2. NW Cana economics factor in a ~50% carry from JDA participant
$9.6MM Enhanced Completion Target 2016$9.5MM Historic Completion YE 2015
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
30 40 50 60 70
850 MBoe: $3.5MM Completion cost (1)900 MBoe : $6.0MM Target 2016800 MBoe : $6.8MM YE 2015
Avg. Lateral: 9,800’
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
$30 $40 $50 $60
$9.5MM Target 2016
$11MM YE 2015
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
SCOOP
Bakken
Legacy
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 1Q'16 2016E
SCOOP
Bakken
Legacy
~210,000
Boe Per D
ay
MMBo
e
Targeting 205,000 to 215,000 Boe per Day Average in 2016
Total Proved Reserves Down 9% YOY with 47% Reduction in WTI Prices
230,8021,226
34%
54%
12%
28%
60%
12%
37%63%
Natural
Gas Oil
For 1Q 2016:
43%57%
Natural
Gas Oil
For YE 2015:
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Historical Organic Growth
Woodford Shale Thickness
50 ft
100 ft
> 200 ft
CLR Leasehold
SCOOPSCOOP
STACKSTACK
1. Included are 155,000 net acres of Continental’s Woodford rights2. Included are 214,000 net acres of Continental’s Springer rights
STACK Meramec/Osage ~171,000 Net Acres(1)
STACK Woodford~155,000 Net Acres
SCOOP Woodford ~430,000 Net Acres(2)
SCOOP Springer ~214,000 Net Acres
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SCOOP & STACKLeading Acreage Positions in Top‐Tier Plays
~970,000 Net Reservoir Acres
STACKSTACK
New oil window completions• Foree: IP 2,061 Boepd (69% oil),
3,300 PSI FCP, 7,200’ lateral• Bernhardt: IP 1,046 Boepd (77% oil),
2,145 PSI FCP, 4,550’ lateral• Quintle: IP 2,150 Boepd (71% oil), 2,125
PSI FCP, 9,850’ lateral (still cleaning up) 5 additional wells testing• 5 in oil window, 1 in condensate window
Strong early performance: Bernhardt 1‐13H: IP 1,046 Boepd
CLR LeaseholdIndustry Meramec 1 mi. Lateral CLR Meramec 1 mi. Lateral
Industry Meramec 2 mi. Lateral CLR Meramec 2 mi. Lateral
Quintle 1R‐10‐3XH: IP 2,150 Boepd (still cleaning up)
Foree 1‐18‐7XH: IP 2,061 Boepd
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STACKExceptional, Repeatable Meramec Results
Boden 1‐15‐10XHIP: 3,508 Boepd (28% oil)
Compton 1‐2‐35XHIP: 2,547 Boepd (71% oil)
Blurton 1‐7‐6XHIP: 2,333 Boepd (78% oil)
Ludwig 1‐22‐15XHIP: 2,782 Boepd (76% oil)
Marks 1‐22‐15XHIP: 994 Boepd (73% oil)
Ladd 1‐8‐5XHIP: 2,205 Boepd (79% oil)
Blaine
Existing WellsNew Wells
Well Name
Days Online
Cum Production
Current Rate
Current Pressure
Blurton 110 116 MBoe (77% Oil)
692 Boepd (76% Oil) 1,400 psi
Compton 118 153 MBoe (70% Oil)
836 Boepd (69% Oil) 1,700 psi
Boden 149 239 MBoe (28% Oil)
1,268 Boepd(26% Oil) 4,700 psi
Ladd 184 129 MBoe (76% Oil)
487 Boepd (74% Oil) 1,200 psi
Ludwig 272 249 MBoe (75% Oil)
681 Boepd (72% Oil) 1,600 psi
Completed Wells
Note: Wells not produced at maximum capacity
Normally‐Pressured
0 3 6 mi
Over‐Pressured
1. By comparison to normally‐pressured producing wells. Data normalized to 9,800’ lateral
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STACKEfficiencies Already Being Realized
Yocum 1‐35‐26XH
Frankie Jo 1‐25‐24XH
Gillilan 1‐35‐26XH
CLR Leasehold CLR Drilling Rigs
Industry Drilling Rigs
Industry Meramec 1 mi. Lateral CLR Meramec 1 mi. Lateral
CLR Planned 2016 Completion
Industry Meramec 2 mi. Lateral CLR Meramec 2 mi. Lateral
Madelin 1‐9‐4XH
Ludwig Density
Over‐Pressured
Normally‐Pressured
Verona 1‐23‐14XH
CLR wells completing / testing
5 Wells Completing Oil window CWC down 5%• Target CWC $9.5MM, down $500k
Cycle times reduced ~32%• Spud‐to‐TD at ~30 days, down from
44 days in 2015
~95% of acreage in over‐pressured window• ~3x uplift in 90‐day rates(1)
• Thicker reservoir (700’ – 1,200’ thick)• ~90% liquids‐rich• ~55% HBP, 70% by YE 2016
2016 plans• 6 rigs targeting Meramec• 5 rigs targeting Woodford • First density test commenced
• Ludwig density in oil window• 2 additional density tests planned
10
100
1,000
10,000
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
Boe Pe
r Day
Producing Months
~75% ROR Based on $45 WTI & $2.25 Nat Gas
Type Curve Based on Early Results from 14 Wells
STACK Over‐Pressured Oil9,800’ Type Curve Data
CWC: $9.5 Million
Oil IP Rate, bbl/day 1,522
Oil 30 day IP Rate, bbl/day 1,327
Oil Initial Decline 76%
Oil b factor 1.20
Oil EUR, MBo 984
Gas IP Rate, Mcf/day 3,795
Gas 30 Day IP Rate, Mcf/day 3,557
Gas Initial Decline 60%
Gas b factor 1.20
Gas EUR, MMcf 4,326
Equivalent EUR, MBoe 1,705
Minimum Decline 6%
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STACKOver‐Pressured Oil Economic Model
STACK Over‐Pressured Oil Type Curve(9,800’ Lateral)
STACK First Density Pilot Underway
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Ludwig Density Pilot1,280‐acre spacing unit
9,800’ laterals
Upper MRMC
Middle MRMC
OSGE
WDFD
Lower MRMC
HNTN~700’
1 Mile
660’660’
175’175’
1,320’1,320’
Ludwig Density Pilot in Blaine County
• Located in over‐pressured oil window
• 8 Meramec wells • 4 in Upper Meramec• 4 in Middle Meramec• 1 in Woodford
• Enhanced completions to be applied
• Applying advanced technology• Micro‐seismic monitoring• Core sampling• Petro‐physical analysis
• 4 rigs currently drilling
• Results expected 4Q 2016
New WellExisting Well
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
0 30 60 90 120 150 180Days
Enhanced Completion WellsWeighted Offset Average1,725 Mboe Type Curve
1. When compared to offset production at $45 WTI and $2.25 natural gas
Greater than 100% ROR for incremental capital of $400,000(1)
~50% more proppant per foot on average
CLR Leasehold
Woodford Producing Well
CLR Enhanced Completion
13
SCOOP Woodford Enhanced Completions
Delivering 35% to 40% production uplifts
15% type curve EUR increase to 2,000 MBoe
GRETTA 1‐17‐20XH2,546 Boe (38% oil)
SANDY 1‐29‐32XH2,481 Boe (17% oil)
Cumulative Prod
uctio
n (Boe
)
15 wells with > 90 days of production; 7 with > 180 days of production
40% uplift
35% uplift
SCOOP WoodfordCompletion Efficiencies Realized
$759
$639
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
Poteet/Honeycutt Infills Vanarkel/Newy Infills
Completion Co
st per Lateral Foo
t ($/Ft)
Completion Cost
739
1,451
0
400
800
1,200
1,600
2,000
Poteet/Honeycutt Infills Vanarkel/Newy Infills
Prop
pant per Lateral Foo
t (#/ft)
Proppant Load
14
2X the Proppant Load for Less Cost
CLR Well
Newy 8‐well density project • 7 new wells combined peak IP rate: 87 MMcf
per day, 3,928 Bo per day (21% oil) • 2,639 Boe per day per well • 85% working interest
SCOOP Woodford 4th Condensate Density Project Completed
15
Vanarkel ProjectAvg IP 1,959 Boepd / well
Honeycutt ProjectAvg IP 2,734 Boepd / well
Poteet ProjectAvg IP 2,771 Boepd / well
Newy ProjectAvg IP 2,639 Boepd / well
Map depicts CLR operated wells only
New WellExisting Well
330’330’ 1,320’1,320’ 2,640’2,640’ 1,320’1,320’ 330’330’
1320’UPPER
LOWER
262’
660’
Newy Density Project1,280‐acre spacing unit
9,850’ laterals
100’
Repeatable results
2 miles
BakkenFocusing on the Core at Reduced Costs
Average EUR up 13% from 2015• 2016 target average EUR: 900 MBoe per well(1)• 2015 average EUR: 800 MBoe per well(1)
Enhanced CWC reduced to $6.3 million• Down from $6.8 million(2) at YE 2015• Targeting $6.0 million by YE 2016
Valuable DUC(3) inventory • Projecting ~195 DUCs(4) at YE 2016• 850 MBoe average EUR • $3.5 million incremental completion cost
($500,000 reduction)• Over 100% ROR for incremental completion
cost for DUCs at $45 WTI and $2.25 gas
Outlines of ProductiveBakken and Three Forks Reservoirs
1. Target EUR for 2015 and 2016 spuds, normalized to 9,800’ lateral2. For two‐mile laterals with 30‐stages3. DUCs are a gross operated number 4. Up from 135 DUCs at YE 2015
17
550 MBoe(1)
800MBoe
900 MBoe (target)
46
94
117
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
FY 2014 FY 2015 CurrentEstimate
$9.8 MM(1)
$7.0 MM$6.3 MM
$21.73
$10.67$8.54
$0
$5
$10
$15
$20
$25
$0
$1
$2
$3
$4
$5
$6
$7
$8
$9
$10
FY 2014 FY 2015 CurrentEstimate
BakkenCapital Efficiency Continues to Improve
1. CLR-Operated North Dakota MB, TF1 & TF2 wells spud in 2014, 2015 and 2016 Projected2. Capital efficiency based on reserves developed per dollar invested3. Average net revenue interest of 82% assumed for net F&D and net capital efficiency
Current Well Cost
Est.Capital
Efficiency
Est.F&DCost
Target EUR
-36% +154%
-61% +64%
Current vs. FY 2014
per Boe
per Boe
Declining F&D Costs
Net F&D Cost ($/Bo
e)(3)
Well Cost ($M
M)
per Boe
Capital Efficiency (Net Boe
/$1,00
0)(3
)
Boe/$1,000
Boe/$1,000
Boe/$1,000
Improving Capital Efficiency(2)
EUR pe
r Well (MBo
e)
18
‐ 20 40 60 80
100 120 140 160
Jan‐09
Jul‐0
9
Jan‐10
Jul‐1
0
Jan‐11
Jul‐1
1
Jan‐12
Jul‐1
2
Jan‐13
Jul‐1
3
Jan‐14
Jul‐1
4
Jan‐15
Jul‐1
5
Jan‐16
North Dakota Pipeline Authority and CLR estimates
EST
‐
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Local Refining Pipeline Rail Bakken Production
Thou
sand
Bop
d
Bakken Takeaway Capacity
Rail PipelineFuture Pipeline
Enbridge SandpiperExpected Online: 2019
225,000 Bopd
Energy Transfer DAPLExpected Online: YE2016 450,000 to 570,000 Bopd
~80% of CLR Bakken Barrels on Pipe
CLR Piped CLR Railed
Thou
sand
Bop
d
19
CLR Bakken Differentials DecreasingThrough Increased Pipeline Capacity
Energy Transfer ETCOPExpected Online: YE2016 450,000 to 570,000 Bopd
EST
$6.89 $5.87 $6.13 $5.49 $5.69 $5.58 $4.30 $3.76
$2.19 $2.35 $2.36 $2.38 $2.07 $2.06 $1.70 $1.11
$2.95 $4.47 $5.82 $5.58 $6.02 $5.54$2.47 $1.46
$1.72 $3.34$3.40 $3.95 $4.74 $4.49
$3.86$3.87
$30.93
$43.32
$54.74
$48.59
$53.52
$48.86
$19.15
$9.07
$44.68
$59.35
$72.45
$65.99
$72.04
$66.53
$31.48
$19.27
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
$70
$80
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 1Q 2016
Low Cash CostCompetitively Positions CLR
69%
73%
76%74% 74%
73%
Low cash cost of$10.20 per Boe,17% lower than FY 2015
1. Excludes G&A related to equity based compensation and relocation expense2. See “Continuing to Deliver Strong Margins” in the appendix for the method of calculating cash margin3. Based on average oil equivalent price (excluding derivatives and including natural gas)
Production Expense G&A(1) Production/Severance Tax & Other Interest Cash Margin(2)
61%47%
20
Avg. Realized
$/Boe
(3)
Unsecured Credit Facility
• Ample liquidity with $2.75 billion revolver and ability to upsize to $4.0 billion(1)
• ~$1.88 billion available on revolver
• No borrowing base redetermination
• 2‐year extension option beyond 2019(1)
Financial Strength
• No near‐term debt maturities (Earliest is $500 million in 11/2018)
• 4.3% average interest rate
$500 $870
$200$400
$2,000
$1,500
$1,000 $700
$1,880
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2044
LIBOR + 1.5%
Financial Metrics(2)
Net Debt/TTM EBITDAX(3) 3.88x Net Debt/YE 2015Proved Reserves $5.87
Net Debt/1Q 2016 Avg. Daily Production $31,164 Cash Margin 1Q 2016 47%
($MM)
Debt Maturities Summary
No maturities for ~2.5 years
$2.75 billioncredit facility
7.375%7.125%
5.0%
4.5%
3.8%
4.9%
RevolverBalance4/29/16
Callable10/1/15
Callable4/1/16
Callable3/15/17
Undrawn
1. With lender consent 2. All ratios are as of 3/31/16, except where noted3. See appendix for reconciliation of GAAP net income and operating cash flows to EBITDAX
Strong Liquidity & Financial Profile
21
Industry Leading Recycle Ratio
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
CLR Peer A Peer B Peer C Peer D Peer E Peer F Peer G Peer H Peer I Peer J Peer K
Recycle Ratio(As of 4Q 2015)
22
Source: Seaport Global Securities, LLC, April 2016
Recycle ratio. This measure represents the cash earned per Boe produced vs. the cost of getting that barrel out of the ground. Seaport calculated the proved developed finding and development cost for FY 2015.
Recycle Ratio = Operating Margin ($/Boe) / PDP F&D Cost ($/Boe)
Peers include: APA, APC, CXO, DVN, EOG, HES, NBL, NFX, OXY, PXD & WLL
2016 Guidance
Production & Capital 2016 Guidance Production (Boe per day) (revised) 205,000 ‐ 215,000
Capital expenditures (non‐acquisition) $920 million
Operating Expenses
Production expense ($ per Boe) $4.25 ‐ $4.75
Production tax (% of oil & gas revenue) 6.75% ‐ 7.25%
G&A expense ($ per Boe) $1.25 ‐ $1.75
Non‐cash equity compensation ($ per Boe) $0.65 ‐ $0.85
DD&A ($ per Boe) $20.00 ‐ $22.00
Average Price Differentials NYMEX WTI crude oil ($ per barrel of oil) ($7.00) ‐ ($9.00)
Henry Hub natural gas(1) ($ per Mcf) $0.00 ‐ ($0.65)
Income tax rate 38%
Deferred taxes 90% ‐ 95%
Bolded item above in guidance denotes a change from the previous disclosure1. Includes natural gas liquids production in differential range
23
Bakken Drilling $320
SCOOP Drilling $260
STACK Drilling $142
Other $58
Leasehold $78
NW Cana JDA $62
Rigs
Gross Operated Wells
Net Operated Wells
Total Net Wells(1)
Bakken 4 20 15 26
SCOOP 5 – 6 24 16 25
STACK 4 – 5 15 9 9
NW Cana JDA & Other 4 – 5 28 11 11
Totals 19 87 51 71
1. Represents projected net operated & non‐operated wells 2. Represents projected gross operated DUCs3. DUC inventory has average EUR of 850 MBoe per well
$920 Million in Non‐Acquisition Capex
($ in Millions)
YE’15 DUCs YE’16 DUCs(2)
Bakken 135 195(3)
Oklahoma 35 50
Totals 170 24563% YOY Decrease in Capex
2016 Wells With First Production
25
2016 Capital Budget Allocation
Density testing to define optimum spacing
• Five in the condensate window
• Two in the oil window
Efficiencies building• Testing hybrid, higher‐intensity completions• Higher proppant volumes • Well cycle times improving• Water recycling• Ample infrastructure and growing
Project # of Wells Status
Poteet 10 Producing
Honeycutt 10 Producing
Vanarkel 8 Producing
Newy 8 Producing
Project # of Wells Status
Good Martin 8 Producing
May 7 Waiting on Completion
CLR Leasehold
Current WDFD Density Test
Woodford Producing Well
CLR Completion
Good Martin Unit
May Unit
Poteet Unit Honeycutt Unit
Vanarkel Unit
Newy Unit
26
SCOOP Woodford Density PilotsExpanding and Derisking
SCOOP Woodford Condensate Window Density Projects – Strong Repeatable Results
Vanarkel Project‐8 Well Density‐660’ Inter‐well
Spacing
Honeycutt Project‐10 Well Density‐513’ Inter‐well
Spacing
Poteet Project‐10 Well Density‐513’ Inter‐well
Spacing
CLR Well
1. Normalized to 7,500’ lateral
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100
1,000
10,000
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MCFED
Days on Production
Honeycutt Daily Production(1)9 New Honeycutt Wells1,725 MBoe Type Curve
100
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MCFED
Days on Production
Poteet Daily Production(1)10 New Poteet Wells1,725 MBoe Type Curve
100
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MCFED
Days on Production
Vanarkel Daily Production(1)
New Vanarkel Wells1,725 MBoe Type Curve Enhanced Woodford Condensate 7500' Type Curve
7 New Vanarkel Wells1,725 MBoe Type CurveEnhanced Completion 2,000 MBoe Type Curve
0
5,000
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15,000
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Measured Dep
th (FT)
Days
Poteet Average ‐ 1Q'15
Honeycutt Average ‐ 2Q'15
Vanarkel Average
Newy Average ‐ 4Q’15
Newy Project• Set two company records:
‐ 2‐mile lateral: spud‐to‐TD in 47.5 days (Newy 8)
‐ Record MD for horizontal well in OK at 26,289’ (Newy 6)
Vanarkel Project• Set two company spud‐to‐TD drilling records:
‐ 1‐mile lateral: 31 days (Lowrance 2‐10H)‐ 1.5‐mile lateral: 40 days (Vanarkel 7‐15‐10XH)
Infill Improvements• Poteet/Honeycutt to Vanarkel/Newy
‐ ~39% increase in drilled ft/day‐ ~58% decrease in $/lat ft‐ ~44% decrease in $/ft
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SCOOP WoodfordSustainable Drilling Efficiencies Realized
‐ 3Q’15
Current 2016 plans • No drilling planned• Reservoir being delineated and HBP’d by Woodford drilling• Deferring asset development for higher oil price
Results in line with 940 MBoe type curve
12 Miles
SCOOP
Springer Fairway
Hartley Pilot
JeannaPilot
CLR Leasehold Non‐Op. Springer Shale Producer
CLR Springer Shale ProducersCurrent Springer Density Test
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SCOOP SpringerOil Asset Waiting for Higher Prices
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
0 6 12 18 24 30 3610
100
1,000
10,000
Well Cou
nt
Producing Months
Boe pe
r day
Springer Shale Type CurveWell Count Type Curve (Normalized to 4,500' LL)Act. Production (Normalized to 4,500')
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
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60,000
70,000
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110,000
0 30 60 90 120 150 180
Cum Boe
Days
35% – 45% increase in EUR
Slickwater Hybrid Base
Note: Enhanced Slickwater and Hybrid 30‐stage Well Completions in Williams and McKenzie Counties
Production Uplift
~45% Hybrid (65 Wells)(10% higher than last quarter)
~60% Slickwater (53 Wells)(10% higher than last quarter)
Average Standard Completion Offsetting Legacy Wells
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Bakken Enhanced CompletionsContinue to Deliver
EUR Up Another 5% From 4Q 2015
1. See “EBITDAX reconciliation to GAAP” in appendix for a reconciliation of GAAP net income and operating cash flows to EBITDAX. 2. Average costs per Boe have been computed using sales volumes and exclude any effect of derivative transactions.3. Excludes G&A related to equity based compensation and relocation expense.
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 1Q 2016
Realized oil price ($/Bbl) $54.44 $70.69 $88.51 $84.59 $89.93 $81.26 $40.50 $25.72
Realized natural gas price ($/Mcf) $2.95 $4.26 $4.87 $3.73 $4.87 $5.40 $2.31 $1.36Oil production (Bopd) 27,459 32,385 45,121 68,497 95,859 121,999 146,622 146,469Natural gas production (Mcfpd) 59,194 65,598 100,469 174,521 240,355 313,137 450,558 505,998Total production (Boepd) 37,324 43,318 61,865 97,583 135,919 174,189 221,715 230,802
EBITDAX ($000's) (1) $450,648 $810,877 $1,303,959 $1,963,123 $2,839,510 $3,776,051 $1,978,896 $314,609Key Operational Statistics (per Boe) (2)
Average oil equivalent price (excludes derivatives) $44.68 $59.35 $72.45 $65.99 $72.04 $66.53 $31.48 $19.27Production expense $6.89 $5.87 $6.13 $5.49 $5.69 $5.58 $4.30 $3.76
Production tax and other $2.95 $4.47 $5.82 $5.58 $6.02 $5.54 $2.47 $1.46
G&A (3) $2.19 $2.35 $2.36 $2.38 $2.07 $2.06 $1.70 $1.11Interest $1.72 $3.34 $3.40 $3.95 $4.74 $4.49 $3.86 $3.87
Total cash costs $13.75 $16.03 $17.71 $17.40 $18.52 $17.67 $12.33 $10.20
Cash margin $30.93 $43.32 $54.74 $48.59 $53.52 $48.86 $19.15 $9.07Cash margin % 69% 73% 76% 74% 74% 73% 61% 47%
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Continuing to Deliver Strong Margins
We use a variety of financial and operational measures to assess our performance. Among these measures is EBITDAX. Wedefine EBITDAX as earnings (net income (loss)) before interest expense, income taxes, depreciation, depletion, amortizationand accretion, property impairments, exploration expenses, non‐cash gains and losses resulting from the requirements ofaccounting for derivatives, non‐cash equity compensation expense, and losses on extinguishment of debt. EBITDAX is not ameasure of net income or operating cash flows as determined by GAAP.
Management believes EBITDAX is useful because it allows us to more effectively evaluate our operating performance andcompare the results of our operations from period to period without regard to our financing methods or capital structure.Further, we believe that EBITDAX is a widely followed measure of operating performance and may also be used by investorsto measure our ability to meet future debt service requirements, if any. We exclude the items listed above from net income(loss) and operating cash flows in arriving at EBITDAX because those amounts can vary substantially from company tocompany within our industry depending upon accounting methods and book values of assets, capital structures and themethod by which the assets were acquired.
EBITDAX should not be considered as an alternative to, or more meaningful than, net income (loss) or operating cash flowsas determined in accordance with GAAP or as an indicator of a company’s operating performance or liquidity. Certain itemsexcluded from EBITDAX are significant components in understanding and assessing a company’s financial performance, suchas a company’s cost of capital and tax structure, as well as the historic costs of depreciable assets, none of which arecomponents of EBITDAX. Our computations of EBITDAX may not be comparable to other similarly titled measures of othercompanies.
See the following page for reconciliations of our net income (loss) and operating cash flows to EBITDAX for the applicableperiods.
EBITDAX Reconciliation to GAAP
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The following tables provide reconciliations of our net income (loss) and operating cash flows to EBITDAX for the periods presented:
In thousands 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 1Q 2016
Net income (loss) $ 71,338 $ 168,255 $ 429,072 $ 739,385 $ 764,219 $ 977,341 $ (353,668) $ (198,326)Interest expense 23,232 53,147 76,722 140,708 235,275 283,928 313,079 80,953
Provision (benefit) for income taxes 38,670 90,212 258,373 415,811 448,830 584,697 (181,417) (121,346)
Depreciation, depletion, amortization and accretion 207,602 243,601 390,899 692,118 965,645 1,358,669 1,749,056 463,992
Property impairments 83,694 64,951 108,458 122,274 220,508 616,888 402,131 78,927
Exploration expenses 12,615 12,763 27,920 23,507 34,947 50,067 19,413 3,066
Impact from derivative instruments:
Total (gain) loss on derivatives, net 1,520 130,762 30,049 (154,016) 191,751 (559,759) (91,085) (41,052)
Total cash received (paid), net 569 35,495 (34,106) (45,721) (61,555) 385,350 69,553 39,189
Non‐cash (gain) loss on derivatives, net 2,089 166,257 (4,057) (199,737) 130,196 (174,409) (21,532) (1,863)
Non‐cash equity compensation 11,408 11,691 16,572 29,057 39,890 54,353 51,834 9,206
Loss on extinguishment of debt ‐‐ ‐‐ ‐‐ ‐‐ ‐‐ 24,517 ‐‐ ‐‐
EBITDAX $ 450,648 $ 810,877 $ 1,303,959 $ 1,963,123 $ 2,839,510 $ 3,776,051 $ 1,978,896 $ 314,609
In thousands 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 1Q 2016
Net cash provided by operating activities $ 372,986 $ 653,167 $ 1,067,915 $ 1,632,065 $ 2,563,295 $ 3,355,715 $ 1,857,101 $ 278,902Current income tax provision (benefit) 2,551 12,853 13,170 10,517 6,209 20 24 6Interest expense 23,232 53,147 76,722 140,708 235,275 283,928 313,079 80,953Exploration expenses, excluding dry hole costs 6,138 9,739 19,971 22,740 25,597 26,388 11,032 3,066Gain on sale of assets, net 709 29,588 20,838 136,047 88 600 23,149 109Excess tax benefit from stock‐based compensation 2,872 5,230 ‐‐ 15,618 ‐‐ ‐‐ 13,177 ‐‐Other, net (3,890) (3,513) (4,606) (7,587) (1,829) (17,279) (10,044) (3,973)Changes in assets and liabilities 46,050 50,666 109,949 13,015 10,875 126,679 (228,622) (44,454)EBITDAX $ 450,648 $ 810,877 $ 1,303,959 $ 1,963,123 $ 2,839,510 $ 3,776,051 $ 1,978,896 $ 314,609
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EBITDAX Reconciliation to GAAP
ADJUSTED Earnings Reconciliation to GAAPOur presentation of adjusted earnings and adjusted earnings per share that exclude the effect of certain items are non‐GAAP financial measures. Adjusted earnings and adjusted earnings per share represent earnings and diluted earnings per share determined under U.S. GAAP without regard to non‐cash gains and losses on derivative instruments, property impairments, and gains and losses on asset sales. Management believes these measures provide useful information to analysts and investors for analysis of our operating results on a recurring, comparable basis from period to period. In addition, management believes these measures are used by analysts and others in valuation, comparison and investment recommendations of companies in the oil and gas industry to allow for analysis without regard to an entity’s specific derivative portfolio, impairment methodologies, and property dispositions. Adjusted earnings and adjusted earnings per share should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for earnings or diluted earnings per share as determined in accordance with U.S. GAAP and may not be comparable to other similarly titled measures of other companies. The following table reconciles earnings and diluted earnings per share as determined under U.S. GAAP to adjusted earnings and adjusted diluted earnings per share for the periods presented.
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1Q 2016 4Q 2015 1Q 2015
In thousands, except per share data After‐Tax $ Diluted EPS After‐Tax $ Diluted EPS After‐Tax $ Diluted EPS
Net income (loss) (GAAP) $ (198,326) $ (0.54) $ (139,677) $ (0.38) $ (131,971) $ (0.36)
Adjustments, net of tax:
Non‐cash (gain) loss on derivatives, net (1,155) ‐ 2,777 0.01 (5,778) (0.01)
Property impairments 49,081 0.13 50,391 0.14 105,214 0.28
Gain on sale of assets, net (67) ‐ (135) ‐ (1,284) ‐
Adjusted net loss (Non‐GAAP) $ (150,467) $ (0.41) $ (86,644) $ (0.23) $ (33,819) $ (0.09)
Weighted average diluted shares outstanding 370,062 369,662 369,385
Adjusted diluted net loss per share (Non‐GAAP) $ (0.41) $ (0.23) $ (0.09)
CONTACT INFORMATION
J. Warren HenryVice President, Investor Relations & ResearchPhone: 405‐234‐9127Email: [email protected]
Alyson L. GilbertManager, Investor Relations Phone: 405‐774‐5814Email: [email protected]
Website:www.CLR.com/Investors
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